๐ West Asia War Update | Trump Comments
โข Trump says Iranโs military power has weakened after the war.
โข States it may now be a good opportunity for other countries to step in.
โข Says whether allies support or not, the US will remember its stance.
โข Confirms talks with other countries about policing the Strait of Hormuz.
โข Adds that Iran wanted negotiations but may not yet be ready.
โ ๏ธ Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain a key driver for Oil, Gold, and global markets.
โข Trump says Iranโs military power has weakened after the war.
โข States it may now be a good opportunity for other countries to step in.
โข Says whether allies support or not, the US will remember its stance.
โข Confirms talks with other countries about policing the Strait of Hormuz.
โข Adds that Iran wanted negotiations but may not yet be ready.
โ ๏ธ Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain a key driver for Oil, Gold, and global markets.
๐ก XAUUSD (Gold)
Current Price: ~5109
๐ Market Structure
Gold recently broke below the 5160 support zone, confirming short-term bearish pressure.
Price swept liquidity near 5094 and is now showing a minor bounce.
๐ Key Levels
๐ผ Resistance:
โข 5170 โ 5185
๐ฝ Support:
โข 5094
๐ Outlook
If gold fails to reclaim 5160โ5170, downside continuation toward 5094 liquidity is possible.
Break above 5170 may trigger a move toward 5210 supply.
๐ Bias: Short-term bearish
Current Price: ~5109
๐ Market Structure
Gold recently broke below the 5160 support zone, confirming short-term bearish pressure.
Price swept liquidity near 5094 and is now showing a minor bounce.
๐ Key Levels
๐ผ Resistance:
โข 5170 โ 5185
๐ฝ Support:
โข 5094
๐ Outlook
If gold fails to reclaim 5160โ5170, downside continuation toward 5094 liquidity is possible.
Break above 5170 may trigger a move toward 5210 supply.
๐ Bias: Short-term bearish
๐ต EURUSD
Current Price: ~1.1504
๐ Market Structure
EURUSD remains in a strong downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
Price recently broke below 1.1520 support.
๐ Key Levels
๐ผ Resistance:
โข 1.1570 โ 1.1595
๐ฝ Support:
โข 1.1489
๐ Outlook
If price stays below 1.1570, bearish continuation toward 1.1489 liquidity is likely.
Pullbacks toward 1.1550โ1.1570 may attract fresh selling.
๐ Bias: Bearish
Current Price: ~1.1504
๐ Market Structure
EURUSD remains in a strong downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
Price recently broke below 1.1520 support.
๐ Key Levels
๐ผ Resistance:
โข 1.1570 โ 1.1595
๐ฝ Support:
โข 1.1489
๐ Outlook
If price stays below 1.1570, bearish continuation toward 1.1489 liquidity is likely.
Pullbacks toward 1.1550โ1.1570 may attract fresh selling.
๐ Bias: Bearish
๐ European Market News
โข ๐ฉ๐ช DAX trades slightly higher in cautious European market session.
โข ๐ฆ Commerzbank shares surge after UniCredit launched a bid to increase its stake in the bank.
โข ๐ผ The move could push UniCreditโs ownership above 30%, potentially triggering takeover rules.
โข ๐ Banking stocks supported the market while investors stayed cautious amid geopolitical tensions.
โ ๏ธ Market Focus:
Investors are watching European banking consolidation and geopolitical risks closely.
โข ๐ฉ๐ช DAX trades slightly higher in cautious European market session.
โข ๐ฆ Commerzbank shares surge after UniCredit launched a bid to increase its stake in the bank.
โข ๐ผ The move could push UniCreditโs ownership above 30%, potentially triggering takeover rules.
โข ๐ Banking stocks supported the market while investors stayed cautious amid geopolitical tensions.
โ ๏ธ Market Focus:
Investors are watching European banking consolidation and geopolitical risks closely.
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๐ Global Market Cues
โข ๐ฎ๐ณ GIFT Nifty higher, indicating a positive start for the Indian market.
