From (15:50) Today:

~ ✈️1x TU-22M3 took off from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region at 15:40 UA time
~ ✈️1x TU-22M3 took off from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region at 15:50 UA time
~✈️1x TU-95MS took off from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region at 19:01 UA time

🇷🇺Russia has used a record breaking amount of jet powered Geran-type kamikaze drones against Brovary, Kyiv region today

~ 🛵60+ Geran-3/4 drones
~📍targetting warehouses and other infrastructure
~ Attack has been ongoing since the morning

🟡Attack Continues

Image from Brovary, Kyiv region

🇷🇺✈️Russian strategic bombers from Ukrainka air base, Amur region are likely relocating to Engels-2/Olenya air bases during the night/morning

~ ✈️Up to 7x TU-95MS
~ ✈️up to 3x TU-160M is combat ready from Ukrainka air base, Amur region
~ 🚀up to 40x KH-101 cruise missiles (estimate)

ℹ️More information in the morning when this gets more clear

🔴The 'new' 48 hour warning for a possible large scale attack on Ukraine is likely do to these aircraft

✈️🛫They are now starting to move from Ukrainka air base, Amur region towards Olenya/Engels-2 air bases in western Russia.

🟡up to 6x TU-95MS

Upd: 2x TU-95MS has landed at Olenya, 4 more to go.
Upd: 2x TU-95MS has landed at Olenya, 2 more to go
upd: 2x TU-95MS has landed at Olenya, All 6 has landed

🔴A large scale combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine is highly likely tonight

✈️6x TU-95MS from Ukrainka air base, Amur region are relocating to Olenya air base, Murmansk region
~ All aircraft equipped with a unknown number of 🚀KH-101 cruise missiles

🚌Several Iskander-M/Bastion-M systems has also prepared for this attack

🛵Several Geran-3/4 drones (🛵Geran-2s)

🚢🚢possible involvment of naval assets from the Caspian flotilla. Black sea fleet unknown.

📍targets unknown

Note: Things can change

🔴✈️🛫2-3x TU-160M from Ukrainka air base, Amur region is in the air

~ Flying west towards missile launch site(s)
~ 🚀 Missile launches after midnight

❗️Large scale combined missile and drone attack has begun

❗Several Iskander-M/KN-23 has struck Kyiv coming from Bryansk region, Russia

❗Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles have been launched from Kursk region, Russia towards Kyiv

❗A significant number of KN-23s being used

❗Kalibr cruise missiles launched from Novorossiysk, Russia

❗️Black sea fleet still active

🚀6x Kalibr cruise missiles launched

🚢Missiles were launched from a Buyan-M

Several 🇰🇵North Korean KN-23 ballistic missiles were used against Kyiv.


🚀2x Kalibr cruise missiles also managed to strike Kyiv while others were shot down or hit other areas

⚡Power outages all over Crimea

❌🎥