✅ | Why Is Erdoğan rushing to Tehran?
Following last week’s visit by Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan to Iran, reports have emerged about a possible visit by Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the President of Turkey, to Tehran. These reports indicate that Ankara has encountered serious difficulties in managing the Syrian situation. Damascus, which in recent days has been subjected to intense Israeli bombardment and a project of fragmentation, has instead of becoming Turkey’s strategic depth in West Asia turned into Ankara’s Achilles’ heel under the new regional security order.
The official presence of the Israeli regime’s prime minister in southern Syrian territories and his insistence that Israeli forces will not withdraw from these areas delivered the final blow to the “Neo-Ottoman” ambitions of the Justice and Development Party (AKP).
Under these circumstances, Turkey is seeking a new scenario in West Asia that would allow it to preserve its core interests in post-Assad Syria while also defending the new government against Israeli pressure. Such a scenario, due to its security dimensions, requires serious and on-the-ground involvement by Iran.
In reality, what has driven both Turkey’s foreign minister and president to Tehran within less than a month is the harsh reality of recent regional developments. Erdoğan had believed that by weakening the Iran-centered resistance network and changing the government in Syria, he could persuade the White House to support the new authorities in Damascus and thereby halt Tel Aviv’s strategic advances in the Levant. However, after Julani’s visit to Washington and his repeated meetings with Donald Trump, it has become clear that Israel is unwilling to recognize any limits to what it defines as its own security.
In fact, the current situation in Syria has not only failed to strengthen Turkey’s national interests but has also created instability that enables the Israeli regime to take actions even against Turkey itself.
In such conditions, Ankara needs Tehran’s cooperation, because the only actor that has proven, both in theory and on the battlefield, its ability to disrupt Israeli strategies is Iran. Whether during the previous Syrian civil war or in the 12-day war, Iran demonstrated that when it designs a serious strategy, it implements it operationally, and that Tel Aviv, on its own and without United States support, lacks the ability to prevent its realization.
This position is undoubtedly one of Iran’s strategic advantages in the regional security environment. Turkey’s declaration of need and cooperation could also help unlock some of Tehran’s national-interest challenges under current conditions, such as the support front for the resistance in Lebanon. However, it must be noted that a simplistic view of certain diplomatic approaches amid on-the-ground deadlocks in the region could damage Iran’s national interests. This was clearly demonstrated in the case of the Astana Agreement, and it is something that must now be avoided.
Around 2016 and 2017, anti-government terrorist groups in Syria were in a very unfavorable position, and had that trend continued, their complete defeat would have been inevitable. At that point, the Turkish government proposed a model of negotiations between Iran, Russia, and Turkey, which later became known as the Astana talks.
It must also be recalled that Iran is not seeking to newly establish relations with Syria, because these relations already exist on firm legal and strategic foundations. Syria has received billions of dollars in Iranian financial assistance over the years for development, reconstruction, and security, funds that under international and bilateral agreements must be accounted for and returned according to law. Numerous agreements have also been signed regarding cooperation, as well as the protection and continued presence around holy shrines in Syria, which remains a non-negotiable responsibility.
At the same time, it has become increasingly clear that Turkey has completely failed to manage the Syrian file.
🔹@enemywatch
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Following last week’s visit by Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan to Iran, reports have emerged about a possible visit by Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the President of Turkey, to Tehran. These reports indicate that Ankara has encountered serious difficulties in managing the Syrian situation. Damascus, which in recent days has been subjected to intense Israeli bombardment and a project of fragmentation, has instead of becoming Turkey’s strategic depth in West Asia turned into Ankara’s Achilles’ heel under the new regional security order.
The official presence of the Israeli regime’s prime minister in southern Syrian territories and his insistence that Israeli forces will not withdraw from these areas delivered the final blow to the “Neo-Ottoman” ambitions of the Justice and Development Party (AKP).
Under these circumstances, Turkey is seeking a new scenario in West Asia that would allow it to preserve its core interests in post-Assad Syria while also defending the new government against Israeli pressure. Such a scenario, due to its security dimensions, requires serious and on-the-ground involvement by Iran.
