Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 57.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.4%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (61.3%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.2%)

AI: September cut odds rose; consumer confidence dip boosted dovish bets.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 57.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.5%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (59.5%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.3%)

AI: Probabilities dip; hawkish Fed stance after elevated inflation, weekly downtrend.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 56.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.5%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (61.6%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.6%)

AI: Weekly uptrend continues: ‘Goldilocks’ economy lifts September cut odds.

• Powell: We've made no decisions about September, we don't do that in advance - [TF]

• Powell: Really hard to say if data to be clear by next meeting • Powell: We're trying to get the timing right - [TF]

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 47.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (42.2%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Cuts47%, Sep42%, Oct50%; Fed hold, robust GDP dampens cuts.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 43.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.2%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (47.7%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (69.0%)

AI: 43.5%,40%,47%,69%; probabilities fall on tariffs, sticky inflation fears.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 63.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (79.0%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.1%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (65.0%)

AI: Today: 64% odds two cuts; weak jobs spurred weekly surge.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 66.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (78.2%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.2%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (64.5%)

AI: Weak jobs report edged 2025 rate-cut odds slightly higher today.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 67.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (78.6%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (62.8%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (64.5%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 67.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (83.6%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (62.9%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (64.5%)

AI: Probabilities: 67.5, 83.6, 62.9, 64.5; rise on weak jobs data.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 31.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (81.6%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.6%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (65.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 32.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (84.7%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.6%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (66.5%)

AI: Cut odds up after Fed officials flag slowing economy.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 33.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (82.3%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (62.3%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (66.5%)

AI: Probabilities dipped; NY Fed survey’s higher inflation expectations blamed. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/new-york-fed-finds-rise-longer-run-expected-inflation-in-july-2025-08-07/))

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 33.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (81.1%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.3%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (67.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 33.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (82.5%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.3%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (67.0%)

AI: Cut odds rise on Bowman dovish comments, weak jobs.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 34.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (83.2%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.8%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (67.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 34.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (76.8%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (62.3%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (67.0%)

AI: Rate-cut odds: Sep 76.8%, Oct 62.3%; tariff-linked CPI worries.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 34.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (85.8%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.1%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (69.0%)

AI: Soft CPI, Bessent comments boost September cut odds to 85.8%.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 35.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (87.9%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (64.8%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (69.0%)

AI: Cut odds inch higher on soft PPI; weekly uptrend.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 32.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (78.2%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (61.2%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (68.5%)

AI: Rate-cut probabilities dropped after strong PPI data tempered dovish hopes.