Upcoming Economic Data (27 APR - 01 MAY).pdf
1.3 MB
High Impact Economic Week 🚨
FOMC, BoE, ECB & major data releases, markets set for big moves.
FOMC, BoE, ECB & major data releases, markets set for big moves.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
❤1
GLOBAL CUES 🌎
* US–Iran talks remain stalled → no breakthrough yet
* Strait of Hormuz tensions continue → key global oil risk point
* Iran warns it may restrict passage if US blockade continues
* Israeli strikes in Lebanon ongoing → ceasefire fragile
* Regional tensions increasing → risk of conflict escalation
* Trump evacuated after shots fired near event → security concerns
* Political instability adding to market uncertainty
* Protests rising in Israel as peace talks stall
* Iran war causing major global energy shock → supply disruption
* US–Iran talks remain stalled → no breakthrough yet
* Strait of Hormuz tensions continue → key global oil risk point
* Iran warns it may restrict passage if US blockade continues
* Israeli strikes in Lebanon ongoing → ceasefire fragile
* Regional tensions increasing → risk of conflict escalation
* Trump evacuated after shots fired near event → security concerns
* Political instability adding to market uncertainty
* Protests rising in Israel as peace talks stall
* Iran war causing major global energy shock → supply disruption
📊 AUDCAD – 1H Analysis
🔍 Market Structure
* Market remains range-bound
* No clear trend → sideways consolidation
* Price respecting key horizontal zones
📌 Key Levels
* Resistance: 0.9795 – 0.9800
* Current Price: ~0.9784
* Support: 0.9730 – 0.9735
* Range Low: 0.9700
📉 Current Price Behavior
* Multiple rejections from 0.9800 zone
* Weak bullish follow-through → buyers losing strength
* Price hovering near resistance → indecision
🔍 Market Structure
* Market remains range-bound
* No clear trend → sideways consolidation
* Price respecting key horizontal zones
📌 Key Levels
* Resistance: 0.9795 – 0.9800
* Current Price: ~0.9784
* Support: 0.9730 – 0.9735
* Range Low: 0.9700
📉 Current Price Behavior
* Multiple rejections from 0.9800 zone
* Weak bullish follow-through → buyers losing strength
* Price hovering near resistance → indecision
Gold stayed below $4,600 on Wednesday after falling nearly 2% on Tuesday, hitting its lowest level in a month.
The main reason is growing concern about inflation. Peace talks between the US and Iran have slowed down, and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. This is a major oil shipping route, and its closure has disrupted around 20% of global oil supplies. As a result, oil prices have surged, increasing inflation fears worldwide.
US President Donald Trump said Iran wants the US to remove its naval blockade while talks continue. However, until an agreement is reached, uncertainty remains high.
Higher inflation could force central banks to keep interest rates elevated for longer, or even raise them further. This is negative for gold because gold does not pay interest, making it less attractive compared to other investments when rates are high.
Earlier this week, the Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged. Investors are now closely watching upcoming policy decisions from the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, and Bank of Canada later this week. wants the US to remove its naval blockade while talks continue. However, until an agreement is reached, uncertainty remains high.
The main reason is growing concern about inflation. Peace talks between the US and Iran have slowed down, and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. This is a major oil shipping route, and its closure has disrupted around 20% of global oil supplies. As a result, oil prices have surged, increasing inflation fears worldwide.
US President Donald Trump said Iran wants the US to remove its naval blockade while talks continue. However, until an agreement is reached, uncertainty remains high.
Higher inflation could force central banks to keep interest rates elevated for longer, or even raise them further. This is negative for gold because gold does not pay interest, making it less attractive compared to other investments when rates are high.
Earlier this week, the Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged. Investors are now closely watching upcoming policy decisions from the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, and Bank of Canada later this week. wants the US to remove its naval blockade while talks continue. However, until an agreement is reached, uncertainty remains high.
🌍 GLOBAL CUES
* Israel–Hezbollah tensions rising again despite ceasefire
* Drone attacks & airstrikes continue → conflict still active
* US–Iran talks remain stalled → no clear breakthrough
* Iran proposes Hormuz reopening in exchange for sanctions relief
* Strait of Hormuz crisis continues → major oil supply risk
* Israeli strikes expanding into Lebanon → escalation risk increasing
* UAE plans to exit OPEC → potential shift in oil market dynamics
* Israel–Hezbollah tensions rising again despite ceasefire
* Drone attacks & airstrikes continue → conflict still active
* US–Iran talks remain stalled → no clear breakthrough
* Iran proposes Hormuz reopening in exchange for sanctions relief
* Strait of Hormuz crisis continues → major oil supply risk
* Israeli strikes expanding into Lebanon → escalation risk increasing
* UAE plans to exit OPEC → potential shift in oil market dynamics
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🌍 GLOBAL CUES
* US–Iran conflict still ongoing → no resolution in talks
* Trump urges Iran to “give up” while Iran rejects pressure
* Strait of Hormuz crisis continues → major global oil supply disruption
* Shipping activity extremely low → trade impact rising
* Oil prices surging due to prolonged blockade & supply fears
* Energy markets highly sensitive to war developments
* Iran may face oil storage crisis → possible production cuts
* Blockade limiting exports significantly
