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“Where christians can celebrate without fear”
Benjamin Netanyahu wishes Christians everywhere a happy Christmas……
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Benjamin Netanyahu wishes Christians everywhere a happy Christmas……
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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BREAKING: ICE agents were just involved in a SHOOTING in Maryland after a driver attempted to RUN THEM OVER
These heroes are out putting their lives on the line on CHRISTMAS EVE
Pray for their safety today
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
These heroes are out putting their lives on the line on CHRISTMAS EVE
Pray for their safety today
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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“Nobody forced you to apologize for being white!”
Meanwhile: “try to be less white, or else…”
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Meanwhile: “try to be less white, or else…”
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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WATCH: Supermarket security camera captured the moment a 6.1-magnitude earthquake struck Taiwan’s southeastern Taitung County, with tremors felt as far north as Taipei
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"The Battle to Stop Clever People Betting"
(The tools bookmakers use to block data-savvy gamblers, and how to get round them).
• The article explains how sportsbooks actively profile customers from the very beginning. In many cases, this happens even before the first bet is placed.
• They look at very basic things: whether you bet from a phone or a computer, how you deposit money, whether you use e-wallets, how fast you bet after odds are released, what markets you choose, and even whether you are a woman.
• One line from the article is very revealing: “By the time a customer places his first bet, sportsbooks are 80–90% certain they know the lifetime value of the account.” In other words, they quickly decide whether you are likely to be a long-term loser or a long-term winner.
• Most recreational bettors behave in a predictable way. They bet close to kickoff, on popular leagues, on main markets, and they love parlays. They usually don’t care much about the odds.
• However, sharps behave in the opposite way. They bet early, when prices are more likely to be wrong. They target smaller leagues and derivative markets. They compare odds. They rarely use parlays. These behavioural differences are easy for bookmakers to spot.
• One of the most important tools sportsbooks use is Closing Line Value. If a bettor consistently gets better odds than the closing price in his first few bets, that is a huge warning sign. As the article puts it: “If it is consistently ahead of the market over his first ten wagers, he is highly likely to beat the book in the long run.” This is why closing odds matter so much, and why beating the close is one of the clearest signals of skill.
• Surveillance does not stop once you are identified as suspicious. Large betting groups use mathematical “risk scores” that are updated every six to eight hours to estimate the probability that a customer will end up unprofitable for the bookmaker. An internal document from GVC highlights e-wallet users, women and bets over €100 for extra scrutiny.
• Suspected sharps might be allowed only 30% of normal stakes. Confirmed sharps can be cut to 1%. At that point, betting seriously becomes impossible.
• Interestingly, bookmakers do not automatically restrict people who win a lot of money. If they believe someone is just lucky, they are happy to keep them playing, because luck often runs out.
• At the same time, sportsbooks actively look for “whales”: big, reckless losers with deep pockets. These players get VIP treatment, higher limits, free trips and special attention. But sometimes whales turn out to be sharps in disguise, and when that happens, limits disappear very quickly. One bookmaker in the article sums it up very clearly: “He’s betting into prices we’re comfortable with. If he wins, he wins.”
• Once a bettor is limited everywhere, the options are bad. Betting shops require disguises and are impractical at scale.
• Many professional bettors end up using other people to place bets for them, known as beards or mules. This is against the rules of every sportsbook and can be legally risky, but it is extremely common.
• To avoid detection, sharps are very careful. They never place the same bet from multiple accounts, they use different devices and locations, and some even drive around so that bets come from different addresses. Some go further and use a technique called “priming”: they intentionally make bad bets and lose money first, so the bookmaker raises their limits, and only then do they start betting seriously... Do you remember "The Color of Money" of Paul Newman and Tom Cruise?
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
(The tools bookmakers use to block data-savvy gamblers, and how to get round them).
• The article explains how sportsbooks actively profile customers from the very beginning. In many cases, this happens even before the first bet is placed.
• They look at very basic things: whether you bet from a phone or a computer, how you deposit money, whether you use e-wallets, how fast you bet after odds are released, what markets you choose, and even whether you are a woman.
• One line from the article is very revealing: “By the time a customer places his first bet, sportsbooks are 80–90% certain they know the lifetime value of the account.” In other words, they quickly decide whether you are likely to be a long-term loser or a long-term winner.
• Most recreational bettors behave in a predictable way. They bet close to kickoff, on popular leagues, on main markets, and they love parlays. They usually don’t care much about the odds.
• However, sharps behave in the opposite way. They bet early, when prices are more likely to be wrong. They target smaller leagues and derivative markets. They compare odds. They rarely use parlays. These behavioural differences are easy for bookmakers to spot.
