📆High-Impact Events Traders Are Watching This September

🔥September 5 – US Non-Farm Payroll

This report is a key indicator of the US labor market and overall economic health. Traders expect a slight increase as businesses expand hiring on the back of stronger activity. A solid result could reduce the chances of the Fed taking a dovish stance at the next FOMC meeting.

🔥September 11 – US Consumer Price Index (CPI)

The CPI release will provide crucial insight into inflation trends and monetary policy expectations. Rising tariffs have pushed both input and output prices higher, which may fuel further inflation. If inflation climbs, the Fed is likely to remain cautious on easing policy.

🔥September 11 – ECB Monetary Policy Statement

The European Central Bank’s announcement will shape the outlook for future interest rates in the EU. Markets expect a cautious tone, as mixed economic signals leave the ECB under pressure to balance growth and inflation concerns.

🔥September 17 – US Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision

The Fed meets eight times a year to set rates and policy. Traders currently expect a possible rate cut, but attention will focus on the updated SEP (Summary of Economic Projections), which will guide market sentiment.

🔥September 17 – Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision

The BoC decision will influence Canadian markets, currency, and equities. Economic pressures point toward potential rate cuts, with investors watching closely for signals on future monetary policy.

🔥September 17 – UK Consumer Price Index (CPI)

The UK CPI release will be key to inflation assessments and Bank of England policy moves. If inflation proves persistent, the pound may fluctuate, while equities could come under pressure from higher prices.

🔥September 18 – Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision

The BoJ’s policy decision will be closely watched as Japan manages inflation and growth during its recovery. Markets expect another pause, as US tariffs have not yet significantly impacted Japan’s economy.

🔥September 29 – Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Tokyo CPI, a leading indicator for Japan, will be a critical gauge of inflation. A stronger reading could raise expectations for a rate hike at the October meeting, bringing interest rates closer to the 0.75% neutral target.

👌 @education

🌍Top 10 Countries for Crypto Adoption in 2025 • Chainalysis

1. India 🇮🇳
2. USA 🇺🇸
3. Pakistan 🇵🇰
4. Vietnam 🇻🇳
5. Brazil 🇧🇷
6. Nigeria 🇳🇬
7. Indonesia 🇮🇩
8. Ukraine 🇺🇦
9. Philippines 🇵🇭
10. Russia 🇷🇺

The Global Crypto Adoption Index ranks nations where crypto is widely used for payments, remittances, and savings, not just investments.

Mass adoption is spreading fast — and the list shows where crypto has truly gone mainstream.

👌 @education

🥇Gold vs. 🥇Bitcoin:

– This video shows how a $1,000 investment in Bitcoin over the past 13 years would have far outperformed the same investment in Gold.

👌 @education

👑Crypto Adoption Outpaces Internet and Mobile Phones

– Reaching 300 million users took mobile phones 21 years and the internet 15 years. In comparison, crypto achieved the same milestone in just 12 years. This rapid adoption highlights the accelerating pace of technological change and the growing demand for decentralized assets worldwide.

👌 @education

📊 U.S. CPI Data Release Today

The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released today at 12:30 UTC. The market expectation is 2.9%.

🔥If CPI comes in below 2.9%, Bitcoin and altcoins could rally strongly.
🔥If CPI equals 2.9%, the market may see a short-term correction, as last month’s CPI was 2.7%.
🔥If CPI comes in above 2.9%, this would likely be negative for both crypto and traditional markets.

– Yesterday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) data came in much lower than expected. If a similar surprise happens with CPI, it could strengthen the case for a 50 bps rate cut later this month.

👌 @education

🪙 Bitcoin vs Big Tech

At $2.1T market cap, Bitcoin now sits in the same league as the giants.

➡️ Apple: $3.0T
➡️ Microsoft: $3.4T
➡️ NVIDIA: $3.5T
➡️ Amazon: $2.2T
➡️ Bitcoin: $2.1T
➡️Alphabet: $2.1T
➡️ Meta: $1.7T
➡️ Tesla: $1.1T
➡️ Berkshire Hathaway: $1.1T

It’s still smaller than the top three, but Bitcoin has already outgrown most corporates built over decades.