โข ๐บ๐ธ US futures slightly lower, while cash markets rebound as oil prices ease.
โข ๐ US markets closed in green, with major indices gaining nearly 1%.
โข ๐ค Nvidia CEO expects $1 trillion revenue from Blackwell & Rubin chips by 2027.
โข ๐ Nvidia introduces Vera Rubin Space-1 chip for orbital AI data centers.
โข ๐ Trump says US asked China to delay Xi meeting due to Iran war.
โข ๐บ๐ธ Trump also says he believes he may have the โhonourโ of taking Cuba.
โ ๏ธ Markets remain focused on geopolitics, AI developments, and global economic signals.
โข ๐ฎ๐ณ GIFT Nifty higher, indicating a positive start for the Indian market.
โข ๐บ๐ธ US futures slightly lower, while cash markets rebound as oil prices ease.
โข ๐ US markets closed in green, with major indices gaining nearly 1%.
โข ๐ค Nvidia CEO expects $1 trillion revenue from Blackwell & Rubin chips by 2027.
โข ๐ Nvidia introduces Vera Rubin Space-1 chip for orbital AI data centers.
โข ๐ Trump says US asked China to delay Xi meeting due to Iran war.
โข ๐บ๐ธ Trump also says he believes he may have the โhonourโ of taking Cuba.
โ ๏ธ Markets remain focused on geopolitics, AI developments, and global economic signals.
๐ก XAUUSD (Gold)
Current Price: ~5037
๐ Market Structure
Gold showed a strong bounce from the 4970โ4990 demand zone.
Price is currently testing the 5035โ5075 resistance area.
๐ Key Levels
๐ผ Resistance:
โข 5075
โข 5170
๐ฝ Support:
โข 5000
โข 4943
๐ Outlook
If gold breaks above 5075, the next move could extend toward 5120โ5170.
Rejection from 5075 resistance could push price back toward 5000 support.
๐ Bias: Short-term bullish correction inside a broader bearish structure.
Current Price: ~5037
๐ Market Structure
Gold showed a strong bounce from the 4970โ4990 demand zone.
Price is currently testing the 5035โ5075 resistance area.
๐ Key Levels
๐ผ Resistance:
โข 5075
โข 5170
๐ฝ Support:
โข 5000
โข 4943
๐ Outlook
If gold breaks above 5075, the next move could extend toward 5120โ5170.
Rejection from 5075 resistance could push price back toward 5000 support.
๐ Bias: Short-term bullish correction inside a broader bearish structure.
๐ต EURUSD
Current Price: ~1.1496
๐ Market Structure
EURUSD bounced strongly from 1.1413 support, forming a short-term bullish retracement.
Price is now consolidating near the 1.1500 zone.
๐ Key Levels
๐ผ Resistance:
โข 1.1520
โข 1.1570
๐ฝ Support:
โข 1.1449
โข 1.1413
๐ Outlook
Break above 1.1520 could push price toward 1.1570 resistance.
Failure to hold 1.1449 may bring the pair back toward 1.1413 liquidity.
๐ Bias: Short-term bullish correction.
Current Price: ~1.1496
๐ Market Structure
EURUSD bounced strongly from 1.1413 support, forming a short-term bullish retracement.
Price is now consolidating near the 1.1500 zone.
๐ Key Levels
๐ผ Resistance:
โข 1.1520
โข 1.1570
๐ฝ Support:
โข 1.1449
โข 1.1413
๐ Outlook
Break above 1.1520 could push price toward 1.1570 resistance.
Failure to hold 1.1449 may bring the pair back toward 1.1413 liquidity.
๐ Bias: Short-term bullish correction.
๐ Global Geopolitical Update
โข ๐บ๐ธ US President Donald Trump says he may have the โhonour of taking Cubaโ in the future.
โข He added the US โcan do anything it wantsโ with Cuba, calling the country currently weakened.
โข The comments come as Cuba faces a severe energy crisis and nationwide blackouts.
โข The US recently cut Venezuelan oil shipments, worsening Cubaโs fuel shortage.
