Enemy Watch — Official
+ (8/10): second point. Today it is incorrect to say that only one party is being targeted, or one sect, or the south, or specific regions. This targeting is directed against the entire homeland. Otherwise, what does it mean that we are one country, that…
+
(9/10):
I say to the Lebanese officials: explain to them that you cannot pressure your own people and the people of your country, because they have given a great deal, sacrifices, martyrs, wounded, and prisoners. Tell them plainly, “We cannot.” Why does some want to expose their shoulders and say, “Yes, we can,” and then enter into negotiations while demands are imposed on them?
Do you know what was asked of us when the Army Commander announced that the phase south of the Litani River had ended? We were asked to issue a statement. Why should we issue a statement? They said, issue a statement committing that the area south of the Litani has ended. We have no relation to this matter to say whether it has ended or not. There is an army command and there are concerned parties, and they are the ones who state what they have done. They want to take any word from us in order to place responsibilities upon us that we do not carry. Tell them to take this commitment themselves. It is enough that every time we are required to respond as Lebanon and as officials.
Third, our clear and explicit position is this: there is aggression, and we must think about how to confront this aggression and achieve sovereignty. Someone asks, “What will we do? Is there no option except defense or surrender?” For us, the choice is defense, not surrender. They say to us, “But your capabilities are limited, and the Israeli may kill you.” We say, between humiliation and dignity, far be it from us to accept humiliation. We will not accept it. Between humiliation and martyrdom, we choose martyrdom. Let them understand our position clearly. There is no need for them to exhaust themselves.
They say, “If you do this, nothing will remain.” What does “nothing will remain” mean? You have before you an experience of forty two years of resistance that achieved great accomplishments. This means we are capable. If we are passing through a difficult phase now, how long will this difficult phase last? Whoever achieved in the beginning will achieve again. Even if achievement does not come at the beginning, whoever has will, faith, and determination will achieve. Even if achievement does not come at the beginning, whoever has faith, will, right, sovereignty, and the desire to defend the land, neither the Israeli nor the American nor anyone else can take our land. What is required is that we plant our feet firmly and stand.
How can this be when we have a resistance of forty two years that gave great performance, liberated Lebanon, and made it stand on its feet? Look at the Battle of Uli al Bas. For us, Uli al Bas is a title of continuity at a time when they wanted to end the resistance and end the party, and the enemy did not achieve the goals it wanted. Now you say, “But if we do this, the enemy will continue to hurt us.” It will hurt us, but we can hurt it as well. Everything has its time. It hurts us, but it will not be able to eliminate us.
Look at the peoples who were liberated around the world. They offered hundreds of thousands, even millions. Did anyone say to them, “Why are you fighting and why are you sacrificing?” No. Because they had land they wanted to liberate, and they had a homeland they wanted to be sovereign. Therefore, the question should be directed to the one who does not confront: why do you not confront? And to the one who does not stand: why do you not stand?
The existence of this people in Lebanon, the existence of Hezbollah, the Amal Movement, the national forces, segments from different sects, society, the army, and some officials in Lebanon, is a very great wealth, capable of achieving accomplishments and capable of liberation. What is needed is a little patience, coordination, and that we do not work outside the common framework.
We have before us great sacrifices. The Master of the Martyrs of the Ummah, Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah, may Allah be pleased with him, is the greatest global symbol of giving, sacrifice, resistance, jihad, and martyrdom.
🟡@enemywatch
+
(9/10):
I say to the Lebanese officials: explain to them that you cannot pressure your own people and the people of your country, because they have given a great deal, sacrifices, martyrs, wounded, and prisoners. Tell them plainly, “We cannot.” Why does some want to expose their shoulders and say, “Yes, we can,” and then enter into negotiations while demands are imposed on them?
Do you know what was asked of us when the Army Commander announced that the phase south of the Litani River had ended? We were asked to issue a statement. Why should we issue a statement? They said, issue a statement committing that the area south of the Litani has ended. We have no relation to this matter to say whether it has ended or not. There is an army command and there are concerned parties, and they are the ones who state what they have done. They want to take any word from us in order to place responsibilities upon us that we do not carry. Tell them to take this commitment themselves. It is enough that every time we are required to respond as Lebanon and as officials.
