👍 Congratulations to FeneFx Traders

💎The new batch of Certificates of Profit has been issued, and as always, seeing this moment brings us immense joy.

💎Behind every single Certificate lies right decisions, disciplined trading, and strict adherence to the rules. We are thrilled to see more people joining this list every day, and we hope to see many of your names on the upcoming Certificates very soon.

💎We wish the best of luck to all the traders whose profit withdrawals have been finalized recently, and we hope this is just the beginning of their journey

✉️ FeneFx

💢 Forex Markets Pause for Direction; Has the Dollar Reached a Near-Term Peak?

🖱 Daily Forex Sentiment Analysis | June 25

💲 At a Glance

📈 After its recent rally, the U.S. dollar appears to be entering a consolidation phase. However, ongoing optimism surrounding artificial intelligence investments may continue to provide support for the greenback.

📈 Markets are expecting the Core PCE inflation reading to come in at 0.3%, although a softer 0.2% print remains possible. Such an outcome could ease hawkish expectations and weigh on the dollar.

📈 Economists at ING continue to maintain that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to deliver any additional rate hikes during 2026.

📈 For EUR/USD, the base-case scenario remains constructive as long as the pair holds above 1.1300, with a gradual move toward 1.1400 possible if market conditions remain stable.



✉️ FeneFx

🚨 Heavy Selling Sweeps Across Asian Markets

⚠️ More than $1.2 trillion was wiped off the value of Asian stock markets today, marking one of the region’s sharpest sell-offs in recent months

❌ Today’s market action was far more than a routine correction Investors rushed to exit risk assets as concerns over global growth, interest rate expectations, geopolitical tensions, and currency volatility intensified

🇯🇵 Japan’s Nikkei fell 4.54%, erasing roughly $350 billion in market value

🇰🇷 South Korea’s KOSPI plunged 7.01%, wiping out nearly $350 billion

🇨🇳 China’s Shanghai and Shenzhen markets together lost around $280 billion in value

🇭🇰 Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and Taiwan’s stock market also declined sharply, losing approximately $120 billion and $75 billion, respectively



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✅ New Shifts at the Fed: Kevin Warsh Appoints New Senior Advisors

🤫 In a move to drive fundamental changes within the institution, the new Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, has appointed two veteran insiders as his senior advisors. Sources close to the U.S. central bank state that these appointments are part of Warsh's broader plan to overhaul and redesign the Fed’s economic analysis and policymaking frameworks.

😃 Warsh's new advisory team consists of:

👤 Daniel Covitz: A seasoned senior official from the Fed's Research and Statistics division

👤 Eric Engenstrom: A key figure and long-time director within the Monetary Affairs division

🔥 Both advisors possess a deep understanding of the Fed's inner workings and operational mechanisms. They are set to assist the new chairman in structural reviews, policy formulation, and macro-economic analysis.


✉️ FeneFx

🤩 Fresh U.S. Economic Data Released

📈 The U.S. Goods Trade Balance widened to -$105.8B in May, coming in weaker than market expectations and signaling a larger trade deficit

📈 Meanwhile, Preliminary Wholesale Inventories rose 0.3%, matching forecasts but slowing compared to the previous month's reading

📤 Markets are now assessing how these figures could influence Federal Reserve expectations and the next move in the U.S. Dollar


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☄️ Unveiling the $1,000 Challenge ☄️

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✅Prove your trading setup on the $1,000 account and let the profits drive the rest of your way.

➡️Account Size: $1,000

➡️Evaluation: 2-Step Challenge

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⚠️ BIS Warns on AI Boom; Could the Dot-Com Bubble Repeat Itself?

💢 The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has warned in its latest annual report that excessive optimism surrounding artificial intelligence could pose significant risks to global financial markets.

💢 According to the report, a large share of AI projects has been financed through debt. If investor enthusiasm fades, the risk of widespread debt defaults and cascading financial disruptions could rise substantially.

✉️FeneFx

🛢 ECB Policymaker: Lower Oil Prices Matter, but Uncertainty Remains High

🟡 An ECB Governing Council member said the recent decline in oil prices could help ease inflationary pressure, but it is still too early to draw firm conclusions as uncertainty remains elevated.

