Thoughts on the market on 21. 03. 2022
Bitcoin predictably failed to overcome the resistance area of $41,800- $42,600 over the weekend, and rolled back to support at $40,500. At the time of writing this review, Bitcoin is worth $40,875.
Total Market capitalization is $1.852 Trillion, BTC Dominance index of 42.1%,
Fear index 30.
Powell's performance today (5:00PM East Africa Time) is to watch. This is on the weekly release containing daily rates of exchange of major currencies against the U.S. dollar. The data are noon buying rates in New York for cable transfers payable in the listed currencies. This could affect the market if something unexpected is said. So far, the expected and minimal rate increase in the US has not had a negative impact on the market, since the real rate (adjusted for inflation) is in a deep negative zone.
In addition, European money is also flowing into the American market. They are fleeing because very difficult times are brewing in the EU. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose to double digits over the year, indicating strong inflation. Considering that anti-Russian sanctions will hit Europe the hardest, since economic ties with the United States have already been at a minimum in recent years, the rise in prices for raw materials, energy, food, supply reduction due to a break in supply chains will accelerate inflation in Europe even more. stronger.
With further development of events - Bitcoin still maintains the range of $40,500 - $42,500, with further attempts to consolidate above $42,600, chances for this are slimming. The other option is a departure below $40,500 with a possible test of the resistance area at $39,300 - $38,800 is an alternative option and our bias take.
The SEC v. Ripple's lawsuit is currently waiting for a court decision on the SEC’s motion for reconsideration. Lots of expectations which could result in a potential major trigger for the next price moves in the XRP market. The digital asset’s market performance has disappointed many, who believe the court case has caused hesitancy in XRP adoption within the industry. Most XRP holders and investors may have also refrained from buying or doubling down on their holdings. The delisting of XRP at Coinbase and many other US exchanges also took its toll.
American economist and investment strategist Lyn Alden last week said that the central banks of different countries will soon become interested in Bitcoin as an asset for storing reserves that cannot be blocked. “As soon as sovereign wealth funds pay attention to bitcoin, the Central Bank will soon become interested in it.” There is logic in this - after the reserves of the Central Bank of Russia were stolen, and before that, an equally sad story happened to the reserves of Afghanistan, any sane Central Bank will reduce reserves in dollars and euros. Alden added that the more bitcoin spreads, the more liquidity it has. This means that more often central banks will consider it as a viable mutual reserve asset. Firstly, it cannot be blocked by a third party unilaterally, and secondly, with the help of bitcoin, you can bypass sanctions and carry out international transactions.
Analysts at the financial company Deloitte are also of the opinion that the Central Bank will use bitcoin. They argue that BTC can become a benchmark for the global development of central banks' own digital currencies. The FBI from the recent past have emphasized that the US has vast experience in tracking cryptocurrencies, and Russia will not be able to use them to circumvent sanctions. The Senator from Massachusetts also submitted a bill to Congress blocking the ability to fight anti-Russian sanctions with the help of crypto assets.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Bitcoin predictably failed to overcome the resistance area of $41,800- $42,600 over the weekend, and rolled back to support at $40,500. At the time of writing this review, Bitcoin is worth $40,875.
Total Market capitalization is $1.852 Trillion, BTC Dominance index of 42.1%,
Fear index 30.
Powell's performance today (5:00PM East Africa Time) is to watch. This is on the weekly release containing daily rates of exchange of major currencies against the U.S. dollar. The data are noon buying rates in New York for cable transfers payable in the listed currencies. This could affect the market if something unexpected is said. So far, the expected and minimal rate increase in the US has not had a negative impact on the market, since the real rate (adjusted for inflation) is in a deep negative zone.
In addition, European money is also flowing into the American market. They are fleeing because very difficult times are brewing in the EU. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose to double digits over the year, indicating strong inflation. Considering that anti-Russian sanctions will hit Europe the hardest, since economic ties with the United States have already been at a minimum in recent years, the rise in prices for raw materials, energy, food, supply reduction due to a break in supply chains will accelerate inflation in Europe even more. stronger.
With further development of events - Bitcoin still maintains the range of $40,500 - $42,500, with further attempts to consolidate above $42,600, chances for this are slimming. The other option is a departure below $40,500 with a possible test of the resistance area at $39,300 - $38,800 is an alternative option and our bias take.
The SEC v. Ripple's lawsuit is currently waiting for a court decision on the SEC’s motion for reconsideration. Lots of expectations which could result in a potential major trigger for the next price moves in the XRP market. The digital asset’s market performance has disappointed many, who believe the court case has caused hesitancy in XRP adoption within the industry. Most XRP holders and investors may have also refrained from buying or doubling down on their holdings. The delisting of XRP at Coinbase and many other US exchanges also took its toll.
American economist and investment strategist Lyn Alden last week said that the central banks of different countries will soon become interested in Bitcoin as an asset for storing reserves that cannot be blocked. “As soon as sovereign wealth funds pay attention to bitcoin, the Central Bank will soon become interested in it.” There is logic in this - after the reserves of the Central Bank of Russia were stolen, and before that, an equally sad story happened to the reserves of Afghanistan, any sane Central Bank will reduce reserves in dollars and euros. Alden added that the more bitcoin spreads, the more liquidity it has. This means that more often central banks will consider it as a viable mutual reserve asset. Firstly, it cannot be blocked by a third party unilaterally, and secondly, with the help of bitcoin, you can bypass sanctions and carry out international transactions.
Analysts at the financial company Deloitte are also of the opinion that the Central Bank will use bitcoin. They argue that BTC can become a benchmark for the global development of central banks' own digital currencies. The FBI from the recent past have emphasized that the US has vast experience in tracking cryptocurrencies, and Russia will not be able to use them to circumvent sanctions. The Senator from Massachusetts also submitted a bill to Congress blocking the ability to fight anti-Russian sanctions with the help of crypto assets.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Crypto users in Africa grew by 2,500% in 2021: Nairobi Leads with 64% in EA. KuCoin Report
Thoughts on the market on 22. 03. 2022
Bitcoin worked out a variant of yesterday's review most of the time remaining in the range of $40,750 - $41,300.This morning it moved to growth to a high of $43,337
Total Crypto Market cap of $1.901, BTC dominance index of 41.8%, fear index 26.
Oil is now rising, already at $118. The dollar index is rising, now 98.6. The rise in oil is taking place against the backdrop of discussions about the idea of an oil embargo for Russia. Not the smartest thing to do with oil above 110, record food prices, rising inflation and protests over fuel prices.
For further Bitcoin’s growth, it is necessary to consolidate above $42,600. I think that this is a priority option for today. If this option is worked out, we will see the long-awaited capitalization above $2 Trillion, and the next target for Bitcoin will be fixing above 45K. Alternative option - Bitcoin in the range of $42600- $40,500. Against the background of Bitcoin, altcoins are growing in the range and the dominance index is falling.
According to a Kucoin exchange report, the number of crypto users in Africa in 2021 increased by 2500%. The report cites that “more than 88.5% of cryptocurrency transactions made by Africans are cross-border transfers.” Low fees mean that “users pay less than 0.01% of the overall amount of the transaction transferred in cryptocurrencies.” From high inflation levels and swelling smartphone penetration — effectively allowing anyone to become their own bank —
Africa also has a young and digitally native population that is accustomed to digital currencies. Africa is a robust testing ground for the problems which cryptocurrencies attempt to solve. Johnny Lyu, CEO of KuCoin did add a note of caution to the staggering growth levels: “That rate of growth can depend on both local policy-makers and separate officials’ stances on cryptocurrencies. Still, I believe that a promising future for digital money in Africa is inevitable.”
