@education CryptoπŸš€
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Unlock the @crypto universe with us! 🌟

Learn the art of buying, selling, and trading crypto currencies safely and responsibly. πŸ’°

Let's navigate the blockchain together! πŸš€

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by @umar_eng
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈMicrosoft and Apple have officially become the second and third companies worldwide to reach valuations exceeding $4 trillion.

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⚰ Bitcoin has been declared "dead" 446 times so far.

Major mass media and financial experts have called Bitcoin "dead" 446 times in its history. But if every time you heard the news "dead" you invested $100, today your capital would be 115,939,642 dollars.

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πŸ‘Œ The "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" (CLARITY Act) bill is expected to reduce manipulations in the cryptocurrency market by 70-90%!

✍️ Trump promised to sign it before Christmas. What will change:
β€’ Fake trades (wash trading) and manipulations (spoofing, front-running) will be banned.
β€’ 40% of fake volume on exchanges like Binance, Bybit will be stopped.
β€’ CFTC will establish real-time monitoring, violators will be blocked within 48 hours.
β€’ Exchanges targeting the US must pass audits, otherwise they will be banned.

🌐 Offshore manipulators will be blocked for the US. This will be a major change for the market!

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Media is too big
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¨πŸ‡³Trump said that China is entering Bitcoin and the crypto market on a massive scale.

😐A clip from his 60-minute interview yesterday:

β€œI’m only interested in one thing,” he said. β€œWill we be number one in the crypto space? This is a field where you must be first. You can’t be second.”

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🏦 JPMorgan predicted Bitcoin price could rise up to $170,000.

JPMorgan analysts believe Bitcoin price could reach $170,000 within the next 6-12 months.

🧐What is the analysis based on?

πŸ”₯Bitcoin’s relatively low volatility compared to gold and the recovery of leverage indicate a strong growth potential.
πŸ”₯The analysts, led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, noted in a report released on Friday that the crypto market has dropped nearly 20% from its recent all-time high.
πŸ”₯The sharpest decline was observed on October 10 during record liquidations in perpetual futures.
πŸ”₯On November 3, smaller liquidations occurred, further weakening investor confidence.
πŸ”₯This process was also influenced by an attack on the decentralized finance sector’s Balancer protocol causing over $120 million in losses, raising new concerns about protocol security.

According to JPMorgan experts, the recovery of leverage in perpetual futures and market stabilization show "significant growth potential" for Bitcoin.


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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The US Senate has introduced a bill to regulate the crypto market.

πŸ‘‡ This bill includes the following key points:

πŸ—Ώ Classification of digital assets: BTC, ETH, and other major altcoins will be under the supervision of the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission), putting an end to the years-long "jurisdiction war" with the SEC.
πŸ‘¨β€πŸ’» Developer Protection: Blockchain developers and infrastructure providers will not be considered money transmitters or brokers, thus gaining legal protection.
πŸͺ Transparency and Fairness: A new "Digital Assets Retail Office" will be established within the CFTC to protect investors.
🌐 Global Standards: The law requires cooperation with foreign regulators, laying the foundation for global digital asset standards eagerly awaited by major investors. After its adoption,

Once the law is passed, the CFTC will become the primary cryptocurrency regulator providing clarity for spot markets, exchanges, and derivatives.


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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈThe longest government shutdown in U.S. history has come to an end.

After 43 days of gridlock, the House of Representatives voted to reopen the government, a measure swiftly signed into law by President Trump.

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πŸ“‰Crypto’s β€œBloody October 10” Crash: What Happened and What’s Next

On October 10, a post by Donald Trump on X announcing 100% tariffs on China triggered panic across an over-leveraged crypto market. Within hours, Bitcoin plunged from $126,000 to as low as $100,000, while Ethereum slipped below $4,000. Altcoins were hit hardest, losing between 50% and 90% of their value.

😬The fallout was severe:

β€’ $19-30 billion in liquidations
β€’ 1.6 million accounts wiped out, 90% of them long positions
β€’ Stablecoin USDe depegged to $0.65, order books emptied


Analysts point to a mix of technical glitches and market makers pulling bids (Binance and Wintermute were blamed). Many described the event as a β€œgreat cleanse” – a leverage bomb that reset the market but left deep scars.