In reality, what has driven both Turkey’s foreign minister and president to Tehran within less than a month is the harsh reality of recent regional developments. Erdoğan had believed that by weakening the Iran-centered resistance network and changing the government in Syria, he could persuade the White House to support the new authorities in Damascus and thereby halt Tel Aviv’s strategic advances in the Levant. However, after Julani’s visit to Washington and his repeated meetings with Donald Trump, it has become clear that Israel is unwilling to recognize any limits to what it defines as its own security.
In fact, the current situation in Syria has not only failed to strengthen Turkey’s national interests but has also created instability that enables the Israeli regime to take actions even against Turkey itself.
In such conditions, Ankara needs Tehran’s cooperation, because the only actor that has proven, both in theory and on the battlefield, its ability to disrupt Israeli strategies is Iran. Whether during the previous Syrian civil war or in the 12-day war, Iran demonstrated that when it designs a serious strategy, it implements it operationally, and that Tel Aviv, on its own and without United States support, lacks the ability to prevent its realization.
This position is undoubtedly one of Iran’s strategic advantages in the regional security environment. Turkey’s declaration of need and cooperation could also help unlock some of Tehran’s national-interest challenges under current conditions, such as the support front for the resistance in Lebanon. However, it must be noted that a simplistic view of certain diplomatic approaches amid on-the-ground deadlocks in the region could damage Iran’s national interests. This was clearly demonstrated in the case of the Astana Agreement, and it is something that must now be avoided.
Around 2016 and 2017, anti-government terrorist groups in Syria were in a very unfavorable position, and had that trend continued, their complete defeat would have been inevitable. At that point, the Turkish government proposed a model of negotiations between Iran, Russia, and Turkey, which later became known as the Astana talks.
It must also be recalled that Iran is not seeking to newly establish relations with Syria, because these relations already exist on firm legal and strategic foundations. Syria has received billions of dollars in Iranian financial assistance over the years for development, reconstruction, and security, funds that under international and bilateral agreements must be accounted for and returned according to law. Numerous agreements have also been signed regarding cooperation, as well as the protection and continued presence around holy shrines in Syria, which remains a non-negotiable responsibility.
At the same time, it has become increasingly clear that Turkey has completely failed to manage the Syrian file.
🔹@enemywatch
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Enemy Watch — Official
✅ | Why Is Erdoğan rushing to Tehran? Following last week’s visit by Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan to Iran, reports have emerged about a possible visit by Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the President of Turkey, to Tehran. These reports indicate that Ankara…
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Beyond its occupation of parts of Syrian territory, Ankara has not succeeded in stabilizing even a single major situation on the ground. Neutral analyses of Turkey’s Syria project have repeatedly described it as a potential “boomerang” that will ultimately return to strike Erdoğan himself.
This outcome appears increasingly likely, especially given that Turkey’s financial situation is in crisis. Ankara lacks the economic capacity to sustain Syrian occupation or administration costs even for a short period, let alone for months or years. The burden of Syrian instability is already adding pressure to Turkey’s fragile economy and internal political balance.
It is also important to note that Imam Sayyid Ali Khamenei has warned Erdoğan multiple times against such regional adventures. At present, expectations are growing that Imam Khamenei will firmly reprimand Erdoğan, demand the return of seized Syrian assets, and clearly warn Ankara against entering into any agreement with Israel. Such agreements would not only further damage Syria but could also ignite serious consequences inside Turkey itself.
In this context, Ankara’s turn toward Tehran is not a gesture of strength, but a recognition of failure, and an acknowledgment that without Iran’s role, any regional security arrangement in Syria is bound to collapse.
🔹@enemywatch
Beyond its occupation of parts of Syrian territory, Ankara has not succeeded in stabilizing even a single major situation on the ground. Neutral analyses of Turkey’s Syria project have repeatedly described it as a potential “boomerang” that will ultimately return to strike Erdoğan himself.
This outcome appears increasingly likely, especially given that Turkey’s financial situation is in crisis. Ankara lacks the economic capacity to sustain Syrian occupation or administration costs even for a short period, let alone for months or years. The burden of Syrian instability is already adding pressure to Turkey’s fragile economy and internal political balance.
