Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇧🇾 Dinamo Minsk and 🇧🇬 CSKA 1948 now projected to enter the 🟢 UECL PO draw on the seeded side thanks to the coefficient of their Q3 opponents.

🔥 Upcoming Q2 Thursday is the crazy day of European football with a gigantic number of matches and possibly some shakeups in PO seedings!

👉 Full details on projected paths and seeding probabilities for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

@notlia_xmisty: That's why the probability is not 0%.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Bizarre situation for 🇧🇬 Levski and 🇷🇴 Univ Craiova.

The winner of this matchup is set to be unseeded in 🟠 UEL PO as they'd be using their own coefficient (7.000 or 10.500) in that draw.

BUT, the loser of this pair is set to be seeded in 🟠 UEL PO draw thanks to their opponent's coeff (currently projected 🇫🇮 KuPS at 14.000).

📈 Pairs coming from UEL Q3 entering the UEL PO draw are using the HIGHER coeff of the two teams.

📉 Pairs dropping from UCL Q3 and entering the UEL PO draw are using the LOWER coeff of the two teams.

👉 Full details on projected paths and seeding probabilities for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇵🇹 Portugal overtakes 🇫🇷 France on 5th in the seasonal race for an extra 🔵 UCL spot.

🇧🇬 Bulgaria enters seasonal Top 15 after +0.375 added tonight.

👉 Try out your own scenarios and see how it affects the UEFA coefficient race in our 🕹️ Coefficient Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

📈 🇸🇮 SLO overtakes 🇷🇺 RUS on 24th

📈 🇧🇬 BUL overtakes 🇸🇰 SVK on 28th

📈 🇧🇾 BLR overtakes 🇱🇹 LTU on 45th

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇧🇬 Levski Sofia now projected to enter the 🔵 UCL PO draw on the unseeded side, together with 🇨🇾 Omonia.

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🔵 UCL Q3 qualification probabilities (Champions Path)

~100% 🇷🇸 Crvena zvezda
99% 🇸🇪 Mjällby
98% 🇸🇰 Slovan Bratislava
97% 🇵🇱 Lech Poznan
83% 🇸🇮 NK Celje
82% 🇦🇲 Ararat-Armenia
80% 🇨🇾 Omonia Nicosia
70% 🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb
70% 🇦🇿 Sabah FK
65% 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia
53% 🇱🇹 Kauno Zalgiris
51% 🇮🇱 Hapoel Beer-Sheva
49% 🇮🇸 Vikingur Reykjavik
47% 🇫🇴 KI Klaksvik
35% 🇷🇴 Universitatea Craiova
30% 🇨🇭 FC Thun
30% 🇫🇮 KuPS Kuopio
20% 🇰🇿 Kairat Almaty
18% 🇮🇪 Shamrock Rovers
17% 🇦🇱 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3% 🇩🇰 AGF Aarhus
2% 🇬🇪 Iberia 1999
1% 🇬🇮 Lincoln Red Imps
~0% Larne FC

🔵 UCL Q3 qualification probabilities (League Path)

98% 🇦🇹 Sturm Graz
83% 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe
17% 🇵🇱 Górnik Zabrze
2% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Hearts FC

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

When 🇦🇿 Neftçi were 2-0 up after only 8 mins of play, it seemed that Azerbaijan 🇦🇿 is surely on course to continue their 100% win series.

But 🇧🇾 Dinamo Minsk made an incredible turnaround and are travelling home from Baku with a 2-4 lead, and 85% chance of making Q3!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

What a way to start the Thursday European marathon...

🇽🇰 Malisheva shocks 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Hibernian in Pristina and will travel to Scotland with a 2-goal lead!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

💥 We have now added another feature in the 🕹️ Simulator.

❓What does each club need to be seeded in PO draw?

The image shows it on the example of 🇪🇸 Getafe and their chances to become seeded in 🟢 UECL PO draw.

If all Q2 matchups end as expected, they'd be 5 spots below the seeding line.

The list shows the matchups that affect 🇪🇸 Getafe's seeding position and denotes with a ✅ the outcome that would improve Getafe's position.

Default selection are outcomes that are expected to happen.

So you can interactively click on various outcomes of Q2 ties, create hypothetical upsets and see how it affects your club!

Overall 🇪🇸 Getafe's chances to be seeded are currently at 18% (as of 23 Jul, 16:30 CET).

This updates in real time as matches are played, so it will be fun to follow tonight and next week!

👉 All seeding details and everything about UEFA club qualifiers available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Projected seedings in 🟠 UEL PO, after 1st legs of Q2.

The seeding line did not move, but we do have some new entries on the seeded side:

🇭🇺 Ferencvaros and 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split now projected to be seeded instead of 🇳🇱 Twente and 🇨🇾 Pafos.

👉 Full details on projected paths and seeding probabilities for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Projected seedings for 🟢 UECL PO draw, after 1st legs of Q2.

🇷🇴 FCSB
🇧🇬 Ludogorets
🇳🇱 Twente

...are all in trouble, which moved the projected seeding line 3 places down!

Still a lot can change in return legs, so the line can go further down or climb back up.

👉 In our 🕹️ Simulator you can find out exactly what each team needs to become seeded

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

To reach 🟠 UEL Q3 (after Q2 1st legs):

~100% 🇮🇱 Maccabi Tel-Aviv
~0% 🇲🇩 Sheriff Tiraspol

89% 🇬🇷 PAOK Thessaloniki
11% 🇺🇦 Dynamo Kyiv

76% 🇭🇺 Ferencváros
24% 🇳🇱 FC Twente

26% 🇨🇾 Pafos FC
74% 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split

71% 🇨🇿 Hradec Kralove
29% 🇳🇴 Tromsø IL

69% 🇵🇹 Benfica
31% 🇨🇭 FC Sankt Gallen

39% 🇧🇬 CSKA Sofia
61% 🇦🇿 Qarabag FK

60% 🇧🇪 Anderlecht
40% 🇸🇪 Hammarby IF

53% 🇩🇰 FC Midtjylland
47% 🇹🇷 Beşiktaş

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇪🇪 Estonia continues their climb and are now on 8th place in seasonal ranking!

With a 7-3-2 record, they already collected more pts than in any season since 2021/22.

🇦🇿 Azerbaijan seems to have lost their magic after 0-1-2 in last couple of nights.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇦🇹 AUT overtakes 🇷🇴 ROU on 20th

🇸🇰 SVK overtakes 🇧🇬 BUL on 28th

🇱🇮 LIE in Top 40

🇪🇪 EST climbs 2 spots to 48th

🇲🇪 MNE drops to 53rd

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Quite a few surprises this evening.

The projected seeding line in 🟢 UECL PO is going down!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Result of the evening. Amazing stuff by 🇨🇭 St Gallen!

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

FCSB 🇷🇴 continues with the shocks for their fans for the second summer in a row.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🔴 Live probabilities for most likely 🟢 UECL Q3 matchups.

🇫🇮 HJK v Motherwell 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 currently at the top.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

0-0-9

Last chance next week:

🇲🇪 Sutjeska v ML Vitebsk 🇧🇾 (0-3)

‌Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

All things you can follow LIVE with us if you're into UEFA club qualifiers explained here 👇

https://football-md.com/blog/live-uefa-qualifiers-coefficients-real-time