https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-release-epstein-files-by/will-trump-release-the-epstein-files-by-december-19-771?tid=1766156943770
actively watching this market, bought first shares at 65 on Yes, now my avg is 85
actively watching this market, bought first shares at 65 on Yes, now my avg is 85
❤2😁1
https://polymarket.com/event/gensyn-public-sale-total-commitments/over-400m-committed-to-the-gensyn-public-sale-344-371-447-337-697-444-148?tid=1766180351650
>15m yes looks good here, bought a lil bit
>15m yes looks good here, bought a lil bit
❤3
Forwarded from Alin Iulian
Here are some short reasons why Luís Marques Mendes, Henrique Gouveia e Melo and André Ventura are currently seen as favourites in my opinion:
1) Strong polling performance (three-way race)
All three candidates consistently appear at or near the top in opinion polls, often in a statistical tie for the lead slot going into the first round — with roughly ~19–23 % support each in various surveys.
2) Established name recognition and political support
• Mendes is a veteran center-right politician and ex-leader of the Social Democratic Party (PSD), giving him broad recognition among moderate and conservative voters.
• Ventura leads Chega, which recently became a major force in Portuguese politics and has a loyal voter base; this helps him secure a robust core share.
• Gouveia e Melo rose to national prominence as the public face of Portugal’s COVID-19 vaccination effort, giving him widespread name awareness beyond traditional party politics.
3) Fragmented field increases their relative share
With many minor candidates in the race, the vote is split — making it easier for well-known figures like these three to stand out and pull ahead of less established rivals.
4) Broad appeal across different voter blocs
• Mendes appeals to traditional center-right voters and moderates.
• Gouveia e Melo attracts voters tired of party politics, thanks to his independent image.
• Ventura galvanizes the protest and right-leaning electorate with strong rhetoric on issues like corruption and identity politics.
5) Election dynamics favor top three for runoff
Polls show no candidate surpassing 50 % in the first round, making a runoff almost inevitable and positioning these three as the most likely to advance to the final ballot based on current intention figures.
1) Strong polling performance (three-way race)
All three candidates consistently appear at or near the top in opinion polls, often in a statistical tie for the lead slot going into the first round — with roughly ~19–23 % support each in various surveys.
2) Established name recognition and political support
• Mendes is a veteran center-right politician and ex-leader of the Social Democratic Party (PSD), giving him broad recognition among moderate and conservative voters.
• Ventura leads Chega, which recently became a major force in Portuguese politics and has a loyal voter base; this helps him secure a robust core share.
• Gouveia e Melo rose to national prominence as the public face of Portugal’s COVID-19 vaccination effort, giving him widespread name awareness beyond traditional party politics.
3) Fragmented field increases their relative share
With many minor candidates in the race, the vote is split — making it easier for well-known figures like these three to stand out and pull ahead of less established rivals.
4) Broad appeal across different voter blocs
• Mendes appeals to traditional center-right voters and moderates.
• Gouveia e Melo attracts voters tired of party politics, thanks to his independent image.
• Ventura galvanizes the protest and right-leaning electorate with strong rhetoric on issues like corruption and identity politics.
5) Election dynamics favor top three for runoff
Polls show no candidate surpassing 50 % in the first round, making a runoff almost inevitable and positioning these three as the most likely to advance to the final ballot based on current intention figures.
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https://polymarket.com/event/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1-486/will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-between-35-and-40-million-views-on-day-1-175?tid=1766334582933
idk why it's not 100 yet, i bonded full port
idk why it's not 100 yet, i bonded full port
🔥2
what are your thoughts on Lighter markets? i was researching 2 hours onchain and looks like we have lots of insiders here
i bought some December 29 Yes here
https://polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-lighter-airdrop-be/lighter-airdrop-on-december-29?tid=1766417666576&via=d1namit
it will grow every day and will hit 99 at announcement day. might be a good flip
i bought some December 29 Yes here
https://polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-lighter-airdrop-be/lighter-airdrop-on-december-29?tid=1766417666576&via=d1namit
it will grow every day and will hit 99 at announcement day. might be a good flip
❤3💩1
d1namit notes
https://x.com/Forward_inv/status/2003819274104659996?s=20 bought 29 december yes a lil bit more
79 -> 87
also rate my drawing skills from 1 to 10
also rate my drawing skills from 1 to 10
💩1
d1namit notes
https://polymarket.com/event/of-views-of-mrbeasts-celebrity-challenge-video-on-day-1?tid=1767896912736 bond 35+ no
gap closed right after post here wtf