The reports noted that Cape Town and Lagos are the powerhouses of the digitization process in Africa. It reads, “Cairo, Cape Town and Lagos can be considered the engines of the digitization process in the region. Kenya is a separate area of focus in East Africa, with the number of cryptocurrency transactions in Nairobi — its capital — being 64% higher than in the rest of the region.”
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Thoughts on the market on 22. 03. 2022
Bitcoin worked out a variant of yesterday's review most of the time remaining in the range of $40,750 - $41,300.This morning it moved to growth to a high of $43,337
Total Crypto Market cap of $1.901, BTC dominance index of 41.8%, fear index 26.
Oil is now rising, already at $118. The dollar index is rising, now 98.6. The rise in oil is taking place against the backdrop of discussions about the idea of an oil embargo for Russia. Not the smartest thing to do with oil above 110, record food prices, rising inflation and protests over fuel prices.
For further Bitcoin’s growth, it is necessary to consolidate above $42,600. I think that this is a priority option for today. If this option is worked out, we will see the long-awaited capitalization above $2 Trillion, and the next target for Bitcoin will be fixing above 45K. Alternative option - Bitcoin in the range of $42600- $40,500. Against the background of Bitcoin, altcoins are growing in the range and the dominance index is falling.
According to a Kucoin exchange report, the number of crypto users in Africa in 2021 increased by 2500%. The report cites that “more than 88.5% of cryptocurrency transactions made by Africans are cross-border transfers.” Low fees mean that “users pay less than 0.01% of the overall amount of the transaction transferred in cryptocurrencies.” From high inflation levels and swelling smartphone penetration — effectively allowing anyone to become their own bank —
Africa also has a young and digitally native population that is accustomed to digital currencies. Africa is a robust testing ground for the problems which cryptocurrencies attempt to solve. Johnny Lyu, CEO of KuCoin did add a note of caution to the staggering growth levels: “That rate of growth can depend on both local policy-makers and separate officials’ stances on cryptocurrencies. Still, I believe that a promising future for digital money in Africa is inevitable.”
The reports noted that Cape Town and Lagos are the powerhouses of the digitization process in Africa. It reads, “Cairo, Cape Town and Lagos can be considered the engines of the digitization process in the region. Kenya is a separate area of focus in East Africa, with the number of cryptocurrency transactions in Nairobi — its capital — being 64% higher than in the rest of the region.”
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Thoughts on the market on 23.03.2022
Bitcoin, after updating a high above $43,500, rolled back to $42,200 - $42,000, and it's currently trading here. Total Crypto Market capitalization of $1.918 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.9%, fear index 31.
James "Jim" Bullard is the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' harsh statements about the need for a more aggressive Fed policy did not impress or frighten the market. This is not surprising. Why is a rate hike usually bad for the stock market?
Without going into details, it is because capital is leaving the risky stock market for topics with guaranteed income and minimal risk (government bonds, bank deposits). The picture is now different. The real dollar rate is in a deep negative zone.
Consequently, fiat is now becoming cheaper every day, losing in price relative to growing assets, raw materials, and energy carriers. The stock market, like other topics with risk and potential, is now more attractive in the eyes of a reasonable investor than being in fiat.
Keep in fiat what you are ready to lose - back in 2020 we mentioned.
The priority option for today is Bitcoin in the range with the lower limit at $41,800 - $42,200 and the upper limit at $43,500. At the same time, the stabilization of the price of Bitcoin at the upper limit of the range, above $43K, will enable the market capitalization to gain a foothold above 2 Trillion, which will create a good foundation for further growth. An alternative option is a transition to the range of $41,800- $40,500. This is possible in case of an external negative, and this will not take much time.
The Central Banks of Malaysia, Australia, Singapore and South Africa are going to launch a platform for operations with CBDC. The main purpose is the use in international settlements.
This is the same trend towards avoiding the dollar and anti-globalization. The project identified three critical questions: which entities should be allowed to hold and transact with CBDCs issued on the platform? How could the flow of cross-border payments be simplified while respecting regulatory differences across jurisdictions? What governance arrangements could give countries sufficient comfort to share critical national infrastructure such as a payments system?
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Bitcoin, after updating a high above $43,500, rolled back to $42,200 - $42,000, and it's currently trading here. Total Crypto Market capitalization of $1.918 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.9%, fear index 31.
James "Jim" Bullard is the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' harsh statements about the need for a more aggressive Fed policy did not impress or frighten the market. This is not surprising. Why is a rate hike usually bad for the stock market?
Without going into details, it is because capital is leaving the risky stock market for topics with guaranteed income and minimal risk (government bonds, bank deposits). The picture is now different. The real dollar rate is in a deep negative zone.
Consequently, fiat is now becoming cheaper every day, losing in price relative to growing assets, raw materials, and energy carriers. The stock market, like other topics with risk and potential, is now more attractive in the eyes of a reasonable investor than being in fiat.
Keep in fiat what you are ready to lose - back in 2020 we mentioned.
The priority option for today is Bitcoin in the range with the lower limit at $41,800 - $42,200 and the upper limit at $43,500. At the same time, the stabilization of the price of Bitcoin at the upper limit of the range, above $43K, will enable the market capitalization to gain a foothold above 2 Trillion, which will create a good foundation for further growth. An alternative option is a transition to the range of $41,800- $40,500. This is possible in case of an external negative, and this will not take much time.
The Central Banks of Malaysia, Australia, Singapore and South Africa are going to launch a platform for operations with CBDC. The main purpose is the use in international settlements.
This is the same trend towards avoiding the dollar and anti-globalization. The project identified three critical questions: which entities should be allowed to hold and transact with CBDCs issued on the platform? How could the flow of cross-border payments be simplified while respecting regulatory differences across jurisdictions? What governance arrangements could give countries sufficient comfort to share critical national infrastructure such as a payments system?
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Putin demands 'unfriendly countries' pay for #Russian Gas in Rubles as Joe #Biden Arrives in Europe for Summits: Zelenskiy says #Ukraine awaits ‘meaningful steps.
Total Crypto Market capitalisation of $1.949 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.8%, fear index 40. Oil is back above 122 again, the dollar index is slightly below 98.8. The Fed, represented by Lorreta Mester, reiterated the need to reduce the balance sheet and raise rates by 0.5%. A month ago, on such rhetoric, the S&P 500 to 4100 would have rolled back in a couple of days. The reaction of the market is quite moderate, because, firstly, the real interest rate is now generally negative, and secondly, geopolitical risks are now taking the center stage.
Yesterday's statement by Vladimir Putin on the transition to payments for gas in rubles is another blow to the existing world order, which is based on the economic, military and informational dominance of the West. In his statement, "I have decided to implement ... a series of measures to switch payments — we'll start with that — for our natural gas supplies to so-called unfriendly countries into Russian rubles," Putin said in a televised government meeting, adding that trust in the dollar and euro had been "compromised" by the West's seizure of Russian assets. If Saudi Arabia joins the “pay for energy in national currencies” trend, which is already discussing with China the transfer of payments for oil in yuan, then the situation for the status of the dollar as the world reserve currency will become threatening.
The aggravation of the situation in Europe, the involvement of third countries in the conflict can put this trend on pause, in which the United States is extremely interested. That is why Biden is meeting today in Brussels with the leaders of the G7, NATO and the EU. He will also go to Poland..
If the European participants in the process are smart enough not to follow the lead of their overseas partner and not create chaos in Europe, the markets will perceive this as a strong positive.
Bitcoin clearly worked out the priority option of yesterday's review. After testing the lower limit of the range at $41,800, it moved to growth, reaching $43,300. It is now slowly declining, finding intermediate support at $42,600 - $42,700. A departure below $42,600 will potentially see a return to the previous range with the lower limit at $41,800- $42,200 and the upper limit at $43,500.