Third, our clear and explicit position is this: there is aggression, and we must think about how to confront this aggression and achieve sovereignty. Someone asks, “What will we do? Is there no option except defense or surrender?” For us, the choice is defense, not surrender. They say to us, “But your capabilities are limited, and the Israeli may kill you.” We say, between humiliation and dignity, far be it from us to accept humiliation. We will not accept it. Between humiliation and martyrdom, we choose martyrdom. Let them understand our position clearly. There is no need for them to exhaust themselves.
They say, “If you do this, nothing will remain.” What does “nothing will remain” mean? You have before you an experience of forty two years of resistance that achieved great accomplishments. This means we are capable. If we are passing through a difficult phase now, how long will this difficult phase last? Whoever achieved in the beginning will achieve again. Even if achievement does not come at the beginning, whoever has will, faith, and determination will achieve. Even if achievement does not come at the beginning, whoever has faith, will, right, sovereignty, and the desire to defend the land, neither the Israeli nor the American nor anyone else can take our land. What is required is that we plant our feet firmly and stand.
How can this be when we have a resistance of forty two years that gave great performance, liberated Lebanon, and made it stand on its feet? Look at the Battle of Uli al Bas. For us, Uli al Bas is a title of continuity at a time when they wanted to end the resistance and end the party, and the enemy did not achieve the goals it wanted. Now you say, “But if we do this, the enemy will continue to hurt us.” It will hurt us, but we can hurt it as well. Everything has its time. It hurts us, but it will not be able to eliminate us.
Look at the peoples who were liberated around the world. They offered hundreds of thousands, even millions. Did anyone say to them, “Why are you fighting and why are you sacrificing?” No. Because they had land they wanted to liberate, and they had a homeland they wanted to be sovereign. Therefore, the question should be directed to the one who does not confront: why do you not confront? And to the one who does not stand: why do you not stand?
The existence of this people in Lebanon, the existence of Hezbollah, the Amal Movement, the national forces, segments from different sects, society, the army, and some officials in Lebanon, is a very great wealth, capable of achieving accomplishments and capable of liberation. What is needed is a little patience, coordination, and that we do not work outside the common framework.
We have before us great sacrifices. The Master of the Martyrs of the Ummah, Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah, may Allah be pleased with him, is the greatest global symbol of giving, sacrifice, resistance, jihad, and martyrdom.
🟡@enemywatch
+
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Enemy Watch — Official
+ (9/10): I say to the Lebanese officials: explain to them that you cannot pressure your own people and the people of your country, because they have given a great deal, sacrifices, martyrs, wounded, and prisoners. Tell them plainly, “We cannot.” Why does…
+
(10/10):
He gave us a great push forward, together with the righteous martyrs, the wounded, the prisoners, and this good and pure people. All of this gives us continuity of existence. But we must unite.
I will say something to you. There are people who will not like this, but what can I do? I want to say who we are. Hezbollah is the party of Imam al Mahdi, may Allah hasten his noble reappearance. If you are capable of confronting Imam al Mahdi, may Allah hasten his noble reappearance, then try striking your own heads. Therefore, we continue upon this conviction. We are victorious through martyrdom, and victorious through confronting the enemies and defeating them. No one should think that there is only one path to victory. No. There are two paths, and we accept both of them.
We conclude by speaking about the state. Who is building the state in Lebanon today? While we are passing through this difficult situation, we are working to build the state. We contributed to the election of the president and the formation of the government. Some chose the president because an order came from American Arab tutelage to elect him. This brings them no credit, because they were carrying out an order. As for us, it was by our own will. Our ministers work for all of Lebanon, while some ministers within the heart of the government drag Lebanon toward sedition and plunge it into darkness, acting as if the government is a card in the hand of the party they belong to.
Our deputies, the deputies of the Amal Movement, and all the sincere ones saved the fragile public order with a weak budget, when they approved the budget so that the country would not remain without a budget and be dragged into an extremely difficult and complex economic situation. But some do not want to build the state. Some want revenge and want to work according to their whims.
