fed rate cuts
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 49.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (15.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (54.0%)

AI: No changes.
3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 47.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (12.6%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (51.5%)

AI: Probabilities slightly lower; Waller's hawkish speech likely cause; downtrend persists.
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 46.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.3%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (9.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: No changes.
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 45.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.3%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.0%)

AI: No changes.
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 46.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.4%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (13.1%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.0%)

AI: Cut odds ticked up after Miran's dovish four-cuts remarks.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 45.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (14.6%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (56.0%)

AI: Weaker Q4 GDP raised June-cut odds, trimming total-cut expectations.
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 40.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.7%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (14.6%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: 40.8% chance ≥3 cuts; decline after strong jobs data.
4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 40.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.4%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.0%)

AI: Cut odds fall on hawkish Fed remarks, strong inflation data.
3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 59.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (12.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (34.0%)

AI: Current odds 59.5/2.1/12.2/34%; fall amid oil-price surge.
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 57.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.0%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.9%)

AI: Rate-cut odds dip again on robust jobs, hawkish rhetoric.
3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 57.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.0%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (32.2%)

AI: No changes.
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 60.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.3%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.5%)

AI: ≥2 cuts 60%; cut odds rose on weak jobs.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 57.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.4%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (36.4%)

AI: Cut odds dip on sticky inflation and stronger jobs data.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 56.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.3%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (13.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (35.4%)

AI: Weaker jobs report nudged April-cut odds higher; others little changed. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/075a0d33e0794b7c93b9b8a7302dab98?utm_source=openai))
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 57.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.6%)

AI: Cut probabilities inched up after weak February jobs report. ([comerica.com](https://www.comerica.com/insights/economic-insights/weekly-economic-insights/economic-weekly-march-9-2026.html))
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 55.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.0%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.0%)

AI: Today 55.5% chance two cuts; slight drop on CPI jitters.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 54.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (9.1%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: No changes.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 48.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (7.0%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (33.8%)

AI: Hot CPI data reduced cut odds; weekly decline persists.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 47.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.4%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (6.8%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (36.1%)

AI: Probabilities barely moved; June rise as analysts target mid-year cuts.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 48.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.3%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (6.8%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (33.3%)

AI: June cut odds dipped; oil surge heightens inflation concerns.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 2 cuts: 50.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.4%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.3%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (32.5%)

AI: Sticky inflation, resilient retail spending defer cuts, raising later odds.
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