๐ GLOBAL CUES
๐ฅ Geopolitics & War
๐บ๐ธ US launches naval blockade on Iran (Strait of Hormuz) โ major escalation
Peace talks collapsed โ tensions at extreme levels
๐ฎ๐ฑ IsraelโLebanon conflict intensifies with heavy casualties
Global leaders pushing for diplomacy, but situation remains fragile
๐ข Oil & Energy Crisis
Oil surges above $100/barrel amid supply disruption fears
Strait of Hormuz blockage threatens ~20% global oil supply
Energy prices rising globally โ inflation risk increasing
๐ Global Markets Reaction
Equities under pressure (US & Europe markets fall)
Risk-off sentiment dominates โ volatility spikes
IMF warns of long-term economic damage from conflict
๐บ๐ธ Economic & Political
Rising inflation concerns due to oil shock
US political tensions increase over war decisions
Senate pushing to limit presidential war powers
๐ Global Economy Impact
Higher fuel + mortgage costs hitting households globally
UK & Europe facing cost-of-living pressure again
Governments considering emergency support measures
๐ฅ Geopolitics & War
๐บ๐ธ US launches naval blockade on Iran (Strait of Hormuz) โ major escalation
Peace talks collapsed โ tensions at extreme levels
๐ฎ๐ฑ IsraelโLebanon conflict intensifies with heavy casualties
Global leaders pushing for diplomacy, but situation remains fragile
๐ข Oil & Energy Crisis
Oil surges above $100/barrel amid supply disruption fears
Strait of Hormuz blockage threatens ~20% global oil supply
Energy prices rising globally โ inflation risk increasing
๐ Global Markets Reaction
Equities under pressure (US & Europe markets fall)
Risk-off sentiment dominates โ volatility spikes
IMF warns of long-term economic damage from conflict
๐บ๐ธ Economic & Political
Rising inflation concerns due to oil shock
US political tensions increase over war decisions
Senate pushing to limit presidential war powers
๐ Global Economy Impact
Higher fuel + mortgage costs hitting households globally
UK & Europe facing cost-of-living pressure again
Governments considering emergency support measures
FGC Daily Newsletter - 14 APR.pdf
1.2 MB
๐ Daily News Letter - 14 APR
๐ GLOBAL CUES
๐ฅ Geopolitics & War
* ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท Iran conflict escalating โ global leaders urging de-escalation
* Strait of Hormuz tensions disrupting global trade & oil flow
* ๐ฎ๐ฑ Lebanon strikes caused hundreds of casualties, situation remains critical
* Ceasefire talks ongoing but uncertainty remains high
๐ข Oil & Inflation Shock
* Energy crisis building โ major inflation risk globally
* Supply chain disruptions increasing
๐ Global Economy
* IMF warns of slower growth + rising inflation (stagflation risk)
* UK growth forecast sharply cut due to war impact
* Global economies facing economic instability
๐บ๐ธ๐ฌ๐ง Political Developments
* Rising criticism of war decisions โ political tensions increasing
* Governments debating defence spending & economic response
๐ฅ Geopolitics & War
* ๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ท Iran conflict escalating โ global leaders urging de-escalation
* Strait of Hormuz tensions disrupting global trade & oil flow
* ๐ฎ๐ฑ Lebanon strikes caused hundreds of casualties, situation remains critical
* Ceasefire talks ongoing but uncertainty remains high
๐ข Oil & Inflation Shock
* Energy crisis building โ major inflation risk globally
* Supply chain disruptions increasing
๐ Global Economy
* IMF warns of slower growth + rising inflation (stagflation risk)
* UK growth forecast sharply cut due to war impact
* Global economies facing economic instability
๐บ๐ธ๐ฌ๐ง Political Developments