Market Makers Under Pressure

Major market makers including ABC, Cyantarb, and Selini suffered heavy losses. To plug balance sheet holes, they have been selling BTC and ETH, adding persistent downward pressure. As strategist Tom Lee noted: β€œThis creates constant selling pressure.”

Breaking Away from the S&P 500

Crypto’s usual correlation with equities broke down in November. While the S&P 500 gained, Bitcoin fell 24%. The divergence stems from forced crypto liquidations, MM selling, and tariff fears, while equities remained buoyed by risk appetite and Fed policy. The BTC–S&P correlation dropped to 0.65, signaling growing independence – but also heightened downside risk.

Outlook

Speculation suggests MM-driven selling could last 6-18 months, similar to post-IPO overhangs. Yet extreme pessimism may set the stage for recovery: the Fear & Greed Index at 10-14 points to oversold conditions. Veteran trader Peter Brandt cautioned: β€œThe next bull run starts from oversold, but the death cross signals a possible drop to $74,000.”

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πŸ’°Cathie Wood Predicts Crypto Liquidity Will Return in December

Cathie Wood, chief executive of ARK Invest, has argued that the current strain in crypto markets is driven not by weak fundamentals but by a shortage of macro liquidity. Speaking on her In The Know podcast, she described Bitcoin and other digital assets as highly sensitive to liquidity shocks, even when their underlying strength remains intact.

– Wood pointed to several temporary factors behind the contraction: lingering inflation concerns, supply chain disruptions, and delays in government statistical releases. She expects these pressures to ease in early December. A key date, she suggested, is December 10, when the US Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates. According to CME FedWatch data, the probability of such a move has climbed to 80%.

The return of government reporting, including the unemployment figures, should also help restore confidence. Historically, Wood noted, Bitcoin has been the first asset to rally when liquidity conditions improve. She reiterated her long-term forecast of Bitcoin reaching $1 million, arguing that periods of economic turbulence only reinforce its role as a resilient store of value.

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πŸ’»Upbit exchange was attacked by hackers

πŸ‡°πŸ‡·South Korea’s major crypto exchange Upbit was attacked by hackers, and it was confirmed that assets worth $36M were withdrawn from the platform.

Exchange representatives acknowledged the loss and announced that all user losses will be fully compensated. Currently, the platform is undergoing technical inspections and implementing enhanced security measures.

πŸ”Note: Holding large amounts of crypto in exchange wallets for a long time can be risky. It is recommended to use personal cold wallets to securely store investments.

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‼️Why the Fed’s QT pause matters for risk assets?

The Federal Reserve has officially ended its quantitative tightening program, freezing its balance sheet at about $6.55 trillion. The move marks the end of a two-year effort to shrink the portfolio the Fed built up during the post-2008 and pandemic stimulus cycles.

The balance sheet tells the story clearly. After the 2008 crisis, large-scale asset purchases pushed it from roughly $1 trillion to more than $7.5 trillion. QT, which began in 2022, steadily pulled liquidity out of the system as the Fed let bonds roll off or sold them outright. That process shaved about $2.4 trillion from the peak. The recent flattening in the chart signals the tightening phase is over.

A pause in QT has direct implications for markets. When the balance sheet shrinks, liquidity dries up, rates stay elevated, and investors tend to retreat into safer assets. During the heavy QT period, both equities and crypto traded under pressure as risk appetite faded.


With QT now on hold, the picture flips:

βœ…
Liquidity stabilizes.
The Fed isn’t adding fresh liquidity, but it’s no longer draining it. Bank reserves remain healthy, credit conditions ease, and investors have more dry powder for risk assets.

βœ…
Rate pressure softens.
A stable balance sheet reduces upward pressure on yields, which generally supports valuations for stocks, crypto, and high-yield credit.

βœ…
Market sentiment turns.
Ending QT is widely read as a shift toward a friendlier policy stance. The last time the Fed paused QT, in 2019, markets rallied sharply. A similar pattern could play out again, especially in crypto, where liquidity flows matter most.


In the long run, a steady balance sheet isn’t the same as renewed easing, but it removes a major headwind. The risk is that inflation re-accelerates, which could force the Fed back into tightening mode. For now, though, the data show the downtrend in the Fed’s assets has stopped, and that alone gives risk-on markets room to breathe.

