🇾🇪 : 📌 | Numerous reports had previously indicated that Saudi Arabia sought to appease the Ansar Allah movement in exchange for ensuring its non-involvement in the ongoing war with Iran and for not closing the Bab al-Mandab Strait or targeting Saudi territory. However, Ansar Allah did not view itself as a party eager to enter the conflict, but rather as a strategic card that should only be played at the moment when its impact reaches its maximum. Hence, its limited and delayed participation was closer to a calculated deterrent message than to comprehensive involvement in the war. The movement was also not prepared for a wide confrontation due to the repercussions of the American-Israeli campaign on Yemen and the damage it caused, in addition to the field changes on the Yemeni scene, including the decline of Emirati influence and the growing Saudi role. Therefore, the movement and Iran were aware of these realities, and the decision not to enter the conflict through its widest doors was, from their point of view, the wisest option.

Now, perhaps after completing preparations, compensating for some losses, and understanding the changes on the Yemeni ground, the first Iranian plane arrived days ago to break the air blockade imposed on Sana’a, which angered Saudi Arabia. No sooner had the impact of the first flight passed than a second Iranian plane attempted to land in Sana’a today, but Saudi warplanes bombed the airport runway, forcing the aircraft to change its destination and land in Hodeidah.

What does this mean?

These developments often indicate that the Ansar Allah movement and Iran have begun activating the Yemeni front by using air travel as a means to challenge the blockade imposed on Sana’a. The movement had also escalated its pressure on Saudi Arabia to demand the lifting of the blockade until matters reached the stage of operating Iranian flights, alongside previous serious threats to resume fighting if the blockade continued. Therefore, the next stage may witness, even without the return of the war with Iran in its previous form, escalatory steps such as closing the Bab al-Mandab Strait or targeting Saudi oil facilities. This would mean returning to the same targets that were bombed during the war, but this time in a different context based on drawing Saudi Arabia into an escalatory path by breaking the equation of air deterrence imposed in Yemen.

Now, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the scene has become more complex, as the cost of any confrontation between Ansar Allah and Saudi Arabia would rise for America and its allies, whether through its effect on oil prices or by disrupting navigation and trade in the world’s most important maritime passages. Therefore, it seems that the landing of the Iranian plane was not merely a routine flight, but a step that could turn into a strategic trap in which Saudi Arabia finds itself facing the consequences, which it deserves.

🔹@enemywatch

🇮🇱 | The IOF site in the town of Maroun al-Ras has been transformed into an advanced operational base for the occupation after its bulldozers carried out extensive earthworks, completely altering the surrounding landscape. Perched atop the strategic hill overlooking Bint Jbeil and its surrounding areas, the headquarters now exercises extensive visual and fire control through observation towers capable of monitoring the entire Bint Jbeil District. The site is further reinforced by earthen berms, massive bunkers, and air defense batteries designed to protect the position.

It is now clear that the IOF is not planning to withdraw from or leave these locations, but rather to remain there. Entire areas and buildings have been razed to the ground, with a level of destruction and widespread clearing comparable to the intensity seen in Gaza. Yet, the issue has not received the same level of seriousness or public protest. Any solution that the Iranian negotiators claim to pursue has so far not been able to stop this. The only remaining option is resistance and coordinated joint military operations.

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🇮🇷 | Seyyed Mahmoud Nabavian, who served as the First Deputy Chairman of the National Security Commission during the first two years of the 12th Parliament, and Ebrahim Rezaei, who served as the Commission’s spokesperson during the same period, do not hold any positions in the commission under its new composition. If the Iranian Parliament means this, then those who took a stand to criticize the government’s irrelevant policies are no longer part of it.

🔹@enemywatch

🇮🇷 | In a new development, Mr. Ebrahim Azizi has been re-elected as Chairman of the Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Committee for another one-year term.

During the elections for the committee’s leadership board in the Islamic Consultative Assembly, Ebrahim Azizi secured another year as chairman. Abbas Moghtadaei, the representative of Isfahan, was elected as the First Vice Chairman, while Amir Hayat Moghaddam, the representative of Omidiyeh, Bandar Mahshahr, and Hendijan, was elected as the Second Vice Chairman.

The committee also elected Hassan Qashqavi as its spokesperson.

🔹@enemywatch

🇮🇷 | Major General Safavi: Fifteen years ago, the martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution Imam Sayyid Ali Khamenei viewed the closure of the Strait of Hormuz as a strategic tool.

🔹@enemywatch