π¨ NEWS UPDATE β USD
π Core PPI m/m
β’ Actual: 0.3%
β’ Previous: 0.8%
π US producer inflation cooled significantly, indicating easing price pressures at the wholesale level.
π¦ FOMC Statement
β’ Federal Reserve released its policy statement, closely watched for rate outlook and economic guidance.
β οΈ Market Impact
β’ Lower PPI may support risk assets.
β’ USD volatility expected as traders digest the Fed statement and policy tone.
π Watch closely:
Gold | EURUSD | US Indices
π Core PPI m/m
β’ Actual: 0.3%
β’ Previous: 0.8%
π US producer inflation cooled significantly, indicating easing price pressures at the wholesale level.
π¦ FOMC Statement
β’ Federal Reserve released its policy statement, closely watched for rate outlook and economic guidance.
β οΈ Market Impact
β’ Lower PPI may support risk assets.
β’ USD volatility expected as traders digest the Fed statement and policy tone.
π Watch closely:
Gold | EURUSD | US Indices
πTARGET SMASHED!
π° 30+ PIPS Captured in GBPUSD!
πTrade shared in our VIP Channel.
π° 30+ PIPS Captured in GBPUSD!
πTrade shared in our VIP Channel.
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π¨ GLOBAL MARKET CUES β RISK OFF
π India Outlook
β’ GIFT Nifty sharply lower (~500 pts discount)
β’ Indicates a gap-down opening for Indian markets
π US Markets
β’ Dow hits fresh 2026 low, breaks below 200 DMA
β’ US futures trading lower after sharp sell-off
β’ Fed keeps rates unchanged but flags uncertainty due to Iran war
π Fed Outlook
β’ Fed officials raise inflation projections
β’ Hawkish undertone β pressure on equities
π’ Commodities
β’ Crude oil surges ~4% to $112
β’ Spike driven by Iran attack on Qatar energy facility
π Global Markets
β’ European markets down up to 1%
β’ Broad-based weakness across sectors
β οΈ Key Themes
β’ Geopolitical risk escalating
β’ Inflation concerns rising
β’ Risk sentiment turning negative
π Market Mood: π΄ Risk-Off
π Focus Today: Gap-down open | Oil | Volatility
π India Outlook
β’ GIFT Nifty sharply lower (~500 pts discount)
β’ Indicates a gap-down opening for Indian markets
π US Markets
β’ Dow hits fresh 2026 low, breaks below 200 DMA
β’ US futures trading lower after sharp sell-off
β’ Fed keeps rates unchanged but flags uncertainty due to Iran war
π Fed Outlook
β’ Fed officials raise inflation projections
β’ Hawkish undertone β pressure on equities
π’ Commodities
β’ Crude oil surges ~4% to $112
β’ Spike driven by Iran attack on Qatar energy facility
π Global Markets
β’ European markets down up to 1%
β’ Broad-based weakness across sectors
β οΈ Key Themes
β’ Geopolitical risk escalating
β’ Inflation concerns rising
β’ Risk sentiment turning negative
π Market Mood: π΄ Risk-Off
π Focus Today: Gap-down open | Oil | Volatility
XAUUSD (Gold) β 1H
π Market Structure: Strong Bearish
β’ Clean sell-side expansion, strong momentum
β’ Continuous lower highs + lower lows
β’ Weak retracements β indicates seller dominance
π Key Levels
Resistance: 4859 β 4883
Supply Zone: 4910 β 4943
Support: 4825 β 4800
β‘οΈ Trade Idea
β’ Sell on pullbacks to 4850β4880
β’ Breakdown below 4825 β continuation toward 4800
π Bias: Bearish π΄
π Market Structure: Strong Bearish
β’ Clean sell-side expansion, strong momentum
β’ Continuous lower highs + lower lows
β’ Weak retracements β indicates seller dominance
π Key Levels
Resistance: 4859 β 4883
Supply Zone: 4910 β 4943
Support: 4825 β 4800
β‘οΈ Trade Idea
β’ Sell on pullbacks to 4850β4880
β’ Breakdown below 4825 β continuation toward 4800
π Bias: Bearish π΄
EURUSD β 1H
π Market Structure: Bearish Shift
β’ Strong impulsive sell-off after resistance rejection
β’ Structure flipped β Lower High + Lower Low formed
