💸 The reason for the local correction

Friends, tonight the altcoin market reacted with a pretty good correction, this was due to a sharp rebound in bitcoin dominance, which rose by ~3%.

🔤 It would seem that the market is globally standing still, but altcoins are showing pretty significant correction impulses, why is that?

I want to tell you that this is a normal pullback, which always happens after a decent growth.

Many beginners, who have just entered the market, still think that if an asset is “promising”, it should move upwards without any correction.

🔖 However, this is not true at all. Even in a bull market, good growth impulses are always followed by a pullback. Otherwise, too many people would make money on the growth, which is not favorable for the market itself.

Therefore, do not take this correction in a negative way. It is a necessary pullback, after which we will see further growth and breaking through higher values.

❕ Don't worry, the growth is just beginning, local pullbacks (like now) happen on purpose to disembark «passengers» and weak market hands. We continue to believe and wait...🔥

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💸 Is everything going according to script?

Friends, thought I'd show you a certain pattern. I will say right away that not all patterns show themselves exactly the same as before, but still — it shows potential price behavior.

1️⃣ Altseason 2020:
• Key level breakout.
• Up 45%, then a 30% correction in December.
• After the correction, the start of a powerful altseason.

2️⃣ Altseason 2024:
• Key level breakout.
• Up 45%, now a correction.
• 👀

❕ I won't stop repeating: 95% of people in the market lose, which means that the remaining 5% have something different...(equanimity, strategy and faith) 🔥

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💬 Don't jump to stupid conclusions....

Friends, I see that many people already have serious doubts about the further growth of the altcoin sector.

📑 Some think that another correction is about to start, which will send your altcoins down another -30-50%. Friends, you should not be so hasty with conclusions.

We got just an ordinary correction, which absolutely always happens after good growth impulses!

The trend is upward, the payoffs at the current level are very good, we are just at the beginning of altcoin growth. All the most interesting things are still to come.

📥 Now we are going through the very period after which a large percentage of investors (weak hands) are eliminated.

You should not fall for these manipulations and try to catch further market decline.

❕ You will remember my words and regret it later. Calmly hold your coins and do not do anything stupid 🐳

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🪙 SOL again and whale shopping again

Friends, today whale purse was bought by Solana for $15.3 mln.

🔤 I know that many people are waiting for further growth from this asset, but now we are seeing a sideways movement, which throws off all local passengers.

These people are called «paper hands» who want everything at once.

While hamsters are dumping their assets — whales are starting to slowly prepare their portfolios for further growth impulses and are actively building up their positions.

❕ Based on this, one should have exclusively upward expectations for this asset. To be more precise, we should wait for the asset to reach $280+. This desired impulse should happen soon, you just have patience 🔥

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🔹 Ethereum is on its way to $20,000

A week ago, the price of ETH surpassed the $4,000 per coin mark for the first time since March. Further, it is clearly targeting the November 2021 ATH update.

DeFi sector grows and Ethereum overtakes Bitcoin - what's going on?

💸 Investors are «on the plus side»

In the last week of November, Ethereum rose 5% — the best result among the top 5 cryptocurrencies.

When the price exceeded the $3,550 level, investors in spot ETH-ETFs finally went «into profit» — these are the levels seen at the beginning of trading in exchange-traded funds on July 23, 2024

From November 22 to 27, net inflows into ETH-based ETFs totaled $225 million, which is $190 million more than inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.

📑 Exchange-traded funds as a paradigm shift

Since the launch of spot ETFs on Bitcoin and Ethereum, the crypto market has changed: whales from the traditional sector are willing to invest in these exchange-traded funds, but no more.

If earlier capitals from BTC went into Ethereum, Solana and other alta, then from ETFs on BTC and ETH they will flow into «non-crypto»: stock market, currencies, real estate.

The influx of money into ETH-ETFs is clearly due to bitcoin's local overbought: it has already updated ATH, while ETH has not yet.

📈 Expert Predictions: towards $20,000

Trailers who trade by technical analysis have already seen a bunch of patterns that signal further mega-growth of ETH in the next six months.

«Cup and Handle», «Ishimoku Golden Cross», and other patterns on weekly charts show growth towards levels above $6,000 and all the way up to $7,200.

❕ Will it come true or not - I think so. On the one hand, the fundamental background disposes to growth. On the other hand, technical analysis on charts without half a century of history can be significantly wrong 🐳

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🐳 Whale buys ACT — are we buying it?

Friends, today with the team discovered that one whale address has purchased $2.4 million worth of ACT coin.

🔤 The asset itself is an artificial intelligence related memecoin. It includes two sectors that are performing very well in the current market.

The coin is now in an active accumulation phase after its rapid growth. However, given this payoff, we realize that the big players want to pull the asset's exchange rate to higher values.

Therefore, from the marked trading range, one should be ready to get a continuation of growth and reach a new high.

❕ Yes, such a trade can be categorized as risky, but I like the fact that this asset touches the most active sectors, so I am willing to accept such a risk. Not a financial recommendation 🔥

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😐 What's going on with the dominance?

