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Northern Ireland are currently projected to miss out on a spot in Top 50, but it's a close race.

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ LUX, ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช MNE, ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ WAL are almost sure to join ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ SMR in Bottom 5 and have only 3 European spots in 2028/29.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Try out your own scenarios and see how it affects the UEFA coefficient race in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Coefficient Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“ˆ 5y coefficient ranking heatmap, as of 24 July.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Try out your own scenarios in our Coefficient Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

To reach ๐ŸŸข UECL Q3 (champions path)
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

To reach ๐ŸŸข UECL Q3 (main path) 2/2
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

To reach ๐ŸŸข UECL Q3 (main path) 1/2
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Weekly Top 15 attendances | UEFA Q2 First Legs (21-23 Jul)

๐Ÿ”ต 38,604 ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Fenerbahรงe v ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gรณrnik
๐ŸŸ  31,471 ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท BeลŸiktaลŸ v ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Midtjylland
๐ŸŸ  27,752 ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Hajduk v ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Pafos
๐ŸŸ  27,500 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Twente v ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Ferencvรกros
๐ŸŸ  23,813 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ QarabaฤŸ v ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ CSKA Sofia
๐ŸŸ  23,572 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Hammarby v ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Anderlecht
๐ŸŸ  17,179 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ St. Gallen v ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Benfica
๐Ÿ”ต 16,118 ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Levski v ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Univ Craiova
๐Ÿ”ต 15,822 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Sturm Graz v ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Hearts
๐ŸŸข 15,749 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช IFK Gรถteborg v ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช Levadia
๐Ÿ”ต 14,106 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Omonia v ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Kairat
๐ŸŸข 13,319 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด FCSB v ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Auda
๐ŸŸข 11,714 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช GAIS v ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Nordsjรฆlland
๐ŸŸข 10,637 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Partizan v ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ UNA Strassen
๐ŸŸข 10,164 ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Spartak T. v ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ CSKA 1948
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Projected ๐ŸŸข UECL league stage pots, as of 24 July.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Projected ๐ŸŸ  UEL league stage pots, as of 24 July.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Projected ๐Ÿ”ต UCL league stage pots, as of 24 July.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“ˆ Number of wins in 2026/27 UEFA competitions (as of 25 July):

8๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป
7๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช
6๏ธโƒฃ-
5๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ
4๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช
3๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
2๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธโ˜˜๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ
1๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ
0๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“Š Percentage of possible points won in 2026/27 UEFA club qualifiers:

100% ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria (3-0-0)
100% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece (2-0-0)
100% ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein (1-0-0)
83% ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Tรผrkiye (2-1-0)
80% ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia (8-0-2)
75% ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Azerbaijan (7-1-2)
75% ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia (4-1-1)
75% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Slovakia (4-1-1)
75% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel (3-0-1)
75% ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland (2-2-0)
71% ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช Estonia (7-3-2)
69% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Bulgaria (4-3-1)
69% ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Hungary (5-1-2)
63% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden (2-1-1)
60% ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Armenia (4-4-2)
60% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iceland (5-2-3)
58% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia (2-3-1)
56% ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Andorra (4-1-3)
56% ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Kazakhstan (3-3-2)
56% ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania (3-4-2)
55% ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania (3-5-2)
55% ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland (4-3-3)
50% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Belarus (3-3-3)
50% ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ด Faroe Islands (3-3-3)
50% ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia (4-0-4)
50% ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด Romania (2-4-2)
50% ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Cyprus (2-0-2)
50% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland (2-0-2)
50% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium (0-2-0)
50% ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czechia (1-0-1)
50% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands (1-0-1)
50% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal (1-0-1)
45% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช Georgia (4-2-5)
45% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland (4-1-5)
45% ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Kosovo (3-3-4)
40% ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ukraine (0-4-1)
39% ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bosnia-Herzegovina (2-3-4)
33% ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Moldova (1-4-4)
33% ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia (2-0-4)
33% ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scotland (1-0-2)
31% Northern Ireland (2-1-5)
30% ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ Luxembourg (2-2-6)
29% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Gibraltar (1-2-4)
25% ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น Malta (1-2-5)
25% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway (0-1-1)
17% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ San Marino (1-0-5)
13% ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark (0-1-3)
6% ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ Wales (0-1-8)
0% ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro (0-0-9)
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Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ“ˆ 12 teams with the highest probability to end up in UECL league stage:

92% ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Brighton & Hove Albion
88% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Atalanta
84% ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช SC Freiburg
83% ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท AS Monaco
76% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Sporting Braga
70% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ช Iberia 1999
69% ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Getafe
68% ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท OFI Crete
63% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ Vikingur Reykjavik
63% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Ajax
62% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Lillestrรธm SK
61% ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Kauno Zalgiris

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿค There are only 2 spots that lead to ๐Ÿ”ต UCL league phase via the league path of qualifiers.

Probabilities are heavily tilted towards the outcome that those spots will be taken by 2 of the following teams:

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Lyon
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Union SG
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Olympiacos
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Bodรธ/Glimt
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Fenerbahรงe

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal is <5.000 coeff pts behind ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France in the race for Top 5 in 5y country ranking.

Top 5 position brings 4 ๐Ÿ”ต UCL spots.

If they want to attack it this year, it is imperative for ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal to bring all 5 teams into league stages, and then utilize the lower denominator to amass coeff points.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France already have 6 teams safe in league stages and are favorites to bring in the 7th.

To finish Top 5 in 5y coeff ranking (as of 26 July):

93% ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France
7% ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details about scenarios & probabilities in coefficient race and UEFA qualifiers available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Sirius' ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช tempo of winning points compared to their best, worst and average of last 9 seasons.

โ—๏ธWith 38 pts after 14/30 rounds, Sirius ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช are already above their average SEASONAL point tally (36.8 pts).

And only 4 pts below their best seasonal record in that time period (42 pts).

Incredible.
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sirius are absolutely crushing it, with a 12-2-0 record since the start of the seasonโ€ผ๏ธ

๐Ÿ“ˆ 11 points advantage, and a game in hand over ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Hammarby.

It seems we're on the road for another surprising ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ชchampion, for the second year in a row!

๐Ÿ† To win Allsvenskan:

79% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sirius
11% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Hammarby
7% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Djurgarden
1% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช AIK
1% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Malmรถ
...

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ” Bodรธ/Glimt jumps to the top of ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Eliteserien after Viking dropped 2 pts at Aalesund.

Viking still have a game in hand, but the ๐Ÿ† chances have now tilted further in Glimt's favor.

๐Ÿ† To win the league:

67% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Bodรธ/Glimt
32% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Viking
1% ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Tromsรธ
<0.1% everyone else combined

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

With 11 rounds to go and with a 7-point lead, ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Shamrock Rovers are heavily favored to defend their League of Ireland title ๐Ÿ†.

To win the league:

86% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Shamrock Rovers
7% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Bohemians
65 ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช St Patrick's Athletic
0.2% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Shelbourne
<0.1% ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Dundalk

๐Ÿ‘‰ Full details on 70+ competitions (incl. all 55 European leagues!) available in our ๐Ÿ•น๏ธ Simulator
Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

๐Ÿ’ฐ How much will English clubs earn from UEFA in 2026/27?

Expected prize money, across 10,000 simulated seasons:

โ‚ฌ123.0m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Arsenal
โ‚ฌ110.2m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Man City
โ‚ฌ101.8m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Liverpool
โ‚ฌ92.7m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Man United
โ‚ฌ89.9m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Aston Villa
โ‚ฌ27.7m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Bournemouth
โ‚ฌ24.3m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Crystal Palace
โ‚ฌ20.6m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Sunderland
โ‚ฌ14.9m ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Brighton

โ—๏ธThe orange part of each bar is what they are ALREADY guaranteed, whatever happens on the pitch.

๐Ÿ“ˆ The twist: Liverpool (โ‚ฌ62.3m) and Man City (โ‚ฌ61.5m) have a HIGHER floor than Arsenal (โ‚ฌ58.8m), even though Arsenal are expected to earn the most.

Why? The Value Pillar pays on coefficient and market rank, not on results.

โš ๏ธ Brighton's floor is only โ‚ฌ0.8m, because they still have to come through UECL qualifying.

Full breakdown for all 237 clubs available in the Prize Money Lab ๐Ÿ‘‡๏ธ
https://football-md.com/prize-money-lab