🇮🇳 | Massive rallies are taking place in support of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Imam Khamenei (H), in Kargil-Ladakh, the northernmost part of India.

🔹@enemywatch

✅ | There are four scenarios:

Scenario One
America launches a massive attack on Iran across all provinces, targeting the headquarters of all army and paramilitary forces, including highly sensitive targets such as shrines and the leadership, in order to pressure Iran into signing a deal from a position of imposed weakness or a so-called regime-change effort. However, the chances of this scenario are very low and nearly impossible due to various reasons.

Scenario Two
America carries out a limited, pre-defined attack and informs Tehran in advance. The strikes are confined to military and paramilitary targets on the outskirts, while regional neighbors, at the request of America, pressure Iran not to respond. The attack is presented as an “achievement” by Trump as same he is doing related to attacking of Nuclaear sites. Iran may choose not to escalate, or may respond by striking US bases that were pre-informed in order to rebalance deterrence. The chances of this scenario are high and short fights and Lebanon-Gaza ceasefire cunning tactict would effect Iran negatively.

Scenario Three
America attacks specific targets, such as nuclear and chemical facilities, which it claims are used for weapons production. Iran retaliates to a similar extent, leading to a limited war that ends within days. However, continued exchanges at the same frequency could lead to a prolonged war, which may cause Iran to suffer losses, but American losses would likely be greater, and the US could even lose some of its footing in the region.

Scenario Four
America refrains from direct large-scale military action and instead intensifies hybrid warfare, including cyberattacks, sanctions, intelligence operations, and internal destabilization, while keeping military pressure as a constant threat. Iran responds through regional allies, asymmetric operations, and strategic patience, resulting in a prolonged standoff rather than open war.

From Iran’s side

Iran may choose a pre-emptive response if Trump’s threats escalate further and attacks begin on Iran’s border areas.

Iran may also choose to strike bases in Turkey, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, and other locations, and target sensitive Israeli assets in response to any assassination attempts. It may also carry out targeted assassinations of top Israeli leaders and American personnel in the region.

Iran may choose a strategy of calibrated deterrence without immediate kinetic escalation. This would include cyber retaliation, electronic warfare, intelligence exposure, and strategic signaling through military exercises and missile tests, aimed at imposing psychological and political costs while avoiding open war.

Iran may pursue an intensive diplomatic and legal counteroffensive alongside strategic restraint. This would involve mobilizing regional partners, engaging global powers, activating international legal mechanisms, and leveraging economic and energy pressure points to isolate the aggressor politically while preserving military options as a last resort.

However, all these scenarios may change, and even other types of attacks and responses may occur. Time will tell.

Overall; Death to America!

🔹@enemywatch

✅ | A lot of "plot for-genocide" media are appearing with headlines such as “a source told,” “a source informed,” “an Iranian official,” or “an official who does not allow his name to be mentioned.” These news reports are mostly fabricated and fake, and are part of the summaries of major planning by sabotage agencies. Beware of them.

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❎ | The real number of peaceful protesters killed in Iran is 6 Million.

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🇮🇷 Breaking — Revolutionary Guard intelligence announces the arrest of the main link between the Pahlavi organization and the Israeli entity in southern Iran.

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✅ | Arab states appear to be more concerned about the war than Iran, which suggests that they are anticipating potential losses and are wary of the risks posed by their close alignment with the United States, which could draw them into the conflict. At the same time, they are fully aware of Iran’s deterrence capabilities and likely responses, and this awareness seems to shape their cautious approach. In other words, the Arab states are navigating a delicate balance—seeking to protect their own interests, avoid direct confrontation, and anticipate the consequences of any escalation, while understanding that missteps could embroil them in a wider regional confrontation. They recognize that Iran is likely to survive the conflict, but they fear that they themselves could crumble like dried bread under the pressures and consequences of escalation.

🔹@enemywatch

🇺🇸 | Six American KC-135 Stratotanker refuelers have taken off from Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar.

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🇮🇷 Breaking — In the past hours, due to excessive flights of U.S. aircraft near the Iraqian-Iranian airspace, Iran has issued a NOTAM, which led passenger flights to make U-turns while transiting its airspace. Iran continues military aerial patrols along its border with Iraq.

Officially, Iran issued a NOTAM temporarily closing its airspace to all flights except international flights to and from Iran with prior permission. The restriction lasted for a little over two hours. At present, there are no reports of hostile military activity by adversaries beyond routine surveillance operations.

The NOTAM has now expired; Iranian airspace is opened for commercial flights.

We request that this information be treated strictly as news and that no speculation be shared until official updates regarding any developments are released.