* Rising criticism of war decisions โ political tensions increasing
* Governments debating defence spending & economic response
FGC Daily News Letter - 15 APR.pdf
1.2 MB
๐ Daily News Letter - 15 APR
๐ USDJPY โ 4H Analysis
๐ Market Structure
* Clear range-bound market on 4H
* Price respecting horizontal supply & demand zones
* Recent move shows rejection from 159.70โ160.00 supply
๐ Key Levels
* Major Supply: 159.70 โ 160.00
* Mid Resistance: 159.30 โ 159.50
* Current Price: ~158.85
* Support: 158.00 โ 158.10
* Major Demand: 157.70
๐ Current Price Behavior
* Strong rejection from top โ bearish momentum
* Forming lower highs on lower timeframe
* Price back inside range โ mean reversion move likely
๐ Market Structure
* Clear range-bound market on 4H
* Price respecting horizontal supply & demand zones
* Recent move shows rejection from 159.70โ160.00 supply
๐ Key Levels
* Major Supply: 159.70 โ 160.00
* Mid Resistance: 159.30 โ 159.50
* Current Price: ~158.85
* Support: 158.00 โ 158.10
* Major Demand: 157.70
๐ Current Price Behavior
* Strong rejection from top โ bearish momentum
* Forming lower highs on lower timeframe
* Price back inside range โ mean reversion move likely
๐ *GLOBAL CUES*
๐ฅ *Geopolitics & Macro*
โข Ongoing Iran conflict continues to impact global economy
โข IMF warns of slower growth + rising inflation risks
โข Energy supply disruptions keeping markets on edge ๏ฟผ
๐ข๏ธ *Economy & Inflation*
โข Global economies facing oil-driven inflation pressure
โข Risk of stagflation scenario if conflict persists
โข Energy-importing countries under stress
๐ฌ๐ง *UK / Media Sector*
โข BBC announces ~2000 job cuts (~10% workforce)
โข Reason: rising costs, weak revenues, global economic pressure ๏ฟผ
โข Reflects broader economic slowdown + restructuring trend
๐ฅ *Geopolitics & Macro*
โข Ongoing Iran conflict continues to impact global economy
โข IMF warns of slower growth + rising inflation risks
โข Energy supply disruptions keeping markets on edge ๏ฟผ
๐ข๏ธ *Economy & Inflation*
โข Global economies facing oil-driven inflation pressure
โข Risk of stagflation scenario if conflict persists
โข Energy-importing countries under stress
๐ฌ๐ง *UK / Media Sector*
โข BBC announces ~2000 job cuts (~10% workforce)
โข Reason: rising costs, weak revenues, global economic pressure ๏ฟผ
โข Reflects broader economic slowdown + restructuring trend
FGC Daily News Letter - 16 APR.pdf
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๐ EURUSD โ 1H Analysis
๐ Market Structure
* Strong bullish impulsive move from 1.1680 zone
* Currently forming higher highs & higher lows
* Short-term pullback after hitting resistance
๐ Key Levels
* Resistance: 1.1820 โ 1.1840 (supply zone)
* Current Price: ~1.1802
* Support: 1.1785 โ 1.1790 (recent demand)
* Major Support: 1.1765
๐ Current Price Behavior
* Rejection from 1.1820 resistance
* Minor pullback โ looks like healthy retracement
* No structure break yet โ bullish bias intact
๐ Market Structure
* Strong bullish impulsive move from 1.1680 zone
* Currently forming higher highs & higher lows
* Short-term pullback after hitting resistance
๐ Key Levels
* Resistance: 1.1820 โ 1.1840 (supply zone)
* Current Price: ~1.1802
* Support: 1.1785 โ 1.1790 (recent demand)
* Major Support: 1.1765
๐ Current Price Behavior
* Rejection from 1.1820 resistance
* Minor pullback โ looks like healthy retracement
* No structure break yet โ bullish bias intact
*๐ GLOBAL CUES*
๐ฅ *Geopolitics & War*
โข ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ง IsraelโLebanon ceasefire announced, but violations reported โ situation still fragile ๏ฟผ
