🇮🇷 | Iranian Army Public Relations:

In response to what it described as the repeated acts of aggression and treaty violations by the “Great Satan,” the Iranian Army, during the early hours of today, carried out the 19th phase of Operation Saeqeh.

The operation employed suicide drones to target:

• Administrative buildings and direction-finding antennas at Camp Arifjan.

• A helicopter parking area at Camp Al Udairi.

• A troop accommodation building at Ahmad Al Jaber Air Base, Kuwait.

Camp Arifjan is one of the largest U.S. troop deployment and Army command centers in Southwest Asia, while Camp Al Udairi hosts Apache, Chinook, and Black Hawk helicopters operated by U.S. naval and air forces.

Ahmad Al Jaber Air Base plays a central role in U.S. military logistics and support operations in West Asia and serves as a key hub for U.S. air and surveillance missions.

The Iranian Army further stated that regional security has been disrupted by the actions of U.S. forces, and that the Armed Forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran are seeking to restore security and stability to the region through their military operations against the United States.

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🇮🇱 🇱🇧 | Israeli attacks continued across southern Lebanon yesterday. Enemy warplanes carried out an airstrike on Al-Manzouriya, while artillery shelling targeted Upper Nabatieh, Kafr Tibnit, and Al-Manzouriya. The Israeli army also conducted demolition explosions in Beit Yahoun, Deir Seryan, Al-Tayri, Kafr Tibnit, Al-Taybeh, and Zawtar. Sweeping operations were reported toward Hadatha, Majdal Zoun, and western Zawtar, accompanied by gunfire toward the Bayt Siyad area and the throwing of sound bombs in Baraashit and Al-Manzouriya. Israeli forces also set houses on fire in Kafr Tibnit.

▪️@enemywatch

▫️ | IRGC breaks malign analyses and efforts to disrepute its military brilliance by both enemies and friends:

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has actively challenged months of hostile narratives, media skepticism, and internal critiques from both enemies and friends who sought to frame its military capabilities as diminished or ineffective during this war. In its official communiques, specifically Statements No. 33 through 38, the IRGC Aerospace Force openly acknowledged that its strikes were conducted “as part of the continued punitive operations by the IRGC Aerospace Force, and in order to clear the way by eliminating obstacles to future large-scale air and missile operations.” This marks a major strategic shift, as Tehran has abandoned its historical policy of strategic ambiguity to publicly articulate the explicit operational logic driving its campaign.

During the initial phases of the war, many analysts and military commentators frequently dismissed the IRGC’s measured targeting as a sign of hesitation or capability gaps; however, a closer examination reveals that this pacing was governed by strict escalation management. Amid active backchannel communications intended to prevent an uncontainable regional war, the Iranian Armed Forces calibrated their strike volume to avoid uncontrolled disruption, minimize collateral damage, and prevent an immediate full-scale escalation.

Rather than expending maximum force in an emotional surge, Iranian military command executed a tactical, highly calculated posture designed to preserve strategic flexibility while steadily shaping the battlespace.

This gradual methodology was clearly demonstrated in recent targeted strikes on forward regional installations, such as operations impacting facilities at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. During these initial strikes, Iranian forces intentionally focused on long-range early-warning radar arrays, demonstrating precise defense-suppression capabilities while withholding their full missile capacity.

Subsequent waves systematically expanded target sets to include aircraft shelters, maintenance hangars, fueling logistics, and drone control infrastructure, proving that this multi-week campaign was a methodical shaping operation designed to systematically degrade regional air defense and logistics networks rather than exhaust critical arsenals in single-wave engagements.

As the war evolves, this approach highlights how the IRGC has transitioned from passive, message-oriented deterrence toward active punitive degradation. By focusing on dismantling early-warning sensors and forward-basing infrastructure in neighboring areas, the IRGC aims to eliminate operational bottlenecks prior to any prospective high-intensity campaign, signaling complete operational readiness for broader wartime scenarios, including high-intensity strategic threats.

Ultimately, the central lesson for military analysts, political commentators, and defense strategists is the danger of evaluating performance during war based purely on immediate tactical optics or short-term strike volumes. Analysts who mistook Iran’s early restraint for a lack of military capacity failed to recognize the classic distinction between operational delay and strategic weakness, proving that effective military analysis requires looking beyond initial wave counts to understand long-term shaping operations and how force is applied over time to achieve structural objectives.