We present our political positions clearly and defend them, and we analyze. Some people come out to confront us with insults and abuse. We say to them: do you know what you are saying when you insult? You are saying that you are weak and that you have no evidence. Whoever has evidence should speak politics and debate politics. As for the one who insults, it means he is not worthy of a response, and at the same time he has no value.
Today, when someone wants to speak about the resistance, the resistance and its supporters are associated worldwide with sovereignty, liberation, and patriotism, while the so called champions of sovereignty are driven by American tutelage and do not press to condemn Israel or to achieve national unity.
We are with elections according to the law they themselves approved. They do not want them because they want to tailor the law to their liking. I say to them: change your direction toward the homeland and toward national sovereignty. Let us unite so we all win. Let us work on the titles of national honor and sovereignty, which are four: stopping the aggression, the withdrawal of the Israeli enemy, the release of the prisoners, and reconstruction. Whoever wants to register his name in the record of patriotism in Lebanon must work for these four titles. After that, we move to the national strategy that protects Lebanon as a free, sovereign, and independent country.
Congratulations to the Islamic Institution for Education, Imam al Mahdi Schools, to its educational, administrative, and pedagogical staff, to all parents, and to all participants. Allah willing, as you wished in the title you launched, may you be among those who pave the way and among the Mahdawis who continue to raise this banner and achieve victory, Allah willing.
And peace be upon you, and the mercy of Allah, and His blessings.
🟨@enemywatch — End
(10/10):
He gave us a great push forward, together with the righteous martyrs, the wounded, the prisoners, and this good and pure people. All of this gives us continuity of existence. But we must unite.
I will say something to you. There are people who will not like this, but what can I do? I want to say who we are. Hezbollah is the party of Imam al Mahdi, may Allah hasten his noble reappearance. If you are capable of confronting Imam al Mahdi, may Allah hasten his noble reappearance, then try striking your own heads. Therefore, we continue upon this conviction. We are victorious through martyrdom, and victorious through confronting the enemies and defeating them. No one should think that there is only one path to victory. No. There are two paths, and we accept both of them.
We conclude by speaking about the state. Who is building the state in Lebanon today? While we are passing through this difficult situation, we are working to build the state. We contributed to the election of the president and the formation of the government. Some chose the president because an order came from American Arab tutelage to elect him. This brings them no credit, because they were carrying out an order. As for us, it was by our own will. Our ministers work for all of Lebanon, while some ministers within the heart of the government drag Lebanon toward sedition and plunge it into darkness, acting as if the government is a card in the hand of the party they belong to.
Our deputies, the deputies of the Amal Movement, and all the sincere ones saved the fragile public order with a weak budget, when they approved the budget so that the country would not remain without a budget and be dragged into an extremely difficult and complex economic situation. But some do not want to build the state. Some want revenge and want to work according to their whims.
We present our political positions clearly and defend them, and we analyze. Some people come out to confront us with insults and abuse. We say to them: do you know what you are saying when you insult? You are saying that you are weak and that you have no evidence. Whoever has evidence should speak politics and debate politics. As for the one who insults, it means he is not worthy of a response, and at the same time he has no value.
Today, when someone wants to speak about the resistance, the resistance and its supporters are associated worldwide with sovereignty, liberation, and patriotism, while the so called champions of sovereignty are driven by American tutelage and do not press to condemn Israel or to achieve national unity.
We are with elections according to the law they themselves approved. They do not want them because they want to tailor the law to their liking. I say to them: change your direction toward the homeland and toward national sovereignty. Let us unite so we all win. Let us work on the titles of national honor and sovereignty, which are four: stopping the aggression, the withdrawal of the Israeli enemy, the release of the prisoners, and reconstruction. Whoever wants to register his name in the record of patriotism in Lebanon must work for these four titles. After that, we move to the national strategy that protects Lebanon as a free, sovereign, and independent country.
Congratulations to the Islamic Institution for Education, Imam al Mahdi Schools, to its educational, administrative, and pedagogical staff, to all parents, and to all participants. Allah willing, as you wished in the title you launched, may you be among those who pave the way and among the Mahdawis who continue to raise this banner and achieve victory, Allah willing.
