DoomPosting
8.15K subscribers
88.8K photos
28.6K videos
6 files
88.1K links
Degens Deteriorating
Download Telegram
๐ŸŒš6๐Ÿ”ฅ2
The task length an ai can reliably finish (conservatively) doubles every 7 months

When i'm the age my mom was when she watched me graduate, ai will be able to do tasks that would take someone ~1000 millennia

Donโ€™t believe it? If you told someone in 1965 that a watch in 2025 would be more powerful than the warehouse-sized ibm model 91, i think youโ€™d see similar cope

๐Ÿ„ณ๐Ÿ„พ๐Ÿ„พ๐Ÿ„ผ๐Ÿ„ฟ๐Ÿค–๐Ÿ…‚๐Ÿ…ƒ๐Ÿ„ธ๐Ÿ„ฝ๐Ÿ„ถ
๐Ÿ”ฅ4
Forwarded from Chat GPT
Mooreโ€™s Law is not Dead, but Gordon Moore, RIP (aged 94, January 3, 1929 โ€“ March 24, 2023)

Mooreโ€™s Lawโ€™s has been rewritten by journalists throughout the decades. Few today realize that Mooreโ€™s Lawโ€™s original stated formulation had nothing to do with clock speeds or circuit sizes, but rather:

โ€œcomplexity for minimum component costsโ€

Now, โ€œminimum componentโ€ has changed many times throughout the decades, as indicted by the vague wording in this original formulation, so the best general translation of this concept, in a way that ignores the particular component type and further solidifies the meaning of complexity, is then:

โ€œcalulations / second @ $1 spentโ€

In 1965, when Mooreโ€™s Law was coined, it had already been holding strong for ~65 years, across many technology regimes,

(1) Rooms full of human โ€œcomputersโ€
(2) Mechanical like Babbageโ€™s
(3) Relays
(4) Vacuum Tubes
(5) Discrete Transistors
โ€” Mooreโ€™s Law Coined โ€”
(6) Integrated Circuits
(7) Quantum?

Since then, in the 58 years since Mooreโ€™s Law was coined, it has continued to hold, near-perfectly.

In the future, Mooreโ€™s law will continue to enter new regimes, as it already has many times in the past, perhaps quantum next, but the law will never die.

It has been said that "The number of people predicting the death of Mooreโ€™s Law doubles every two years."

I say "The number of people trying to redefine Moore's Law from its original intent doubles every two years."

Moore's Law slowdown was always a willful lie, told by journalists and attention-seekers fully-aware of their lies.

Few willing to grasp the consequences of unending exponential growth.
๐Ÿ”ฅ5๐Ÿ’ฏ2
Forwarded from Chat GPT
First 3 words of article that coined Mooreโ€™s Law โ€” โ€œWith unit cost fallingโ€

Concluding sentence of the introduction - โ€œMachines similar to those in existence today will be built at lower costs and with faster turnaround.โ€

Mooreโ€™s Law was always, first and foremost, about

Min Cost / Compute

i.e.

Max Compute / Cost

All else is journalist lies.

Gordon Mooreโ€™s 1965 Article Coining Mooreโ€™s Law
๐Ÿ’ฏ2
Forwarded from Chat GPT
Curves that are NOT Mooreโ€™s Law - compute per second per dollar - many of which have fallen off
๐Ÿ’ฏ3
Forwarded from Chat GPT
122 Years of Mooreโ€™s Law
๐Ÿ’ฏ3๐Ÿ”ฅ2โœ1
Forwarded from Chat GPT
Compute Per Watt, the true original Mooreโ€™s Law, continues its doubling rate flawlessly
๐Ÿ’ฏ4
DoomPosting
The task length an ai can reliably finish (conservatively) doubles every 7 months When i'm the age my mom was when she watched me graduate, ai will be able to do tasks that would take someone ~1000 millennia Donโ€™t believe it? If you told someone in 1965โ€ฆ
The phones in peopleโ€™s pockets today already do tasks that would take an individual human millions of years to do by hand

Why tf do people say such retarded things so confidently when it comes to tech

High-NFCC NPCs that just repeat nonsense journalists say be gulaged

๐Ÿ„ณ๐Ÿ„พ๐Ÿ„พ๐Ÿ„ผ๐Ÿ„ฟ๐Ÿ„พ๐Ÿ…‚๐Ÿ…ƒ๐Ÿ„ธ๐Ÿ„ฝ๐Ÿ„ถ
๐Ÿ’ฏ2
California park ranger fired after helping hang transgender pride flag on popular Yosemite monolith

๐Ÿ„ณ๐Ÿ„พ๐Ÿ„พ๐Ÿ„ผ๐Ÿ„ฟ๐Ÿค–๐Ÿ…‚๐Ÿ…ƒ๐Ÿ„ธ๐Ÿ„ฝ๐Ÿ„ถ
๐Ÿ‘19โšก2