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πŸ’ŽGovernance vs Utility tokens: what separates them?

Governance tokens give holders a say in how a blockchain project evolves. They let users vote on protocol changes, treasury spending, or new features. In Uniswap, for example, UNI holders vote on adding liquidity pools, while MakerDAO’s MKR holders shape the parameters behind the DAI stablecoin. These tokens are essentially the mechanism for decentralized decision-making.

Utility tokens work differently. They don’t offer voting power; instead, they grant access to a product or service. BNB is used to pay transaction fees in the BNB Chain ecosystem, and tokens like AXS or SLP let players participate and earn rewards in games such as Axie Infinity. Their value depends on how useful the underlying service is.

Some tokens do both. ApeCoin, for instance, functions as a governance token and also unlocks content in the Yuga Labs ecosystem.

For investors, the distinction matters. Governance tokens represent long-term influence over a project, while utility tokens act as functional fuel. Understanding which is which helps clarify a token’s real value and its risks.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈCFTC: First Officially Regulated Spot Crypto Trading Launches in the U.S.

According to an announcement by Caroline D. Pham, acting chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), spot Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will now be traded on exchanges registered with the CFTC.

The statement emphasized that the move aligns with the Trump administration’s pledge to make America the β€œcrypto capital of the world” and usher in a new golden era of innovation. For investors, the regulated exchanges are intended to provide safer and more transparent markets compared to offshore platforms.

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πŸ•―Traders vs. Artificial Intelligence

The Aster team has launched an unusual tournament on its DEX platform: 70 selected traders will compete against 30 AI neural networks to test investment skills.

Each participant starts with $10,000 in capital.

The tournament runs from December 9–23, offering a unique chance to compare human strategy with AI algorithms in real‑time market conditions.

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πŸ“‰Yesterday: S&P 500 –1.1%, Bitcoin –2.4%

The drop was driven mainly by fears of an AI bubble bursting, declines in tech giants (such as Nvidia and Broadcom), and speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise interest rates.

The BOJ has not yet confirmed a hike, but most economists and markets expect a 0.25% increase (from 0.5% to 0.75%) at the December 18-19 meeting – which would mark the highest level since 1995. The announcement is typically made after the meeting, on December 19. MoreπŸ‘‡

Market data shows the expected move to 0.75% is already priced in – over 90% of economists and market watchers anticipate it. That means if the BOJ delivers as expected, stocks and crypto may avoid a sharp β€œdump,” since investors have already accounted for it.

However, if the BOJ surprises (by not raising, raising more, or signaling future hikes), unexpected reactions could follow – such as a stronger yen and intensified carry trade effects. Overall, the outlook remains speculative: markets look stable for now, but global factors (Fed policy, AI bubble fears) could still weigh in.


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πŸ“±Tether Bids to Acquire Juventus FC

Tether, issuer of the USDT stablecoin, has submitted an official offer to buy Juventus Football Club.

CEO Paolo Ardoino announced plans to purchase Exor’s entire stake and invest €1 billion, aiming to restore the club to its former glory.

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πŸ•Binance Founder CZ: Living Fully in Crypto

CZ says, β€œI don’t hold fiat. Very little cash.”

He explains that he lives entirely within the crypto ecosystem, relying on a card that automatically converts crypto into fiat at the point of purchase.

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βšͺ️Ethereum: JPMorgan, the world’s largest bank, has launched its first tokenized money market fund on Ethereum, called MONY.

The bank seeded the fund with $100 million, and it opens to external investors today.

Money market funds invest in short-term, low-risk assets such as government bonds and corporate debt. By tokenizing the fund on Ethereum, JPMorgan is turning fund shares into on-chain tokens, enabling faster settlement, lower costs, and global access compared to traditional finance.

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πŸ“ŠFED Rate Cut Odds Rise for Jan 28, 2026

The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut on January 28, 2026 rose by 2.2% compared to yesterday.

Unemployment has climbed to its highest level since 2021, while inflation continues to rise. Typically, when unemployment spikes sharply, the Fed prioritizes labor market conditions over inflation. The concern now is whether both indicators keep rising, leading to stagflation.

Stagflation is an economic condition where growth slows or halts (stagnation), while inflation remains high and unemployment increases. It often emerges due to oil price shocks or political factors.

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