And peace be upon you, and the mercy of Allah, and His blessings.
🟨@enemywatch — End
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🏴☠️ | Former emir of Idlib appointed internal security chief in Hasakah:
Julani's media announced the appointment of Marwan al-Ali as commander of the so-called “Internal Security” in Hasakah Governorate, which is under the control of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). Terrorist Marwan al-Ali, also known as “Abu Muhjin al-Hasakawi,” previously served as the security emir of Idlib and worked as an interrogator at the notorious al-Uqap (العقاب) prison, where he is accused of committing numerous crimes and atrocities, including brutal acts of torture.
🔹@enemywatch
Julani's media announced the appointment of Marwan al-Ali as commander of the so-called “Internal Security” in Hasakah Governorate, which is under the control of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). Terrorist Marwan al-Ali, also known as “Abu Muhjin al-Hasakawi,” previously served as the security emir of Idlib and worked as an interrogator at the notorious al-Uqap (العقاب) prison, where he is accused of committing numerous crimes and atrocities, including brutal acts of torture.
🔹@enemywatch
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🏴☠️ | Four Kurdish women killed in areas under the control of the Julani's regime:
The killing of women and children has increasingly become a deliberate pattern under HTS terrorist rule. In Afrin, on January 29, two gunmen riding a motorcycle opened fire on a vehicle carrying three Kurdish women on the Aleppo–Afrin road near the Bayanoun junction, killing all of them. The victims were identified as Rania Haji Hassan, Izza Firas Haji Hassan, and Fatima Batayhi. In a separate incident, the body of another Kurdish woman was found in agricultural land near the village of Kafardela (Keferdelê) in the Afrin countryside. She had been shot in the head.
🔹@enemywatch
The killing of women and children has increasingly become a deliberate pattern under HTS terrorist rule. In Afrin, on January 29, two gunmen riding a motorcycle opened fire on a vehicle carrying three Kurdish women on the Aleppo–Afrin road near the Bayanoun junction, killing all of them. The victims were identified as Rania Haji Hassan, Izza Firas Haji Hassan, and Fatima Batayhi. In a separate incident, the body of another Kurdish woman was found in agricultural land near the village of Kafardela (Keferdelê) in the Afrin countryside. She had been shot in the head.
🔹@enemywatch
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🏴☠️ | A widely circulated video shows HTS terrorists assaulting and abusing an Alawite man at an unidentified location. In the footage, the victim can be heard saying, “I swear to God I didn’t do anything,” speaking in an Alawite coastal Syrian accent. The person filming speaks with a Sunni Homs accent, while one of the attackers, wearing military-style trousers, speaks with an Idlib accent. The assailants demand that the man unlock his phone, mock him sarcastically by saying, “You want to work in factories,” and insult him by calling his sect “pigs,” using the term in the plural to target his sectarian identity. They also state that his neck is “meant to be slapped,” while continuing the abuse.
It is noteworthy that numerous cases have been reported of Alawites being kidnapped while traveling to factory jobs in Aleppo, particularly after many lost their employment following directives by Julani to dismiss thousands of Alawites from public-sector positions. Most of these abductions have occurred along the international highway near Homs. A previous video also showed a group of Alawites being held by kidnappers in Homs after being abducted while traveling from Damascus to Aleppo for factory work.
🔹@enemywatch
It is noteworthy that numerous cases have been reported of Alawites being kidnapped while traveling to factory jobs in Aleppo, particularly after many lost their employment following directives by Julani to dismiss thousands of Alawites from public-sector positions. Most of these abductions have occurred along the international highway near Homs. A previous video also showed a group of Alawites being held by kidnappers in Homs after being abducted while traveling from Damascus to Aleppo for factory work.
