We need to understand that the real Market cycle is not just about the traditional 4-year cycle, QT Ending, QE Begins, and Rate cuts
Macro Markets move because of what we called “The Business Cycle”.
The “4-year cycle” exists because the last 3 global business cycles were 4 years
And bitcoin has always followed the global business cycle, not the halving alone.
When the business cycle topped → BTC topped
When it bottomed → BTC Followed
Even the structure of BTC cycles mirrors business cycle metrics.
In the Past 3 years, it’s obvious that the Business cycle indicator is in the contraction phase (Sideways)
The indicator never broke above 55 → crypto never went parabolic.
Why this time is different:
-US debt maturity was extended over 1.5 years after COVID rate cuts
-Logically, that likely extended the business cycle by 1.5 years too.
As long as the economy is still in a slowdown phase, explosive crypto rallies are not possible.
When the business cycle starts expanding again, that’s when Bitcoin historically makes its biggest moves.
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Macro Markets move because of what we called “The Business Cycle”.
The “4-year cycle” exists because the last 3 global business cycles were 4 years
And bitcoin has always followed the global business cycle, not the halving alone.
When the business cycle topped → BTC topped
When it bottomed → BTC Followed
Even the structure of BTC cycles mirrors business cycle metrics.
In the Past 3 years, it’s obvious that the Business cycle indicator is in the contraction phase (Sideways)
The indicator never broke above 55 → crypto never went parabolic.
Why this time is different:
-US debt maturity was extended over 1.5 years after COVID rate cuts
-Logically, that likely extended the business cycle by 1.5 years too.
As long as the economy is still in a slowdown phase, explosive crypto rallies are not possible.
When the business cycle starts expanding again, that’s when Bitcoin historically makes its biggest moves.
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If only governments could "throw off domestic constraints" Carney's vision of an technocratic neoliberal paradise would come true
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Trump on Spain:
“I got almost all NATO allies to agree to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP; all except Spain.
I don’t understand Spain’s position. Why are they refusing? It gives the impression that they intend to benefit without contributing.
We’ll have to sit down and talk with Spain.”
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“I got almost all NATO allies to agree to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP; all except Spain.
I don’t understand Spain’s position. Why are they refusing? It gives the impression that they intend to benefit without contributing.
We’ll have to sit down and talk with Spain.”
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The publicly traded company defidevcorp
launched a memecoin $DONT...
It is currently at a 14mil mcap
While the ENTIRE COMPANY of $DFDV is at 200mil...
AND THEY ARE HOLDING 30% ON THEIR PUBLIC BALANCE SHEET!?
This is the most ridiculous thing in the world.
So if the memecoin goes to 1bil marketcap.
Then DFDV will have added 300mil of theoretical value to their company... which is MORE than their circulating market cap... on a PUBLICLY traded company...
What the hell are we doing here...
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launched a memecoin $DONT...
It is currently at a 14mil mcap
While the ENTIRE COMPANY of $DFDV is at 200mil...
AND THEY ARE HOLDING 30% ON THEIR PUBLIC BALANCE SHEET!?
This is the most ridiculous thing in the world.
So if the memecoin goes to 1bil marketcap.
Then DFDV will have added 300mil of theoretical value to their company... which is MORE than their circulating market cap... on a PUBLICLY traded company...
What the hell are we doing here...
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JUST IN: In an unusual move, the third largest Solana treasury company defidevcorp (Nasdaq: DFDV) has launched DisclaimerCoin ( $DONT), becoming the first publicly traded company to create and deploy a memecoin on Solana.
DFDV said $DONT is an experimental project with no roadmap, team, utility, or outside backers, and includes an explicit message telling users not to buy it. The company also framed the launch as a test of corporate onchain experimentation, including holding part of the token supply directly on its balance sheet.
According to DFDV, 40% of the supply was allocated to the public liquidity pool, 30% will be held on its balance sheet forever, 20% is reserved for ecosystem and community efforts, and 10% for early contributors.
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DFDV said $DONT is an experimental project with no roadmap, team, utility, or outside backers, and includes an explicit message telling users not to buy it. The company also framed the launch as a test of corporate onchain experimentation, including holding part of the token supply directly on its balance sheet.
According to DFDV, 40% of the supply was allocated to the public liquidity pool, 30% will be held on its balance sheet forever, 20% is reserved for ecosystem and community efforts, and 10% for early contributors.
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JUST IN - Anti-ICE protester, Nekima Levy Armstrong, who led storming of Minneapolis church arrested by feds — Fox
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BREAKING: Somali steamer Krimoe Klips was arrested by armed police in London during his Twitch livestream for faking an attempted execution on his friend in the road with a fake pistol
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BREAKING: The Nasdaq 100 extends two-day gains to +2% and now stands less than 3% away from a new record high
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Crypto com accidentally sent two sisters $10.5 million
It was supposed to be a $100 refund
Someone typed the account number as the refund amount
$10,500,000 sent instantly
The sisters noticed and didn’t say a thing casually spending the money
They bought an insane mansion
Lived as if nothing happened
For 7 months, nobody caught it
Then the mistake was discovered
Crypto com sued and won
The sisters were forced to sell the mansion to pay the money back
$100 refund turned into a $10.5M lawsuit
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It was supposed to be a $100 refund
Someone typed the account number as the refund amount
$10,500,000 sent instantly
The sisters noticed and didn’t say a thing casually spending the money
They bought an insane mansion
Lived as if nothing happened
For 7 months, nobody caught it
Then the mistake was discovered
Crypto com sued and won
The sisters were forced to sell the mansion to pay the money back
$100 refund turned into a $10.5M lawsuit
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A $20 trillion concept proposes a 3,400-mile underwater tunnel connecting London and New York, potentially reducing a 7-hour flight to a 1-hour train ride
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Chauntyll Allen and Nekima Armstrong were just arrested by the FBI over the church riot
More to come…
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More to come…
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