โข Middle East tensions remain key driver for global markets
โข Uncertainty persists despite temporary de-escalation
๐ข๏ธ* Oil & Market Sentiment*
โข Oil volatility continues amid conflict uncertainty
โข Ceasefire news gave temporary relief to markets (risk-on reaction) ๏ฟผ
โข However, supply risks still present โ upside pressure remains
*๐ฆ Central Banks & Economy*
โข Bank of England signals no rush on rate decisions due to uncertainty ๏ฟผ
โข Energy shock making inflation outlook unclear
โข IMF warns global economy at risk if crisis continues
*๐ฌ๐ง UK / Corporate*
โข BBC to cut ~2000 jobs (~10% workforce) amid financial pressure ๏ฟผ
โข Concerns rising over job security and economic slowdown ๏ฟผ
๐ฅ *Geopolitics & War*
โข ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ง IsraelโLebanon ceasefire announced, but violations reported โ situation still fragile ๏ฟผ
โข Middle East tensions remain key driver for global markets
โข Uncertainty persists despite temporary de-escalation
๐ข๏ธ* Oil & Market Sentiment*
โข Oil volatility continues amid conflict uncertainty
โข Ceasefire news gave temporary relief to markets (risk-on reaction) ๏ฟผ
โข However, supply risks still present โ upside pressure remains
*๐ฆ Central Banks & Economy*
โข Bank of England signals no rush on rate decisions due to uncertainty ๏ฟผ
โข Energy shock making inflation outlook unclear
โข IMF warns global economy at risk if crisis continues
*๐ฌ๐ง UK / Corporate*
โข BBC to cut ~2000 jobs (~10% workforce) amid financial pressure ๏ฟผ
โข Concerns rising over job security and economic slowdown ๏ฟผ
FGC Daily Newsletter - 17 APR.pdf.pdf
479.5 KB
*๐ Daily News Letter - 17 APR*
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๐ GLOBAL CUES
๐ฅ Geopolitics & Risk Sentiment
* Markets remain headline-driven (USโIran situation)
* Risk sentiment shifting between risk-on โ๏ธ risk-off
* USD supported as safe haven during uncertainty
๐ต US Dollar (DXY)
* Dollar remains firm, not aggressively bullish but supported
* Backed by:
* Geopolitical uncertainty
* Inflation risks
* Market still expects limited Fed easing โ USD support continues
๐ฅ Geopolitics & Risk Sentiment
* Markets remain headline-driven (USโIran situation)
* Risk sentiment shifting between risk-on โ๏ธ risk-off
* USD supported as safe haven during uncertainty
๐ต US Dollar (DXY)
* Dollar remains firm, not aggressively bullish but supported
* Backed by:
* Geopolitical uncertainty
* Inflation risks
* Market still expects limited Fed easing โ USD support continues
FGC Daily News Letter - 21 APR.pdf
1.2 MB
๐ Daily News Letter - 21 APR
๐ฑ USDJPY (1H)
๐ Structure
* Market still range-bound
* Repeated reactions from 158.80 zone (mid-range support)
* No clear trend โ choppy price action
๐ Key Levels
* Resistance: 159.30 โ 159.50
* Range High: 159.90
* Support: 158.80
* Range Low: 157.70
๐ Behavior
* Liquidity sweep below โ strong rejection
* Price back inside range โ mean reversion active
๐ Structure
* Market still range-bound
* Repeated reactions from 158.80 zone (mid-range support)
* No clear trend โ choppy price action
๐ Key Levels
* Resistance: 159.30 โ 159.50
* Range High: 159.90
* Support: 158.80
* Range Low: 157.70
๐ Behavior
* Liquidity sweep below โ strong rejection
* Price back inside range โ mean reversion active
๐ถ EURUSD (1H)
๐ Structure
* Market shifted to sideways / consolidation
* After strong move โ now ranging between zones
๐ Key Levels
* Resistance: 1.1790 โ 1.1800
* Major Resistance: 1.1835
* Support: 1.1765
* Lower Support: 1.1745
๐ Behavior
* Rejection from 1.1835 supply
* Currently stuck in mid-range (1.1775โ1.1790)
๐ Structure