If it holds above $42,600 for the next 6-8 hours, and even better, it fixes above $43K, the option of taking $43,500 becomes a priority, increasing the capitalisation of the crypto market above $2 Trillion. followed by the $45k target.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Total Crypto Market capitalisation of $1.949 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.8%, fear index 40. Oil is back above 122 again, the dollar index is slightly below 98.8. The Fed, represented by Lorreta Mester, reiterated the need to reduce the balance sheet and raise rates by 0.5%. A month ago, on such rhetoric, the S&P 500 to 4100 would have rolled back in a couple of days. The reaction of the market is quite moderate, because, firstly, the real interest rate is now generally negative, and secondly, geopolitical risks are now taking the center stage.
Yesterday's statement by Vladimir Putin on the transition to payments for gas in rubles is another blow to the existing world order, which is based on the economic, military and informational dominance of the West. In his statement, "I have decided to implement ... a series of measures to switch payments — we'll start with that — for our natural gas supplies to so-called unfriendly countries into Russian rubles," Putin said in a televised government meeting, adding that trust in the dollar and euro had been "compromised" by the West's seizure of Russian assets. If Saudi Arabia joins the “pay for energy in national currencies” trend, which is already discussing with China the transfer of payments for oil in yuan, then the situation for the status of the dollar as the world reserve currency will become threatening.
The aggravation of the situation in Europe, the involvement of third countries in the conflict can put this trend on pause, in which the United States is extremely interested. That is why Biden is meeting today in Brussels with the leaders of the G7, NATO and the EU. He will also go to Poland..
If the European participants in the process are smart enough not to follow the lead of their overseas partner and not create chaos in Europe, the markets will perceive this as a strong positive.
Bitcoin clearly worked out the priority option of yesterday's review. After testing the lower limit of the range at $41,800, it moved to growth, reaching $43,300. It is now slowly declining, finding intermediate support at $42,600 - $42,700. A departure below $42,600 will potentially see a return to the previous range with the lower limit at $41,800- $42,200 and the upper limit at $43,500.
If it holds above $42,600 for the next 6-8 hours, and even better, it fixes above $43K, the option of taking $43,500 becomes a priority, increasing the capitalisation of the crypto market above $2 Trillion. followed by the $45k target.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Thoughts on the market on 25.03. 2022
Late Update: Bitcoin continued to grow, having worked out the priority option from yesterday's review.
Market capitalization $1.996 Trillion, dominance index 41.9%, fear index 47.
Again, Fed spokesman Charles Evans declares that the regulator is ready to raise the rate by 0.5% at once. Another Fed spokesman announced the reduction of the balance sheet already in May. Markets do not react to such aggressive rhetoric as the main risks now are geopolitics, runaway commodity and food prices, and a looming food crisis.
Recently, on the channel, we spoke about anti-globalization, which is now rapidly changing the previously existing picture of the world. Reducing the role of the dollar in reserves and international payments, breaking economic ties, dividing the previously single economic space into sectors separated by barriers. Read more here.
The head of BlackRock (an investment company with $10 trillion in assets) says very similar things in his letter to shareholders. Today, market movements will be influenced mainly by news from Brussels - will there be further escalation and involvement of third countries in the conflict, or will the instinct of self-preservation still prevent unreasonable and dangerous actions for the world? It is also possible to reduce the indices due to the closing of positions before the weekend. Especially if the information from Brussels is disturbing.
Bitcoin has attained the 45K level exceeding it by $136, and rejected now for the third time. Given the expiration of Bitcoin futures and the opening of new ones on Monday, it is logical that the price will be pushed down until Monday. Two years ago, this would have been a priority scenario, but now CME futures affect the price much less. Therefore, after the rejection at $45K and if Bitcoin stays above the $43,500- $42,800 area until Monday, then the final consolidation above $45K will be a matter of the next few days. Or else we see some red price action at the background on unfavorable news. Highly likely.
Over the past 3 months, the fear index has entered the neutral zone three times, but did not stay there for more than 2-3 days, after which a drain always followed. Let's see what happens this time. Interestingly, Russia allowed the possibility of selling oil and gas for Bitcoin.
The idea is good, but not yet. Since in this case, Bitcoin will become a big threat to the dollar, a US reaction will be appropriate. Powell is already talking unhealthy.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Late Update: Bitcoin continued to grow, having worked out the priority option from yesterday's review.
Market capitalization $1.996 Trillion, dominance index 41.9%, fear index 47.
Again, Fed spokesman Charles Evans declares that the regulator is ready to raise the rate by 0.5% at once. Another Fed spokesman announced the reduction of the balance sheet already in May. Markets do not react to such aggressive rhetoric as the main risks now are geopolitics, runaway commodity and food prices, and a looming food crisis.
Recently, on the channel, we spoke about anti-globalization, which is now rapidly changing the previously existing picture of the world. Reducing the role of the dollar in reserves and international payments, breaking economic ties, dividing the previously single economic space into sectors separated by barriers. Read more here.
The head of BlackRock (an investment company with $10 trillion in assets) says very similar things in his letter to shareholders. Today, market movements will be influenced mainly by news from Brussels - will there be further escalation and involvement of third countries in the conflict, or will the instinct of self-preservation still prevent unreasonable and dangerous actions for the world? It is also possible to reduce the indices due to the closing of positions before the weekend. Especially if the information from Brussels is disturbing.
Bitcoin has attained the 45K level exceeding it by $136, and rejected now for the third time. Given the expiration of Bitcoin futures and the opening of new ones on Monday, it is logical that the price will be pushed down until Monday. Two years ago, this would have been a priority scenario, but now CME futures affect the price much less. Therefore, after the rejection at $45K and if Bitcoin stays above the $43,500- $42,800 area until Monday, then the final consolidation above $45K will be a matter of the next few days. Or else we see some red price action at the background on unfavorable news. Highly likely.
Over the past 3 months, the fear index has entered the neutral zone three times, but did not stay there for more than 2-3 days, after which a drain always followed. Let's see what happens this time. Interestingly, Russia allowed the possibility of selling oil and gas for Bitcoin.
The idea is good, but not yet. Since in this case, Bitcoin will become a big threat to the dollar, a US reaction will be appropriate. Powell is already talking unhealthy.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Thoughts on the market as of 01.04. 2022. After Bitcoin broke through above 45K. Price has now declined to $44,300, a low of $44,200 is already set. Market capitalization $2.052 Trillion, dominance index 41.5%, fear index 50. I missed updating the on rally to $48,126. Been away since Saturday.
Markets are reacting to a new reality - rising inflation, rising prices for almost everything, breaking old ties and alliances, sanctions and barriers. This is anti-globalization and the main threat is that in addition to record inflation, the economy is clearly shrinking. Sanctions, barriers, disruption of supply chains and rising costs will inevitably lead to just such a result.
A falling economy combined with rising inflation is the worst thing that can happen to an economy. Monetary based solutions or methods cannot be of much help now. It is impossible to either raise the rate (increase costs, finish off the economy), or lower it (where, if inflation is already at its maximum). The result is a stagflationary spiral, the way out of which by economic methods will be difficult and long. Some may e use non-economic methods.
Bitcoin has been declining for over 12 hours. Those who bought Bitcoin above 47K on FOMO, and now will sell for fear of the onset of another crypto winter, only to then buy above 50K.
A fundamental reason for the fall now could also be information from the EU, where a decision was made to ban even small cryptocurrency transfers without verification.
Sounds menacing, this is only a draft that will be considered at the plenary meeting this month.
Even if this obscurantism is eventually accepted, it will not hurt the market much.