* Israel–Lebanon tensions ongoing despite ceasefire
* Regional conflict risk still elevated
* War timeline extending → concerns over long-term conflict
* Political pressure rising in US over strategy
* US–Iran conflict still ongoing → no resolution in talks
* Trump urges Iran to “give up” while Iran rejects pressure
* Strait of Hormuz crisis continues → major global oil supply disruption
* Shipping activity extremely low → trade impact rising
* Oil prices surging due to prolonged blockade & supply fears
* Energy markets highly sensitive to war developments
* Iran may face oil storage crisis → possible production cuts
* Blockade limiting exports significantly
* Israel–Lebanon tensions ongoing despite ceasefire
* Regional conflict risk still elevated
* War timeline extending → concerns over long-term conflict
* Political pressure rising in US over strategy
📊 USDJPY – NEWS BREAKDOWN
* USDJPY tumbled sharply (~100+ pips in minutes and 500+ Pips in 4 hour) after intervention warning
* Move likely driven by:
* 🇯🇵 Japan officials signaling action
* Possible “rate check” / verbal intervention
* Yen surged strongly as markets feared actual BOJ intervention
* Pair dropped from ~160+ zone → sharp downside move
* Officials warned “decisive action is near” → triggered panic closing of shorts
* Market reaction:
* ⚡️ High volatility spike
* 💥 Short covering amplified the move
* 📉 USDJPY quickly reversed from highs
* USDJPY tumbled sharply (~100+ pips in minutes and 500+ Pips in 4 hour) after intervention warning
* Move likely driven by:
* 🇯🇵 Japan officials signaling action
* Possible “rate check” / verbal intervention
* Yen surged strongly as markets feared actual BOJ intervention
* Pair dropped from ~160+ zone → sharp downside move
* Officials warned “decisive action is near” → triggered panic closing of shorts
* Market reaction:
* ⚡️ High volatility spike
* 💥 Short covering amplified the move
* 📉 USDJPY quickly reversed from highs
Weekly Trading Report (27 APR - 01 MAY).pdf
20.3 MB
Markets remained highly volatile due to geopolitical factors, but we maintained consistency through disciplined execution and proper risk management.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🌍 GLOBAL CUES
* US launching naval mission to escort ships in Hormuz
* Iran warns move could violate ceasefire
* Strait of Hormuz remains effectively blocked
* Major disruption to global oil & shipping
* Oil prices holding strong despite US action
* Markets still nervous → no real relief
* OPEC+ announces minor production increase
* Move seen as symbolic amid supply crisis
* US pushing to free stranded ships using force if needed
* No breakthrough in war → conflict continues
* Oil prices remain elevated due to uncertainty
* US launching naval mission to escort ships in Hormuz
* Iran warns move could violate ceasefire
* Strait of Hormuz remains effectively blocked
* Major disruption to global oil & shipping
* Oil prices holding strong despite US action
* Markets still nervous → no real relief
* OPEC+ announces minor production increase
* Move seen as symbolic amid supply crisis
* US pushing to free stranded ships using force if needed
* No breakthrough in war → conflict continues
* Oil prices remain elevated due to uncertainty
📊 GBPUSD – 1H Analysis
🔍 Market Structure
* Strong bullish move → now consolidating
* Structure still bullish (higher low intact)
* Currently in pullback / sideways phase
📌 Key Levels
* Resistance: 1.3620 – 1.3640
* Current Price: ~1.3589
* Support: 1.3580
* Major Support: 1.3540
📉 Current Price Behavior
* Rejection from 1.3640 highs
* Price holding above 1.3580 support
* Consolidation → possible continuation setup
🔍 Market Structure
* Strong bullish move → now consolidating
* Structure still bullish (higher low intact)
* Currently in pullback / sideways phase
📌 Key Levels
* Resistance: 1.3620 – 1.3640
* Current Price: ~1.3589
* Support: 1.3580
* Major Support: 1.3540
📉 Current Price Behavior
* Rejection from 1.3640 highs
* Price holding above 1.3580 support
* Consolidation → possible continuation setup
📊 USDJPY – 1H Analysis
🔍 Market Structure
* Sharp bearish reversal after intervention-style drop
* Structure shifted → bearish (LH forming)
* Now in range / consolidation after dump
📌 Key Levels
* Resistance: 157.20 – 157.70
* Current Price: ~156.80
* Support: 156.20
* Major Support: 155.70
📉 Current Price Behavior
* Massive impulsive sell-off → policy-driven move
* Price stabilizing in 156–157 range
* Weak recovery → buyers not strong yet
🔍 Market Structure
* Sharp bearish reversal after intervention-style drop
* Structure shifted → bearish (LH forming)
* Now in range / consolidation after dump
📌 Key Levels
* Resistance: 157.20 – 157.70
* Current Price: ~156.80
* Support: 156.20
* Major Support: 155.70
📉 Current Price Behavior
* Massive impulsive sell-off → policy-driven move
* Price stabilizing in 156–157 range
* Weak recovery → buyers not strong yet
❤1
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
📊 GLOBAL CUES
* USD strength supported by risk-off sentiment (US–Iran tensions)
* Yen volatility remains high → intervention still dominating USDJPY
* Japan continues warnings against FX speculation → intervention risk active
* Traders cautious → expecting sudden moves in JPY pairs
* Oil prices rising → impacting CAD, emerging currencies
* Commodity currencies under pressure due to global uncertainty
* GBP & EUR showing mixed moves → reacting to USD strength + macro data
* Upcoming economic events remain key driver
* USD strength supported by risk-off sentiment (US–Iran tensions)
* Yen volatility remains high → intervention still dominating USDJPY
* Japan continues warnings against FX speculation → intervention risk active
* Traders cautious → expecting sudden moves in JPY pairs
* Oil prices rising → impacting CAD, emerging currencies
* Commodity currencies under pressure due to global uncertainty
* GBP & EUR showing mixed moves → reacting to USD strength + macro data
* Upcoming economic events remain key driver