* Market shifted to sideways / consolidation
* After strong move โ now ranging between zones
๐ Key Levels
* Resistance: 1.1790 โ 1.1800
* Major Resistance: 1.1835
* Support: 1.1765
* Lower Support: 1.1745
๐ Behavior
* Rejection from 1.1835 supply
* Currently stuck in mid-range (1.1775โ1.1790)
๐ Markets Await USโIran Talks & Warsh Testimony
* Markets in wait & watch mode ahead of USโIran talks
* Ceasefire uncertainty keeping volatility elevated
* Any breakdown in talks โ risk-off trigger
* US Dollar supported as safe haven amid uncertainty
* Oil slightly softer but still sensitive to headlines
* Global markets showing mixed sentiment
* Focus on Kevin Warsh testimony (Fed Chair nominee)
* His stance on:
Interest rates
Fed independence
* Could shift rate expectations & USD direction
* Tech/AI optimism supporting equities despite risks
* Markets in wait & watch mode ahead of USโIran talks
* Ceasefire uncertainty keeping volatility elevated
* Any breakdown in talks โ risk-off trigger
* US Dollar supported as safe haven amid uncertainty
* Oil slightly softer but still sensitive to headlines
* Global markets showing mixed sentiment
* Focus on Kevin Warsh testimony (Fed Chair nominee)
* His stance on:
Interest rates
Fed independence
* Could shift rate expectations & USD direction
* Tech/AI optimism supporting equities despite risks
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๐ GLOBAL CUES
๐ฅ Geopolitics & Sentiment
* Markets remain headline-driven (USโIran talks uncertainty)
* Risk sentiment fluctuating โ no clear trend
* Traders waiting for confirmed outcome before positioning
๐ต US Dollar (DXY)
* Dollar remains supported but not aggressive
* Backed by:
* Geopolitical uncertainty
* Inflation concerns (oil impact)
* Market still pricing delayed Fed easing โ USD strength bias
๐ฑ MAJOR FX MOVES (Short)
* ๐ต USD: Supported (safe haven demand)
* ๐ถ EURUSD: Weak โ downside pressure
* ๐ท GBPUSD: Range / slight bearish
* ๐ด USDJPY: Strong โ buyers on dips
* ๐ก Gold: Weak short-term
๐ฅ Geopolitics & Sentiment
* Markets remain headline-driven (USโIran talks uncertainty)
* Risk sentiment fluctuating โ no clear trend
* Traders waiting for confirmed outcome before positioning
๐ต US Dollar (DXY)
* Dollar remains supported but not aggressive
* Backed by:
* Geopolitical uncertainty
* Inflation concerns (oil impact)
* Market still pricing delayed Fed easing โ USD strength bias
๐ฑ MAJOR FX MOVES (Short)
* ๐ต USD: Supported (safe haven demand)
* ๐ถ EURUSD: Weak โ downside pressure
* ๐ท GBPUSD: Range / slight bearish
* ๐ด USDJPY: Strong โ buyers on dips
* ๐ก Gold: Weak short-term
FGC Daily News Letter - 22 APR.pdf
1.2 MB
๐ Daily News Letter - 21 APR
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๐ GLOBAL CUES
๐ฅ Geopolitics
* Markets remain cautious on USโIran tensions
* Headlines driving short-term volatility
๐ต USD
* Dollar supported by uncertainty
* Limited downside as Fed likely to stay cautious
๐ฑ Major FX
* ๐ถ EURUSD: Weak โ slipping toward 1.1700
* ๐ท GBPUSD: Range near 1.35 (no clear direction)
* ๐ด USDJPY: Stable โ reacting to data & risk mood
๐ก Gold
* Trading lower near $4700โ4750
* Pressure from strong USD + cautious sentiment
๐ฅ Geopolitics
* Markets remain cautious on USโIran tensions
* Headlines driving short-term volatility
๐ต USD
* Dollar supported by uncertainty
* Limited downside as Fed likely to stay cautious
๐ฑ Major FX
* ๐ถ EURUSD: Weak โ slipping toward 1.1700
* ๐ท GBPUSD: Range near 1.35 (no clear direction)
* ๐ด USDJPY: Stable โ reacting to data & risk mood
๐ก Gold
* Trading lower near $4700โ4750
* Pressure from strong USD + cautious sentiment