🔹@enemywatch

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✅ | With all the talk of “adventures” and displays of power, what the world is actually witnessing is something very different: fear among U.S. partners in the region and the United States itself. Who is evacuating military bases and quietly allowing officials and personnel to flee the region? Who has opened public shelters and bomb shelters for consecutive nights? It is not the societies that belong to the region, but the outsiders operating within it. Where are the announcements from Iran asking its population to seek shelter? Where are the reports of Iraqis being ordered into bunkers? Did Iran instruct its officials across the region to abandon their posts and return home? No.

Instead, it is U.S.-linked installations, including bases in Kuwait, Deir ez-Zor, and other strategic military sites, that are reportedly placed on high alert, partially evacuated, or reinforced defensively. Media reports continue to update on aircraft movements, with multiple planes reportedly leaving Israel for undisclosed destinations. These are not symbolic gestures; they reflect anticipation, uncertainty, and the recognition that escalation carries real costs. This contrast exposes a fundamental difference between occupiers and those rooted in the region: one operates from fortified enclaves and evacuation plans, while the other remains embedded in its own social and political landscape.

If U.S. bombers, forward-deployed forces, and allied militaries are truly as vast, technologically superior, and overwhelming as they claim, capable of imposing a full strategic blanket over their adversaries, then why is flight even necessary? Why the urgency to disperse assets, secure shelters, and prepare evacuation corridors? If Iran is indeed weak, isolated, and incapable of meaningful retaliation, as is often asserted, then there should be no need for such visible defensive posturing. Power that is confident does not evacuate. Deterrence that is absolute does not require nightly shelter drills.

What is unfolding instead is a recognition, however unspoken, that asymmetry does not mean helplessness, and that regional actors possess the capacity to impose costs even against materially superior forces. This is precisely what unsettles external powers and their regional partners. The present moment, therefore, is not merely about military movements, but about exposure: the exposure of vulnerability, the limits of dominance, and the anxiety that emerges when control is no longer uncontested.

🔹@enemywatch

🇮🇷 Breaking — Iran extends the NOTAM, closing airspace for another two hours

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✅ | The rant and whatever Trump is saying against Iran may be threats or may not be, but they should not automatically be taken as credible threats. If there is fear among many, it is because they have experienced American aggression repeatedly over the past years. That fear is understandable and natural. However, one must not forget that Iran is capable of retaliation and can inflict damage on the United States to an extent that would seriously constrain its ability to walk on legs. Even if others ignore this reality, Trump himself knows it well.

God Damn this pedo!

🔹@enemywatch

🔔 | HOURLY UPDATES

Iran

• Tasnim News Agency reported that Iranian border guard forces thwarted an infiltration attempt by three terrorist cells attempting to enter the country. Large quantities of weapons and ammunition prepared for sabotage operations were seized.

• The Khuzestan Intelligence Department announced the arrest of the main perpetrator involved in the desecration and arson attack on the shrine of Imamzadeh Sabzqaba (A) in Dezful. All members of the group responsible for desecrating the shrine and the tomb of Martyr Lieutenant General Gholamali Rashid and his son have been identified.

• Authorities stated that the attackers acted in a Daesh-like manner on the evening of January 8. Intelligence and security operations will continue until all remaining elements are apprehended.

• Iranian police confirmed the arrest of five members of the PJAK group. The suspects were reportedly receiving funds linked to Zionist-affiliated networks for sabotage activities, including arson attacks on police vehicles. The group’s liaison was arrested at the Kurdistan border while receiving money.

• Commander-in-Chief of the IRGC, Major General Mohammad Pakpour, stated that Iran will deliver a decisive response to enemy miscalculations and ISIS-like mercenaries. He emphasized that the unity of the Iranian nation nullifies hostile plans by the United States and Israel.

• The IRGC Intelligence Organization reported progress in countering what it described as an American-Zionist chaos project. It stated that nearly 400,000 public reports were received via the Basij Intelligence 114 system, leading to multiple arrests and the dismantling of terrorist networks across nine provinces.

• According to the statement, 31 individuals prepared to cooperate with Mossad were identified, and several monarchist and separatist-linked cells were dismantled before planned attacks on military and law enforcement sites.

Regional Developments

• Al Araby reported that Turkey has expressed concern over Iranian threats to target American bases in the region, including facilities located on Turkish territory. Iran reportedly sent warnings to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Turkey, and Qatar.

• Israeli occupation forces reportedly shot a young man in Wadi al-Raqad in southern Syria.

• Iraqi Kataib Hezbollah Secretary-General Hajj Abu Hussein al-Humaidawi issued a statement declaring full support for Iran in the event of aggression, warning that war against Iran would have severe regional consequences.

