🇺🇸 USD News Update (NFP Data)
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Actual: 0.2% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.4% ⬇️
Non-Farm Employment Change
Actual: 178K | Forecast: 65K | Previous: -133K ⬆️
Unemployment Rate
Actual: 4.3% | Forecast: 4.4% | Previous: 4.4% ⬇️
📊 Market Impact:
Jobs data strong → USD Strong
Unemployment down → USD Strong
Wages slightly weak → Small USD negative
Overall → USD Positive News
📈 Expected Market Move:
USD → Bullish
Gold → Bearish
EURUSD → Bearish
GBPUSD → Bearish
US Indices → Volatile
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Actual: 0.2% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.4% ⬇️
Non-Farm Employment Change
Actual: 178K | Forecast: 65K | Previous: -133K ⬆️
Unemployment Rate
Actual: 4.3% | Forecast: 4.4% | Previous: 4.4% ⬇️
📊 Market Impact:
Jobs data strong → USD Strong
Unemployment down → USD Strong
Wages slightly weak → Small USD negative
Overall → USD Positive News
📈 Expected Market Move:
USD → Bullish
Gold → Bearish
EURUSD → Bearish
GBPUSD → Bearish
US Indices → Volatile
🌍 What Happened Overnight
* Oil prices surged above $110 due to ongoing Middle East war tensions.
* Global markets fell initially as war fears increased and inflation concerns rose.
* Major institutions warned the war could slow global growth and increase inflation.
* Supply chain disruptions expected due to energy supply issues.
* Some market recovery later as talks about Hormuz shipping route continued.
* Oil prices surged above $110 due to ongoing Middle East war tensions.
* Global markets fell initially as war fears increased and inflation concerns rose.
* Major institutions warned the war could slow global growth and increase inflation.
* Supply chain disruptions expected due to energy supply issues.
* Some market recovery later as talks about Hormuz shipping route continued.
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🌍 Global Cues – Overnight
* Dollar remained strong as investors are worried about the Iran war escalation.
* Oil prices surged above $110 due to supply disruption fears.
* Iran drone strikes hit oil infrastructure in Kuwait, UAE, and Bahrain.
* Concerns that the war could slow global economy and increase inflation.
* Markets are volatile as conflict may continue and affect oil supply routes.
* Dollar remained strong as investors are worried about the Iran war escalation.
* Oil prices surged above $110 due to supply disruption fears.
* Iran drone strikes hit oil infrastructure in Kuwait, UAE, and Bahrain.
* Concerns that the war could slow global economy and increase inflation.
* Markets are volatile as conflict may continue and affect oil supply routes.
📰 News Summary – Market Mood Improves
* Market sentiment improved due to ceasefire hopes between US and Iran.
* But at the same time, Trump warned Iran about serious consequences if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened.
* Because of this, markets are confused between ceasefire hopes and war risk.
* Gold found support near 4600 and stabilized.
* US Dollar remains strong due to geopolitical uncertainty and strong US data.
* Oil prices remain volatile due to supply concerns.
* Market sentiment improved due to ceasefire hopes between US and Iran.
* But at the same time, Trump warned Iran about serious consequences if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened.
* Because of this, markets are confused between ceasefire hopes and war risk.
* Gold found support near 4600 and stabilized.
* US Dollar remains strong due to geopolitical uncertainty and strong US data.
* Oil prices remain volatile due to supply concerns.