Friends, over the last few days, bitcoin dominance has reacted with a sharp rise of 6% and is now around 57%. Because of this jump, the bulk of the alts reacted with a pretty decent correction or stopping in one place.

🔤 The point is that there were too many altcoin long positions accumulated at the moment, which were strongly asking to be taken out. Since it is simply not favorable for the market to head in the direction everyone expects it to go.

Bitcoin is now in the opposite situation, the bulk of the market is waiting for a correction rather than growth.

Many people have already felt the prospect of growth of alts and thought that they are “on a train that will not go backwards” - it turned out not so.

— As always, the market is throwing off local passengers, who fly in at random values and wait for an instant profit. It is not for nothing that I always tell you to be ready for good local pullbacks! Here is a good example of that.

❕ On domination, I expect the following: from the highlighted level, I expect to see a continuation of correction and a further move below 54%. Simultaneously, strong bounces on the alts 🔥

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🐸 The market will not be the same

Friends, yesterday I came across some interesting thoughts on Twitter of one of the founders of a crypto project. I decided to share them with you.

🔤 Let's start with the fact that the psychology of cryptocurrency market participants has changed dramatically in this cycle.

In previous cycles, participants mostly had a HODL mentality and bought on the downside.

In this cycle, participants are mostly adhering to a short-term trading mentality and are constantly looking to lock in profits, despite the fact that few succeed in doing so in the long run. I believe the main conduit for this has been memecoins.

📤 The reality is that markets are very difficult to predict, and the fact that so many people believe they can call a “top” on cryptocurrency now leads me to believe that cryptocurrency is in for a much longer-than-expected uptrend this time around.

Yes, there will be intra-month volatility, but pullbacks will likely be in a “buy the dip” scenario for much longer than everyone expects.

❕ The real top for cryptocurrencies will be marked when the short-term mentality ceases to be the dominant form of thinking in this cycle and many short-term traders return to long-term trades!

Put 🔥 if you understand the main point

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💸 The growth of your assets depends on it

Dear friends, narrative is a key trigger for moving liquidity. And liquidity, in turn, determines how much your assets in your portfolio will grow.

If you learn how to track the movement of funds in the market - it will become a powerful tool in your arsenal.

🔤 Let's start with the basics - what is liquidity?

Liquidity is money that “moves” between assets / sectors. If a certain sector starts gaining popularity (e.g. memes) and its assets are growing dynamically, it means that liquidity is flowing into it.

The current situation with BTC.D. illustrates the movement of liquidity.

💰 Correlation of BTC.D and altcoins

Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is the percentage of BTC's market capitalization relative to the total capitalization of all cryptocurrencies. It helps determine how much market share BTC has compared to other cryptocurrencies.

We can often see that when BTC dominance increases, alts fall or stand still. And when the dominance decreases, alts start their rise.

I recommend you to save this picture. It will help to visualize the impact of dominance volatility.

📈 A similar example of liquidity spillover

Let's consider the situation with two altcoins - SUI and APT. After all, liquidity spillovers occur not only between bitcoin and altcoins, but also within altcoins.

• If you look closely at the chart of APT, you will notice that it shows a similar trajectory to SUI.

For example, last winter, when SUI experienced a sharp rise, APT soon repeated its dynamics. Now we may witness a similar situation. Same sector, similar narrative, similar funds and essentially two competitors.

❕ There are many similar cases, many alts are practicing similar formations. What we need to understand is where liquidity will flow next ❤️

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📉 All crypto is falling into the abyss

Friends, the market is falling and frankly speaking, so sharp correction I did not expect.

🔤 The main impetus of all this was set by the head of the Fed - Powell, who answered the question about bitcoin reserve. He said that the Fed has no right to own bitcoin.

After these words in an hour was liquidated traders more than $280 million. And just 3 days later that number went to $1 billion.

🐸 What's my plan now?

I'll wait until the stock market closes today. Then I will watch, but I haven't bought anything additional yet.

Perhaps we have entered a more protracted correction cycle, where bitcoin will fall very slowly or go sideways, and altcoins will update their local ATL once every 3-4 days, where each time it will seem: well, this is it, this is the time of buyback, and prices will continue to fall.

❕ In such a situation it is wrong to buy red candles. Here you need to wait: either for the final volumes to be released with the price accelerating downward and a large number of liquidations, or wait for a change in the structure on higher timeframes. Therefore, haste can be a mistake 🐳

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💸 The year 2025 will be legendary

Friends, let me summarize for you the current market situation:

— Stock market stocks are rising as if the Fed will continue to cut rates;
— Bonds are falling, as if the Fed's rate cuts are already over
— Oil prices are rising as if we've avoided a recession
— Gold prices are rising as if a recession is coming.
Bitcoin is falling as if risk appetite is gone.
— Volatility falls as if risk appetite has returned.

You can call it in one word - uncertainty.

But the one thing I am certain of is that it will be one of the most generous in recent memory for various earning opportunities.

