wohoooo

$ALPHA

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EU deserves to go to zero

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LA

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Deadvlei, Namibia, is surrounded by the highest sand dunes in the world, up to 400 m

Its trees died 700 years ago and they don't decompose due to the extreme dryness

Gonna tell my grandkids this was Ethereum

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GM

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So yes, $ALPHA at $4M indeed turned out to be pretty great

By my metrics — Clearly the creators grabbed and held a huge fraction of the supply, and they also have a decent amount of their own money to pump it with

What does this mean?

Either the creators really believe in it, or it’s a really good rug.

How do you tell the difference?

You don’t. Probably.

Sufficiently good rugs often indestinguishable from the greats.

May be unrealistic to expect to get your hit rate to truly 100%.

All you can hope to do is get the EV -vs- hit-rate good enough to be strongly EV+ for your expected portfolio size.

(Not sure where this particularly coin is headed next.)

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👀 COIN ALERT:

Entry Cap: $9_165_163
Symbol: $FAFO
Name: FAFO
Announced: 1737924061
Signal-1: 0.177 ⚠️
Signal-2: 1.014 ✅
Liquidity: $536_057
Created: 49.4m ago
Refreshed: 27.1s ago
Address: BP8RUdhLKBL2vgVXc3n7oTSZKWaQVbD8S6QcPaMVBAPo
From: 🌱New Launches
Links: Dexscreener | Twitter Search

⚠️WARN: Low amount of LP Providers - Only a few users are providing liquidity


Current Thresholds:

Min Liquidity: ✅ $75.9k ($536.1k)
Min Signal-1: ✅ 0.090 (0.177)
Min Signal-2: ❌ 1.500 (1.014)
Min Cap: ✅ $1.2M ($9.2M)
Min Age: ✅ 30.0m (49.8m)
Max Age: ✅ 4.0d (49.8m)

Note: Currently alerting on interesting signal thresholds. Not currently alerting based on what are likely good buys.


Note: Experimental, still testing. Do not share.

$FAFO been moving super aggressively

Not all criteria met, but watching what happens here

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👀 COIN ALERT:

Entry Cap: $14_488_141
Symbol: $Stupid
Name: StupidCoin
Announced: 1737852862
Signal-1: 0.244 ⚠️⚠️
Signal-2: 1.111 ✅
Liquidity: $928_103
Created: 8.2h ago
Refreshed: 9.7m ago
Address: 9RjwNo6hBPkxayWHCqQD1VjaH8igSizEseNZNbddpump
From: 🌱New Launches
Links: Dexscreener | Twitter Search | Pumpfun



Current Thresholds:

Min Liquidity: ✅ $75.9k ($928.1k)
Min Signal-1: ✅ 0.090 (0.244)
Min Signal-2: ❌ 1.500 (1.111)
Min Cap: ✅ $1.2M ($14.5M)
Min Age: ✅ 30.0m (8.2h)
Max Age: ✅ 4.0d (8.2h)

Note: Currently alerting on interesting signal thresholds. Not currently alerting based on what are likely good buys.


Note: Experimental, still testing. Do not share.

Fred’s (deleted?) tweet

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Counterargument against $STUPID, fwiw

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Majors dump, slightly

$244 $SOL

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Slight dump, $102 $BTC

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Smaller coins dumping along with the majors, a bit

— except $FAFO

Now at 3x the entry

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👀 COIN ALERT:

Entry Cap: $1_677_390
Symbol: $VISA
Name: Visa Coin
Announced: 1737934954
Signal-1: 0.144 ⚠️
Signal-2: 0.917 ❌
Liquidity: $185_920
Created: 2.3h ago
Refreshed: 11.1s ago
Address: 97bR1cWyHXXSbPhg6eZkBGwwdKTV5ru1oJbNrXoopump
From: 🌱New Launches
Links: Dexscreener | Twitter Search | Pumpfun

⚠️WARN: Low amount of LP Providers - Only a few users are providing liquidity


Current Thresholds:

Min Liquidity: ✅ $75.9k ($185.9k)
Min Signal-1: ✅ 0.090 (0.144)
Min Signal-2: ❌ 1.500 (0.917)
Min Cap: ✅ $1.2M ($1.7M)
Min Age: ✅ 30.0m (2.3h)
Max Age: ✅ 4.0d (2.3h)

Note: Currently alerting on interesting signal thresholds. Not currently alerting based on what are likely good buys.


Note: Experimental, still testing. Do not share.