Last night, our growth scenario played out. Not only did Bitcoin show good dynamics, but the altcoin market also performed well.
Several fundamental factors contributing to the growth:
◼ Capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have approached their maximum levels again.
◼ The SEC has sent requests to update applications for Ethereum ETFs. Experts estimate a 75% chance of approval.
◼ The U.S. House of Representatives will vote on a bill to regulate cryptocurrency as a commodity.
What I expect from the market in the near future:
Institutional interest in altcoins is growing. We can already see the reaction on the dominance chart. As before, I expect the market to continue growing and the altseason to begin.
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◼ The year 2017 is long gone. Coins no longer shoot up thousands of percent just by launching. However, genuinely strong projects still provide good returns, and such projects are emerging right now.
◼ The chart highlights the period when the most promising and profitable coins of the last cycle were released. $MATIC, $SAND, $SOL, $AVAX - all entered the market amid the Bitcoin halving hype.
◼ Developers know this is the best period - the cycle is just beginning, and the growth potential is enormous. Therefore, new coins that people have been waiting for years are coming out now - $STRK, $ZK, and $ZETA.
P.S. Investing in new projects should be approached with caution. If you are offered to buy a "new promising coin" on Uniswap with promises of a quick listing on Binance, they are trying to scam you. Never buy such tokens.
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After a correction of over 50%, buyers have re-entered the market, and $APT is preparing to form a new uptrend.
◼ On the four-hour timeframe, $APT has formed a descending triangle, broken through its upper boundary, and has already consolidated above it. Judging by the outflow of $APT from exchanges, a large buyer is taking advantage of the market pullback to accumulate positions.
I believe we will soon see a retest of the upper boundary of the symmetrical triangle and a continuation of the recovery.
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They all share the same market maker - DWF Labs. The scenario often follows an identical pattern.
◼ The project signs a market-making agreement with DWF Labs and transfers large volumes to its address;
◼ The announcement of the collaboration triggers a pump;
◼ The funding becomes astronomical;
◼ After accumulating funding volumes, a final pump follows, often around 300-400% to maximize profits.
The latest example is $PEOPLE, which soared by 160% just in the past week.
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In the past few months, $BNB has shown some of the best performance among top altcoins. The technical picture indicates complete buyer dominance.
◼ Take note - during the recent market correction, many altcoins lost over 60%. Meanwhile, $BNB only retraced 20% and stayed above the 50MA on the daily chart - even the $BTC market doesn't show such trend strength.
In the medium term, I expect $BNB to continue its growth.
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As we discussed yesterday, the crypto market is highly manipulative. While traders were expecting a pump on the news, the market had its own plans. The result – over $400 billion liquidated in a day.
The launch of the Ethereum ETF won’t lead to an instant pump but rather a prolonged alt season. And honestly, I prefer this scenario.
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One of the recently released coins with the potential to enter the top 50 on CMC during the upcoming altseason.
On strong volumes, $ZK has broken out of a month-long accumulation range and has already consolidated above it. Over the next few months, I expect it to reach new ATHs.
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With the Fed lowering interest rates, this money will flow into risky assets. That's why I talk so much about the key rate.
Take a look at the chart: the bond market turnover reached a record $6 trillion by the end of last year. Investors prefer to earn 5% risk-free rather than risking it in the stock or crypto markets.
Lowering rates will make holding cash a much less attractive alternative to investing in the markets.
According to a BlackRock report, the average cash yield of 4.5-5% significantly lags behind other assets, including Bitcoin. And this is before the rate cuts. The company writes:
In 2024, clients should allocate funds to innovative assets that can provide decent returns.
Reading between the lines:
By the way, we recently launched an ETF, so now you know where to invest your money.
Imagine the market capitalization by the end of 2024 if such a volume comes from the bond market alone.
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Let's start the workweek with an update on the market situation:
The technical picture for $BTC suggests continued growth. The coin has held above the descending trendline on the daily chart and is trading above the 50MA. In the near future, I expect a recovery above $70,000. Additionally, if the trend of falling dominance continues, we will see excellent dynamics for altcoins this week.
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For over a month, the coin has been in a downtrend. It has now broken through the trendline and consolidated above it.
Judging by the accumulation volumes, the nearest resistance at $8.22 is unlikely to hold in the near future. If this is the case, we might see a local 5-wave rising structure.
