🔍🇺🇸 Goldman and Citi anticipate a rate hike by the Federal Reserve at the meeting on September 16. Players estimate the probability of the Fed rate hike in the upcoming week has exceeded 86%—according to CME FedWatch data. Ahead of the FOMC meeting, Trump reiterated that the U.S. should have the lowest interest rates in the world.
⚠️🛢️ Regional talks initially set for September 14 in Oman, involving Iran, Iraq, and other neighboring nations to discuss safe commercial shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz, have been postponed in the "interest of reaching a consensus."
⚠️ In a meeting with Republican leadership in Dublin, Donald Trump discussed the unification of Ireland. He also announced plans to lift U.S. tariffs on Irish whiskey. Previously, Trump backed Argentina's claim over the Falkland Islands, which Britain considers its own. Experts view these actions as a significant U.S. move against Britain. The Telegraph reports that leaders from Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland will discuss exiting the UK on September 14.
🚫🛢 Saudi Arabia's oil reserves for sale are rapidly depleting due to a blockade by Yemeni Houthis in the Red Sea, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, damage to refineries and the key East-West pipeline, as well as ongoing attacks on Saudi Aramco's infrastructure, analysts report.
🇷🇺🇪🇹 Russia has initiated a "constructive dialogue" with Ethiopia regarding the supply of fertilizers, according to Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut, reports VESTI.
Russia experienced deflation in August, with prices decreasing by 0.08%, according to Rosstat. This figure was slightly below economists' forecast of a 0.09% decline and represents the first monthly deflation since August 2025. Meanwhile, annual inflation increased to 6.33% in August, up from 5.98% in July. Rosstat also confirmed a 1.3% year-over-year GDP growth for Russia in the second quarter, following a 0.2% contraction in the first quarter.
CNN reported yesterday on the damage sustained by Saudi Arabia's "East-West" oil pipeline.
A Russian representative is scheduled to attend the G20 energy summit in Houston next week, according to the White House and RTRS.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has adjusted its oil market forecast, lowering the projected global demand for 2026 by 2.5 million barrels per day to 102.45 million barrels. This expected decrease reflects patterns seen during the oil crises of the 1970s as well as the economic shocks of 2008 and 2020. In August, global oil supply declined by 1.6 million barrels per day to 100.1 million barrels, influenced by tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea.
Aeroflot Group's passenger traffic for the first eight months of 2026 decreased by 0.1%, reaching a total of 37.4 million passengers, according to a recent report. Passenger flow in August declined by 1.3% year-on-year, impacted by flight restrictions.
U.S. lawmakers are currently deliberating the introduction of "AI emergency stop buttons" as a measure to manage potential situations in which artificial intelligence systems may become uncontrollable.
Yemeni Houthi forces have assumed full control of the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, according to reports from AFP and Tasnim.
Saudi Arabia's critical East-West oil pipeline, which bypasses the Strait of Hormuz, reportedly sustained damage. On September 10, the Ansarullah movement, led by Houthi forces, is said to have carried out a successful attack on the pipeline. This important infrastructure transports crude oil from Abqaiq to Yanbu on the Red Sea coast. Official confirmation of the incident has not yet been provided.