First, in Europe the world did not converge like a wedge. Those who want to maintain privacy (and many go into the crypto for this) can do this in other jurisdictions. Secondly, this has already happened. Let's remember the 5th EU Directive in 2019. The market digested it and adapted.
The priority option is for Bitcoin to return to 45K, in the next 12hrs. An alternative option is a decline to the support area of $43,200- $42,800.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Markets are reacting to a new reality - rising inflation, rising prices for almost everything, breaking old ties and alliances, sanctions and barriers. This is anti-globalization and the main threat is that in addition to record inflation, the economy is clearly shrinking. Sanctions, barriers, disruption of supply chains and rising costs will inevitably lead to just such a result.
A falling economy combined with rising inflation is the worst thing that can happen to an economy. Monetary based solutions or methods cannot be of much help now. It is impossible to either raise the rate (increase costs, finish off the economy), or lower it (where, if inflation is already at its maximum). The result is a stagflationary spiral, the way out of which by economic methods will be difficult and long. Some may e use non-economic methods.
Bitcoin has been declining for over 12 hours. Those who bought Bitcoin above 47K on FOMO, and now will sell for fear of the onset of another crypto winter, only to then buy above 50K.
A fundamental reason for the fall now could also be information from the EU, where a decision was made to ban even small cryptocurrency transfers without verification.
Sounds menacing, this is only a draft that will be considered at the plenary meeting this month.
Even if this obscurantism is eventually accepted, it will not hurt the market much.
First, in Europe the world did not converge like a wedge. Those who want to maintain privacy (and many go into the crypto for this) can do this in other jurisdictions. Secondly, this has already happened. Let's remember the 5th EU Directive in 2019. The market digested it and adapted.
The priority option is for Bitcoin to return to 45K, in the next 12hrs. An alternative option is a decline to the support area of $43,200- $42,800.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Thoughts on the market as of 04.04.2022
Bitcoin completed the priority version of Friday’s review. Went above $45K and moved in the range of 45500-47500 for the last two days. At the time of writing the review, Bitcoin is trading at $46,177. Total Crypto Market capitalization of $2.144 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 40.7%, fear index 52.
The driver for the markets this week could be the FOMG protocols, if there is something unexpected about the rate increase and balance reduction. It is also interesting whether the US will be able to incite other countries to a flash mob to drain strategic oil reserves into the market, and significantly collapse the price.
The main negative for the market is inflation with a real threat of turning into stagflation, rising energy prices, an impending food crisis, and geopolitical risks.Everything that softens or at least pushes back these threats will be positive.
Price movement for Bitcoin:a probable attempt to overcome the resistance area at 47500-48200 as a priority option, further depends on the success of this attempt.
Alternative option - Bitcoin in the range of 45-47K
This week (April 6-8), Miami will host the Bitcoin 2022 conference. This is an important event in the industry, during which important announcements and announcements often occur. For example, during the last conference, the President of El Salvador announced that Bitcoin would be given the status of an official currency. I think there will be something no less interesting at this conference. Perhaps of interest will be related to Apple.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Bitcoin completed the priority version of Friday’s review. Went above $45K and moved in the range of 45500-47500 for the last two days. At the time of writing the review, Bitcoin is trading at $46,177. Total Crypto Market capitalization of $2.144 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 40.7%, fear index 52.
The driver for the markets this week could be the FOMG protocols, if there is something unexpected about the rate increase and balance reduction. It is also interesting whether the US will be able to incite other countries to a flash mob to drain strategic oil reserves into the market, and significantly collapse the price.
The main negative for the market is inflation with a real threat of turning into stagflation, rising energy prices, an impending food crisis, and geopolitical risks.Everything that softens or at least pushes back these threats will be positive.
Price movement for Bitcoin:a probable attempt to overcome the resistance area at 47500-48200 as a priority option, further depends on the success of this attempt.
Alternative option - Bitcoin in the range of 45-47K
This week (April 6-8), Miami will host the Bitcoin 2022 conference. This is an important event in the industry, during which important announcements and announcements often occur. For example, during the last conference, the President of El Salvador announced that Bitcoin would be given the status of an official currency. I think there will be something no less interesting at this conference. Perhaps of interest will be related to Apple.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Thoughts on the market as of 04. 05. 2022
Bitcoin remained in the $45,130- $46,900 range during the day, having worked out an alternative version of yesterday's review. After testing the lower limit of the range, Bitcoin moved to growth. It is now trading around $46,700. With a Market capitalization of $2.162 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.0 and fear index of 53.
The oil market was not impressed by Biden's statements about the sale of strategic reserves that were made earlier, oil is now above $109 (BRENT). This despite the truce between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis. This is how the expectation of new anti-Russian sanctions affects the market. Interestingly, the United States, being the main initiator and organizer of these same sanctions, is nowhere near the plight of its European partners. Not only did they not stop importing oil from Russia, but also increased the volume of supplies by 43%. The dollar index was above 99 yesterday, now it is 98.9, the S&P 500 futures are in a slight negative.
Interestingly, large US investors, including Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (whose shares are the most expensive in the world), are making large purchases of oil stocks, despite the fact that they are now at the highs. They understand that dollars and euros can be printed, but oil and gas cannot. Just reminds me of the tweet by James G Rickards, NY Times bestselling author: The New Great Depression. “Before the invasion, the USD/RUB cross rate was 80.0. Today the USD/RUB cross rate is 80.5 bid. Sanctions have had no impact on the Russian ruble at all. But sanctions will cost Americans and Germans billions of dollars through higher energy costs and inflation. Enjoy.”
The most anti-inflationary asset - Bitcoin - has been moving between $45K and $47K for the last 24 hours. The bottom of the range was tested, a quick buyout from $45,130 went up to $46,900 followed by consolidation around $46,500- $46,600, where Bitcoin has been for the last 6 hours.
Probably expect attempts to pass the resistance area at $47,500 - $48,200 as we await for informational occasions from the Bitcoin2022 conference #Miami,
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Bitcoin remained in the $45,130- $46,900 range during the day, having worked out an alternative version of yesterday's review. After testing the lower limit of the range, Bitcoin moved to growth. It is now trading around $46,700. With a Market capitalization of $2.162 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.0 and fear index of 53.
The oil market was not impressed by Biden's statements about the sale of strategic reserves that were made earlier, oil is now above $109 (BRENT). This despite the truce between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis. This is how the expectation of new anti-Russian sanctions affects the market. Interestingly, the United States, being the main initiator and organizer of these same sanctions, is nowhere near the plight of its European partners. Not only did they not stop importing oil from Russia, but also increased the volume of supplies by 43%. The dollar index was above 99 yesterday, now it is 98.9, the S&P 500 futures are in a slight negative.
Interestingly, large US investors, including Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (whose shares are the most expensive in the world), are making large purchases of oil stocks, despite the fact that they are now at the highs. They understand that dollars and euros can be printed, but oil and gas cannot. Just reminds me of the tweet by James G Rickards, NY Times bestselling author: The New Great Depression. “Before the invasion, the USD/RUB cross rate was 80.0. Today the USD/RUB cross rate is 80.5 bid. Sanctions have had no impact on the Russian ruble at all. But sanctions will cost Americans and Germans billions of dollars through higher energy costs and inflation. Enjoy.”
The most anti-inflationary asset - Bitcoin - has been moving between $45K and $47K for the last 24 hours. The bottom of the range was tested, a quick buyout from $45,130 went up to $46,900 followed by consolidation around $46,500- $46,600, where Bitcoin has been for the last 6 hours.
Probably expect attempts to pass the resistance area at $47,500 - $48,200 as we await for informational occasions from the Bitcoin2022 conference #Miami,
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Thoughts on the market on 06.04.2022
Bitcoin briefly went below $45K at night, the correction to $44,400, after which a return to the previous range followed. At the time of this writing, Bitcoin is worth $45,260.
