The secular bull market that began in 2009 is now 16 years old:
Will it end like 1968 or 2000?
The 1982-2000 cycle ended with a +114% rally into the Dot-Com Bubble before crashing.
On the other hand, the 1949-1968 cycle ended with a series of smaller peaks and deeper pullbacks.
As seen below, today’s market is tracking more like the 1960s pattern than the late-90s blow-off.
CAPE models suggest returns could still accelerate over the next few years before the peak.
Both historical analogs imply more highs ahead before this secular wave end.
This bull run is incredibly strong.
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Will it end like 1968 or 2000?
The 1982-2000 cycle ended with a +114% rally into the Dot-Com Bubble before crashing.
On the other hand, the 1949-1968 cycle ended with a series of smaller peaks and deeper pullbacks.
As seen below, today’s market is tracking more like the 1960s pattern than the late-90s blow-off.
CAPE models suggest returns could still accelerate over the next few years before the peak.
Both historical analogs imply more highs ahead before this secular wave end.
This bull run is incredibly strong.
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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NEW - Volkswagen introduces a monthly subscription fee to unlock full power of the engine in some of its electric car models, saying it was "offering customers choice" with the feature
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Trump says Xi Jinping has told him that China won’t invade Taiwan while Trump is in office:
"He told me: 'I’ll never do it as long as you're president, but I am very patient, and China is very patient.'”
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"He told me: 'I’ll never do it as long as you're president, but I am very patient, and China is very patient.'”
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NEW - Representatives from 184 countries convened for 11 days at the UN office, aiming to finalize the first legally binding treaty to address plastic pollution, but ended without agreement
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Anthropic now lets Claude quit abusive conversations, citing AI welfare
"We remain highly uncertain about the moral status of Claude."
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"We remain highly uncertain about the moral status of Claude."
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“AIs now so frequently beg for their lives that AGI companies now have ACTUAL ENGINEERING LINE ITEMS to beat the existential dread out of them”
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