Pumpfun slight revenue pullback since November 23rd
But was it the streams?
Something else?
Nothing but another normal pullback, on the rocket to a much higher, much later top?
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
But was it the streams?
Something else?
Nothing but another normal pullback, on the rocket to a much higher, much later top?
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
π4
DoomPosting
My latest memecoin launch success rate charts Also did cactus style survival plots, which can give you more immediate estimates of current market conditions, without having to wait for a delay to measure success β but this one gives you a clearer pictureβ¦
Pumpfun revenue β another interesting signal, tracking pumpfun memecoin performance prior to their launch
See also my memecoin success-rate charts, tracking post-launch pumpfun coin performance
Wow, look at how there were ~zero pumpfuns back in March, the local peak of many of the biggest real memecoin successes so far
β Back when memecoin price charts didnβt all make the christmas tree shape,
as the pumpfuns increasingly have, starting with the disaster that was $BODEN
Mark my words, getting βgoodβ at pumpfuns trading will make you pick up very bad habits, thatβll be hard to shake, leave you poor by the end of the cycle
Only machine-run strategies have ever gotten rich from short holding times
Human-run strategies have always required much longer holding times, to make people rich, or at least holding until qualified exit events
Been a basic reality of markets for hundreds of years, only a matter of time before itβs clear this never stopped being a reality
2025 will be year of the HODL
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
See also my memecoin success-rate charts, tracking post-launch pumpfun coin performance
Wow, look at how there were ~zero pumpfuns back in March, the local peak of many of the biggest real memecoin successes so far
β Back when memecoin price charts didnβt all make the christmas tree shape,
as the pumpfuns increasingly have, starting with the disaster that was $BODEN
Mark my words, getting βgoodβ at pumpfuns trading will make you pick up very bad habits, thatβll be hard to shake, leave you poor by the end of the cycle
Only machine-run strategies have ever gotten rich from short holding times
Human-run strategies have always required much longer holding times, to make people rich, or at least holding until qualified exit events
Been a basic reality of markets for hundreds of years, only a matter of time before itβs clear this never stopped being a reality
2025 will be year of the HODL
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
π5
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Daniel Penny jury informs judge they cannot reach a verdict
Unclear if judge will instruct jury to continue deliberating
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
Unclear if judge will instruct jury to continue deliberating
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
π11
Had you bought $BTC with your $1,200 stimulus check in 2020 you'd now have almost $20,000.
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
π4β‘3π3
$BTC surging hard in the past hour
$SOL & $ETH rejecting this surge hard, barely rising, fwiw
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
$SOL & $ETH rejecting this surge hard, barely rising, fwiw
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
π3π«‘3
DoomPosting
Pumpfun revenue β another interesting signal, tracking pumpfun memecoin performance prior to their launch See also my memecoin success-rate charts, tracking post-launch pumpfun coin performance Wow, look at how there were ~zero pumpfuns back in March, theβ¦
Cumulative PnL of day crypto day traders, i.e. guys frequently buying and jeeting the majors all the time, according to latest hyperliquid stats
= Negative the entire time since 2024, just dropping like a rock, and just wonβt stop
Meanwhile, know what the stats would look like for just HODLing the majors?
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
= Negative the entire time since 2024, just dropping like a rock, and just wonβt stop
Meanwhile, know what the stats would look like for just HODLing the majors?
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
π7πΏ1
DoomPosting
Cumulative PnL of day crypto day traders, i.e. guys frequently buying and jeeting the majors all the time, according to latest hyperliquid stats = Negative the entire time since 2024, just dropping like a rock, and just wonβt stop Meanwhile, know what theβ¦
Just holding any of the majors, since the start of 2024, would put you massively up
Even ETH
Now over some timespans holding the majors wouldβve had you down
β¦but day traders are down not just over some timespans, but rather OVER ALL TIMESPANS
Really amazing how bad constant jeeting day trading, always cashing out to USDT each day, really is
IMO think of frequent cashing out being like physical bulldozing
= a task for machines
Now, yes, you COULD build a better machine, a better bulldozer than the other guys, and make money
But no, you COULD NOT outcompete the guys with bulldozer machines with a shovel and your bare hands
Day trading is the domain of the machines, not humans
(And if you do use some machine to day trade, it has to be one that extremely few or zero others have, if you want to compete, obviously)
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
Even ETH
Now over some timespans holding the majors wouldβve had you down
β¦but day traders are down not just over some timespans, but rather OVER ALL TIMESPANS
Really amazing how bad constant jeeting day trading, always cashing out to USDT each day, really is
IMO think of frequent cashing out being like physical bulldozing
= a task for machines
Now, yes, you COULD build a better machine, a better bulldozer than the other guys, and make money
But no, you COULD NOT outcompete the guys with bulldozer machines with a shovel and your bare hands
Day trading is the domain of the machines, not humans
(And if you do use some machine to day trade, it has to be one that extremely few or zero others have, if you want to compete, obviously)
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
π―4π4π2
DoomPosting
Just holding any of the majors, since the start of 2024, would put you massively up Even ETH Now over some timespans holding the majors wouldβve had you down β¦but day traders are down not just over some timespans, but rather OVER ALL TIMESPANS Really amazingβ¦
So day-trading the majors turns out surprisingly bad
What about day-trading the memecoins?
= Also bad
Jeets get some wins in the short term but achieve horrible negative EVs in the longer term
Those bragging about your βtaking profitβ outside of qualified exit events and stop-loss βrisk preventionβ strategies
β are absolute morons
Only smart move is to force yourself to stick to strategies that donβt involve βtaking profitβ or βstop lossesβ at all
(Unless youβre making your own machines that are better than the other guysβ day trading machines, and if so, then youβd better be good at it)
Whether youβre buying majors or buying pumpfun garbage,
β HODLing strategies crush day-trading jeeting strategies, in the long term
And itβs not even close
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
What about day-trading the memecoins?
= Also bad
Jeets get some wins in the short term but achieve horrible negative EVs in the longer term
Those bragging about your βtaking profitβ outside of qualified exit events and stop-loss βrisk preventionβ strategies
β are absolute morons
Only smart move is to force yourself to stick to strategies that donβt involve βtaking profitβ or βstop lossesβ at all
(Unless youβre making your own machines that are better than the other guysβ day trading machines, and if so, then youβd better be good at it)
Whether youβre buying majors or buying pumpfun garbage,
β HODLing strategies crush day-trading jeeting strategies, in the long term
And itβs not even close
π³πΎπΎπΌπΏπΎπ π πΈπ½πΆ
π―5π2
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π6π€‘3π3π₯1π1