Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 37.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.7%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (17.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (23.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.5%)

AI: Cut odds fell on strong retail sales; downward weekly trend.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 38.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (18.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.6%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.5%)

AI: Cut odds: 38.4%, 18.1%, 27.6%; rise after Miran remarks.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 38.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.6%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (28.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.8%)

AI: Bowman labor warning lifted March cut odds; rest steady.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 62.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.3%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.6%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (8.4%)

AI: ≥3 cuts odds 62.5%, boosted by Bowman’s dovish remarks.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 62.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.4%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (25.4%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.7%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 39.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (26.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (54.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.2%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 61.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.7%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (15.8%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (25.4%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (56.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.3%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 59.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.3%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (26.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (57.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.9%)

AI: Fed cut odds slightly dipped; strong jobless claims tempered expectations.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 59.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.7%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (16.7%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (28.1%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (58.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.9%)

AI: March cut odds fell after recent cautious Fed speeches.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 60.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (16.8%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (26.0%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (56.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.9%)

AI: Robust growth news trimmed April–June cut odds; otherwise minor.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 60.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (15.7%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (26.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (56.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.9%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 60.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (0.3%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (15.7%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (26.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (60.0%)
🗓️ January: Any cut (96.2%)

AI: 60.2% for ≥3 cuts; June 60% after confidence crash.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 59.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (9.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (23.8%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (61.5%)

AI: Fed hold trims ≥3 cuts 59.1%, March 9.2%, June 61.5%.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 60.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (8.8%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (21.1%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.5%)

AI: Powell's cautious stance delayed early cuts, boosting later-year expectations.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 48.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.7%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (13.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 49.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (15.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (54.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 47.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (12.6%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (51.5%)

AI: Probabilities slightly lower; Waller's hawkish speech likely cause; downtrend persists.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 46.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.3%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (9.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 45.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.3%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 46.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.4%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (13.1%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.0%)

AI: Cut odds ticked up after Miran's dovish four-cuts remarks.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 45.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (14.6%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (56.0%)

AI: Weaker Q4 GDP raised June-cut odds, trimming total-cut expectations.