🌍 West Asia War Update
* Trump says US is in talks with a “new, more reasonable” regime in Iran.
* White House demands Strait of Hormuz to remain open immediately.
* Trump warned of major strikes on Iran’s power grid, oil wells, and Kharg Island if talks fail.
* US increasing pressure on Iran amid ongoing negotiations.
📊 Market Impact
* Oil → Bullish
* Gold → Bullish
* USD → Strong
* Equities → Bearish
* Volatility → High
* Trump says US is in talks with a “new, more reasonable” regime in Iran.
* White House demands Strait of Hormuz to remain open immediately.
* Trump warned of major strikes on Iran’s power grid, oil wells, and Kharg Island if talks fail.
* US increasing pressure on Iran amid ongoing negotiations.
📊 Market Impact
* Oil → Bullish
* Gold → Bullish
* USD → Strong
* Equities → Bearish
* Volatility → High
EURUSD – 1H Analysis
EURUSD is in a clear downtrend on the 1H timeframe, making lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently reacting after a small pullback.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.1485 – 1.1530
Support: 1.1415
Major Support: 1.1380
Plan :
As long as price stays below 1.1485, market remains bearish.
If price rejects from 1.1485, we can see continuation towards 1.1415 → 1.1380.
If price breaks above 1.1530, then short-term bullish move possible.
Bias: Bearish below 1.1485
EURUSD is in a clear downtrend on the 1H timeframe, making lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently reacting after a small pullback.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.1485 – 1.1530
Support: 1.1415
Major Support: 1.1380
Plan :
As long as price stays below 1.1485, market remains bearish.
If price rejects from 1.1485, we can see continuation towards 1.1415 → 1.1380.
If price breaks above 1.1530, then short-term bullish move possible.
Bias: Bearish below 1.1485
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
Gold is currently retracing after a strong bullish move, and price is near a resistance zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4600 – 4620
Current Price: 4550
Support: 4525
Major Support: 4480
Plan:
If gold rejects from 4600–4620, market can fall back to 4525 → 4480.
If gold breaks above 4620, then we may see strong bullish continuation.
Bias: Buy above 4620 | Sell below 4600 rejection
Gold is currently retracing after a strong bullish move, and price is near a resistance zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 4600 – 4620
Current Price: 4550
Support: 4525
Major Support: 4480
Plan:
If gold rejects from 4600–4620, market can fall back to 4525 → 4480.
If gold breaks above 4620, then we may see strong bullish continuation.
Bias: Buy above 4620 | Sell below 4600 rejection
🌍 Global Market Cues
* Microsoft posts worst quarter since 2008 on AI concerns.
* Nike shares fall 9% on weak outlook and China sales decline.
* European markets closed higher, all major indices in green.
* US 10-year yield steady as traders watch Iran war situation & Fed policy.
* Gold remains elevated but sees worst month since 2013.
* Oil prices fall but remain above $100.
* Asian markets rise as Trump says Iran war could end in weeks.
* US markets rally — Dow up 1,100 points (best day since May 2025).
* GIFT Nifty higher → Gap-up start for Indian market expected.
📊 Market Impact
Oil → Strong
Gold → Volatile
USD → Strong
Equities → Positive / Volatile
Sentiment → News Driven Market
* Microsoft posts worst quarter since 2008 on AI concerns.
* Nike shares fall 9% on weak outlook and China sales decline.
* European markets closed higher, all major indices in green.
* US 10-year yield steady as traders watch Iran war situation & Fed policy.
* Gold remains elevated but sees worst month since 2013.
* Oil prices fall but remain above $100.
* Asian markets rise as Trump says Iran war could end in weeks.
* US markets rally — Dow up 1,100 points (best day since May 2025).
* GIFT Nifty higher → Gap-up start for Indian market expected.
📊 Market Impact
Oil → Strong
Gold → Volatile
USD → Strong
Equities → Positive / Volatile
Sentiment → News Driven Market
💶 EURUSD
EURUSD bounced from the 1.1489 support zone and made a strong bullish move, and now trading near resistance.
* If EURUSD breaks 1.1580, next move towards 1.1620 – 1.1680.
* If price rejects from resistance, we may see a pullback towards 1.1540 → 1.1500.
Short-term trend is bullish, but currently at resistance zone.
EURUSD bounced from the 1.1489 support zone and made a strong bullish move, and now trading near resistance.
* If EURUSD breaks 1.1580, next move towards 1.1620 – 1.1680.