Occupied Palestine

• Israeli media reported the arrest and indictment of an active-duty soldier from the Givati Brigade on charges of spying for Iran. Israeli security officials described the case as one of the most dangerous espionage investigations to date.

• Authorities claim the soldier had been in contact with Iranian intelligence since July 2025 and allegedly transferred sensitive information, including images of military bases and equipment. A comprehensive gag order remains in place.

Yemen

• Professor Mohammed Al-Farah, a member of the Ansar Allah political bureau, stated that Iran views current threats as existential and will respond differently from the past. He warned that any aggression could lead to attacks on American bases, aircraft carriers, and global energy supply routes.

• Al-Farah added that Iran’s preparedness is at a high level and that Sana’a remains on full alert in anticipation of any regional escalation.

🔹@enemywatch

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✅ | What the enemies are threatening to do against the Islamic Republic of Iran may lead to the opening of the gates of hell in the region. Iran’s policy of strategic patience was aimed, insofar as it was aimed at anything, at protecting the Islamic Republic. However, since the enemies have decided to interfere in Iran’s internal affairs, make aggression a decisive factor in Iran’s future, and turn Iran into a playground for colonial Western savagery, it is logical that the time has come to use what Iran previously refrained from using in the region, and perhaps even in the world. Additionally, many free people in the region and around the world, who recognize the dangers of Iran falling into the hands of the American empire of evil, will find themselves compelled to contribute to Iran’s defense. Defending Iran is not an exclusive right of Iranians, nor is it their sole duty; rather, it is a right, and a duty, of every free person in the world who has been supported by Iran’s revolution or who benefits politically and strategically from the existence of an oasis of independence in a desert of subordination.

Because of Trump, who thinks differently each time, in Israel they are still aligning with the assessments we are hearing: that Trump has already made the decision and that its implementation is imminent. There are different types of disagreements, or varying estimates, within the security system that cannot be detailed here, but from Israel’s point of view, the decision has been made and Trump will attack. The only questions are when and on what scale. In fact, they were waiting for Trump with great tension, to the extent that yesterday’s cabinet meeting was very short. Why was it short? Because they were waiting to hear Trump speak, only to hear an hour-and-a-half speech focused on the American economy. In any case, in Israel they believe that from Trump’s perspective the decision has been made, that it will happen, and that it will happen soon according to European estimates. It is no coincidence that bases across the Middle East are being evacuated.

Regardless of whether an American-Israeli aggression against Iran occurs soon or not, Iran is currently acting as if war is inevitable and is taking all necessary measures for the worst-case scenario. This does not mean that Iran will necessarily counter or intercept the strikes, but rather that it is doing everything required to minimize their impact while maintaining maximum offensive flexibility. Defense against American-Israeli air capabilities is almost impossible; therefore, the objective is to absorb the strikes and raise the cost of the confrontation for the enemy.

🔹@enemywatch

🇮🇷 | Wow, what a question. What an American analysis. What a journalistic research...

Fox’s Bret Baier: If anybody is taunting the President, then it’s the Supreme Leader. Why would the Supreme Leader himself take to X and taunt Trump?

Iran’s Foreign Minister Dr. Araghchi: Well, we were in the middle of a war that was started against us, and such rhetoric is quite normal in any war. We have faced many kinds of threats from President Trump, from other American officials, and even from Europeans who keep talking about Iran, you know, matters inside Iran.

🔹@enemywatch

🇮🇷 | Iranian authorities have released footage showing the burning of the shrine of Imamzadeh Sabz-qaba, Muhammad ibn Imam Musa al-Kadhim (A), whose holy grave chamber was set on fire by Mossad-linked Pahlavi terrorists. The video clearly shows the shrine engulfed in flames. Are these the so-called “protesters” demanding milk and bread?

From all parts of the world, we urge the Iranian judiciary not to show leniency toward those responsible for this act. They must be prosecuted swiftly and publicly executed decisively under the laws addressing moharebeh and fasad fil-arz, as well as for the desecration of the sanctity of the Prophet Muhammad's (S) Ahl al-Bayt (A), once the legal process and conditions allow.

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🇮🇷 | Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi:

The number of deaths, although they tried hard to increase it, is only in the hundreds. The exact figure will be announced very soon, possibly tonight. The numbers that have been circulated are exaggerated and are part of a misinformation campaign aimed at finding excuses to carry out further aggression against Iran.

🔹@enemywatch

🇮🇷 Update — Iranian airspace has reopened.

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☑️ | We are trying to keep our channels clean and sanitized from Trump’s verbal diarrhea!