At least choose a side. Stand with either your enemy or your friend, but never remain in the grey zone. Neutrality in decisive moments often serves those who create the conflict, while conviction, even when difficult, gives direction and purpose.

🔹@enemywatch

—The main reason Julani continues to buy time, day and night, is Turkey. This is not because Turkey opposes American demands to impose its preferred actors over Lebanon, but because Ankara knows it could be next. Turkey remains deeply concerned about renewed Kurdish operations orchestrated by the Americans and Israelis. From Ankara’s perspective, once the current front reaches a certain stage, Turkey itself could become the next arena of pressure and destabilization.

Following Trump’s visit, which appeared to offer Erdogan enough political concessions, it now seems increasingly possible that Turkey may allow its proxies to become involved in attacks on the Shiite border villages of Lebanon. At the same time, the continued demolition of villages, forced displacement of Syrian Shiites, and demographic engineering have been unfolding under the cover of limited international media attention. These developments should not be viewed as isolated incidents but as part of a broader strategic effort to reshape the region before the next phase of the conflict begins.

Iran’s strike on the Al-Tanf base, which hosted fled American personnel, commanders, and troops, was not merely another retaliatory operation. It served as a strategic message that Tehran is prepared to expand the geographical scope of its operations whenever necessary. By striking one of America’s most sensitive forward positions in Syria, Iran confirmed that it possesses the willingness to target military infrastructure far beyond, even signaling that locations deep inside occupied Syria, including around the occupied Presidential Palace in Damascus, are within its reach.

Turkey now faces a strategic decision. Entering the conflict directly through its proxies may provide short-term tactical gains, but it also risks accelerating the very regional confrontation Ankara has sought to avoid. Remaining outside the war, however, may come at the cost of losing influence over the rapidly evolving regional balance. The coming days are therefore likely to determine whether Turkey continues to balance between competing powers or becomes an active participant in the next phase of the war.

🔹@enemywatch

🇮🇷 | IRGC STATEMENTS 38-39:

—No. 38

With the help of Almighty Allah, and as part of the ongoing operation to eliminate radar and air defense systems in the region, clear the way for broader missile and drone attacks, and complete the enemy’s “dark radar night,” the brave fighters of the IRGC Aerospace Force, during the continuation of the 24th wave of Operation Nasr 2, carried out a missile strike against a U.S. military base in Jordan. The strike destroyed a missile defense radar system and an F-15 fighter aircraft inside its hardened aircraft shelter.

This region is not a place for U.S. forces, and that the U.S. military should withdraw from the region to avoid further casualties. A detailed report on this punitive operation will be released to the people of Iran in due course.

—No. 39

The IRGC Aerospace Force, during the continuation of the 24th wave of Operation Nasr 2, carried out a cruise missile strike against Amazon’s central data infrastructure in Bahrain. The strike was conducted in response to the U.S. military’s attacks the previous day against the under-construction civilian facilities in Darkhoveyn, and the targeted facility was destroyed.

🔻@enemywatch

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🇮🇷 | IRGC as of now:

Targeted locations in IRGC Statements No. 34-39

🇰🇼 | Kuwait

• Camp Arifjan

Long-range radar site
Communications center
Satellite reception systems
Missile defense radar

• Ali Al Salem (Sālim) Air Base

MQ-9 drone hangar
Several MQ-9 drones destroyed or severely damaged

• Ahmad Al Jaber Air Base

Early warning radar
Missile defense radar system
FPS-117 radar
Patriot air defense system
Satellite communications system supporting U.S. air defenses

• Strait of Hormuz (southern route)

Two oil tankers reportedly caught fire after explosions and were forced to stop

🇧🇭 | Bahrain

• Muharraq

U.S. radar installation
U.S. air defense system

• Riffa

Patriot air defense system

• Amazon central data infrastructure

Central data infrastructure struck by cruise missiles and reported destroyed

🇯🇴 | Jordan

• U.S. military base

Missile defense radar system
F-15 fighter aircraft destroyed inside a hardened aircraft shelter

🌊 | Strait of Hormuz

IRGC states the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to maritime traffic.
Two commercial oil tankers were reportedly disabled after explosions while attempting to transit the southern route.