β’ Currently weak pullback, sellers still in control
π Key Levels
Resistance: 1.1485 β 1.1510
Supply Zone: 1.1530
Support: 1.1445
Major Support: 1.1413
β‘οΈ Trade Idea
β’ Sell on pullbacks to 1.1485β1.1510
β’ Breakdown below 1.1445 β continuation toward 1.1410
π Bias: Bearish π΄
π Market Structure: Bearish Shift
β’ Strong impulsive sell-off after resistance rejection
β’ Structure flipped β Lower High + Lower Low formed
β’ Currently weak pullback, sellers still in control
π Key Levels
Resistance: 1.1485 β 1.1510
Supply Zone: 1.1530
Support: 1.1445
Major Support: 1.1413
β‘οΈ Trade Idea
β’ Sell on pullbacks to 1.1485β1.1510
β’ Breakdown below 1.1445 β continuation toward 1.1410
π Bias: Bearish π΄
π¨ USD NEWS β 6:00 PM
π Unemployment Claims
β’ Actual: 215K
β’ Forecast: 213K
β οΈ Slightly higher than expected β Mildly USD Negative
π Indicates a small increase in jobless claims, signaling slight weakness in the labor market.
π Market Impact
β’ USD may see minor pressure
β’ Gold & EURUSD could get short-term support
π Unemployment Claims
β’ Actual: 215K
β’ Forecast: 213K
β οΈ Slightly higher than expected β Mildly USD Negative
π Indicates a small increase in jobless claims, signaling slight weakness in the labor market.
π Market Impact
β’ USD may see minor pressure
β’ Gold & EURUSD could get short-term support
π¨ GOLD UPDATE β WHATβS HAPPENING?
π Gold has fallen for 6 consecutive sessions, marking the longest losing streak since 2024.
β οΈ Why Gold is Falling
β’ π¦ Hawkish Fed Outlook
β Only limited rate cuts expected
β Higher rates reduce goldβs appeal
β’ π Rising Yields & Strong USD
β Investors prefer yielding assets over gold
β’ π’ Oil Surge = Inflation Risk
β Higher oil prices β inflation stays elevated
β Fed stays tight β negative for gold
β’ π Geopolitics Supporting, BUTβ¦
β Middle East tensions giving support
β But not strong enough vs Fed pressure
π Current Situation
β’ Price trying to stabilize after heavy sell-off
β’ But still below key moving averages β weak trend
π Takeaway
π΄ Gold under pressure due to:
β’ High interest rates
β’ Inflation concerns
β’ Strong USD
π‘ Short-term bounce possible, but overall trend remains weak
π Gold has fallen for 6 consecutive sessions, marking the longest losing streak since 2024.
β οΈ Why Gold is Falling
β’ π¦ Hawkish Fed Outlook
β Only limited rate cuts expected
β Higher rates reduce goldβs appeal
β’ π Rising Yields & Strong USD
β Investors prefer yielding assets over gold
β’ π’ Oil Surge = Inflation Risk
β Higher oil prices β inflation stays elevated
β Fed stays tight β negative for gold
β’ π Geopolitics Supporting, BUTβ¦
β Middle East tensions giving support
β But not strong enough vs Fed pressure
π Current Situation
β’ Price trying to stabilize after heavy sell-off
β’ But still below key moving averages β weak trend
π Takeaway
π΄ Gold under pressure due to:
β’ High interest rates
β’ Inflation concerns
β’ Strong USD
π‘ Short-term bounce possible, but overall trend remains weak
π¨ EUROPE MARKETS UNDER PRESSURE
π DAX Tumbles Sharply
β οΈ Key Reasons:
β’ π’ Oil prices surge amid escalating war tensions
β’ π Ongoing Middle East conflict raises inflation fears
β’ π¦ Fedβs hawkish tone adds pressure on equities
π Market Reaction
β’ European indices sell off sharply
β’ Investors shift to safe assets
β’ Rising energy costs β risk-off sentiment
π Takeaway
π΄ High oil + Hawkish Fed = Equity Pressure
β οΈ Volatility likely to stay elevated
π DAX Tumbles Sharply
β οΈ Key Reasons:
β’ π’ Oil prices surge amid escalating war tensions
β’ π Ongoing Middle East conflict raises inflation fears
β’ π¦ Fedβs hawkish tone adds pressure on equities