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🌍 MARKET CUES
GIFT Nifty signals a gap-down opening, trading ~200 pts lower
US futures slip as Iran tensions & Hormuz deadline approach
Trump calls ceasefire “significant” but not sufficient yet
US markets closed higher, all major indices ended in green
Gold & Silver ease amid volatile geopolitical developments
Crude Oil remains elevated near multi-year highs
Samsung shares jump ~5% on strong AI-driven earnings outlook
Global markets mixed; holiday impact in HK & Europe
GIFT Nifty signals a gap-down opening, trading ~200 pts lower
US futures slip as Iran tensions & Hormuz deadline approach
Trump calls ceasefire “significant” but not sufficient yet
US markets closed higher, all major indices ended in green
Gold & Silver ease amid volatile geopolitical developments
Crude Oil remains elevated near multi-year highs
Samsung shares jump ~5% on strong AI-driven earnings outlook
Global markets mixed; holiday impact in HK & Europe
📊 XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
Gold is currently consolidating after a sharp move down
Price is holding above 4620–4610 support zone
Short-term structure shows range-bound / accumulation phase
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: 4680 – 4730
Support: 4620 – 4610
📌 View:
If price breaks above 4680 → bullish continuation possible
If price fails & breaks 4620 → further downside expected
Gold is currently consolidating after a sharp move down
Price is holding above 4620–4610 support zone
Short-term structure shows range-bound / accumulation phase
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: 4680 – 4730
Support: 4620 – 4610
📌 View:
If price breaks above 4680 → bullish continuation possible
If price fails & breaks 4620 → further downside expected
💱 EURUSD – 1H Analysis
EURUSD showing weak recovery after strong bearish move
Currently reacting from 1.1530 support zone
Structure still bearish (lower highs)
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.1565 – 1.1580
Support: 1.1530 – 1.1500
📌 View:
Rejection from resistance → sell continuation
Break above 1.1580 → short-term bullish shift
EURUSD showing weak recovery after strong bearish move
Currently reacting from 1.1530 support zone
Structure still bearish (lower highs)
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.1565 – 1.1580
Support: 1.1530 – 1.1500
📌 View:
Rejection from resistance → sell continuation
Break above 1.1580 → short-term bullish shift
🌍 GLOBAL CUES (Overnight)
* Oil prices surge above $110 as US–Iran tensions escalate over Strait of Hormuz
* Markets remain volatile amid war fears and geopolitical uncertainty
* Global stocks under pressure as investors turn cautious
* IMF warns of higher inflation & slower global growth due to rising oil prices
* UK & global leaders discussing plans to reopen key oil shipping routes
* Energy crisis risk increases, impacting developing economies the most
* Oil prices surge above $110 as US–Iran tensions escalate over Strait of Hormuz
* Markets remain volatile amid war fears and geopolitical uncertainty
* Global stocks under pressure as investors turn cautious
* IMF warns of higher inflation & slower global growth due to rising oil prices
* UK & global leaders discussing plans to reopen key oil shipping routes
* Energy crisis risk increases, impacting developing economies the most
❤1
🚨 BREAKING: North Korea Missile Launch
* North Korea has fired another unidentified ballistic missile
* This is the second launch in the same day
* Earlier, multiple short-range missiles were already launched
* Missiles were fired towards the East Sea (Sea of Japan)
* Launch detected by South Korea & Japan authorities
* Military forces are on high alert and monitoring situation closely
* North Korea has fired another unidentified ballistic missile
* This is the second launch in the same day
* Earlier, multiple short-range missiles were already launched
* Missiles were fired towards the East Sea (Sea of Japan)
* Launch detected by South Korea & Japan authorities
* Military forces are on high alert and monitoring situation closely
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GLOBAL CUES
* Asian markets trade mostly lower despite positive Wall Street cues
* Geopolitical tensions resurface in Middle East, raising uncertainty
* Doubts over US–Iran ceasefire stability keep traders cautious
* Australian market slips in mid-session, dragged by tech & mining stocks
* Dollar remains volatile amid geopolitical headlines
* Gold holds firm due to risk-off sentiment
* Oil prices supported by supply concerns & geopolitical risks
* Asian markets trade mostly lower despite positive Wall Street cues
* Geopolitical tensions resurface in Middle East, raising uncertainty
* Doubts over US–Iran ceasefire stability keep traders cautious
* Australian market slips in mid-session, dragged by tech & mining stocks
* Dollar remains volatile amid geopolitical headlines
* Gold holds firm due to risk-off sentiment
* Oil prices supported by supply concerns & geopolitical risks
FGC Newsletter - 09 APR.pdf
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🌏 MARKET UPDATE
* GIFT Nifty indicates gap-up opening for Indian markets
* US futures remain steady amid West Asia war developments
* US markets close strong (↑ ~1%) across major indices
* Trump warns Iran over oil tanker charges via Strait of Hormuz
* UK PM Starmer criticizes geopolitical tensions impacting energy costs
* European markets close in red as US-Iran ceasefire tensions rise
* US 10-year yield holds near 4.30% on oil surge & sticky inflation
* GIFT Nifty indicates gap-up opening for Indian markets
* US futures remain steady amid West Asia war developments
* US markets close strong (↑ ~1%) across major indices
* Trump warns Iran over oil tanker charges via Strait of Hormuz
* UK PM Starmer criticizes geopolitical tensions impacting energy costs
* European markets close in red as US-Iran ceasefire tensions rise
* US 10-year yield holds near 4.30% on oil surge & sticky inflation
📊 XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
Gold is showing a bounce from 4745 demand zone
Price currently in a pullback / consolidation phase
Structure still weak unless strong breakout happens
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: 4800 – 4820
Support: 4745 – 4700
Strong Support: 4620
📌 View:
Break above 4800 → bullish continuation possible
Rejection → sell towards 4700 zone
Gold is showing a bounce from 4745 demand zone
Price currently in a pullback / consolidation phase
Structure still weak unless strong breakout happens
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: 4800 – 4820
Support: 4745 – 4700
Strong Support: 4620
📌 View:
Break above 4800 → bullish continuation possible
Rejection → sell towards 4700 zone