Key Takeaways:

🟡 Lower energy prices are expected to have a positive impact on inflation.
🟡 More clarity is likely after fresh data become available ahead of the July meeting.
🟡 It is still uncertain how much inflationary pressure remains in the pipeline.
🟡 Europe’s long-term structural growth outlook continues to be relatively weak.

✉️ FeneFx

🚨 Reuters: June Inflation Data Could Influence the ECB’s July Decision

📥 According to Reuters, citing four informed sources, an unexpected inflation surprise in June could still provide the European Central Bank with grounds to adjust its policy at the July meeting. However, the recent easing in inflation has reduced the pressure for immediate action.

📤 The sources added that policymakers were surprised by the sharp decline in oil prices over the past two weeks and believe the normalization of energy markets is now gaining momentum. Even so, markets continue to view September as the more likely timing for any significant ECB policy move.

✉️ FeneFx

💢 Will the U.S. Dollar Regain Momentum? Markets Await Fresh Signals from the Fed

🕐 Market Compass | July 1

📌 Market Under the Microscope

🟡 All eyes are on Kevin Warsh’s speech at the Sintra conference. A hawkish tone could provide fresh support for the U.S. dollar.

🟡 Today’s ADP Employment Report and ISM Manufacturing PMI are expected to play a key role in shaping the dollar’s short-term direction.

🟡 The European Central Bank is widely expected to maintain its hawkish stance, with no clear signal of rate cuts for now.

🟡 The review of the USMCA trade agreement could introduce fresh uncertainty for the Canadian dollar, potentially pushing USD/CAD toward higher levels.

✉️ FeneFx

🕐 Reuters: Euro Forecasts Revised Lower as Market Outlook Shifts Toward the Dollar

📊 Reuters’ latest survey shows analysts have lowered their forecasts for the euro against the U.S. dollar. The consensus now expects EUR/USD at 1.16 in three months, 1.17 in six months, and 1.18 over the next year.

📊 These projections are lower than June’s forecasts of 1.18, 1.19, and 1.20, reflecting a more cautious outlook for the euro.

📊 On positioning, 29 of 41 FX strategists expect long U.S. dollar positions to remain steady or increase through the end of July, while 12 anticipate a decline in dollar positioning.


✉️ FeneFx

🕐 Market Watch | Midday

📌 eKey Highlights

⚡️ Euro Under Pressure: Softer-than-expected Eurozone inflation reduced expectations for further ECB tightening, weighing on the euro.

⚡️ Dollar Stays Strong: Rising expectations of a hawkish Fed continue to support the U.S. dollar while pressuring global

⚡️ Oil Retreats: Positive headlines on U.S.-Iran talks eased geopolitical risks, pushing Brent crude lower.

🖱 Market Scenario

Markets remain in Risk-Off mode, with investors favoring the U.S. dollar ahead of Kevin Warsh’s speech.

👀 What to Watch Next

🟡 Kevin Warsh’s speech at the Sintra Forum

🟡 Further updates on U.S.-Iran negotiations

🟡 Market positioning ahead of tomorrow’s NFP report

✉️ FeneFx

📊USD/JPY Falls 0.8% in Today’s Trading

🔽 The USD/JPY pair declined by approximately 0.8% during today’s session, as the Japanese yen strengthened amid growing speculation over potential currency intervention by Japanese authorities.


✉️ FeneFx

🔤🔤🔤🔤

Today’s Top Headlines

✉️ FeneFx

🤑 Could Extreme Fear Be Setting the Stage for Bitcoin?

➡️ Investors continue to pull money from Bitcoin ETFs, with more than $8.4 billion withdrawn since May 6, reflecting a cautious mood across the market.

➡️ While persistent outflows can weigh on prices in the short term, they do not necessarily signal a prolonged decline.

➡️ Historically, periods of extreme fear and investor capitulation have often appeared near major market bottoms. For that reason, some analysts view the current outflows as a sign of sentiment exhaustion rather than a definitive bearish signal.

➡️ Going forward, traders will be watching whether ETF inflows recover and whether Bitcoin can attract fresh buying interest.


✉️ FeneFx