π Market Reaction
β’ European indices sell off sharply
β’ Investors shift to safe assets
β’ Rising energy costs β risk-off sentiment
π Takeaway
π΄ High oil + Hawkish Fed = Equity Pressure
β οΈ Volatility likely to stay elevated
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π¨ GLOBAL MARKET CUES
π Geopolitics
β’ Iran attacks may wipe out ~17% of Qatar LNG capacity β οΈ
β’ Israel says Iran lacks nuclear capability
β’ Tensions rising around Hormuz Strait (key oil route)
π Global Markets
β’ US markets closed in red
β’ European markets weak, DAX down ~3%
β’ US futures steady after sharp sell-off
π’ Commodities
β’ Brent volatile, still elevated
β’ Gold & Silver rebound after heavy sell-off
π’ Stocks in Focus
β’ Super Micro crashes 14% on legal concerns
β’ Accenture raises FY26 growth guidance
β οΈ Key Themes
β’ War tensions = energy risk + volatility
β’ Fed concerns + oil swings = equity pressure
β’ Metals showing short-term bounce
π Market Mood: Mixed β Volatile β‘οΈ
π Geopolitics
β’ Iran attacks may wipe out ~17% of Qatar LNG capacity β οΈ
β’ Israel says Iran lacks nuclear capability
β’ Tensions rising around Hormuz Strait (key oil route)
π Global Markets
β’ US markets closed in red
β’ European markets weak, DAX down ~3%
β’ US futures steady after sharp sell-off
π’ Commodities
β’ Brent volatile, still elevated
β’ Gold & Silver rebound after heavy sell-off
π’ Stocks in Focus
β’ Super Micro crashes 14% on legal concerns
β’ Accenture raises FY26 growth guidance
β οΈ Key Themes
β’ War tensions = energy risk + volatility
β’ Fed concerns + oil swings = equity pressure
β’ Metals showing short-term bounce
π Market Mood: Mixed β Volatile β‘οΈ
XAUUSD (Gold) β 1H
π Market Structure: Bearish β Pullback
β’ Strong sell-off followed by sharp bullish retracement
β’ Price now approaching resistance/supply zone
β’ Current move looks like a pullback, not reversal yet
π Key Levels
Resistance: 4710 β 4740
Supply Zone: 4800 β 4850
Support: 4680
Major Support: 4610
β‘οΈ Trade Idea
β’ Watch for rejection at 4710β4740 β sell continuation
β’ Break above 4740 β move toward 4800 possible
π Bias: Bearish (Pullback Phase) π΄
π Market Structure: Bearish β Pullback
β’ Strong sell-off followed by sharp bullish retracement
β’ Price now approaching resistance/supply zone
β’ Current move looks like a pullback, not reversal yet
π Key Levels
Resistance: 4710 β 4740
Supply Zone: 4800 β 4850
Support: 4680
Major Support: 4610
β‘οΈ Trade Idea
β’ Watch for rejection at 4710β4740 β sell continuation
β’ Break above 4740 β move toward 4800 possible
π Bias: Bearish (Pullback Phase) π΄
EURUSD β 1H
π Market Structure: Rejection from Supply
β’ Strong bullish move β hit supply zone (1.1570β1.1590)
β’ Sharp rejection β forming lower highs on lower TF
β’ Momentum slowing β possible short-term pullback
π Key Levels
Resistance: 1.1570 β 1.1595
Intraday Resistance: 1.1560
Support: 1.1525
Major Support: 1.1490
β‘οΈ Trade Idea
β’ Sell below 1.1560 with continuation toward 1.1525
β’ Break below 1.1525 β 1.1490
π Bias: Short-term Bearish π΄
π Market Structure: Rejection from Supply
β’ Strong bullish move β hit supply zone (1.1570β1.1590)
β’ Sharp rejection β forming lower highs on lower TF
β’ Momentum slowing β possible short-term pullback
π Key Levels
Resistance: 1.1570 β 1.1595
Intraday Resistance: 1.1560
Support: 1.1525
Major Support: 1.1490
β‘οΈ Trade Idea
β’ Sell below 1.1560 with continuation toward 1.1525
β’ Break below 1.1525 β 1.1490
π Bias: Short-term Bearish π΄
Weekly Trading Report (16 Mar - 20 Mar) .pdf
17.1 MB
π WEEKLY MARKET RESULTS
π 16 March β 20 March
This week had ups and downs, but we stayed profitable!