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Bitcoin dominance is one of the key metrics I closely monitor. When this indicator is rising, it signifies money flowing from altcoins into $BTC, and vice versa. It's a highly reliable market oscillator.
Supporting this are not only the technical dominance patterns but also the rising interest of large players. Since the adoption of the Ethereum ETF, the inflow of top-50 altcoins into wallets with a balance of more than 10 $BTC has doubled.
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One of the recently launched coins with the potential to break into the top 50 on CMC during the upcoming altseason.
On strong volumes, $ZK has broken out of a month-long accumulation range and has already consolidated above it. Over the next few months, I expect it to reach new ATH.
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Despite the market correction, the capitalization is consolidating above the upper limit of the ascending channel at the $2.1T, showing the sustainability of the trend.
What does it mean for the market?
I believe current correction might transform into another accumulation period for $BTC with institutionals continuing to load up ahead of bull run, with increased interest towards $ETH and altcoins.
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Over the past few months, $BNB has shown some of the best performance among top altcoins. The technical outlook indicates complete buyer dominance.
In the medium term, I expect $BNB to continue its growth.
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After an initial surge, #ENA entered a correction phase, forming a descending structure.
Not only is the technicals, the fundamental picture for #ENA looks promising as well. The development company continues to receive support from funds, and the daily active wallets just reached an all-time high.
I see #ENA as a potential leader in the upcoming rally.
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As you may have noticed, I mosly trade spot. A common DM question - 'Why no futures signals?'. Another popular one - 'Which exchange do you trade on?'.
Today, I'll answer these, especially since they're interconnected. To make it clear - I operate solely on decentralized exchanges (DEX). Couple of key reasons:
◼ Leverage benefits exchanges, not traders. It's no secret that Binance sells data on its clients' open positions to market makers. Armed with all the info about you, they trade against your money.
Constant manipulations with hundreds of millions $ liquidated is the result.
◼ Not your keys, not your crypto. On CEX, you're trusting a third party with your assets. There's no guarantee (and I'm saying this from personal experience) - it can go bankrupt, your funds could be blocked, and withdrawals might be suspended at the worst possible time.
When I'm trading, my money doesn't even leave my ledger, so I'm always in control. No passport pics or income statements are needed for withdrawals.
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This month, #ARB is getting ready to unlock tokens for the investor team. To secure the best exit liquidity for big players, MM will likely initiate a price acceleration.
We've seen a similar scenario several weeks before Solana's unlocks in 2021, with #SOL peaking at around $260. Post-unlocks, a bearish rally begun. Identical price reactions were observed before the unlocks of #APT and #SUI.
The technical outlook for #ARB also hints at continued growth. Having secured above the parallel channel, the coin is accumulating volumes to continue the uptrend. A consolidation above will serve as a key confirmation for sustained growth.
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As Bitcoin accumulating volumes above the descending structure, market interest keeps shifting. The formula remains consistent:
Bitcoin → High Cap Altcoin → Low Cap Altcoins
While #BTC struggles to break beyond ATH levels, the altcoin market shows robust dynamics with #BNB and #ETH leading the charts. Several factors influence this fundamentally:
◼ The supply of stablecoins has surged by over $15b in the last 3 months.
◼ More altcoins are being added to Grayscale's institutional portfolios.
◼ Rumors of next ETF pushing high institutional liquidity assets higher.
A bull rally is coming. However, as always, before Bitcoin experiences parabolic growth, we'll see high volume price action in the altcoin market.
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With a powerful rally, #BNB has approached our first target, setting a new ATH around $710. Those who followed my recommendation are now sitting on a +20% pure profit.
Now, #BNB is in the price discovery phase, with the next significant resistance at $800, where a solid seller order block is located.
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Since its launch, #ETHFI has soared over 3000%. Despite recent months of correction, #ETHFI has managed to stay above key resistance levels and is gearing up for a new uptrend.
I expect further growth either from the current levels or following a retest at $4.50. My medium-term targets are $7.07 and $8.40.
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Although I usually trade spot, Bitcoin's high market cap makes it difficult to achieve significant returns in the short term. To get a x2-x3 on #BTC using leverage is necessary.
Leverage: 20-25x
Entry: $71100 - $70400
TPs: $73300, $75500
Stop: $68304
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