🔹@enemywatch
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🏴 | Four Alawite civilians were killed and a fifth was wounded in a sectarian terrorist attack carried out by HTS terrorists, who targeted a taxi near the entrance of Al-Kindi Hospital in the Al-Ghouta area of Homs. Those killed were Dhul-Fiqar Zahir, a physician; Lial Faisal Salloum, an engineer; Alaa Mohammad Wnous, a nurse; and Mazen Al-Asmar, a nurse. The injured victim, Osama Diab, an administrative accountant, was wounded and is currently receiving treatment. Evidence indicates the attack was premeditated and deliberate, not a random act. The hospital is located in a predominantly Sunni area, and most of its staff are Sunni; the victims, all Alawites, were the only Alawite employees and used the same taxi daily to return home. Reports indicate that HTS terrorists lay in wait at the hospital entrance, and that the sole motive for the attack was the victims’ Alawite identity.
🔹@enemywatch
🔹@enemywatch
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✅ | Regarding the ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran, there are multiple layers that must be understood beyond surface-level media narratives. What is currently being promoted in the media is a deliberate military buildup around Iran aimed at coercion, not diplomacy. This buildup on land, airspace, and surrounding waters is designed to threaten Iran with a large-scale attack in order to force negotiations under pressure rather than mutual consent.
During this phase, the Iranian Foreign Minister traveled to Turkey to consult on the developing situation, meeting Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, followed by joint press conferences. Earlier speculation questioned whether Turkey itself or the United States initiated the negotiation push. It is now clear that the request originated from Washington, while regional states such as Oman, Qatar, and Turkey acted as facilitators urging Iran to engage in order to prevent escalation.
In this context, Qatar’s Foreign Minister made an overnight visit to Tehran and returned with a message from American officials addressed to Imam Khamenei. At the same time, Iran’s Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) Secretary, Dr. Ali Larijani, traveled to Moscow carrying a letter from Imam Khamenei to President Vladimir Putin. According to informed sources, the message conveyed that Iran is prepared to return to its 2015 nuclear commitments if its demands are met and guarantees are secured.
As a parallel signal, the US aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln withdrew beyond a 1,400 km operational radius, indicating a calculated de-escalation meant to preserve leverage rather than initiate immediate confrontation.
Turkey was initially proposed as a negotiation venue largely at American insistence. Iran, recognizing Turkey’s NATO alignment and limitations, requested a change of venue toward Oman or Qatar, states traditionally viewed by Tehran as more neutral intermediaries. This confirms that the United States relied on multiple intermediaries to reach Iran indirectly.
Reports indicate that Qatar offered financial incentives, including the release of frozen Iranian assets, demonstrating that the maximum-pressure strategy has failed to deliver results.
President Masoud Pezeshkian later confirmed that he instructed the Foreign Minister to proceed with negotiations. This confirms that the current government views talks as a tactical tool to reduce pressure, not a strategic dependency.
The key question remains the stance of Imam Khamenei. No official statement confirms that the Leader has authorized or endorsed these negotiations. Since the post–12 June war environment, he has repeatedly stated that negotiations under pressure weaken deterrence and invite further aggression. His silence during this phase is therefore significant and strategic.
What is clear, however, is that the Leader is actively overseeing military readiness and preparedness. Unlike earlier negotiation phases, vulnerabilities exploited during past Oman talks no longer exist. Iran’s armed forces and security institutions have prepared multiple counter-scenarios for any betrayal or surprise attack during negotiations.
It is firmly established that negotiations are restricted strictly to the nuclear file. Israeli demands for zero enrichment, missile reductions, and abandonment of regional allies are not on the table and have been categorically rejected.
The possibility of returning to the 2015 framework appears credible. Ali Shamkhani publicly referenced this in a recent Al-Mayadeen interview, reinforcing internal consistency in Iran’s messaging.
Some reports suggest that Imam Khamenei demanded a reduction of American military presence in the region in exchange for limiting, not eliminating, nuclear activity. This reflects Iran’s insistence on reciprocal security guarantees.
Most importantly, Iran is not dependent on the outcome of these negotiations.
🔹@enemywatch
+
During this phase, the Iranian Foreign Minister traveled to Turkey to consult on the developing situation, meeting Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, followed by joint press conferences. Earlier speculation questioned whether Turkey itself or the United States initiated the negotiation push. It is now clear that the request originated from Washington, while regional states such as Oman, Qatar, and Turkey acted as facilitators urging Iran to engage in order to prevent escalation.
