The AI trade had its worst week since June. The debt-heavy names that buy Nvidia's chips fell 3–4× harder than Nvidia itself.
Oct 9 → Oct 16 on Hyperliquid:
CoreWeave: −26%
Nebius: −25%
SK Hynix: −25%
IREN: −23%
• The trigger: CoreWeave's reported ~$50B debt load. Bonds it sold in June at 9.7% now reportedly yield ~15%.
•
➕ Track CoreWeave bankruptcy odds➕ NVDA
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Oil perps did $433M in 24 hours, 16% of all TradFi volume on Hyperliquid:
That's more than
Oil futures close for the weekend. Hyperliquid doesn't.
➕ BRENT🛢 ➕ WTI🛢 ➕ Track WTI odds
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Tom Lee's Bitmine holds 6.04M ETH, 4.9% of supply. Lee says buying stops at 5%.
At this pace, Ethereum's biggest buyer is done in 5 weeks.
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Michaël van de Poppe sees $1M Bitcoin this cycle.
The chart he shared: all five crash bottoms since 2011 sit on one line. By 2030 it is at $193K. His math: a $1M BTC top, then a −80% crash, lands right on it.
Who calls $1M BTC by 2030:
• Cathie Wood: $1.5M
• Jack Dorsey, Brian Armstrong, Arthur Hayes: $1M
• Michael Saylor: $1M is "inevitable"
The line gets to $193K by 2030 and to $1M in 2037.
➕ BTC🚀
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SOL is still −64% from its ATH.
Consensus switches on Oct 21: transactions go final in ~150 ms instead of ~12.8 seconds. Ethereum still takes about 15 minutes.
21.5% it hits $120.
➕ SOL🟣
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For the first time, BTC is in JPMorgan's long-term forecast. It expects 10% a year, more than any other asset.
Others on the list, per year:
• Private equity: 9.8%
• US large caps: 7.5%
• Gold: 5.5%
JPMorgan also expects Bitcoin to swing 3x more than gold.
➕ BTC🚀
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On Sept 16, 2026 the Fed raised its rate by 0.25% to 3.75–4.00%. Higher rates usually hurt crypto and tech stocks, yet Bitcoin beat both stocks and gold.
• Rates stay the same: 85.5%
• Another 0.25% hike: 14.5%
• A cut: under 1%
➕ BTC🚀 ➕ Track Fed odds
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That's VC rounds and token sales of 46 of them; the other 36 never disclosed a raise of their own. The biggest:
• Sophon — $73.3M
• Neon EVM — $45M
• Movement Labs — $41.4M
• Blast — $20M
a16z and Polychain backed 6 of these projects each. Coinbase Ventures backed 8.
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Spot
The largest BTC long on
➕ BTC➕ Follow #1 BTC long
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Top: $11.90
Now: $0.54
➕ WLD🔓
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