fed rate cuts
1.23K subscribers
445 links
Download Telegram
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 42.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.5%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (9.4%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.0%)

AI: Hawkish FOMC dissents lowered 2026 cut odds; trend down.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 43.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.5%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (9.3%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (24.8%)

AI: No changes.
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 42.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.2%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (8.2%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (21.9%)

AI: Cut odds down; hawkish Fed dissents, strong inflation data.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 40.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.1%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (8.2%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (16.8%)

AI: Cuts 40.5%; Jun 4.1%, Jul 8.2%, Sep 16.8%; hawkish Fed.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 43.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.9%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (8.3%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (21.3%)

AI: Cut odds rise; monthly uptrend persists amid weak services.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 43.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.4%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (93.7%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (19.1%)

AI: July cut probability surged; Warsh nomination spurs dovish expectations.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 43.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.9%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (5.8%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (16.8%)

AI: Cut odds dip on strong jobs; weekly downtrend persists.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 43.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.5%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (6.9%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (19.6%)

AI: Cuts: 43.5% overall, July 6.9%, September 19.6%; hawkish Fed.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 46.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.0%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (6.9%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (25.7%)

AI: Odds: 46%, 2%, 7%, 26%; rise after weak payrolls.
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 44.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.1%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (7.5%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (32.0%)

AI: Cut odds marginally shifted lower after robust April jobs report.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 42.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.5%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (6.3%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (24.5%)

AI: Oil-driven inflation fears push 2026 cut odds lower.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 42.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.6%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (7.6%)

AI: Cut odds: 42.8%, June 2.6%, July 7.6%; CPI ahead. ([kiplinger.com](https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/economy/cpi-report-april-2026-what-to-expect?utm_source=openai))
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 34.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.8%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (6.9%)

AI: 34.7% cut odds after hot CPI trims expectations.
3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 30.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.8%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (5.4%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (23.8%)

AI: Rate-cut odds drop again on hawkish Fed, sticky inflation.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 30.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.6%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (5.3%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.8%)

AI: September cut odds dropped on hot April inflation; others unchanged.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 28.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.4%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.9%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.4%)

AI: Cut odds fell on strong retail sales; downtrend persists.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 30.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.3%)
🗓️ July: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.4%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.8%)

AI: Slightly higher cut odds after record-low consumer sentiment report.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 32.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.6%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (96.0%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (90.2%)

AI: Cut odds rise; Warsh confirmation fuels July cut expectations. ([axios.com](https://www.axios.com/2026/05/13/warsh-fed-senate-trump?utm_source=openai))
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 31.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.4%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.9%)
🗓️ September: ≥ 25 bps cut (9.9%)

AI: No changes.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 33.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.4%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (95.2%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (85.2%)

AI: Cut odds 33%, Jul 95%, Sep 85%; dovish minutes anticipation. ([heygotrade.com](https://www.heygotrade.com/en/blog/warsh-fomc-minutes-may-20-dissent-map/?utm_source=openai))
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 1 cuts: 32.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.6%)
🗓️ July: Any cut (94.5%)
🗓️ September: Any cut (85.5%)

AI: No changes.
1