Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 62.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.0%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.3%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (57.4%)

AI: Probabilities climbed on Waller's dovish speech; weekly uptrend continues.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 62.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.0%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.4%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.3%)

AI: October cut odds fell after hawkish Fed inflation warnings.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 62.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.3%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.5%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.3%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 62.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.4%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.7%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.1%)

AI: Dovish Fed talk lifts September cut odds, weekly trend upward.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 62.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.4%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (56.0%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.1%)

AI: September cut odds rose amid weak data, dovish Fed talk.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 62.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.2%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (56.9%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.9%)

AI: Slightly lower cut odds; loose financial conditions dampen easing.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 61.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.5%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (57.3%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.6%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 59.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.7%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (56.8%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.1%)

AI: Solid jobs data trimmed cut odds; weekly decline continues.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 58.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.6%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.5%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.7%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 57.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.4%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (61.3%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.2%)

AI: September cut odds rose; consumer confidence dip boosted dovish bets.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 57.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.5%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (59.5%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.3%)

AI: Probabilities dip; hawkish Fed stance after elevated inflation, weekly downtrend.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 56.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.5%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (61.6%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.6%)

AI: Weekly uptrend continues: ‘Goldilocks’ economy lifts September cut odds.

• Powell: We've made no decisions about September, we don't do that in advance - [TF]

• Powell: Really hard to say if data to be clear by next meeting • Powell: We're trying to get the timing right - [TF]

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 47.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (42.2%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Cuts47%, Sep42%, Oct50%; Fed hold, robust GDP dampens cuts.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 43.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.2%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (47.7%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (69.0%)

AI: 43.5%,40%,47%,69%; probabilities fall on tariffs, sticky inflation fears.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 63.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (79.0%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.1%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (65.0%)

AI: Today: 64% odds two cuts; weak jobs spurred weekly surge.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 66.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (78.2%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.2%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (64.5%)

AI: Weak jobs report edged 2025 rate-cut odds slightly higher today.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 67.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (78.6%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (62.8%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (64.5%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 67.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (83.6%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (62.9%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (64.5%)

AI: Probabilities: 67.5, 83.6, 62.9, 64.5; rise on weak jobs data.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 31.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (81.6%)
🗓️ October: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.6%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (65.0%)

AI: No changes.