🔻@enemywatch

—High chances of hundreds of dead and injured among U.S. forces following Iranian attacks.

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🇮🇷/ 🏴| Sunni Friday prayer leader assassinated in Mirjaveh:

At around 4:00 a.m. on Monday, 29 Tir, Molavi Mohammad Anwar Rigi (r), the Sunni Friday prayer leader of Ali ibn Abi Talib Mosque in Mirjaveh, of Iran was assassinated by unidentified assailants.

Mostafa Mohami, the representative of Imam Mujtaba Khamenei for Sunni affairs in Sistan and Baluchestan Province, stated:

“With profound sorrow and grief, I received the news of the oppressed martyrdom of Molavi Mohammad Anwar Rigi, the Sunni Friday prayer leader of Mirjaveh, following the cowardly attack carried out by terrorist elements. I extend my condolences to his respected family, the community of Sunni scholars, and the noble people of Sistan and Baluchestan, and pray to Almighty Allah to grant him the highest ranks and bestow patience and abundant reward upon his loved ones.”

“The late martyr, Molavi Mohammad Anwar Rigi, was always a figure loyal to the ideals of the Islamic Revolution and a steadfast bridge between religion and national unity. His revolutionary record and fearless defense of the path of the Islamic Revolution remained unshaken despite the relentless media campaigns and smear efforts by the enemies of the Revolution. Through wisdom and perseverance, he demonstrated that his commitment to Pure Muhammadan Islam and Islamic unity was sincere and unwavering.”

“He consistently defended the discourse of the Islamic Revolution and raised his voice in support of the oppressed people of Gaza. During the recent imposed war, he stood alongside the nation and defended the dignity and territorial integrity of this land, proving that the unity between the Shi’a and Sunni communities of Iran runs far deeper than any attempts by the enemy to sow division.”

“The enemies of this nation have been deeply enraged by the recent victories of the Axis of Resistance across the region. Their anger intensified after witnessing the massive participation of the people, particularly Sunni scholars, in the grand funeral procession of the Martyr Imam. The usurping Zionist regime and its American backers, driven by this resentment, committed this crime, unaware that such assassinations will achieve nothing except strengthening the determination and unity of the Iranian nation.”

“We regard the martyrdom of this devoted scholar as an honor and pray that his pure blood will become a beacon for the unity and awakening of the Iranian nation.”

🔹@enemywatch

🇮🇷 | Footage of a combined IRGC operation employing missiles and drones, including solid-fuel and liquid-fuel missiles as well as cruise missiles, to carry out intensive and effective strikes against U.S. positions across the region during the second phase of Operation Nasr 2.

🔻@enemywatch

🇮🇷 | The first-time release of a picture of Imam Mujtaba Khamenei (H).

🔻@enemywatch

—The Israelis and Americans are once again repeating narratives that no country, organization, or so-called human rights institution has ever dared to seriously challenge. From Trump repeating claims about the killing of protesters by Iranian forces to renewed allegations about the presence of enriched uranium and enrichment centrifuges inside tunnels beneath Pickaxe Mountain last autumn, the narrative is once again being prepared. Following these claims, they are most probably planning to target this mountain, possibly even by using nuclear weapons. If that happens, an extremely dangerous scenario may unfold.

A nuclear strike aimed at an underground target would require either a surface or subterranean detonation. Such an explosion would pulverize hundreds of thousands of tons of rock and soil into highly radioactive debris and dust, creating severe radioactive fallout that could drift downwind over central Iran, major urban centers, and potentially neighboring Persian Gulf states depending on wind patterns. If the facility housed radioactive materials, such as enriched uranium, the explosion and resulting ground displacement would risk spreading radiological contamination into the surrounding atmosphere and local water table. Whether such an attack is technically possible or not, it would completely destroy the remaining moral claims of those carrying it out, as it would amount to the destruction of another country’s decades of scientific work and national assets before the eyes of the world. It would also erase the last remaining thread of the claim that any humanity still exists. At the same time, such an act would almost certainly push Iran toward a response that could be unprecedented and unpredictable.

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