* If price rejects from resistance, we may see a pullback towards 1.1540 → 1.1500.
Short-term trend is bullish, but currently at resistance zone.
🥇 XAUUSD (Gold)
Gold is currently in a short-term uptrend on the 1H timeframe after taking support from the 4610–4620 zone. Price has now reached near the previous resistance area around 4700.
* If gold breaks and holds above 4700, we may see a move towards 4800.
* If gold fails to break 4700, then a pullback towards 4640 → 4610 is possible before the next move.
Overall bias is bullish while above 4610.
Gold is currently in a short-term uptrend on the 1H timeframe after taking support from the 4610–4620 zone. Price has now reached near the previous resistance area around 4700.
* If gold breaks and holds above 4700, we may see a move towards 4800.
* If gold fails to break 4700, then a pullback towards 4640 → 4610 is possible before the next move.
Overall bias is bullish while above 4610.
🥇 XAUUSD (Gold)
Gold moved up strongly and tapped the resistance zone near 4700–4720, and from there we saw a sharp rejection, indicating selling pressure at higher levels.
If gold stays below 4700, we may see a drop towards 4640 → 4610.
If gold breaks and holds above 4720, next move towards 4800.
For now, gold is reacting from resistance, so short-term pullback possible.
Gold moved up strongly and tapped the resistance zone near 4700–4720, and from there we saw a sharp rejection, indicating selling pressure at higher levels.
If gold stays below 4700, we may see a drop towards 4640 → 4610.
If gold breaks and holds above 4720, next move towards 4800.
For now, gold is reacting from resistance, so short-term pullback possible.
📊 US30 Analysis (1H)
US30 is currently trading in a range-bound market after a strong bullish move from the 45,000 demand zone. Price has now reached a major resistance area near 46,800, where the market is facing selling pressure.
Key Levels:
* Resistance: 46,800
* Mid Zone: 46,200
* Support: 45,600
* Major Support: 45,000
* Market Structure:
* Short-term trend: Bullish
* Currently at Resistance Zone
* Possible pullback before next move
Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If US30 fails to break 46,800, market may drop towards:
46,200
45,600
45,000
Bullish Scenario:
If US30 breaks and holds above 46,800, next targets:
47,200
47,500
📌 Summary (Short)
US30 is at major resistance (46,800).
Breakout → 47,200 / 47,500
Rejection → 46,200 / 45,600
US30 is currently trading in a range-bound market after a strong bullish move from the 45,000 demand zone. Price has now reached a major resistance area near 46,800, where the market is facing selling pressure.
Key Levels:
* Resistance: 46,800
* Mid Zone: 46,200
* Support: 45,600
* Major Support: 45,000
* Market Structure:
* Short-term trend: Bullish
* Currently at Resistance Zone
* Possible pullback before next move
Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If US30 fails to break 46,800, market may drop towards:
46,200
45,600
45,000
Bullish Scenario:
If US30 breaks and holds above 46,800, next targets:
47,200
47,500
📌 Summary (Short)
US30 is at major resistance (46,800).
Breakout → 47,200 / 47,500
Rejection → 46,200 / 45,600
🌍 Overnight Global News
* US continues military action against Iran; conflict may continue for 2–3 more weeks.
* Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, affecting global oil supply.
* Oil prices surge due to supply concerns and war tensions.
* Global markets volatile as investors move to safe-haven assets.
* Asian markets mixed; some markets fall due to energy crisis fears.
* Dollar remains supported due to risk-off sentiment.
* US continues military action against Iran; conflict may continue for 2–3 more weeks.
* Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, affecting global oil supply.
* Oil prices surge due to supply concerns and war tensions.
* Global markets volatile as investors move to safe-haven assets.
* Asian markets mixed; some markets fall due to energy crisis fears.
* Dollar remains supported due to risk-off sentiment.
🗞 USD News Update
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Actual: 0.3% | Forecast: 0.4%
→ Lower wage growth → Slightly negative for USD
Non-Farm Employment Change
Actual: 65K | Previous: -92K
→ Employment increased → Positive for USD
Unemployment Rate
Actual: 4.4% | Forecast: 4.4%
→ Unemployment unchanged → Neutral for USD
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Actual: 0.3% | Forecast: 0.4%
→ Lower wage growth → Slightly negative for USD
Non-Farm Employment Change
Actual: 65K | Previous: -92K
→ Employment increased → Positive for USD
Unemployment Rate
Actual: 4.4% | Forecast: 4.4%
→ Unemployment unchanged → Neutral for USD