📍A new target in Novorossiysk deeper in the port has now been struck several times

~ S-300/400 were out of missiles a long time ago
~ 2x Pantsir-1 are empty
- Possible 3

❗️This is the Largest attack on Novorossiysk, Russia since Ukraine started attacking the city

🔴Attack is still ongoing

*forgot watermark - long day/long night*

🚀Kalibr cruise missiles won't be fired from Novorossiysk in awhile - Word on the street

~ BDA later today (Magyar's Birds)

🔴According to HUR this has now increased to 6200x Geran type kamikaze drones 🛵🛵

Source: https://militarnyi.com/uk/news/rosiya-nakopychyla-6-2-tysyachi-droniv-kamikadze-geran/

🟡Increased threat for a ballistic/cruise missile attack on Kyiv tonight in the next 24 hours

- Includes Kyiv region

Time:
~ 23:00 - 02:00 Ukranian time

🇺🇦Ukranian FP-1/2 kamikaze drones are attacking Sevastopol, Crimea

⚡Power outages in Sevastopol and the surrounding area

✈️Unknown number of TU-22M3 has taken off from Olenya air base, Murmansk region heading south

upd: Just 1x TU-22M3 for now
upd: 2x TU-22M3 (Possible 3)
upd: Flew back to Olenya air base, Murmansk region after training

🟡Possible medium sized missile attack on Kyiv and the region in the next 48 hours

Possible use of:
~ 🚀Iskander-M/KN-23
~ 🚀Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles
~ 🛵Geran-3/4

Note: Claims that Ukraine struck Iskander-M positions in Bryansk region, Russia last night. This can't be verified yet do to the lack of footage and information from other sources.

🇷🇺Russian strategic bomber and transport movement

- ✈️1x Il-76MD/78M landed at Engels-2 air base, Saratov region during the morning
~ Took off from Engels-2 at 11:20 UA time

- ✈️2x TU-95MS landed at Engels-2 and continued training in Saratov region (Both aircraft came from Olenya air base, Murmansk region)
~ Both will fly back to Olenya air base, Saratov region in the evening/night

- ✈️1x TU-22M3 Flew over Engels-2 air base, Saratov region at 06:50 UA time
~ Unknown if it landed at Engels-2

ℹ️TU-95MS training has been ongoing since the start of August and will continue until the end of August involving 2 or more aircraft.

(19:02) ✈️1x TU-95MS from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region heading to Olenya air base, Murmansk region
(00:xx) ✈️1x TU-95MS from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region heading to Olenya air base, Murmansk region

From (15:50) Today:

~ ✈️1x TU-22M3 took off from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region at 15:40 UA time
~ ✈️1x TU-22M3 took off from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region at 15:50 UA time
~✈️1x TU-95MS took off from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region at 19:01 UA time

🇷🇺Russia has used a record breaking amount of jet powered Geran-type kamikaze drones against Brovary, Kyiv region today

~ 🛵60+ Geran-3/4 drones
~📍targetting warehouses and other infrastructure
~ Attack has been ongoing since the morning

🟡Attack Continues

Image from Brovary, Kyiv region

🇷🇺✈️Russian strategic bombers from Ukrainka air base, Amur region are likely relocating to Engels-2/Olenya air bases during the night/morning

~ ✈️Up to 7x TU-95MS
~ ✈️up to 3x TU-160M is combat ready from Ukrainka air base, Amur region
~ 🚀up to 40x KH-101 cruise missiles (estimate)

ℹ️More information in the morning when this gets more clear

🔴The 'new' 48 hour warning for a possible large scale attack on Ukraine is likely do to these aircraft

✈️🛫They are now starting to move from Ukrainka air base, Amur region towards Olenya/Engels-2 air bases in western Russia.

🟡up to 6x TU-95MS

Upd: 2x TU-95MS has landed at Olenya, 4 more to go.
Upd: 2x TU-95MS has landed at Olenya, 2 more to go
upd: 2x TU-95MS has landed at Olenya, All 6 has landed

🔴A large scale combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine is highly likely tonight

✈️6x TU-95MS from Ukrainka air base, Amur region are relocating to Olenya air base, Murmansk region
~ All aircraft equipped with a unknown number of 🚀KH-101 cruise missiles

🚌Several Iskander-M/Bastion-M systems has also prepared for this attack

🛵Several Geran-3/4 drones (🛵Geran-2s)

🚢🚢possible involvment of naval assets from the Caspian flotilla. Black sea fleet unknown.

📍targets unknown

Note: Things can change

🔴✈️🛫2-3x TU-160M from Ukrainka air base, Amur region is in the air

~ Flying west towards missile launch site(s)
~ 🚀 Missile launches after midnight

❗️Large scale combined missile and drone attack has begun