Pre-FOMC pump?

What will happen when fed rate cut is announced?

Dump? Pump? Flat?

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Short-term-bull case for fed rate cuts.

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Short-term-bear case for fed rate cuts.

= 2000 & 2007, the dotcom crash and housing bubble crash respectively

Which is more applicable now?

Are we on the verge of a collapse, as in these 2 cases, or headed for more up, as in the other ~20 cases?

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Latest prediction market odds

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November odds showing a 6% chance of a massive 75+ bps decrease

Second even bigger money printing bubble on the way?

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Another bear case:

Only counting 3 cuts in the last ~24 years.

…But all 3 of those involved major crashes during peak bull times — dotcom & housing crash, or a black swan — covid.

Neither of those looking applicable at all today?

Definitely not in hyper-bull times in any major market, probably no covid 2.0 shutting down the economy again any time soon.

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Mossad integrated highly explosive Pentaerythritol tetranitrate (PETN) charges into the pager batteries

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Mossad intercepted pager deliveries, and swapped the batteries for batteries containing high explosives.

This is the same general reason why dedicated crypto hardware is practically always a horrible idea,

versus carefully using an old, very common, generic computer, for which any would-be interceptors would have a hard time guessing what it will be used for, or would be far too late to intercept because it was delivered long ago, along with using as widely used as possible software, or else totally in-house software.

Obvious af, but people are obsessed with playing James Bond with custom hardware.

Blending in mofo, camouflage, do you speak it?

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One concern, is this:

(A) Flight-to-quality (i.e. bigger market cap) occuring in crypto now, due to upcoming FOMC, with bitcoin outperforming most other major cryptos?

Or,

(B) simply another case of the old Bitcoin leading bull waves and then smaller coins catching up and surpassing afterward?

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SOL vs BTC all time

FWIW, you could expect these surges to get gradually smaller over time, as the smaller coin (SOL) catches up to the larger coin (BTC) — just as the chart shows.

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