• One of the most important tools sportsbooks use is Closing Line Value. If a bettor consistently gets better odds than the closing price in his first few bets, that is a huge warning sign. As the article puts it: “If it is consistently ahead of the market over his first ten wagers, he is highly likely to beat the book in the long run.” This is why closing odds matter so much, and why beating the close is one of the clearest signals of skill.
• Surveillance does not stop once you are identified as suspicious. Large betting groups use mathematical “risk scores” that are updated every six to eight hours to estimate the probability that a customer will end up unprofitable for the bookmaker. An internal document from GVC highlights e-wallet users, women and bets over €100 for extra scrutiny.
• Suspected sharps might be allowed only 30% of normal stakes. Confirmed sharps can be cut to 1%. At that point, betting seriously becomes impossible.
• Interestingly, bookmakers do not automatically restrict people who win a lot of money. If they believe someone is just lucky, they are happy to keep them playing, because luck often runs out.
• At the same time, sportsbooks actively look for “whales”: big, reckless losers with deep pockets. These players get VIP treatment, higher limits, free trips and special attention. But sometimes whales turn out to be sharps in disguise, and when that happens, limits disappear very quickly. One bookmaker in the article sums it up very clearly: “He’s betting into prices we’re comfortable with. If he wins, he wins.”
• Once a bettor is limited everywhere, the options are bad. Betting shops require disguises and are impractical at scale.
• Many professional bettors end up using other people to place bets for them, known as beards or mules. This is against the rules of every sportsbook and can be legally risky, but it is extremely common.
• To avoid detection, sharps are very careful. They never place the same bet from multiple accounts, they use different devices and locations, and some even drive around so that bets come from different addresses. Some go further and use a technique called “priming”: they intentionally make bad bets and lose money first, so the bookmaker raises their limits, and only then do they start betting seriously... Do you remember "The Color of Money" of Paul Newman and Tom Cruise?
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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This sarcastic joke made during a speech to state employees has become for some reason INTERNATIONAL NEWS and it's F&CKING EVERYWHERE with billions of views
WHY??? It's driving me crazy ****
"The year 2025 was difficult for everyone, but don't worry, the coming year will be much worse."
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WHY??? It's driving me crazy ****
"The year 2025 was difficult for everyone, but don't worry, the coming year will be much worse."
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💯6🔥1
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Retail selling their crypto and moving their entire net worth into gold and silver at the top
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For Russians, New Year is the big event
Orthodox Christians celebrate Christmas on Jan 7, by the older Julian calendar
But it’s just gone midnight in Moscow — so for everyone who celebrates today, Merry Christmas!
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Orthodox Christians celebrate Christmas on Jan 7, by the older Julian calendar
But it’s just gone midnight in Moscow — so for everyone who celebrates today, Merry Christmas!
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🤖🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
🎉8❤🔥6🙏1
DoomPosting
Why the strange “bull market”? We’ve been in a recession this whole time, since October 2022 Real bull market hasn’t yet begun 🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
Why has crypto crashed horribly in the past ~month
— Plummeting odds of Fed doing a January rate cut
Currently 88% on no cut
Meanwhile, Powell’s term ends on May 15, 2026,
And White House expected to announce the next Fed chair in 2026, but markets highly uncertain who that will be
= Maximum uncertainty about upcoming money printing now,
though there are clear upcoming dates where that uncertainty will be lifted
And in crypto, money printing & money supply contraction drives everything
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
— Plummeting odds of Fed doing a January rate cut
Currently 88% on no cut
Meanwhile, Powell’s term ends on May 15, 2026,
And White House expected to announce the next Fed chair in 2026, but markets highly uncertain who that will be
= Maximum uncertainty about upcoming money printing now,
though there are clear upcoming dates where that uncertainty will be lifted
And in crypto, money printing & money supply contraction drives everything
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
💯2🌚1👀1
Solana today has a similar market cap now to what it had 2 years ago, despite the price being lower now
Why?
Solana is still relatively early in its inflation curve, though this inflation curve is quickly decreasing over time
Beware early high reward schedules artificially forcing down the price of some assets, making it appear that they have no future, when really it’s largely the huge amount of minting early in the rewards schedule temporarily pushing prices down
See also early Bitcoin — mining rewards were just too huge early on e.g. for prices to instantly shoot up to a million
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
Why?
Solana is still relatively early in its inflation curve, though this inflation curve is quickly decreasing over time
Beware early high reward schedules artificially forcing down the price of some assets, making it appear that they have no future, when really it’s largely the huge amount of minting early in the rewards schedule temporarily pushing prices down
See also early Bitcoin — mining rewards were just too huge early on e.g. for prices to instantly shoot up to a million
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
👀1