Aftermath of Israeli airstrikes on the town of Al-Nabi Chit, eastern Lebanon

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After getting wrecked in last year’s 12-Day War, Iran replanned its strategy.

Khamenei and his circle decided that next time, they wouldn’t play defense. They’d go scorched-earth: widen the battlefield, drag the Gulf states in, hit the energy arteries of the world, and make the global economy scream so loudly that Washington would have to beg for a ceasefire.

They built the whole plan on mosaic defense: If the top guys get vaporized, everyone else keeps shooting anyway. Decentralized, chaotic, and designed to stay alive even if the leadership doesn’t.

Then the new war started, Khamenei was killed almost immediately, and the plan snapped into place.

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Iran Analyst Dr. Trita Parsi:

If the death of Khamenei was going to lead to crisis, the window for that was probably within the first 24 hours.

They're moving forward with the secession. But they're also not rushing it to signal they are in control.

It seems the regime is in control. No major protest. None of the actors outside have a ground game inside. The opposition is very weak.

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Romanian TV news:

“Our only chance to solve the demographic crisis in Romanian is for migrants to come here and have children with Romanian women”

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Another Iranian attack drone hit Dubai International Airport, barely missing Concourse A

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Dubai airport

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White House official Jarrod Agen:

Ultimately, we're not going to have to worry about these issues in the Strait of Hormuz — because we're going to get all of the oil out of the hands of terrorists.

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JUST IN: QATAR HIT

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Iranian missiles are breaking through Israel's air defense system increasingly because they degraded the US radars in the region.

Warning time decreased drastically. When previously they knew 5-10 minutes in advance, now it’s only 1 minute sometimes.

And 1 minute is not enough.

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If air defense has 5 minutes of warning time, they can calculate the ballistic trajectory (which looks like a semicircle) and shoot a couple of interceptor missiles into its flight path.

Now if it’s only 60 seconds, there isn’t much time to do all that, and they can only fire into the descending flight path, with little margin for error.

Hence many get through, like this one in Tel Aviv

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