For an asset born just 16 years ago, it’s still early.

👌 @education

🇺🇸Key Federal Reserve Events This Week

📆Date: Wednesday, September 17

🎥2:00 PM ET / 18:00 UTC — Fed Interest Rate Decision
🎥2:00 PM ET / 18:00 UTC — FOMC Statement & Dot-Plot (economic projections)
🎥2:30 PM ET / 18:30 UTC — Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Speech

– These events will have a strong impact on global financial markets. Decisions and projections on interest rates could trigger sharp volatility in cryptocurrency prices as well.

‼️Bitcoin and altcoins should be ready for short-term volatility.

👌 @education

📈 Buffett on patience: lessons from a legendary investor

Warren Buffett has long argued that impatience is the biggest reason most investors lose money. His famous analogy says it best:

You can’t produce a baby in one month by getting nine women pregnant.

Some outcomes simply cannot be rushed.

🖱️ Why patience matters
Buffett built Berkshire Hathaway by selecting quality businesses and letting compounding work over decades. Quick profits tempt many, but his results prove that waiting is the real edge.

🖱️ The problem with short-term thinking
Wall Street often demands rapid growth and quarterly wins. This pressure usually leads to decisions that hurt long-term value. Buffett resisted it, and that discipline created lasting wealth.

🖱️ More than investing
The same principle applies to startups, innovation, and policy. Pushing for speed in areas that require time often sacrifices quality and stability.

Buffett’s point remains timeless: growth cannot be forced. Patience and discipline are not just virtues, they are competitive advantages.

👌 @education

📈Wall Street Cheat Sheet

The only difference between a profitable trader and a non-profitable trader is how they control their emotions. While the latter always shows the right emotions at the wrong time, the former understand their emotions and use them at the right time. To succeed in the market, you need to understand the psychology of the market, which is why we bring you this Wall Street cheat sheet:

🙅‍♂️Disbelief

This is the usual emotion when a new trend is emerging in the market after a bear market. It probably starts with short-sellers covering their short positions. Some experienced investors might come in at that early stages, but amateurs would remain on the sidelines since they doubt whether the rally will continue (maybe based on some past experience or lack of knowledge thereof). If the rally grows into a full-blown uptrend, those doubters would either start regretting or hop on to the trend at the later stages out of fear of missing out.

🙏Hope

Following the initial rally, the price reaches a moment of temporary consolidation and retracement but traders and investors believe the security has a lot of potentials. Here, we will see people who missed the first rally coming in bit by bit. This phase as seen on the chart is a period of accumulation for what’s to happen next.

🛒Optimism

As the market momentum picks up, more and more investors rush into the market to get a piece; they are full of optimism at this point. This stage sets the pace for the boom stage as it gets media coverage.

🚨Belief and thrill

At this stage, the market is getting a lot of media coverage, and everyone is talking about it. This is where most people get into the market as a result of FOMO. This phase usually comes with a continuous rally as more and more buyers come into the market. Here investors will start recommending the asset to relatives and friends as Fear-of-Missing-Out and what seems to be a lifetime opportunity gives birth to speculations and widespread optimism.

🤑Euphoria

This phase comes with extreme price levels, oscillator reading reaches extremes, but caution is thrown to the wind. Investors and the public will use metrics and new valuation measures to justify the continuous rally. Here the “greater fool” theory comes into play - that no matter how prices go, there will always be buyers that are willing to buy at any price. At the height of the internet bubble of 2000, the value of all technology stocks on the Nasdaq exchange was higher than the GDP of most countries.

😬Complacency

In this phase, market momentum comes to a halt, and then comes a retracement. However, this retracement is soon followed by a slight rally giving the impression of a trend continuation.
Traders still hold on to their positions while waiting for the trend to continue, thinking that it’s just a temporary retracement. What they fail to understand here is that the market has exhausted its move and is ready for a trend reversal.

😵Anxiety and Denial

In this stage, smart money starts taking profits and selling positions as they heed the warning sign that the market bubble is about to burst. But retail investors would think that the market will bounce back.