โข Cubaโs President Miguel Dรญaz-Canel confirmed talks with the US, stressing sovereignty and mutual respect.
โ ๏ธ Geopolitical tensions and political developments may influence global markets, oil, and safe-haven assets like gold.
โข ๐บ๐ธ US President Donald Trump says he may have the โhonour of taking Cubaโ in the future.
โข He added the US โcan do anything it wantsโ with Cuba, calling the country currently weakened.
โข The comments come as Cuba faces a severe energy crisis and nationwide blackouts.
โข The US recently cut Venezuelan oil shipments, worsening Cubaโs fuel shortage.
โข Cubaโs President Miguel Dรญaz-Canel confirmed talks with the US, stressing sovereignty and mutual respect.
โ ๏ธ Geopolitical tensions and political developments may influence global markets, oil, and safe-haven assets like gold.
๐ European Market Update
โข ๐ฉ๐ช DAX trades marginally higher as investors stay cautious.
โข ๐ Sartorius shares jump sharply after the company raised its business targets/outlook.
โข ๐ German stocks show mixed performance amid rising Middle East tensions.
โข ๐ข Oil prices moved higher following fresh attacks targeting infrastructure in the region.
โข โ ๏ธ Geopolitical risks continue to impact sentiment across European markets.
๐ Market Insight:
European equities remain sensitive to geopolitical tensions and energy price movements.
โข ๐ฉ๐ช DAX trades marginally higher as investors stay cautious.
โข ๐ Sartorius shares jump sharply after the company raised its business targets/outlook.
โข ๐ German stocks show mixed performance amid rising Middle East tensions.
โข ๐ข Oil prices moved higher following fresh attacks targeting infrastructure in the region.
โข โ ๏ธ Geopolitical risks continue to impact sentiment across European markets.
๐ Market Insight:
European equities remain sensitive to geopolitical tensions and energy price movements.
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๐ GLOBAL MARKET CUES
๐น US Markets
โข Wall Street closed higher, all major indices ended in the green.
โข US futures trading higher ahead of the upcoming Fed interest rate decision.
โข US 10Y yield steady as traders assess oil surge and Middle East tensions.
๐น Asia Markets
โข Asian markets mixed in early trade.
โข Nikkei surges over 2%, while Hang Seng trades lower.
๐น India Outlook
โข GIFT Nifty trading higher, indicating a positive start for Indian markets.
๐น Geopolitics
โข Iran confirms death of security chief Ali Larijani in Israeli airstrike.
โข Iran targets UAE energy infrastructure, tanker incident near Hormuz Strait raises supply concerns.
๐น Commodities
โข Oil prices remain elevated above $100 amid Middle East tensions.
โข Gold & Silver volatile due to Fed uncertainty and rising crude prices.
๐น Global Economy
โข Japan exports rise 4.2% in February, but shipments to China & US decline.
๐น Corporate News
โข Tesla plans $4.3B purchase of LG Energy battery cells from former GM plant.
โข Nvidia to ramp up H200 chip production for China market.
โ ๏ธ Key Market Themes Today
โข Fed rate decision ahead
โข Middle East tensions impacting oil
โข Volatility in metals
โข Positive global equity sentiment
๐น US Markets
โข Wall Street closed higher, all major indices ended in the green.
โข US futures trading higher ahead of the upcoming Fed interest rate decision.
โข US 10Y yield steady as traders assess oil surge and Middle East tensions.
๐น Asia Markets
โข Asian markets mixed in early trade.
โข Nikkei surges over 2%, while Hang Seng trades lower.
๐น India Outlook
โข GIFT Nifty trading higher, indicating a positive start for Indian markets.
๐น Geopolitics
โข Iran confirms death of security chief Ali Larijani in Israeli airstrike.
โข Iran targets UAE energy infrastructure, tanker incident near Hormuz Strait raises supply concerns.
๐น Commodities
โข Oil prices remain elevated above $100 amid Middle East tensions.
โข Gold & Silver volatile due to Fed uncertainty and rising crude prices.