Total Crypto Market capitalization is $2.085 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.2% and fear index 48.
The markets are under pressure from the statements of the Fed representatives about more aggressive monetary policy, and the expectations of the March FOMC, which will be published today. A sober reminder that it was the FOMC that brought down the market in January.
The dollar index peaked above 99.6 and is now at 99.56. These were 2020 September - December coronapsychosis levels. Oil is above $106.
Today is the first day of the Miami conference. I think it will be something interesting. Like about El Salvador last year, but cooler.
The priority option for Bitcoin today is movement in the range of $44,400- $47,500.
Correction below may be against the backdrop of further growth of the dollar index or the general negative on the markets. Neither the short-term (fixation above $48,200 with the subsequent movement to 50K), nor the medium-term ones, which are mentioned, do not change. We are still looking for another dump as long as no weekly breakout happens above 50/55K. We still take the bearish side as long as BTC is below $55K/ $65K weekly. The current movement as we said since 21 Nov 2021 when BTC at $60K "we are looking for a breakdown in Q1 of 2022 to $40(breakdown has happened already) next level is /32K/28K!". Next dates: 11th, 17th and 27th April.
These dates do not tell you to buy or sell, but you can use it in your TA as a time factor for patterns, trends, etc.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Bitcoin briefly went below $45K at night, the correction to $44,400, after which a return to the previous range followed. At the time of this writing, Bitcoin is worth $45,260.
Total Crypto Market capitalization is $2.085 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.2% and fear index 48.
The markets are under pressure from the statements of the Fed representatives about more aggressive monetary policy, and the expectations of the March FOMC, which will be published today. A sober reminder that it was the FOMC that brought down the market in January.
The dollar index peaked above 99.6 and is now at 99.56. These were 2020 September - December coronapsychosis levels. Oil is above $106.
Today is the first day of the Miami conference. I think it will be something interesting. Like about El Salvador last year, but cooler.
The priority option for Bitcoin today is movement in the range of $44,400- $47,500.
Correction below may be against the backdrop of further growth of the dollar index or the general negative on the markets. Neither the short-term (fixation above $48,200 with the subsequent movement to 50K), nor the medium-term ones, which are mentioned, do not change. We are still looking for another dump as long as no weekly breakout happens above 50/55K. We still take the bearish side as long as BTC is below $55K/ $65K weekly. The current movement as we said since 21 Nov 2021 when BTC at $60K "we are looking for a breakdown in Q1 of 2022 to $40(breakdown has happened already) next level is /32K/28K!". Next dates: 11th, 17th and 27th April.
These dates do not tell you to buy or sell, but you can use it in your TA as a time factor for patterns, trends, etc.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge
Thoughts on the market on 06.04.2022
Bitcoin briefly went below $45K at night, the correction to $44,400, after which a return to the previous range followed. At the time of this writing, Bitcoin is worth $45,260.
Total Crypto Market capitalisation is $2.085 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.2% and fear index 48.
The markets are under pressure from the statements of the Fed representatives about more aggressive monetary policy, and the expectations of the March FOMC, which will be published today. A sober reminder that it was the FOMC that brought down the market in January.
The dollar index peaked above 99.6 and is now at 99.56. These were 2020 September - December coronapsychosis levels. Oil is above $106.
Today is the first day of the Miami conference. I think it will be something interesting. Like about El Salvador last year, but cooler.
The priority option for Bitcoin today is movement in the range of $44,400- $47,500.
Correction below may be against the backdrop of further growth of the dollar index or the general negative on the markets. Neither the short-term (fixation above $48,200 with the subsequent movement to 50K), nor the medium-term ones, which are mentioned, do not change. We are still looking for another dump as long as no weekly breakout happens above 50/55K. We still take the bearish side as long as BTC is below $55K/ $65K weekly. The current movement as we said since 22 Nov 2021 when BTC at $60K "we are looking for a breakdown in Q1 of 2022 to $40(breakdown has happened already https://t.me/decryptedge/860) next level is /32K/28K!". Next dates: 11th, 17th and 27th April.
These dates do not tell you to buy or sell, but you can use it in your TA as a time factor for patterns, trends, etc.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge #bitcoin #markets #dollar #oil #research
Bitcoin briefly went below $45K at night, the correction to $44,400, after which a return to the previous range followed. At the time of this writing, Bitcoin is worth $45,260.
Total Crypto Market capitalisation is $2.085 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.2% and fear index 48.
The markets are under pressure from the statements of the Fed representatives about more aggressive monetary policy, and the expectations of the March FOMC, which will be published today. A sober reminder that it was the FOMC that brought down the market in January.
The dollar index peaked above 99.6 and is now at 99.56. These were 2020 September - December coronapsychosis levels. Oil is above $106.
Today is the first day of the Miami conference. I think it will be something interesting. Like about El Salvador last year, but cooler.
The priority option for Bitcoin today is movement in the range of $44,400- $47,500.
Correction below may be against the backdrop of further growth of the dollar index or the general negative on the markets. Neither the short-term (fixation above $48,200 with the subsequent movement to 50K), nor the medium-term ones, which are mentioned, do not change. We are still looking for another dump as long as no weekly breakout happens above 50/55K. We still take the bearish side as long as BTC is below $55K/ $65K weekly. The current movement as we said since 22 Nov 2021 when BTC at $60K "we are looking for a breakdown in Q1 of 2022 to $40(breakdown has happened already https://t.me/decryptedge/860) next level is /32K/28K!". Next dates: 11th, 17th and 27th April.
These dates do not tell you to buy or sell, but you can use it in your TA as a time factor for patterns, trends, etc.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge #bitcoin #markets #dollar #oil #research
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#ElSalvador to Issue $1 Billion #Bitcoin Bond to Fund '#BitcoinCity' Thoughts on the market 22.11. 2021
Over the weekend, #bitcoin continued its short recovery to 59,700, on Sunday it managed to reach 60029 (Binance). Thereafter it took a down correction…
Over the weekend, #bitcoin continued its short recovery to 59,700, on Sunday it managed to reach 60029 (Binance). Thereafter it took a down correction…
Thoughts on the market on 07.04.2022
Bitcoin continued to decline, to a low of $42,720 in tandem with our bearish bias. It later bounced back and at the time of writing this it is trading for $43,490. Total Crypto Market capitalization of $1.986 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.4%, fear index at 34.
The FOMC protocols were negative for the market (raising the rate by 0.5%, reducing the balance sheet after the May meeting of the Fed, and at a faster pace than in previous cycles), but this negative was expected, because it did not cause any collapse.
Bitcoin tested the strength of the support area. The correction below $43K was quickly bought out, but there is no growth as price has stabilized around $43,200 - $43,300. Market capitalization at the same time fell below $2 Trillion.
The market is under pressure from a rising dollar index, as well as expectations of negativity from the United States, where a bill has been submitted to the House of Representatives to curb sanctions evasion with the help of cryptocurrencies. The Hydra story can also be used for FUD if there is interest. Especially when you consider where the Garantex office is located, which the US Treasury tied to Hydra. All of the above can affect the market in the short term.
What to expect from the market today?
If the support at $42,800 fails and the price consolidates lower, the next support area will be at $42,200 - $41,800. Fixing above $43,800, the return of capitalization above 2 Trillion, will indicate an imminent return above 45K and a resumption of growth. Chances of this are slim now. This can however happen very quickly, on good news coming out from the conference.
Pay attention to the dominance index - altcoins do not fall relative to Bitcoin, which means that there is no real fear in the market yet.
This is not traditional investment advice and ought not to be deemed as financial recommendation. Must do your own research. #Decryptedge.