It is also important to note that Imam Sayyid Ali Khamenei has warned Erdoğan multiple times against such regional adventures. At present, expectations are growing that Imam Khamenei will firmly reprimand Erdoğan, demand the return of seized Syrian assets, and clearly warn Ankara against entering into any agreement with Israel. Such agreements would not only further damage Syria but could also ignite serious consequences inside Turkey itself.
In this context, Ankara’s turn toward Tehran is not a gesture of strength, but a recognition of failure, and an acknowledgment that without Iran’s role, any regional security arrangement in Syria is bound to collapse.
🔹@enemywatch
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🇳🇬 | There are urgent reports that Nigerian despotic forces have surrounded the venue of the commemoration of the 10th anniversary of the Zaria Massacre and are now besieging it. Security forces are laying siege to the venue. Details to follow.
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🇵🇸 | The collapse of one of the doors of the Great Omari Mosque in Gaza City due to rainfall, after it had been bombed earlier by the occupation, causing widespread destruction.
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🇵🇸 | 1,700 Palestinians have lost their eyesight, and 5,000 are at risk of losing their vision due to Israeli aggression
The Gaza Center for Human Rights reported that at least 1,700 Palestinians have lost their eyesight during 25 months of Israeli attacks on Gaza, while around 5,000 others are at risk of partial or complete blindness due to the lack of medical treatment.
🔹@enemywatch
The Gaza Center for Human Rights reported that at least 1,700 Palestinians have lost their eyesight during 25 months of Israeli attacks on Gaza, while around 5,000 others are at risk of partial or complete blindness due to the lack of medical treatment.
🔹@enemywatch
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🇵🇸 | Since October 2023, Israel has barred local and international institutions from accessing Palestinian hostages and detainees who were abducted during its ground invasion of Gaza.
Since then, hundreds of Gazans have been forcibly disappeared without any official record, all living in a limbo of denial and fear, among them is Samir Al-Kahlout, whose father, Hussam, spoke to QNN.
Samir was abducted by Israeli soldiers on October 26, 2024. His family was informed by HaMoked that Samir had died on November 3; however, the shock came when released detainees began returning and testifying that they had seen Samir alive.
Among the forcibly disappeared is also Ahmed Al-Akhras, who left home on June 21, 2025, to collect flour from a U.S. aid distribution point and never returned. Later, a released detainee told his family that he had seen him in Sde Teiman. Al-Akhras’s mother then turned to several institutions, but they informed her that he was not in any prison. [QNN reports]
🔹@enemywatch
Since then, hundreds of Gazans have been forcibly disappeared without any official record, all living in a limbo of denial and fear, among them is Samir Al-Kahlout, whose father, Hussam, spoke to QNN.
Samir was abducted by Israeli soldiers on October 26, 2024. His family was informed by HaMoked that Samir had died on November 3; however, the shock came when released detainees began returning and testifying that they had seen Samir alive.
Among the forcibly disappeared is also Ahmed Al-Akhras, who left home on June 21, 2025, to collect flour from a U.S. aid distribution point and never returned. Later, a released detainee told his family that he had seen him in Sde Teiman. Al-Akhras’s mother then turned to several institutions, but they informed her that he was not in any prison. [QNN reports]
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🔔 | Updates
Lebanon
• Israeli regime warboats opened fire on Lebanese fishermen’s boats off the coast of Ras al-Naqoura in southern Lebanon.
• An Israeli aircraft violated the ceasefire and dropped bombs around a Lebanese fishing boat.
• Enemy artillery shelled the outskirts of Al-Wazzani town with three shells.
• The Israeli radar site fired machine-gun rounds toward the outskirts of Chebaa town in southern Lebanon.
• A security force arrived at the entrance of Yasmin Street toward Al-Nasr Street.
• An Israeli aircraft dropped a sonic bomb near a Lebanese fishing boat in Lebanese waters off Naqoura beach.
• A patrol boat carried out machine-gun fire toward territorial waters opposite Ras Naqoura.
• Machine-gun fire from the Rouissat
al-Alam site toward the outskirts of Kfarchouba.
• Artillery targeted the valley between Alma al-Shaab and Dhayra villages.
• Airstrikes targeted the area between Ansar and Zrariyah.
• Airstrikes targeted the Al-Reihan heights.