๐น Global Economy
โข Japan exports rise 4.2% in February, but shipments to China & US decline.
๐น Corporate News
โข Tesla plans $4.3B purchase of LG Energy battery cells from former GM plant.
โข Nvidia to ramp up H200 chip production for China market.
โ ๏ธ Key Market Themes Today
โข Fed rate decision ahead
โข Middle East tensions impacting oil
โข Volatility in metals
โข Positive global equity sentiment
๐ WHAT HAPPENED OVERNIGHT
๐ US Markets
* S&P 500: +0.25%
* Nasdaq: +0.47%
* Wall Street ended slightly higher as investors focused on geopolitical risks and upcoming policy signals.
๐ข Commodities
* Brent Oil: +3.4% to $103.66
* Oil surged as the Iran war threatens supply routes, especially around the Strait of Hormuz, a key corridor for ~20% of global oil shipments.
๐ต Currencies & Bonds
* US 10Y Yield: โ 2 bps to 4.19%
* Dollar Index: โ 0.16% to 99.55
โ ๏ธ Geopolitics
* Iran conflict continues with no signs of slowing, raising concerns about global energy supply.
* Trump criticized NATO allies for not supporting US efforts to secure the Strait of Hormuz during the conflict.
* Trump said he expects a summit with Chinaโs Xi Jinping in about 5โ6 weeks, despite the ongoing war.
๐ Key Market Themes
* Oil supply risks from Middle East tensions
* Geopolitics dominating market sentiment
* Dollar and yields slightly weaker
๐ US Markets
* S&P 500: +0.25%
* Nasdaq: +0.47%
* Wall Street ended slightly higher as investors focused on geopolitical risks and upcoming policy signals.
๐ข Commodities
* Brent Oil: +3.4% to $103.66
* Oil surged as the Iran war threatens supply routes, especially around the Strait of Hormuz, a key corridor for ~20% of global oil shipments.
๐ต Currencies & Bonds
* US 10Y Yield: โ 2 bps to 4.19%
* Dollar Index: โ 0.16% to 99.55
โ ๏ธ Geopolitics
* Iran conflict continues with no signs of slowing, raising concerns about global energy supply.
* Trump criticized NATO allies for not supporting US efforts to secure the Strait of Hormuz during the conflict.
* Trump said he expects a summit with Chinaโs Xi Jinping in about 5โ6 weeks, despite the ongoing war.
๐ Key Market Themes
* Oil supply risks from Middle East tensions
* Geopolitics dominating market sentiment
* Dollar and yields slightly weaker
EURUSD โ 1H Analysis
๐ Market Structure: Bullish
โข Price formed a strong impulsive move upward after taking liquidity from the downside.
โข Market created a higher low and continuation structure.
โข Currently consolidating near resistance after the bullish impulse.
๐ Key Levels
Resistance: 1.1570 โ 1.1595
Support: 1.1530
Strong Support: 1.1510
โก๏ธ Trade Idea
โข If price breaks and holds above 1.1570, upside continuation toward 1.1600 โ 1.1620 possible.
โข If price rejects resistance, pullback toward 1.1530 support zone likely.
๐ Bias: Short-term Bullish
๐ Market Structure: Bullish
โข Price formed a strong impulsive move upward after taking liquidity from the downside.
โข Market created a higher low and continuation structure.
โข Currently consolidating near resistance after the bullish impulse.
๐ Key Levels
Resistance: 1.1570 โ 1.1595
Support: 1.1530
Strong Support: 1.1510
โก๏ธ Trade Idea
โข If price breaks and holds above 1.1570, upside continuation toward 1.1600 โ 1.1620 possible.
โข If price rejects resistance, pullback toward 1.1530 support zone likely.
๐ Bias: Short-term Bullish
XAUUSD (Gold) โ 1H Analysis
๐ Market Structure: Bearish / Range
โข Gold is forming lower highs on the 1H timeframe.
โข Price currently trading inside a consolidation range near 5000 psychological level.
โข Sellers are controlling the market after repeated rejections from upper zones.