Bitcoin continued to decline, to a low of $42,720 in tandem with our bearish bias. It later bounced back and at the time of writing this it is trading for $43,490. Total Crypto Market capitalization of $1.986 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.4%, fear index at 34.
The FOMC protocols were negative for the market (raising the rate by 0.5%, reducing the balance sheet after the May meeting of the Fed, and at a faster pace than in previous cycles), but this negative was expected, because it did not cause any collapse.
Bitcoin tested the strength of the support area. The correction below $43K was quickly bought out, but there is no growth as price has stabilized around $43,200 - $43,300. Market capitalization at the same time fell below $2 Trillion.
The market is under pressure from a rising dollar index, as well as expectations of negativity from the United States, where a bill has been submitted to the House of Representatives to curb sanctions evasion with the help of cryptocurrencies. The Hydra story can also be used for FUD if there is interest. Especially when you consider where the Garantex office is located, which the US Treasury tied to Hydra. All of the above can affect the market in the short term.
What to expect from the market today?
If the support at $42,800 fails and the price consolidates lower, the next support area will be at $42,200 - $41,800. Fixing above $43,800, the return of capitalization above 2 Trillion, will indicate an imminent return above 45K and a resumption of growth. Chances of this are slim now. This can however happen very quickly, on good news coming out from the conference.
Pay attention to the dominance index - altcoins do not fall relative to Bitcoin, which means that there is no real fear in the market yet.
This is not traditional investment advice and ought not to be deemed as financial recommendation. Must do your own research. #Decryptedge.
Miami’s Crypto Craze on full Display at Bitcoin Conference. “No Shiny, Bronze Balls Here”
Thoughts on the market on 08.04 .2022
Bitcoin bounced back to the trading range of $43,200 - $43,750 for the last 12 hours, and at the time of writing this review it is trading for $43,620. With a Total Crypto Market capitalization of $2.021 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.0% and fear index 37.
The growth of the market brings to mind the popular “dead cat bounce” pattern. Considering the growing dollar index, which is stubbornly approaching 100, information from the Fed about the reduction of the balance sheet from May to $95 billion a month, the growing geopolitical tensions and profit taking on the last trading day of the week, I think that most indices will drop today.
For further growth, it is necessary for bitcoin to touch the zone of local resistance at $43,800 - $44,200, and gain a foothold above it. This is the probable priority option. The alternative option is Bitcoin in a range with a lower limit at $42,800 - $42,500 and an upper limit at $44,000 - $44,200. In the case of working out the priority option over the weekend, expect a strong growth of altcoins.
Interestingly, in Miami, they launched their own cryptocurrency and the state authorities also erected a monument to the cryptobull. Dozens of companies are using the Bitcoin 2022 conference running Wednesday through Saturday as a venue to network, pitch ideas and share announcements. The largest crypto company to move to Miami so far, Blockchain.com, will house 200 employees at a location in the hip Wynwood district, where other tech firms are setting up shop as well. “No, it’s not the beginning of the robot apocalypse. It’s not an NFT come to life. It’s not the final boss in a video game. And it doesn’t poop bitcoins.” “Welcome to the future of finance,” said Miami Mayor Francis Suarez as a blue shroud pulled back to reveal the Miami Bull, a 3,000-pound futuristic statue modeled after Wall Street’s iconic Charging Bull.
The massive Miami Bull has the same dimensions as the Charging Bull and has his head lowered in the same fighting stance, too. (Unlike its New York counterpart, though, the Miami Bull is neutered. No shiny, bronze balls here.) Source: miamiherald
Lastly, a Bloomberg Intelligence report on crypto has been released, the main theses - Bitcoin has shown itself to be more stable than the stock market, Bitcoin is a very attractive asset in the long term, it becomes a collateral instrument and a reserve asset.
Wishing you a blessed weekend and remember this is not traditional investment advice. Must do your own research. D.Y.O.R. #Decryptedge.
Thoughts on the market on 08.04 .2022
Bitcoin bounced back to the trading range of $43,200 - $43,750 for the last 12 hours, and at the time of writing this review it is trading for $43,620. With a Total Crypto Market capitalization of $2.021 Trillion, BTC dominance index of 41.0% and fear index 37.
The growth of the market brings to mind the popular “dead cat bounce” pattern. Considering the growing dollar index, which is stubbornly approaching 100, information from the Fed about the reduction of the balance sheet from May to $95 billion a month, the growing geopolitical tensions and profit taking on the last trading day of the week, I think that most indices will drop today.
For further growth, it is necessary for bitcoin to touch the zone of local resistance at $43,800 - $44,200, and gain a foothold above it. This is the probable priority option. The alternative option is Bitcoin in a range with a lower limit at $42,800 - $42,500 and an upper limit at $44,000 - $44,200. In the case of working out the priority option over the weekend, expect a strong growth of altcoins.
Interestingly, in Miami, they launched their own cryptocurrency and the state authorities also erected a monument to the cryptobull. Dozens of companies are using the Bitcoin 2022 conference running Wednesday through Saturday as a venue to network, pitch ideas and share announcements. The largest crypto company to move to Miami so far, Blockchain.com, will house 200 employees at a location in the hip Wynwood district, where other tech firms are setting up shop as well. “No, it’s not the beginning of the robot apocalypse. It’s not an NFT come to life. It’s not the final boss in a video game. And it doesn’t poop bitcoins.” “Welcome to the future of finance,” said Miami Mayor Francis Suarez as a blue shroud pulled back to reveal the Miami Bull, a 3,000-pound futuristic statue modeled after Wall Street’s iconic Charging Bull.
The massive Miami Bull has the same dimensions as the Charging Bull and has his head lowered in the same fighting stance, too. (Unlike its New York counterpart, though, the Miami Bull is neutered. No shiny, bronze balls here.) Source: miamiherald
Lastly, a Bloomberg Intelligence report on crypto has been released, the main theses - Bitcoin has shown itself to be more stable than the stock market, Bitcoin is a very attractive asset in the long term, it becomes a collateral instrument and a reserve asset.
Wishing you a blessed weekend and remember this is not traditional investment advice. Must do your own research. D.Y.O.R. #Decryptedge.
Another Covid-?? Crypto Market Thoughts on the market 11.04. 2022
Bitcoin ended the weekend well, reaching highs above $43,430, but has now started the week with a decline. A low price was set below $41,750. At the time of writing this review, Bitcoin is trading for $42,005. Total Crypto Market capitalization of $1.949 Trillion, and BTC dominance index of 41.1% and fear index at 32.
The dollar index is growing and approaching 100, oil has lost more than 2.3%. Tomorrow, Tuesday, data on consumer inflation in the US will be released, and on Wednesday - industrial inflation. If these data are worse than the forecast, the markets may perceive this as a threat of an extraordinary Fed meeting and a rate hike before May.
Situation in China is also pressing on the markets, where they are fanning another wave of coronapsychosis. Shanghai reported nearly 25,000 locally transmitted COVID-19 infections on Sunday, as residents of China's most populous city voiced complaints over food and basic supplies and concern spread that more cities may soon be in the same situation. Image shared is from google, on the spike of cases.
Bitcoin first worked out the priority option over the weekend, holding above $42,500 and reaching values above $43,430 by Sunday evening. But with the start of the working week, Bitcoin switched to an alternative option, which provided for a shift in the trading range one floor lower, to $42,500 - $41,800. Alts to Bitcoin are still not being drained, the dominance index is low, which means that real fear has not yet come to the market.
MicroStrategy purchased another 4,100 BTC, now they have 129,218 Bitcoins. The company made its first public purchase of BTC in August 2020. The purpose of the purchase was to protect against inflation, which MicroStrategy considered inevitable. In addition to MS, Elon Musk, Dorsey, and many other people with big and colossal money did the same.
