Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

[📈 Projected seedings for 🟢 UECL PO draw]

After the Q3 draw on Monday we will replace the denotation "pair involving..." with actual team names from each drawn pair.

✅ = club secured participation in PO draw

PO draw is held before Q3 is played so the only matchups that can move the seeding threshold are those from Q2.

Seeding line can go up or down, depending on who wins in 🟢 UECL Q2, and who drops from 🟠 UEL Q2 into the UECL cascade.

In general (but not in 100% of cases):

▪️Big coefficient teams losing in 🔵 UCL Q2 (league path) or 🟠 UEL Q2 ➡️ seeding line goes up
▪️Big coefficient teams losing in 🟢 UECL Q2 ➡️ seeding line drops

🇷🇸 Partizan has a very good chance of being seeded, so does 🇨🇭 Lugano.

From 🇨🇾 AEK Larnaca and down chances significantly drop.

👉 Detailed seeding probabilities and projected paths for ALL TEAMS available in our Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏟️ Attendances | 🟠 UEL Q1 Leg 2 (16 Jul)

20,043 🇷🇴 U. Cluj v 🇺🇦 Dynamo Kyiv
13,901 🇭🇺 Ferencváros v 🇷🇸 Vojvodina
7,823 🇸🇰 Žilina v 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split
4,155 🇮🇪 Derry City v 🇧🇬 CSKA Sofia
2,000 🇸🇮 Aluminij v 🇲🇩 Sheriff Tiraspol
474 🇮🇸 Vestri v 🇦🇿 Qarabağ

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏟️ Top 15 attendances | Q1 Second Legs (14-16 Jul)

🟠 20,043 🇷🇴 U. Cluj v 🇺🇦 Dynamo Kyiv
🔵 17,325 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia v 🇧🇦 Borac
🟢 15,270 🇰🇿 Astana v 🇦🇱 Dinamo City
🔵 14,008 🇷🇴 Univ Craiova v 🇧🇾 ML Vitebsk
🟠 13,901 🇭🇺 Ferencváros v 🇷🇸 Vojvodina
🟢 7,900 🇰🇿 Yelimay v 🇦🇲 Alashkert
🟠 7,823 🇸🇰 Žilina v 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split
🔵 6,138 🇭🇺 ETO Győr v 🇮🇸 Víkingur
🔵 5,466 🇮🇪 S. Rovers v 🇲🇹 Floriana
🟢 5,067 🇱🇹 Žalgiris v 🇲🇪 Petrovac
🔵 4,801 🇱🇻 Riga v 🇦🇲 Ararat-Armenia
🔵 4,506 🇬🇪 Iberia 1999 v 🇪🇪 Flora
🟠 4,155 🇮🇪 Derry City v 🇧🇬 CSKA Sofia
🟢 4,009 🇫🇮 Ilves v 🇱🇺 Differdange 03
🟢 3,900 🇬🇪 Dinamo T. v 🇱🇺 Mondorf

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🟠 UEL League Phase 2026/27 - projected teams per country (18 July):

3️⃣ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇳🇱
2️⃣ 🇩🇪🇵🇹🇮🇹🇬🇷🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇹🇷🇪🇸🇫🇷🇨🇿🇩🇰🇧🇪🇦🇹
1️⃣ 🇦🇿🇵🇱🇸🇮🇨🇾🇮🇱🇸🇪

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

🚨 Updated in real time

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🟢 UECL League Phase 2026/27 - projected teams per country (18 July):

2️⃣ 🇩🇰🇭🇺🇧🇪🇬🇷🇵🇱🇳🇴

1️⃣ 🇮🇹🇵🇹🇳🇱🇩🇪🇫🇷🇸🇰🇦🇹🇨🇾🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇹🇷🇪🇸🇮🇪🇫🇮🇽🇰🇧🇦🇮🇸🇰🇿🇱🇻🇷🇴🇫🇴🇦🇲🇧🇬🇨🇭🇦🇿

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

🚨 Updated in real time

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

📈 Projected number of clubs in UEFA league stages 2026/27 per country (18 July):