π 16 March β 20 March
This week had ups and downs, but we stayed profitable!
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π¨ ASIAN MARKETS TUMBLE β WAR IMPACT
π Asian markets fell sharply as Middle East war tensions escalated and investors turned risk-off.
β οΈ Why Markets Fell
β’ π’ Oil prices surged due to attacks on energy infrastructure
β’ π Rising oil β Inflation fears increase
β’ π¦ Hawkish central banks (rate cuts expectations reduced)
β’ π Wall Street weakness gave negative global cues
π Market Moves
β’ Nikkei, Hang Seng, Shanghai β All lower
β’ Tech, exporters, financial stocks β Major losses
β’ Energy stocks β Only sector holding strong
π Key Takeaway
π΄ War + Oil Spike + Hawkish Fed = Global Equity Pressure
β οΈ Expect high volatility across markets
π Asian markets fell sharply as Middle East war tensions escalated and investors turned risk-off.
β οΈ Why Markets Fell
β’ π’ Oil prices surged due to attacks on energy infrastructure
β’ π Rising oil β Inflation fears increase
β’ π¦ Hawkish central banks (rate cuts expectations reduced)
β’ π Wall Street weakness gave negative global cues
π Market Moves
β’ Nikkei, Hang Seng, Shanghai β All lower
β’ Tech, exporters, financial stocks β Major losses
β’ Energy stocks β Only sector holding strong
π Key Takeaway
π΄ War + Oil Spike + Hawkish Fed = Global Equity Pressure
β οΈ Expect high volatility across markets
XAUUSD β 1H Analysis
π Market Structure: Strong Bearish Trend
β’ Continuous lower highs + lower lows
β’ Strong impulsive selling β trend continuation
β’ No reversal structure yet
π Key Levels
Resistance: 4440 β 4470
Supply Zone: 4515 β 4575
Support: 4258
Major Support: 4200
β‘οΈ Trade Plan
β’ Sell on pullbacks to 4440 β 4470
β’ If 4258 breaks β 4200 next
π Bias: Bearish π΄
π Market Structure: Strong Bearish Trend
β’ Continuous lower highs + lower lows
β’ Strong impulsive selling β trend continuation
β’ No reversal structure yet
π Key Levels
Resistance: 4440 β 4470
Supply Zone: 4515 β 4575
Support: 4258
Major Support: 4200
β‘οΈ Trade Plan
β’ Sell on pullbacks to 4440 β 4470
β’ If 4258 breaks β 4200 next
π Bias: Bearish π΄
EURUSD β 1H Analysis
π Market Structure: Range / Weak Bearish
β’ Price rejected from 1.1590 supply
β’ Now consolidating between 1.1570 β 1.1525
β’ No strong trend β range market currently
β’ Breakout pending
π Key Levels
Resistance: 1.1570
Range High: 1.1595
Support: 1.1525
Major Support: 1.1490
β‘οΈ Trade Plan
β’ Sell near 1.1560 β 1.1570
β’ Buy near 1.1525 support
β’ Break below 1.1525 β 1.1490
π Bias: Range β Sell at resistance / Buy at support
π Market Structure: Range / Weak Bearish
β’ Price rejected from 1.1590 supply
β’ Now consolidating between 1.1570 β 1.1525
β’ No strong trend β range market currently
β’ Breakout pending
π Key Levels
Resistance: 1.1570
Range High: 1.1595
Support: 1.1525
Major Support: 1.1490
β‘οΈ Trade Plan
β’ Sell near 1.1560 β 1.1570
β’ Buy near 1.1525 support
β’ Break below 1.1525 β 1.1490
π Bias: Range β Sell at resistance / Buy at support
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