The question is - people who bought Bitcoin to protect against inflation, always working ahead of the curve when this inflation was still about 2%, will they sell it when time has confirmed the correctness of their choice. With inflation updating to new highs and has no particular chance to slow down, geopolitical factors have been added to the monetary ones. What will they do? What will be a reasonable safe haven? Do they have the strong conviction to hold on to the new asset class?
My sentiments are institutional hands are shifting quietly and stealthily, but thanks to @cryptoquant_alert this month that is 1st April 2022 to as of writing of this review a total of 34,537.39 BTC has been moved to exchanges. That is an average total of USD1,462,164,581.82. The actions of big players are one of the main factors influencing a market where supply is limited. We shall revisit this at a future date.
If Bitcoin maintains above $41,800, then price could return above 42500 and a move in the $42,500 - $43,500 range. In case the support at $41,800 is lost, the next area of support is $41,400 - $40,800, then $40,300 - $39,900.
We still take the bearish side as long as BTC is below $55K/ $65K weekly. The current movement as we said since 22 Nov 2021 when BTC at $60K "we are looking for a breakdown in Q1 of 2022 to $40(breakdown has happened already https://t.me/decryptedge/860) next level is /32K/28K!". Next dates: 11th(today), 17th and 27th April.
These dates do not tell you to buy or sell, but you can use it in your TA as a time factor for patterns, trends, etc. Rational action is to use the situation to gain positions or improve the entry price in the area of support zones.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge #bitcoin #markets #dollar #oil #research
Bitcoin ended the weekend well, reaching highs above $43,430, but has now started the week with a decline. A low price was set below $41,750. At the time of writing this review, Bitcoin is trading for $42,005. Total Crypto Market capitalization of $1.949 Trillion, and BTC dominance index of 41.1% and fear index at 32.
The dollar index is growing and approaching 100, oil has lost more than 2.3%. Tomorrow, Tuesday, data on consumer inflation in the US will be released, and on Wednesday - industrial inflation. If these data are worse than the forecast, the markets may perceive this as a threat of an extraordinary Fed meeting and a rate hike before May.
Situation in China is also pressing on the markets, where they are fanning another wave of coronapsychosis. Shanghai reported nearly 25,000 locally transmitted COVID-19 infections on Sunday, as residents of China's most populous city voiced complaints over food and basic supplies and concern spread that more cities may soon be in the same situation. Image shared is from google, on the spike of cases.
Bitcoin first worked out the priority option over the weekend, holding above $42,500 and reaching values above $43,430 by Sunday evening. But with the start of the working week, Bitcoin switched to an alternative option, which provided for a shift in the trading range one floor lower, to $42,500 - $41,800. Alts to Bitcoin are still not being drained, the dominance index is low, which means that real fear has not yet come to the market.
MicroStrategy purchased another 4,100 BTC, now they have 129,218 Bitcoins. The company made its first public purchase of BTC in August 2020. The purpose of the purchase was to protect against inflation, which MicroStrategy considered inevitable. In addition to MS, Elon Musk, Dorsey, and many other people with big and colossal money did the same.
The question is - people who bought Bitcoin to protect against inflation, always working ahead of the curve when this inflation was still about 2%, will they sell it when time has confirmed the correctness of their choice. With inflation updating to new highs and has no particular chance to slow down, geopolitical factors have been added to the monetary ones. What will they do? What will be a reasonable safe haven? Do they have the strong conviction to hold on to the new asset class?
My sentiments are institutional hands are shifting quietly and stealthily, but thanks to @cryptoquant_alert this month that is 1st April 2022 to as of writing of this review a total of 34,537.39 BTC has been moved to exchanges. That is an average total of USD1,462,164,581.82. The actions of big players are one of the main factors influencing a market where supply is limited. We shall revisit this at a future date.
If Bitcoin maintains above $41,800, then price could return above 42500 and a move in the $42,500 - $43,500 range. In case the support at $41,800 is lost, the next area of support is $41,400 - $40,800, then $40,300 - $39,900.
We still take the bearish side as long as BTC is below $55K/ $65K weekly. The current movement as we said since 22 Nov 2021 when BTC at $60K "we are looking for a breakdown in Q1 of 2022 to $40(breakdown has happened already https://t.me/decryptedge/860) next level is /32K/28K!". Next dates: 11th(today), 17th and 27th April.
These dates do not tell you to buy or sell, but you can use it in your TA as a time factor for patterns, trends, etc. Rational action is to use the situation to gain positions or improve the entry price in the area of support zones.
This is not traditional investment advice, and ought not to be considered as financial recommendation. Must always do your own research. #decryptedge #bitcoin #markets #dollar #oil #research
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KryptoEdge
#ElSalvador to Issue $1 Billion #Bitcoin Bond to Fund '#BitcoinCity' Thoughts on the market 22.11. 2021
Over the weekend, #bitcoin continued its short recovery to 59,700, on Sunday it managed to reach 60029 (Binance). Thereafter it took a down correction…
Over the weekend, #bitcoin continued its short recovery to 59,700, on Sunday it managed to reach 60029 (Binance). Thereafter it took a down correction…
What is the Best Hedge Against Inflation? Thoughts on the market on 12.04.2022
Bitcoin continued to decline yesterday, setting a low below $39,140 then stabilized in the range of $39,400 - $39,800. At the time of writing this review, the price of Bitcoin is $40,154
Total Crypto Market capitalization of $1.831 Trillion, BTC dominance index 41.1% and fear index of 20.
Oil held above $100, dollar index too peaked above $100.12. Inflation data will be released today. Forecast - 8.4%. If the data is above the forecast, and some tough statements by the Fed may collapse the stock markets. Fear in the markets adds to the understanding that this is not just inflation, which can be fought by raising rates. The astronomical external debt and the debt load of the population and the economy do not allow the full use of this tool. Record prices for raw materials and energy carriers against the backdrop of no less than record inflation threaten the economy to go into long-term stagflation.
Bitcoin broke through all the support levels indicated in yesterday's review, the last few hours it has stabilized above $39,500. I get the impression that the negative external background is being used by some well-informed market participants for a comfortable set of positions before some important events for Bitcoin. Perhaps this is a subjective opinion, we will soon find out.
Objectively - when the officially declared dollar inflation approaches double digits, fiat is the most toxic asset, and the prospects for Bitcoin are so clear that there is not even any intrigue.
Don Pliego understands everything correctly, a $$ billionaire. He is Mexico's Third Richest Billionaire and he warns of severe dollar Inflation — Says Buy Bitcoin to 'Save Your Skin' He gave the advice last week Thursday, at the Bitcoin 2022 conference in Miami, Florida. “What they are doing is making fake money out of thin air and loaning it out to create a purchasing power to the tune of, we’re now, $9 trillion of fake savings made by the Federal Reserve,” the billionaire described, adding: The creation of fake credit which equals purchasing power has been astounding. The problem is because the dollar is the reserve currency of the world, can’t do anything about it. You can’t go out of the dollar — unless you go to bitcoin. FYI: The Billionaire bought his first Bitcoin in 2013, when it was worth around $200. (https://t.me/decryptedge/156)
For Bitcoin today, the support area is at $39,200 - $38,500. The priority option is the movement of the main cryptocurrency in a range with a lower boundary at this support area and an upper boundary at $41,500- $42,000. An alternative option is another breakthrough of the next support area at $38,200-$37,500. If Bitcoin fixes below $39,200, the alternative becomes a priority.
Today I carry out a poll: Below, What is the Best Hedge Against Inflation?
