Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 37.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (5.1%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (28.6%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (27.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (63.5%)
AI: Cut odds inch higher weekly, spurred by Miran's dovish remarks.
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 37.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (5.1%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (28.6%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (27.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (63.5%)
AI: Cut odds inch higher weekly, spurred by Miran's dovish remarks.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 41.4% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (4.5%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (23.2%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (27.9%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (52.5%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (11.0%)
AI: Four-cut odds 41%; weekly uptrend after benign CPI data.
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 41.4% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (4.5%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (23.2%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (27.9%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (52.5%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (11.0%)
AI: Four-cut odds 41%; weekly uptrend after benign CPI data.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 37.2% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (4.7%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (17.0%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (23.9%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (11.5%)
AI: Cut odds fell on strong retail sales; downward weekly trend.
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 37.2% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (4.7%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (17.0%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (23.9%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (11.5%)
AI: Cut odds fell on strong retail sales; downward weekly trend.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 38.4% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (4.0%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (18.1%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (27.6%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (10.5%)
AI: Cut odds: 38.4%, 18.1%, 27.6%; rise after Miran remarks.
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 38.4% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (4.0%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (18.1%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (27.6%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (10.5%)
AI: Cut odds: 38.4%, 18.1%, 27.6%; rise after Miran remarks.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 38.3% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (3.8%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (20.6%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (28.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.5%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (10.8%)
AI: Bowman labor warning lifted March cut odds; rest steady.
π’ β₯ 4 cuts: 38.3% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (3.8%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (20.6%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (28.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.5%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (10.8%)
AI: Bowman labor warning lifted March cut odds; rest steady.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 62.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (3.3%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (20.6%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (27.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (55.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (8.4%)
AI: β₯3 cuts odds 62.5%, boosted by Bowmanβs dovish remarks.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 62.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (3.3%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (20.6%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (27.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (55.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (8.4%)
AI: β₯3 cuts odds 62.5%, boosted by Bowmanβs dovish remarks.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 59.9% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (1.3%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (20.2%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (26.5%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (57.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
AI: Fed cut odds slightly dipped; strong jobless claims tempered expectations.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 59.9% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (1.3%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (20.2%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (26.5%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (57.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
AI: Fed cut odds slightly dipped; strong jobless claims tempered expectations.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 59.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.7%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (16.7%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (28.1%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (58.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
AI: March cut odds fell after recent cautious Fed speeches.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 59.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.7%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (16.7%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (28.1%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (58.0%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
AI: March cut odds fell after recent cautious Fed speeches.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 60.2% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.8%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (16.8%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (26.0%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (56.5%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
AI: Robust growth news trimmed AprilβJune cut odds; otherwise minor.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 60.2% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.8%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (16.8%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (26.0%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (56.5%)
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.9%)
AI: Robust growth news trimmed AprilβJune cut odds; otherwise minor.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 60.2% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.3%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (15.7%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (26.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (60.0%)
ποΈ January: Any cut (96.2%)
AI: 60.2% for β₯3 cuts; June 60% after confidence crash.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 60.2% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ January: β₯ 25 bps cut (0.3%)
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (15.7%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (26.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (60.0%)
ποΈ January: Any cut (96.2%)
AI: 60.2% for β₯3 cuts; June 60% after confidence crash.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 59.1% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (9.2%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (23.8%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (61.5%)
AI: Fed hold trims β₯3 cuts 59.1%, March 9.2%, June 61.5%.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 59.1% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (9.2%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (23.8%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (61.5%)
AI: Fed hold trims β₯3 cuts 59.1%, March 9.2%, June 61.5%.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 60.6% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (8.8%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (21.1%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.5%)
AI: Powell's cautious stance delayed early cuts, boosting later-year expectations.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 60.6% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (8.8%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (21.1%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.5%)
AI: Powell's cautious stance delayed early cuts, boosting later-year expectations.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 48.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (3.7%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (13.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
AI: No changes.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 48.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (3.7%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (13.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
AI: No changes.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 49.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (3.1%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (15.5%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (54.0%)
AI: No changes.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 49.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (3.1%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (15.5%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (54.0%)
AI: No changes.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 47.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (2.9%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (12.6%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (51.5%)
AI: Probabilities slightly lower; Waller's hawkish speech likely cause; downtrend persists.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 47.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (2.9%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (12.6%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (51.5%)
AI: Probabilities slightly lower; Waller's hawkish speech likely cause; downtrend persists.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 46.9% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (2.3%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (9.9%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (50.0%)
AI: No changes.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 46.9% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (2.3%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (9.9%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (50.0%)
AI: No changes.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 45.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (2.3%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (49.0%)
AI: No changes.
π’ β₯ 3 cuts: 45.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
ποΈ March: β₯ 25 bps cut (2.3%)
ποΈ April: β₯ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
ποΈ June: β₯ 25 bps cut (49.0%)
AI: No changes.
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