๐ Key Levels
Resistance: 5075 โ 5080
Intraday Resistance: 5170 zone
Support: 4980
Major Support: 4940
โก๏ธ Trade Idea
โข Break below 4980 could push gold toward 4940 support.
โข If buyers reclaim 5075, a bounce toward 5100+ may occur.
๐ Bias: Slightly Bearish
๐ Market Structure: Bearish / Range
โข Gold is forming lower highs on the 1H timeframe.
โข Price currently trading inside a consolidation range near 5000 psychological level.
โข Sellers are controlling the market after repeated rejections from upper zones.
๐ Key Levels
Resistance: 5075 โ 5080
Intraday Resistance: 5170 zone
Support: 4980
Major Support: 4940
โก๏ธ Trade Idea
โข Break below 4980 could push gold toward 4940 support.
โข If buyers reclaim 5075, a bounce toward 5100+ may occur.
๐ Bias: Slightly Bearish
๐จ NEWS UPDATE โ USD
๐ Core PPI m/m
โข Actual: 0.3%
โข Previous: 0.8%
๐ US producer inflation cooled significantly, indicating easing price pressures at the wholesale level.
๐ฆ FOMC Statement
โข Federal Reserve released its policy statement, closely watched for rate outlook and economic guidance.
โ ๏ธ Market Impact
โข Lower PPI may support risk assets.
โข USD volatility expected as traders digest the Fed statement and policy tone.
๐ Watch closely:
Gold | EURUSD | US Indices
๐ Core PPI m/m
โข Actual: 0.3%
โข Previous: 0.8%
๐ US producer inflation cooled significantly, indicating easing price pressures at the wholesale level.
๐ฆ FOMC Statement
โข Federal Reserve released its policy statement, closely watched for rate outlook and economic guidance.
โ ๏ธ Market Impact
โข Lower PPI may support risk assets.
โข USD volatility expected as traders digest the Fed statement and policy tone.
๐ Watch closely:
Gold | EURUSD | US Indices
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๐ฐ 30+ PIPS Captured in GBPUSD!
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๐ฐ 30+ PIPS Captured in GBPUSD!
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๐จ GLOBAL MARKET CUES โ RISK OFF
๐ India Outlook
โข GIFT Nifty sharply lower (~500 pts discount)
โข Indicates a gap-down opening for Indian markets
๐ US Markets
โข Dow hits fresh 2026 low, breaks below 200 DMA
โข US futures trading lower after sharp sell-off
โข Fed keeps rates unchanged but flags uncertainty due to Iran war
๐ Fed Outlook
โข Fed officials raise inflation projections
โข Hawkish undertone โ pressure on equities
๐ข Commodities
โข Crude oil surges ~4% to $112
โข Spike driven by Iran attack on Qatar energy facility
๐ Global Markets
โข European markets down up to 1%
โข Broad-based weakness across sectors
โ ๏ธ Key Themes
โข Geopolitical risk escalating
โข Inflation concerns rising
โข Risk sentiment turning negative
๐ Market Mood: ๐ด Risk-Off
๐ Focus Today: Gap-down open | Oil | Volatility
๐ India Outlook
โข GIFT Nifty sharply lower (~500 pts discount)
โข Indicates a gap-down opening for Indian markets
๐ US Markets
โข Dow hits fresh 2026 low, breaks below 200 DMA
โข US futures trading lower after sharp sell-off
โข Fed keeps rates unchanged but flags uncertainty due to Iran war
๐ Fed Outlook
โข Fed officials raise inflation projections
โข Hawkish undertone โ pressure on equities
๐ข Commodities
โข Crude oil surges ~4% to $112
โข Spike driven by Iran attack on Qatar energy facility
๐ Global Markets
โข European markets down up to 1%
โข Broad-based weakness across sectors
โ ๏ธ Key Themes
โข Geopolitical risk escalating
โข Inflation concerns rising
โข Risk sentiment turning negative
๐ Market Mood: ๐ด Risk-Off
๐ Focus Today: Gap-down open | Oil | Volatility