In this context, Qatar’s Foreign Minister made an overnight visit to Tehran and returned with a message from American officials addressed to Imam Khamenei. At the same time, Iran’s Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) Secretary, Dr. Ali Larijani, traveled to Moscow carrying a letter from Imam Khamenei to President Vladimir Putin. According to informed sources, the message conveyed that Iran is prepared to return to its 2015 nuclear commitments if its demands are met and guarantees are secured.
As a parallel signal, the US aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln withdrew beyond a 1,400 km operational radius, indicating a calculated de-escalation meant to preserve leverage rather than initiate immediate confrontation.
Turkey was initially proposed as a negotiation venue largely at American insistence. Iran, recognizing Turkey’s NATO alignment and limitations, requested a change of venue toward Oman or Qatar, states traditionally viewed by Tehran as more neutral intermediaries. This confirms that the United States relied on multiple intermediaries to reach Iran indirectly.
Reports indicate that Qatar offered financial incentives, including the release of frozen Iranian assets, demonstrating that the maximum-pressure strategy has failed to deliver results.
President Masoud Pezeshkian later confirmed that he instructed the Foreign Minister to proceed with negotiations. This confirms that the current government views talks as a tactical tool to reduce pressure, not a strategic dependency.
The key question remains the stance of Imam Khamenei. No official statement confirms that the Leader has authorized or endorsed these negotiations. Since the post–12 June war environment, he has repeatedly stated that negotiations under pressure weaken deterrence and invite further aggression. His silence during this phase is therefore significant and strategic.
What is clear, however, is that the Leader is actively overseeing military readiness and preparedness. Unlike earlier negotiation phases, vulnerabilities exploited during past Oman talks no longer exist. Iran’s armed forces and security institutions have prepared multiple counter-scenarios for any betrayal or surprise attack during negotiations.
It is firmly established that negotiations are restricted strictly to the nuclear file. Israeli demands for zero enrichment, missile reductions, and abandonment of regional allies are not on the table and have been categorically rejected.
The possibility of returning to the 2015 framework appears credible. Ali Shamkhani publicly referenced this in a recent Al-Mayadeen interview, reinforcing internal consistency in Iran’s messaging.
Some reports suggest that Imam Khamenei demanded a reduction of American military presence in the region in exchange for limiting, not eliminating, nuclear activity. This reflects Iran’s insistence on reciprocal security guarantees.
Most importantly, Iran is not dependent on the outcome of these negotiations.
🔹@enemywatch
+
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Enemy Watch — Official
✅ | Regarding the ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran, there are multiple layers that must be understood beyond surface-level media narratives. What is currently being promoted in the media is a deliberate military buildup around Iran aimed…
+
Officials indicate a state of 200 percent preparedness, allowing Iran to deliver a decisive response in the first phase of any aggression.
Finally, it must be understood that much of the current discourse is part of an organized psychological and media campaign. Some reports are accurate, while others are exaggerated or speculative, designed to shape perceptions and influence negotiations. Time will determine the outcome, but it is already clear that portraying Iran as weakened, whether through diplomacy or war, contradicts the strategic posture set by the Leader.
So—
The current negotiation phase must also be viewed through the lens of past precedent and structural realities, particularly the 2018 US withdrawal from the JCPOA despite verified Iranian compliance, which explains Tehran’s insistence on guarantees and validates Imam Khamenei’s long-standing skepticism toward coercive diplomacy; legally, Iran continues to assert its rights under Article IV of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, while the international system ignores Israel’s undeclared nuclear arsenal, exposing a persistent double standard that shapes Iranian threat perceptions; internally, decision-making in Iran follows a defined structure in which the elected government manages diplomatic engagement, the Supreme National Security Council coordinates security policy, and the Leader sets immutable red lines rather than day-to-day tactics, making his public silence analytically significant rather than ambiguous; militarily, Iran’s deterrence posture has evolved into a multi-domain framework encompassing land, sea, air, cyber, and asymmetric responses, designed not for first use but for immediate and overwhelming retaliation in the event of betrayal; regionally, Oman, Qatar, and Turkey are driven not only by mediation roles but by fears of escalation that could destabilize energy markets, shipping lanes, and internal security, which explains the urgency behind their involvement; simultaneously, an information-warfare environment surrounds the talks, where selective leaks, think-tank narratives, and anonymous briefings are used to shape perceptions and influence leverage, requiring careful separation of signal from noise; ultimately, the trajectory points toward three plausible outcomes, a limited nuclear understanding backed by guarantees, a negotiation collapse followed by controlled escalation, or a prolonged stalemate managed through indirect pressure, none of which imply Iranian strategic dependence on talks, but rather reinforce a posture where diplomacy operates alongside sustained deterrence rather than replacing it.