9️⃣ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
8️⃣ 🇪🇸
7️⃣ 🇮🇹🇩🇪🇫🇷
6️⃣ 🇳🇱
5️⃣ 🇵🇹🇧🇪🇬🇷
4️⃣ 🇳🇴🇹🇷🇩🇰
3️⃣ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇨🇿🇦🇹🇵🇱
2️⃣ 🇨🇾🇦🇿🇭🇺
1️⃣ 🇺🇦🇭🇷🇷🇸🇸🇪🇸🇮🇮🇱🇨🇭🇷🇴🇸🇰🇧🇬🇮🇸🇮🇪🇦🇲🇧🇦🇽🇰🇰🇿🇫🇮🇱🇻🇫🇴
0️⃣ 🇦🇱🇦🇩🇧🇾🇪🇪🇬🇪🇬🇮🇱🇮🇱🇹☘️🇱🇺🇲🇹🇲🇩🇲🇪🇲🇰🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇸🇲

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

🚨 Updated daily in real time

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏟️ Seasonal Top 15 attendances | UEFA competitions

🟠 23,549 🇦🇿 Qarabağ v 🇮🇸 Vestri
🟠 22,352 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split v 🇸🇰 Žilina
🟠 20,043 🇷🇴 U. Cluj v 🇺🇦 Dynamo Kyiv
🔵 17,325 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia v 🇧🇦 Borac
🟢 15,270 🇰🇿 Astana v 🇦🇱 Dinamo City
🔵 14,356 🇰🇿 Kairat v 🇲🇪 Sutjeska
🔵 14,008 🇷🇴 Univ Craiova v 🇧🇾 ML Vitebsk
🟠 13,901 🇭🇺 Ferencváros v 🇷🇸 Vojvodina
🟠 12,713 🇧🇬 CSKA Sofia v 🇮🇪 Derry City
🟢 10,107 🇧🇦 Sarajevo v 🇫🇮 Inter Turku
🔵 10,102 🇧🇦 Borac v 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia
🔵 8,798 🇲🇩 Petrocub v 🇦🇱 Egnatia
🟢 7,900 🇰🇿 Yelimay v 🇦🇲 Alashkert
🟠 7,823 🇸🇰 Žilina v 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split
🔵 7,000 🇦🇿 Sabah v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 The New Saints

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

📈 13 teams with the highest chances to reach ANY league stage of UEFA competitions (🔵 UCL 🟠 UEL 🟢 UECL).

Of teams shown, only 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe are 🇵🇹 Benfica are NOT champions of their leagues.

🛡️ A double safety net makes it very unlikely that any champion of a Top 30 league that reached UCL Q2 will miss out on league stage football.

*teams that are already 100% qualified are not shown

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

🚨 Updated daily in real time

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

☠️ Teams with the highest risk of experiencing ❌❌❌ triple elimination and missing out on league stage football entirely:

52% 🇬🇮 Lincoln Red Imps
50% Larne
35% 🇦🇱 Egnatia
33% 🇬🇪 Iberia
30% 🇵🇱 Gornik Zabrze
27% 🇱🇹 Kauno Žalgiris
18% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Hearts
16% 🇫🇴 KI Klaksvik
...

📊 Chart shows the probability to reach the league stage, so the risk to miss out is = 100% - probability shown.

*The fact that someone has >50% chance of reaching league stages doesn't mean they will be enter our final league stage projections. Those projections look each round separately as a deterministic cascade 👉 assume Top 50% in each round to progress, and Bottom 50% to be eliminated.

🇵🇱 Gornik Zabrze is one example of that. They are currently an underdog in all of the rounds they could play, but overall have 70% that they'll pass at least one.

👉 Full details on projected paths and seedings for all 237 teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator

🚨 Updated daily in real time

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Following teams are already 100% they will be seeded in 🟠 UEL PO draw (happens before Q3 is played):

✅ 🇦🇹 Salzburg
✅ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Rangers
✅ 🇨🇿 Viktoria Plzen
100% 🇵🇱 Jagiellonia*

There are multiple teams that will be 100% seeded if they survive 🟠 UEL Q2 round:

🇵🇹 Benfica
🇦🇿 Qarabag
🇩🇰 Midtjylland
🇬🇷 PAOK
🇨🇾 Pafos
🇮🇱 Maccabi TA
🇧🇪 Anderlecht
🇭🇺 Ferencvaros
🇲🇩 Sheriff

*There is a theoretical scenario in which Jagiellonia could end up unseeded in UEL PO but it would require an extraordinary number of high coeff teams losing in UCL Q2 + Jaga drawing Ferencvaros/Twente + Twente winning. That series of scenarios happened exactly 0 times in tens of thousands sims we ran.