Wishing you a good afternoon ahead and remember this is not financial advice or investment recommendation. Must do your own research. #decryptedge
Bitcoin continued to decline yesterday, setting a low below $39,140 then stabilized in the range of $39,400 - $39,800. At the time of writing this review, the price of Bitcoin is $40,154
Total Crypto Market capitalization of $1.831 Trillion, BTC dominance index 41.1% and fear index of 20.
Oil held above $100, dollar index too peaked above $100.12. Inflation data will be released today. Forecast - 8.4%. If the data is above the forecast, and some tough statements by the Fed may collapse the stock markets. Fear in the markets adds to the understanding that this is not just inflation, which can be fought by raising rates. The astronomical external debt and the debt load of the population and the economy do not allow the full use of this tool. Record prices for raw materials and energy carriers against the backdrop of no less than record inflation threaten the economy to go into long-term stagflation.
Bitcoin broke through all the support levels indicated in yesterday's review, the last few hours it has stabilized above $39,500. I get the impression that the negative external background is being used by some well-informed market participants for a comfortable set of positions before some important events for Bitcoin. Perhaps this is a subjective opinion, we will soon find out.
Objectively - when the officially declared dollar inflation approaches double digits, fiat is the most toxic asset, and the prospects for Bitcoin are so clear that there is not even any intrigue.
Don Pliego understands everything correctly, a $$ billionaire. He is Mexico's Third Richest Billionaire and he warns of severe dollar Inflation — Says Buy Bitcoin to 'Save Your Skin' He gave the advice last week Thursday, at the Bitcoin 2022 conference in Miami, Florida. “What they are doing is making fake money out of thin air and loaning it out to create a purchasing power to the tune of, we’re now, $9 trillion of fake savings made by the Federal Reserve,” the billionaire described, adding: The creation of fake credit which equals purchasing power has been astounding. The problem is because the dollar is the reserve currency of the world, can’t do anything about it. You can’t go out of the dollar — unless you go to bitcoin. FYI: The Billionaire bought his first Bitcoin in 2013, when it was worth around $200. (https://t.me/decryptedge/156)
For Bitcoin today, the support area is at $39,200 - $38,500. The priority option is the movement of the main cryptocurrency in a range with a lower boundary at this support area and an upper boundary at $41,500- $42,000. An alternative option is another breakthrough of the next support area at $38,200-$37,500. If Bitcoin fixes below $39,200, the alternative becomes a priority.
Today I carry out a poll: Below, What is the Best Hedge Against Inflation?
Wishing you a good afternoon ahead and remember this is not financial advice or investment recommendation. Must do your own research. #decryptedge
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#Mexico’s second richest man says #Bitcoin is his 'best investment ever' : Thoughts on the market on 28.12.2020
The last Saturday-Sunday of the outgoing year turned out to be the best weekend in 2020 for #Bitcoin. It updated its ATH several times; at the…
The last Saturday-Sunday of the outgoing year turned out to be the best weekend in 2020 for #Bitcoin. It updated its ATH several times; at the…
What is the Best Hedge Against Inflation?
Anonymous Poll
45%
Gold
9%
Stock & Commodities
45%
Cryptocurrencies
0%
Real Estate & REIT's
Mayai Pasua Index: Thoughts on the market on 13.04.2022
Bitcoin moved from the range of $39,220 to $40,690 at the time of writing this review, Bitcoin is trading for $39,740. Total Crypto Market capitalization at $1.860 Trillion, dominance index of 40.8% and fear index 25.
The data on consumer inflation came out, it turned out to be worse than the forecast, but not much (8.5% against the forecast of 8.4%). The market reacted and more so perhaps due to Biden's speech, who said that Putin is to blame for record inflation and rising prices for gasoline and everything else. Today there will be data on industrial inflation in the US (PPI), the data may significantly affect the markets.
To put into perspective the 8.5% inflation to the Kenyan context; For those who have tried the boiled egg delicacy. Usually sold/pedelled at high human traffic areas, around key malls, universities and business centers. I remember vividly back in 2012, somewhere around Nairobi, Westlands and several subsequent years enjoying these boiled eggs served with Kachumbari (salsa) and some ketchup(optional) or chili sauce to add to the taste. The flavors burst and melt inside your mouth and trust me, you will definitely go in for another kill. Sorry I digress, it would cost me Ksh10. Now, you have to part with Ksh25. So in simple terms using the analogy the higher the inflation rate..for instance the US has this now at 8.5%, the higher the mayai pasua sells for. I have literally seen the gradual rise from Ksh10, 15, 20 and now 25. Thats mayai pasua index for you. Without much jargon. The more you pay for the same goods/service the higher the inflation index.
The dollar index is confidently holding above 100, which is always bad for the markets. However, the S&P 500 futures are now showing a slight increase. Bitcoin held within the priority option. The lows were not updated, it was also not possible to go upwards beyond $40,690. The range with the lower border at $39,200 - $38,500 and the upper one at $41,500 - $42,000 remains a priority for today.
An alternative option is to go below the support area $39,200- $38,500, it is possible with an external negative. Looking back at Bitcoin’s price milestones, it has made parabolic move in just 10 consecutive days. Could one of those 10 days be coming soon? Speculating around Apple news, although this is not yet certain. The prospects for Bitcoin without Apple are beyond doubt.
There has been a lot of talk lately about how the tightening of monetary policy by the Fed will negatively affect Bitcoin.
That's all for today, I will post an update later today. Wishing you a good afternoon ahead and remember this is not financial advice or investment recommendation. Must do your own research. #decryptedge
Bitcoin moved from the range of $39,220 to $40,690 at the time of writing this review, Bitcoin is trading for $39,740. Total Crypto Market capitalization at $1.860 Trillion, dominance index of 40.8% and fear index 25.
The data on consumer inflation came out, it turned out to be worse than the forecast, but not much (8.5% against the forecast of 8.4%). The market reacted and more so perhaps due to Biden's speech, who said that Putin is to blame for record inflation and rising prices for gasoline and everything else. Today there will be data on industrial inflation in the US (PPI), the data may significantly affect the markets.
To put into perspective the 8.5% inflation to the Kenyan context; For those who have tried the boiled egg delicacy. Usually sold/pedelled at high human traffic areas, around key malls, universities and business centers. I remember vividly back in 2012, somewhere around Nairobi, Westlands and several subsequent years enjoying these boiled eggs served with Kachumbari (salsa) and some ketchup(optional) or chili sauce to add to the taste. The flavors burst and melt inside your mouth and trust me, you will definitely go in for another kill. Sorry I digress, it would cost me Ksh10. Now, you have to part with Ksh25. So in simple terms using the analogy the higher the inflation rate..for instance the US has this now at 8.5%, the higher the mayai pasua sells for. I have literally seen the gradual rise from Ksh10, 15, 20 and now 25. Thats mayai pasua index for you. Without much jargon. The more you pay for the same goods/service the higher the inflation index.
The dollar index is confidently holding above 100, which is always bad for the markets. However, the S&P 500 futures are now showing a slight increase. Bitcoin held within the priority option. The lows were not updated, it was also not possible to go upwards beyond $40,690. The range with the lower border at $39,200 - $38,500 and the upper one at $41,500 - $42,000 remains a priority for today.
An alternative option is to go below the support area $39,200- $38,500, it is possible with an external negative. Looking back at Bitcoin’s price milestones, it has made parabolic move in just 10 consecutive days. Could one of those 10 days be coming soon? Speculating around Apple news, although this is not yet certain. The prospects for Bitcoin without Apple are beyond doubt.
There has been a lot of talk lately about how the tightening of monetary policy by the Fed will negatively affect Bitcoin.
That's all for today, I will post an update later today. Wishing you a good afternoon ahead and remember this is not financial advice or investment recommendation. Must do your own research. #decryptedge