⚰️Panic, Capitulation, Anger, and Depression

The last stages of the market cycle come with a lot of market decline. In this phase, the bubble is burst. Prices of securities decline faster than they had rallied. Traders and investors are faced with margin calls and a reduction in the value of their positions. Many will capitulate and liquidate their positions. What follows is anger and depression.

👌 @education

🇺🇸Microsoft and Apple have officially become the second and third companies worldwide to reach valuations exceeding $4 trillion.

👌 @education

⚰ Bitcoin has been declared "dead" 446 times so far.

Major mass media and financial experts have called Bitcoin "dead" 446 times in its history. But if every time you heard the news "dead" you invested $100, today your capital would be 115,939,642 dollars.

👌 @education

👌 The "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" (CLARITY Act) bill is expected to reduce manipulations in the cryptocurrency market by 70-90%!

✍️ Trump promised to sign it before Christmas. What will change:
• Fake trades (wash trading) and manipulations (spoofing, front-running) will be banned.
• 40% of fake volume on exchanges like Binance, Bybit will be stopped.
• CFTC will establish real-time monitoring, violators will be blocked within 48 hours.
• Exchanges targeting the US must pass audits, otherwise they will be banned.

🌐 Offshore manipulators will be blocked for the US. This will be a major change for the market!

👌 @education

🇺🇸🇨🇳Trump said that China is entering Bitcoin and the crypto market on a massive scale.

😐A clip from his 60-minute interview yesterday:

“I’m only interested in one thing,” he said. “Will we be number one in the crypto space? This is a field where you must be first. You can’t be second.”

👌 @education

🏦 JPMorgan predicted Bitcoin price could rise up to $170,000.

JPMorgan analysts believe Bitcoin price could reach $170,000 within the next 6-12 months.

🧐What is the analysis based on?

🔥Bitcoin’s relatively low volatility compared to gold and the recovery of leverage indicate a strong growth potential.
🔥The analysts, led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, noted in a report released on Friday that the crypto market has dropped nearly 20% from its recent all-time high.
🔥The sharpest decline was observed on October 10 during record liquidations in perpetual futures.
🔥On November 3, smaller liquidations occurred, further weakening investor confidence.
🔥This process was also influenced by an attack on the decentralized finance sector’s Balancer protocol causing over $120 million in losses, raising new concerns about protocol security.

According to JPMorgan experts, the recovery of leverage in perpetual futures and market stabilization show "significant growth potential" for Bitcoin.

👌 @education

🇺🇸 The US Senate has introduced a bill to regulate the crypto market.

👇 This bill includes the following key points:

🗿 Classification of digital assets: BTC, ETH, and other major altcoins will be under the supervision of the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission), putting an end to the years-long "jurisdiction war" with the SEC.
👨‍💻 Developer Protection: Blockchain developers and infrastructure providers will not be considered money transmitters or brokers, thus gaining legal protection.
🏪 Transparency and Fairness: A new "Digital Assets Retail Office" will be established within the CFTC to protect investors.
🌐 Global Standards: The law requires cooperation with foreign regulators, laying the foundation for global digital asset standards eagerly awaited by major investors. After its adoption,

Once the law is passed, the CFTC will become the primary cryptocurrency regulator providing clarity for spot markets, exchanges, and derivatives.

👌 @education

📉Crypto’s “Bloody October 10” Crash: What Happened and What’s Next

On October 10, a post by Donald Trump on X announcing 100% tariffs on China triggered panic across an over-leveraged crypto market. Within hours, Bitcoin plunged from $126,000 to as low as $100,000, while Ethereum slipped below $4,000. Altcoins were hit hardest, losing between 50% and 90% of their value.

😬The fallout was severe:

• $19-30 billion in liquidations
• 1.6 million accounts wiped out, 90% of them long positions
• Stablecoin USDe depegged to $0.65, order books emptied

Analysts point to a mix of technical glitches and market makers pulling bids (Binance and Wintermute were blamed). Many described the event as a “great cleanse” – a leverage bomb that reset the market but left deep scars.

Market Makers Under Pressure

Major market makers including ABC, Cyantarb, and Selini suffered heavy losses. To plug balance sheet holes, they have been selling BTC and ETH, adding persistent downward pressure. As strategist Tom Lee noted: “This creates constant selling pressure.”

