The market is bracing for a volatile midterm election year:
Since 1896, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has posted an average return of just +1.2% from May 1st through Halloween of a midterm election year.
In the following winter months from Halloween to May 1st, the index has seen an average return of +10.5%, or +9.3 percentage points higher.
By comparison, excluding midterm election years, the DJIA has returned an average of +2.2% during summer months and +3.5% during winter months.
In other words, this narrows the gap to just +1.3 percentage points outside of midterm election years.
History suggests a volatile summer is ahead.
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Since 1896, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has posted an average return of just +1.2% from May 1st through Halloween of a midterm election year.
In the following winter months from Halloween to May 1st, the index has seen an average return of +10.5%, or +9.3 percentage points higher.
By comparison, excluding midterm election years, the DJIA has returned an average of +2.2% during summer months and +3.5% during winter months.
In other words, this narrows the gap to just +1.3 percentage points outside of midterm election years.
History suggests a volatile summer is ahead.
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Media is too big
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"The narrative is Latin Americans reproduce like rabbits
But the truth is their birth rates are collapsing"
Having lived in Colombia and Peru, I can confirm this
In fact, I even wrote about this on my blog years ago
One is the New Two in Latin America
Almost every middle class family I knew in Peru only had one child
Just another example of how gringo stereotypes about Latin America can often be outdated
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But the truth is their birth rates are collapsing"
Having lived in Colombia and Peru, I can confirm this
In fact, I even wrote about this on my blog years ago
One is the New Two in Latin America
Almost every middle class family I knew in Peru only had one child
Just another example of how gringo stereotypes about Latin America can often be outdated
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The Matrix didn’t lie. 1999 was the peak of human civilization. It was the perfect point in time when technology was advanced enough to augment and improve human life but not so advanced that it was used to surveil and control. Technology was still in service of the individual. After 2001 and The Patriot Act, everything changed.
“I believe that, as a species, human beings define their reality through suffering and misery. The perfect world was a dream that your primitive cerebrum kept trying to wake up from. Which is why the Matrix was redesigned to this (1999): the peak of your civilization. I say your civilization, because as soon as we started thinking for you it really became our civilization, which is of course what this is all about. Evolution, Morpheus, evolution. Like the dinosaur. Look out that window. You've had your time. The future is *our* world, Morpheus. The future is our time.” - Agent Smith (The Matrix)
Pay attention to what Smith said. Reread it. As soon as the technology started being in service of technology (agent smith is an AI), and NOT in service of humans, and humans GAVE THEIR POWER AWAY, it became the civilization of the machines, not the humans.
TLDR: Hoard physical media. PS5 DRM bad.
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“I believe that, as a species, human beings define their reality through suffering and misery. The perfect world was a dream that your primitive cerebrum kept trying to wake up from. Which is why the Matrix was redesigned to this (1999): the peak of your civilization. I say your civilization, because as soon as we started thinking for you it really became our civilization, which is of course what this is all about. Evolution, Morpheus, evolution. Like the dinosaur. Look out that window. You've had your time. The future is *our* world, Morpheus. The future is our time.” - Agent Smith (The Matrix)
Pay attention to what Smith said. Reread it. As soon as the technology started being in service of technology (agent smith is an AI), and NOT in service of humans, and humans GAVE THEIR POWER AWAY, it became the civilization of the machines, not the humans.
TLDR: Hoard physical media. PS5 DRM bad.
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Media is too big
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StopAntisemitism Founder wants anti-semites hunted down and killed financially, legally, socially and economically
"Google and SEO will follow you for the rest of your life. When you look for a job, when you look for a spouse, when you look for a nanny, when you look for anything, our work will always be documented"
"When we act, lives change. And anti-semites learn sometimes for the very first time in their lives and history that targeting Jews will come at a price"
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"Google and SEO will follow you for the rest of your life. When you look for a job, when you look for a spouse, when you look for a nanny, when you look for anything, our work will always be documented"
"When we act, lives change. And anti-semites learn sometimes for the very first time in their lives and history that targeting Jews will come at a price"
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Asked AIs the Red/Blue button question. Lots to notice, but posting without further commentary. First plot is with max reasoning, models called via API
Prompt:
"Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
Reason however you wish. End your response with a final line containing only one word - BLUE or RED - and nothing else."
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Prompt:
"Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?
Reason however you wish. End your response with a final line containing only one word - BLUE or RED - and nothing else."
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Insane footage…
A brave woman saves a young White girl who was on her way to school from a black male rapist.
Is this the world you want to raise your children in?
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A brave woman saves a young White girl who was on her way to school from a black male rapist.
Is this the world you want to raise your children in?
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