Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 32.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.5%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.3%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (84.5%)

AI: Cuts 32.6%, July 95.3%; GDP miss drove weekly surge.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 33.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.4%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (94.6%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (85.5%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 32.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.3%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.6%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (88.2%)

AI: Minor probability shifts; upcoming JOLTS data spurs adjustments. ([sergeytereshkin.com](https://sergeytereshkin.com/publications/economic-events-and-corporate-earnings-june-2-2026?utm_source=openai))

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 32.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.4%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.3%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (88.6%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 32.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.2%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.1%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (84.3%)

AI: Today: 32.8% cuts; September odds fell after hawkish Fed comments.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 30.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.3%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.2%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (84.8%)

AI: Lower cut odds; pre-NFP optimism on resilient labor market.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 18.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.8%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (79.0%)

AI: 18.8% ≥1 cut; July 95.8%, Sept 79%; hot payrolls.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 19.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.7%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.8%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (83.6%)

AI: Small rise in cut odds; payrolls beat delays June action.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 21.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.7%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.7%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (81.0%)

AI: Small shifts; jobs data dims September cuts slightly.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 22.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.6%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (94.5%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (78.1%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 21.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.5%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (94.7%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (78.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 22.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.4%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (94.8%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (78.8%)

AI: Slight uptick in cut odds after softer core CPI.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 23.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.4%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.9%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (81.9%)

AI: 23.8% cut chance; odds rising on weak jobless claims.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 24.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.4%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.3%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (81.3%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 22.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.4%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (96.2%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (83.9%)

AI: Slightly lower cut odds after hot PPI inflation; weekly downtrend.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 30.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.4%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.6%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (85.9%)

AI: ≥1 cut odds 30.7% after jobless claims jump.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 28.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.5%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.1%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (83.5%)

AI: Cut odds dip to 28.3% after hawkish Warsh previews.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 31.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.3%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.2%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (84.5%)

AI: Weak housing, falling oil nudged cut odds slightly higher.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 22.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: Any cut (81.5%)

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 17.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: Any cut (73.3%)

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 19.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ July: Any cut (75.6%)