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That's ~909K TRUMP dripping out to the creators & CIC Digital daily: ~$54M a month, or ~10% of the market cap. And ~$470M more is still locked until January 2028.
Meanwhile, dinner is served again 🍽 On Nov 22 the top 185 holders get a seat at the President's table. The price of the ticket? A coin that fell from ~$70 to ~$2. Hope the steak is worth it.
Track every unlock 👉
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Last 7 days on Hyperliquid:
SK Hynix: $1.04B traded
Nvidia: $531M
• Memory chips are 36% of all volume on Hyperliquid's TradFi markets.
• Open interest in SK Hynix is $311M. That's 3x Nvidia and second only to the S&P 500.
Compare top stocks on DropsTab 👇
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🇺🇸 The US sent free money 3 times.
Next round: $5,000 per person
⬆️ Bitcoin 30 days after each check:
$1,200 (Apr 2020): +40%
$600 (Dec 2020): +23%
$1,400 (Mar 2021): +4%
Now Trump promises $5,000 to every adult if Republicans win Congress on Nov 3.
💵 ~$1.3T. More than all 3 COVID rounds combined
📆 Spring 2027 at the earliest
🔵 Polymarket: 4.5% it happens
What the big names expect for BTC:
• Arthur Hayes: ~$125K by year-end
• Standard Chartered: $100K, maybe after a dip to $50K
• Tom Lee (BitMine): new ATH, up to $250K. 2027 "maybe one of the biggest rallies we see in our lifetime"
Next round: $5,000 per person
$1,200 (Apr 2020): +40%
$600 (Dec 2020): +23%
$1,400 (Mar 2021): +4%
Now Trump promises $5,000 to every adult if Republicans win Congress on Nov 3.
💵 ~$1.3T. More than all 3 COVID rounds combined
📆 Spring 2027 at the earliest
➕ Track $5,000 check odds in DropsBot
What the big names expect for BTC:
• Arthur Hayes: ~$125K by year-end
• Standard Chartered: $100K, maybe after a dip to $50K
• Tom Lee (BitMine): new ATH, up to $250K. 2027 "maybe one of the biggest rallies we see in our lifetime"
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🇺🇸 19 days to the US midterms. Here's Bitcoin after the last three.
BTC 12 months after election day:
2014: $330 → $408 (+24%)
2018: $6,448 → $9,345 (+45%)
2022: $18,550 → $35,640 (+92%)
The road wasn't smooth: BTC first fell 48% after 2014 and 51% after 2018.
🔵 Polymarket on Nov 3:
• Democrats win the House: 90.5%
• Democrats win the Senate: 63.5%
• Republicans sweep: 8.5%
Trump's $5,000 checks need a Republican Congress. The market gives that 8.5%.
👇 Track it in DropsBot👀
BTC 12 months after election day:
2014: $330 → $408 (+24%)
2018: $6,448 → $9,345 (+45%)
2022: $18,550 → $35,640 (+92%)
The road wasn't smooth: BTC first fell 48% after 2014 and 51% after 2018.
• Democrats win the House: 90.5%
• Democrats win the Senate: 63.5%
• Republicans sweep: 8.5%
Trump's $5,000 checks need a Republican Congress. The market gives that 8.5%.
➕ Midterms odds🔵
➕ BTC🚀
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New rules apply after the close on Nov 30. The list of flagged firms drops on Nov 11. In MSCI's May test run, two big names were on it:
Metaplanet paid ~$96.9K per coin. BTC trades at $82.1K.
Current members get a buffer: they're out only if they fail the screen in two annual filings in a row. That makes Nov 11 the day to watch.
➕ BTC🚀
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The AI trade had its worst week since June. The debt-heavy names that buy Nvidia's chips fell 3–4× harder than Nvidia itself.
Oct 9 → Oct 16 on Hyperliquid:
CoreWeave: −26%
Nebius: −25%
SK Hynix: −25%
IREN: −23%
• The trigger: CoreWeave's reported ~$50B debt load. Bonds it sold in June at 9.7% now reportedly yield ~15%.
•
➕ Track CoreWeave bankruptcy odds➕ NVDA
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Oil perps did $433M in 24 hours, 16% of all TradFi volume on Hyperliquid:
That's more than
Oil futures close for the weekend. Hyperliquid doesn't.
➕ BRENT🛢 ➕ WTI🛢 ➕ Track WTI odds
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Tom Lee's Bitmine holds 6.04M ETH, 4.9% of supply. Lee says buying stops at 5%.
At this pace, Ethereum's biggest buyer is done in 5 weeks.
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Michaël van de Poppe sees $1M Bitcoin this cycle.
The chart he shared: all five crash bottoms since 2011 sit on one line. By 2030 it is at $193K. His math: a $1M BTC top, then a −80% crash, lands right on it.
Who calls $1M BTC by 2030:
• Cathie Wood: $1.5M
• Jack Dorsey, Brian Armstrong, Arthur Hayes: $1M
• Michael Saylor: $1M is "inevitable"
The line gets to $193K by 2030 and to $1M in 2037.
➕ BTC🚀
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SOL is still −64% from its ATH.
Consensus switches on Oct 21: transactions go final in ~150 ms instead of ~12.8 seconds. Ethereum still takes about 15 minutes.
21.5% it hits $120.
➕ SOL🟣
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For the first time, BTC is in JPMorgan's long-term forecast. It expects 10% a year, more than any other asset.
Others on the list, per year:
• Private equity: 9.8%
• US large caps: 7.5%
• Gold: 5.5%
JPMorgan also expects Bitcoin to swing 3x more than gold.
➕ BTC🚀
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On Sept 16, 2026 the Fed raised its rate by 0.25% to 3.75–4.00%. Higher rates usually hurt crypto and tech stocks, yet Bitcoin beat both stocks and gold.
• Rates stay the same: 85.5%
• Another 0.25% hike: 14.5%
• A cut: under 1%
➕ BTC🚀 ➕ Track Fed odds
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