GM
Many secondary majors starting to boom
$BNB, $TRON, $AVX, $DOT, $LTC, etc
Unclear if will be sustained
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Many secondary majors starting to boom
$BNB, $TRON, $AVX, $DOT, $LTC, etc
Unclear if will be sustained
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π6
Murad and other influencers pushing these kinds of EXTREMLEY cheap-to-fake βdecentralizationβ metrics as βgoodβ
β is exactly what makes them end up being βbadββ¦.
Scammers overwhelmingly cheat these for ~free, with simple scripts, while legit coins donβt bother
= Anti-signal
Murad ends up screwing normies bad
β At least in my own backtests, found essentially all βdecentralizationβ metrics to be strongly inversely associated with coinsβ later success
Zero backtesting by these crypto influencers
Total insanity
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β is exactly what makes them end up being βbadββ¦.
Scammers overwhelmingly cheat these for ~free, with simple scripts, while legit coins donβt bother
= Anti-signal
Murad ends up screwing normies bad
β At least in my own backtests, found essentially all βdecentralizationβ metrics to be strongly inversely associated with coinsβ later success
Zero backtesting by these crypto influencers
Total insanity
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π4π―2
DoomPosting
Longish-term downward slide of $SOL/$BTC over past few days IIRC often tends to lead up to dumpsβ¦ Will see later if I can chart the accuracy of such SOL/BTC-based predictions Thereβs some trickiness in that itβs very unclear the timespan over which suchβ¦
Did a quick classic lead/lag plot on BTC/USD vs SOL/BTC yesterday
Generally seeing positive correlations for negative lags (left side of chart generally positive), and negative correlations for positive lags (right side of chart generally negative)
I.e.
+ SOL/BTCβs next price movements have a strong POSITIVE correlation by BTC/USDβs past price movements, over SHORT timeframes
+ BTC/USDβs next price movements have a strong NEGATIVE correlation with SOL/BTCβs past price movements, over LONGER timeframes
β Which is fascinating, and exactly what weβd noticedβ¦ and lines up with the model weβd imagined
=
(1) $BTC directly driving the price of smaller coins like $SOL
β making BTC movements predictive of SOL movements in the short term
(2) BUT, smaller coins like $SOL also essentially trying to price-in the upcoming anticipated changes in $BTC price
β making SOL/BTC movements predictive of $BTC movements in the slightly longer medium term
Fascinating, just as we wouldβve guessed β and slightly trickier than just one being predictive of the other. Predictive of each other, but in slightly different ways, and different time spans.
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Generally seeing positive correlations for negative lags (left side of chart generally positive), and negative correlations for positive lags (right side of chart generally negative)
I.e.
+ SOL/BTCβs next price movements have a strong POSITIVE correlation by BTC/USDβs past price movements, over SHORT timeframes
+ BTC/USDβs next price movements have a strong NEGATIVE correlation with SOL/BTCβs past price movements, over LONGER timeframes
β Which is fascinating, and exactly what weβd noticedβ¦ and lines up with the model weβd imagined
=
(1) $BTC directly driving the price of smaller coins like $SOL
β making BTC movements predictive of SOL movements in the short term
(2) BUT, smaller coins like $SOL also essentially trying to price-in the upcoming anticipated changes in $BTC price
β making SOL/BTC movements predictive of $BTC movements in the slightly longer medium term
Fascinating, just as we wouldβve guessed β and slightly trickier than just one being predictive of the other. Predictive of each other, but in slightly different ways, and different time spans.
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π3π3
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i.e. $BTC booms or dips do indeed seem to drive immediate, much bigger booms or dips in the smaller coins
But also, price movements in the smaller coins do seem to predict upcoming movements of $BTC, on longer time frames
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But also, price movements in the smaller coins do seem to predict upcoming movements of $BTC, on longer time frames
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π5π2
$MOODENG listed on Coinbase, doubles in price
Not as huge as the Binance listing surges
Unclear how much thatβs due to Binance causing much bigger surges, or market conditions of $SOL & BTC dropping over the past week
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Not as huge as the Binance listing surges
Unclear how much thatβs due to Binance causing much bigger surges, or market conditions of $SOL & BTC dropping over the past week
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DoomPosting
Yes, many more of the slightly older coins being pumped in the past day or 2, instead of brand new ones Still thinking the primary appeal is avoiding the pumpfun jeets dumping within the first few hours β¦Which is succeeding, these are lasting a tiny bitβ¦
Trend of just pumping older coins continuing
Huge distrust caused by pumpfun jeeting,
caused by pumpfun mispricing
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Huge distrust caused by pumpfun jeeting,
caused by pumpfun mispricing
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π6π―2
Paul Atkins confirmed to accept the nomination for Chairman of the SEC
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π6
But seriously one of the worst run launches of all time
Even worse than slerf
Setting records
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Even worse than slerf
Setting records
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π8π«‘1
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WARNING: GRAPHIC CONTENT β ASSASSINATION: UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, Head of $324 Billion Giant, Assassinated Outside NYC Hotel
Brian Robert Thompson, the CEO of UnitedHealthcare, was tragically shot and killed outside a New York City hotel on December 4, 2024. UnitedHealth Group, the parent company of UnitedHealthcare, is among the world's largest companies. According to the 2023 Fortune Global 500 list, UnitedHealth Group ranked 10th globally, with revenues of approximately $324 billion.
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Brian Robert Thompson, the CEO of UnitedHealthcare, was tragically shot and killed outside a New York City hotel on December 4, 2024. UnitedHealth Group, the parent company of UnitedHealthcare, is among the world's largest companies. According to the 2023 Fortune Global 500 list, UnitedHealth Group ranked 10th globally, with revenues of approximately $324 billion.
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π8π1