Breaking Away from the S&P 500

Crypto’s usual correlation with equities broke down in November. While the S&P 500 gained, Bitcoin fell 24%. The divergence stems from forced crypto liquidations, MM selling, and tariff fears, while equities remained buoyed by risk appetite and Fed policy. The BTC–S&P correlation dropped to 0.65, signaling growing independence – but also heightened downside risk.

Outlook

Speculation suggests MM-driven selling could last 6-18 months, similar to post-IPO overhangs. Yet extreme pessimism may set the stage for recovery: the Fear & Greed Index at 10-14 points to oversold conditions. Veteran trader Peter Brandt cautioned: “The next bull run starts from oversold, but the death cross signals a possible drop to $74,000.”

👌 @education

💰Cathie Wood Predicts Crypto Liquidity Will Return in December

Cathie Wood, chief executive of ARK Invest, has argued that the current strain in crypto markets is driven not by weak fundamentals but by a shortage of macro liquidity. Speaking on her In The Know podcast, she described Bitcoin and other digital assets as highly sensitive to liquidity shocks, even when their underlying strength remains intact.

– Wood pointed to several temporary factors behind the contraction: lingering inflation concerns, supply chain disruptions, and delays in government statistical releases. She expects these pressures to ease in early December. A key date, she suggested, is December 10, when the US Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates. According to CME FedWatch data, the probability of such a move has climbed to 80%.

The return of government reporting, including the unemployment figures, should also help restore confidence. Historically, Wood noted, Bitcoin has been the first asset to rally when liquidity conditions improve. She reiterated her long-term forecast of Bitcoin reaching $1 million, arguing that periods of economic turbulence only reinforce its role as a resilient store of value.

👌 @education

💻Upbit exchange was attacked by hackers

🇰🇷South Korea’s major crypto exchange Upbit was attacked by hackers, and it was confirmed that assets worth $36M were withdrawn from the platform.

Exchange representatives acknowledged the loss and announced that all user losses will be fully compensated. Currently, the platform is undergoing technical inspections and implementing enhanced security measures.

🔐Note: Holding large amounts of crypto in exchange wallets for a long time can be risky. It is recommended to use personal cold wallets to securely store investments.

👌 @education

‼️Why the Fed’s QT pause matters for risk assets?

The Federal Reserve has officially ended its quantitative tightening program, freezing its balance sheet at about $6.55 trillion. The move marks the end of a two-year effort to shrink the portfolio the Fed built up during the post-2008 and pandemic stimulus cycles.

The balance sheet tells the story clearly. After the 2008 crisis, large-scale asset purchases pushed it from roughly $1 trillion to more than $7.5 trillion. QT, which began in 2022, steadily pulled liquidity out of the system as the Fed let bonds roll off or sold them outright. That process shaved about $2.4 trillion from the peak. The recent flattening in the chart signals the tightening phase is over.

A pause in QT has direct implications for markets. When the balance sheet shrinks, liquidity dries up, rates stay elevated, and investors tend to retreat into safer assets. During the heavy QT period, both equities and crypto traded under pressure as risk appetite faded.

With QT now on hold, the picture flips:

✅

Liquidity stabilizes.

The Fed isn’t adding fresh liquidity, but it’s no longer draining it. Bank reserves remain healthy, credit conditions ease, and investors have more dry powder for risk assets.

✅

Rate pressure softens.

A stable balance sheet reduces upward pressure on yields, which generally supports valuations for stocks, crypto, and high-yield credit.

✅

Market sentiment turns.

Ending QT is widely read as a shift toward a friendlier policy stance. The last time the Fed paused QT, in 2019, markets rallied sharply. A similar pattern could play out again, especially in crypto, where liquidity flows matter most.

In the long run, a steady balance sheet isn’t the same as renewed easing, but it removes a major headwind. The risk is that inflation re-accelerates, which could force the Fed back into tightening mode. For now, though, the data show the downtrend in the Fed’s assets has stopped, and that alone gives risk-on markets room to breathe.

👌 @education