DoomPosting
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Degens Deteriorating
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Bros spent a whole month just to build up an alibi

3rd time they’ve pulled this off with a cover story

Asian low time preference in action

Salute

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Max-pain scenario: More down before up.

What if 1 or 2 more cycles of lower highs and higher lows?

Would only be a 1 or 2 more months,

but could be max-pain for those projects who went all-in betting that this is the one, and then get immediately rekt in a market-wide crash, even if it quickly recovers

Some evidence for and against:

For pain: First rate cuts happening, and often markets dump soon after the first rate cut

Against pain: But often the markets briefly keep rising a little more after the first rate cut, and sometimes they don’t dump at all after the first rate cut

For pain: This would simply be continuing the well-established cycle

Against pain: What goes up fast goes down fast - but this rise, if you look closely, has been more measured than the previous rises, rising more slowly with the added accumulation zones on the way up

Against pain: Prices have usually risen up to halving (April 19th this year), which is exactly what happened, then dropped, which is exactly what happened, then rising into November elections. With November so close, it’s high time to rise above halving price, right?

β€” Timing for launch is a HUGE make or break question for coins and projects, with launch timing often dominating success β€” EXACT OPPOSITE to your timing not mattering much as a buyer of top-5 major coins that are years old, where you can DCA in and be just fine.

Big question in crypto now.

Real one? Groundhog back into the hole for another month?

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Groundhog moment,

Fail to blast past the local high,

and that could be a sign we’re in for another mini-crash,

more months of waiting for the real bull to begin

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Boom, right past the previous high on $SOL,

$BTC still lagging a bit,

and the difference raises the question,

When is it the case the $BTC is leading the smaller coins like $SOL β€” because fluctuations its huge liquidity affects the entire rest of the ecosystem

= smaller lagging

And when is it instead the case that the smaller coins like $SOL are giving a preview of what $BTC will do next β€” e.g. because it just takes far less capital to move the smaller ones

= bigger lagging

Who’s driving who and when?

Curious to look into this, and similar relationships between the coins later

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$BTC takes a hard dive,

$SOL totally unchanged, even slightly up, going on minutes later

As if $SOL is saying β€œnah, don’t believe you on this one $BTC”

Adds more to the mystery of who’s driving who

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