PO draw is before Q3 is played, so all teams that end up in 🟠 UEL Q3 (champions or main path) and 🔵 UCL Q3 (champions path only) will 100% participate in 🟠 UEL PO draw.

👉 Full details on seeding probabilities for all 237 teams available in our...

Перейти на оригинальный пост

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Who said 3rd place matches are boring?

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Harry Kane 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 could have won the Golden Boot had he started this match.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

It's a tradition that 3rd place matches on 🇺🇸 US soil are 4-0 at half time.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Absolute cinema of the game!

England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 earn their first podium finish since 1966. 🥉

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Mbappé 🇫🇷 with two goals and one assist jumps firmly to the top of the ⚽ Golden Boot rankings!

To win the Boot 🇦🇷 Messi now needs:

1️⃣ a hattrick in the final OR
2️⃣ two goals + one assist OR
3️⃣ two goals in less than 55 mins on the pitch

To win the Golden Boot :
96% 🇫🇷 Mbappé
4% 🇦🇷 Messi

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🇫🇷 Michael Olise ends the World Cup with a whopping seven assists, breaking 🇧🇷 Pele's World Cup record!

🇦🇷 Messi would need to get 3 assists in the final to overtake him.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Only 🇦🇷 v 🇪🇸 left to be played.

Winner of the final will get the 🏆 and appropriately the #1 place in official world ranking for July 2026.

💥 Live FIFA ranking (as of 19 July):

1️⃣ 🇦🇷 1970
2️⃣ 🇪🇸 1966
3️⃣ 🇫🇷 1949 🟰
4️⃣ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1923 (➕ 33.4)
5️⃣ 🇧🇷 1805
6️⃣ 🇲🇦 1804
7️⃣ 🇵🇹 1788
8️⃣ 🇧🇪 1778
9️⃣ 🇳🇱 1776
1⃣0⃣ 🇲🇽 1754
1⃣1⃣ 🇨🇴 1740
1⃣2⃣ 🇩🇪 1726
1⃣3⃣ 🇭🇷 1723
1⃣4⃣ 🇨🇭 1711
1⃣5⃣ 🇮🇹 1705

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Position map of Olise's 20 shots at this World Cup from Fotmob.

Remarkable how none of them finished in the net.

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

🏁 EURO 2028 qualifying pots will be determined by positions in UEFA Nations League 2026.

🌍 Projected pots:

Pot 1: 🇪🇸🇫🇷🇳🇱🇵🇹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇳🇴🇩🇪🇧🇪🇩🇰🇭🇷🇮🇹🇬🇷
Pot 2: 🇷🇸🇹🇷🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇨🇿🇨🇭🇦🇹🇺🇦🇸🇪🇵🇱🇭🇺🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇽🇰
Pot 3: 🇮🇪🇷🇴🇬🇪🇸🇮🇧🇦🇮🇱☘️🇲🇰🇸🇰🇦🇱🇮🇸🇲🇪
Pot 4: 🇫🇮🇧🇾🇦🇲🇧🇬🇰🇿🇱🇺🇨🇾🇫🇴🇱🇻🇪🇪🇲🇩🇸🇲
Pot 5: 🇦🇿🇲🇹🇱🇹🇦🇩🇬🇮🇱🇮 (Pot 5 locked 🔒)

✅ 12 group winners and 8 best runners-up qualify directly.

⏳ Remaining 4 runners-up and 4-9 UNL group winners that finished outside Top 2 in qualifying will go to Playoffs.

🏟️ Hosts 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇮🇪 WILL participate in qualifiers, two automatic spots are reserved for them in case they don't qualify directly.

How many automatic spots they use will determine the number of UNL teams that enter the Playoffs.

👉 Full analysis of seeding probabilities for EURO 2028 in our 🕹️ Simulator

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

xG after 64 mins:

🇪🇸 0.34
🇦🇷 0.00

Football Meets Data (Twitter/X)

Argentina 🇦🇷 had 0 shots in 90+ minutes of regulation time in the World Cup final.