• Airstrikes targeted the Tibna area on the outskirts of Beysariyah.
• Airstrikes targeted Hamaya Zalaya in western Bekaa.
• Airstrikes targeted Wadi Roumin–Houmin.
• Airstrikes targeted Bareej Hill on the outskirts of Jbaa.
• Airstrikes targeted the Al-Mahmoudiyah area.
• An Israeli patrol aircraft dropped a sonic bomb on Al-Lubouna Road, south of Naqoura.
• Machine-gun fire from the radar site toward the outskirts of Chebaa.
Occupied Palestine – Gaza
• Israeli aircraft launched intense air raids east of Gaza City.
(Source: Palestine Today correspondent)
Occupied Syria – South
• An Israeli occupation military patrol infiltrated the village of Saida al-Hanout in the southern countryside of Quneitra.
• Local sources reported that residents of Saida al-Hanout refused so-called “aid” offered by the occupying forces that infiltrated their village.
Iran
• Iranian media reported that 18 crew members of a foreign tanker were seized in the Gulf of Oman for fuel smuggling.
🔹@enemywatch
Lebanon
• Israeli regime warboats opened fire on Lebanese fishermen’s boats off the coast of Ras al-Naqoura in southern Lebanon.
• An Israeli aircraft violated the ceasefire and dropped bombs around a Lebanese fishing boat.
• Enemy artillery shelled the outskirts of Al-Wazzani town with three shells.
• The Israeli radar site fired machine-gun rounds toward the outskirts of Chebaa town in southern Lebanon.
• A security force arrived at the entrance of Yasmin Street toward Al-Nasr Street.
• An Israeli aircraft dropped a sonic bomb near a Lebanese fishing boat in Lebanese waters off Naqoura beach.
• A patrol boat carried out machine-gun fire toward territorial waters opposite Ras Naqoura.
• Machine-gun fire from the Rouissat
al-Alam site toward the outskirts of Kfarchouba.
• Artillery targeted the valley between Alma al-Shaab and Dhayra villages.
• Airstrikes targeted the area between Ansar and Zrariyah.
• Airstrikes targeted the Al-Reihan heights.
• Airstrikes targeted the Tibna area on the outskirts of Beysariyah.
• Airstrikes targeted Hamaya Zalaya in western Bekaa.
• Airstrikes targeted Wadi Roumin–Houmin.
• Airstrikes targeted Bareej Hill on the outskirts of Jbaa.
• Airstrikes targeted the Al-Mahmoudiyah area.
• An Israeli patrol aircraft dropped a sonic bomb on Al-Lubouna Road, south of Naqoura.
• Machine-gun fire from the radar site toward the outskirts of Chebaa.
Occupied Palestine – Gaza
• Israeli aircraft launched intense air raids east of Gaza City.
(Source: Palestine Today correspondent)
Occupied Syria – South
• An Israeli occupation military patrol infiltrated the village of Saida al-Hanout in the southern countryside of Quneitra.
• Local sources reported that residents of Saida al-Hanout refused so-called “aid” offered by the occupying forces that infiltrated their village.
Iran
• Iranian media reported that 18 crew members of a foreign tanker were seized in the Gulf of Oman for fuel smuggling.
🔹@enemywatch
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🏴☠️ | Breaking: A joint US–Syrian delegation came under gunfire in the Palmyra area of central Syria while reviewing plans to fight the Islamic State. Several members of U.S. forces and HTS so-called security gangs were wounded or killed, and American helicopters evacuated the injured to the Al-Tanf base. Warplanes are now overhead.
You are going to witness a plot in which American-made ISIS targets American-made HTS and American forces. The plot is large and may lead to the bombing of Palmyra and other areas for a broader game, which, in the end, will be fatal for HTS first. America hates its friends first!
🔹@enemywatch
You are going to witness a plot in which American-made ISIS targets American-made HTS and American forces. The plot is large and may lead to the bombing of Palmyra and other areas for a broader game, which, in the end, will be fatal for HTS first. America hates its friends first!
🔹@enemywatch
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🇵🇸 | The tents of displaced families in Gaza City’s Sheikh Radwan neighborhood have been flooded due to the severe winter storm and torrential downpours.
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