🇮🇳❌🇵🇰 — Hours ago, local media reported heavy exchange of fire as Pakistan Army and Indian Army clash at Leepa Valley, in disputed Jammu and Kashmir.

🇮🇳🇵🇰 1JZ on X: After looking into it a bit more, I think India must have insane levels of corruption in their military. India spends 10x as much as Pakistan on military but advantage in air is only 3:2, and India is actually inferior to Pakistan in artillery by 1:2.

In a PK defense scenario where SAMs contribute to defense, PK/IN are roughly equal in air, and PK outguns India significantly in SPG. Without ability to suppress artillery with CAS, attacker will get massacred.

India's artillery procurement has been a disaster, a ground offensive is infeasible.

India's greatest area of advantage over Pakistan is infantry manpower. It would be insane to attack using infantry numerical superiority against Pakistan's artillery superiority. This is not a politically realistic option.

Russia has a 10:1 advantage in artillery over Ukraine, attacking over flat terrain, and it is still a major slog. For India to attack with a 1:2 disadvantage in artillery, in mountainous terrain, would be insanity.

My conclusion is a major Indian offensive is infeasible. Even a major air campaign would be insanely expensive. Most likely outcome is a symbolic strike like 2019 where both sides claim victory until next time.

https://x.com/JZ281C/status/1916025727285109164

🇺🇸🇾🇪 The Houthis have successfully shot down at least seven multi-million-dollar American drones over last 6 weeks, hindering the US’ ability to move into “phase two” of the operation against the group, per multiple officials.

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/04/25/politics/houthis-target-drones-hampering-trump-mission/index.html