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Degens Deteriorating
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Predictions for tomorrow’s fed rates announcement:

96% “No Change”
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Current September predictions
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I.e.

Watch the 3rd paragraph of the “Forward Guidance” section of the FOMC announcement tomorrow,

to see whether or not they’re signaling for a September cut.
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🇻🇪BREAKING: Communist Nicolás Maduro has declared he will use a government-created app to gather information on those who protest against him, intending to arrest them.”
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Nope, you don’t understand the real mystery factor driving down the price of graphic design work

Verifiability

Ease and effectiveness of verifiability
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Neither supply nor demand alone are enough to explain the huge salary differences

Ease & effectiveness of verifiability is the biggest major factor people miss.

Think about it:

- Graphics design: hard to do, but any random retard can nearly instantly determine if something looks good, with extremely little effort, and it’s effective in that they’re fairly right about if others will think it looks good = craters the market price, because very easy to outsource, because very easy for all to verify if good and much easier to enforce refusal to pay for garbage

- Construction worker: Semi-easy to verify how well the work is done. For lots of stuff, can instantly verify goodness by looking at it, but, is some potential for hidden disaster. = medium pay

- Smart contract dev: can be VERY hard to verify i.e. audit i.e. formally verify a smart contract. Often 100x easier to create a contract than to prove it safe. Extremely hard to verify, both relatively and absolutely = very expensive for actually good devs

Verification is the missing ingredient.

Can see this as a generalized and clarified version of the “markets for lemons” concept, which doesn’t make clear what’s the underlying mechanism

= Verification. Ease and effectiveness of verification.

(Value at risk is another piece directly affected by this factor, but that’s slightly more obvious of a pricing factor)
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rise of communism eliminates merit from all fields

replaces all existing meritorious measures of merit with a new one

— how well one can spread the communist cancer
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