🔹@enemywatch
Officials indicate a state of 200 percent preparedness, allowing Iran to deliver a decisive response in the first phase of any aggression.
Finally, it must be understood that much of the current discourse is part of an organized psychological and media campaign. Some reports are accurate, while others are exaggerated or speculative, designed to shape perceptions and influence negotiations. Time will determine the outcome, but it is already clear that portraying Iran as weakened, whether through diplomacy or war, contradicts the strategic posture set by the Leader.
So—
The current negotiation phase must also be viewed through the lens of past precedent and structural realities, particularly the 2018 US withdrawal from the JCPOA despite verified Iranian compliance, which explains Tehran’s insistence on guarantees and validates Imam Khamenei’s long-standing skepticism toward coercive diplomacy; legally, Iran continues to assert its rights under Article IV of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, while the international system ignores Israel’s undeclared nuclear arsenal, exposing a persistent double standard that shapes Iranian threat perceptions; internally, decision-making in Iran follows a defined structure in which the elected government manages diplomatic engagement, the Supreme National Security Council coordinates security policy, and the Leader sets immutable red lines rather than day-to-day tactics, making his public silence analytically significant rather than ambiguous; militarily, Iran’s deterrence posture has evolved into a multi-domain framework encompassing land, sea, air, cyber, and asymmetric responses, designed not for first use but for immediate and overwhelming retaliation in the event of betrayal; regionally, Oman, Qatar, and Turkey are driven not only by mediation roles but by fears of escalation that could destabilize energy markets, shipping lanes, and internal security, which explains the urgency behind their involvement; simultaneously, an information-warfare environment surrounds the talks, where selective leaks, think-tank narratives, and anonymous briefings are used to shape perceptions and influence leverage, requiring careful separation of signal from noise; ultimately, the trajectory points toward three plausible outcomes, a limited nuclear understanding backed by guarantees, a negotiation collapse followed by controlled escalation, or a prolonged stalemate managed through indirect pressure, none of which imply Iranian strategic dependence on talks, but rather reinforce a posture where diplomacy operates alongside sustained deterrence rather than replacing it.
🔹@enemywatch
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🇮🇷 | The Iranian "Nour News" website, which has close ties with Ali Shamkhani advisor to Imam Khamenei reports that special structural and administrative decisions have been adopted within the Iranian defense sector, and will be announced soon. This comes in response to recent threats.
🔹@enemywatch
🔹@enemywatch
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🏴☠️ | The video clips, which document acts of torture and humiliation, were found on the mobile phone of an HTS terrorist who directly participated in these inhumane crimes against unarmed and innocent Alawites. The individual was later captured by Asayish forces while fighting Kurdish forces in Aleppo.
🔹@enemywatch
🔹@enemywatch
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Epstein files updates
Check out more Epstein revelations HERE
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Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇸🇦/🇮🇷/🇺🇸 NEW: Saudi Arabia has informed Iran that the Kingdom will 'stay neutral' and not respond in case of an Iranian attack on U.S. bases in the Gulf or Saudi Arabia, as long as no Saudis are killed @Middle_East_Spectator
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✅ | When you know, all know the solution is only battle. There is no escape in stretching the elastic and putting tables and chairs over it to talk this and that. We expect the ongoing talks are pre-war discussions instead of submission.
🔹@enemywatch
🔹@enemywatch
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