❕ Many who have not been in a bull market simply don't realize how powerful a pyriode of time this is. 2025 will be a crazy year in the market.

Are you already energized to do great things? 🔥

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😎 Avoid these mistakes in a bull market

Friends, an active bull market is just around the corner. I know a lot of newbies are following me, so I decided to make this post for you.

It will be especially useful for those who tend to give in to emotions and make decisions based on them.

🔤 The three main problems that many crypto investors and speculators are facing right now are:

1. Fear of missing the last chance when it seems that the current growth is the last possible success.
2. Uncertainty about the future when no one knows how long the good times will last.
3. Social pressure when comparing yourself to others makes you act in haste.

💸 What happens as a result?
When attention is scattered, it's easy to chase every new trend, forgetting the really worthwhile trades. Uncertainty breeds pessimism and indecision: assets are sold too early or no deals are made at all.

Insufficient analysis undermines confidence, and a lack of an exit plan leads to selling assets at the first sign of a downturn.

How to fix the situation?

1️⃣ Focus
Define your strategy: decentralized onchain platforms or traditional offchain exchanges. Focus on one or two key networks, taking into account your resources, skills and current market conditions.

2️⃣ Decide on an approach you are comfortable with
• Investing — long-term investments based on fundamental analysis.
• Trading — short-term trades driven by events and technical signals.
• Speculation — risky trades based on unexpected news or rumors.

4️⃣ Stick to a plan
Determine in advance when to enter the market, at what levels to lock in profits and where to place stop losses. Clear rules will help you avoid emotional decisions.

5️⃣ Learn from experience
Evaluate your actions on a regular basis. What worked? What didn't? Was the mistake caused by a wrong decision or market circumstances? Constantly improve your strategy.

6️⃣ Work as a team
Find trusted partners to share ideas and correct mistakes. Maintain connections outside your niche — this will broaden your vision and improve the quality of your decisions.

❔ Did you like the post? Give it a like 🐳

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💸 The alt season has begun?

Friends, I think that many people did not expect to see such an outcome in the market, as after the first red candles from bitcoin many people had a little panic. But, what did we end up with?

🔤 At this point, most altcoins started showing pretty strong gains. Falling domination + falling bitcoin = rising altcoin. Even that happens. Not often, of course, but once every 4 years can be anything.

In fact, it reminds all this rebalancing of positions by a large participant. It doesn't mean that bitcoin won't grow at all now, but it's a good signal that we may have taken the first step towards that long awaited alt season.

If dominance continues to decline, the altcoin should not fall even from bitcoin's correction below $90k, where it is already more likely to find a firmer level of support.

❕ With falling domination, if BTC becomes sideways, we could witness a nice explosion in altcoins. This includes a good rise in Ethereum 🔥

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🐋 Whale is gaining on PENGU

Friends, today with the team discovered that a major wallet purchased a PENGU coin today totaling $15.5 million.

I think a lot of people don't know about this new token by
so let me explain ⬇️

🔤 PENGU is a token from the Pudgy Penguins NFT collection.

It went on the market about a week ago and gave out a pretty big retrodrop. The tokens were distributed to almost everyone on old wallets on Solana and Ethereum networks, to holders of different NFT collections and coins.

The drop hit 7 million wallets, and the average reward was 8,000 PENGU tokens ($220).

Although the asset is fresh, its capitalization has already surpassed $3.2 billion and the project has started gaining very large parters.

❕ Given the current actions of a major player, one can see that this asset should be expected to start to gain significant growth momentum. The coveted upside exit should be seen from the noted trading range (not a financial recommendation) 🔥

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↗️ My opinion about the current market

Friends, I'll tell you right away that the market is still without much change. Bitcoin continues to move in its sideways range ($93-$99k), and domination is also treading in one place.

🔤 Personally, I don't expect to wait for strong fluctuations in the market ahead of the New Year holidays. The recovery of altcoins should be expected only after the new year.

Now we should pay more attention to the dominance itself than to the bitcoin rate, as the main problem at the current stage of the market is the high dominance of bitcoin, which simply does not allow the altcoin to breathe normally and fly upwards.

In January we should finally see the domination drop below 55%, which will open a direct path to the altcoin season.

📥 Yes, there is a possibility that when Trump takes office but doesn't begin to fulfill his commitments, it will negatively impact the market.

BUT...I think in such a case, the negativity will only go towards bitcoin: people selling bitcoin and moving money into altcoins.

❕ In the meantime, we are further seeing localized razor-sharpness of players who are trading long and collecting lower liquidity. After the current accumulation, we are in for a strong pullback to the upside, especially in the alts sector 🔥

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🐸 How FOMO works

Friends, the worst thing that can happen to you, especially in a bull market is to succumb to fomo and start doing dimensionless things.

So I decided to write for you the stages of this phenomenon that buries a huge number of deposits.

📥 The initial stage

1. Participants take positions in key assets with high conviction.
2. Every few weeks a new meta emerges - a current trend, dominant strategy or asset.
3. The stampede begins.
4. Those who have prepared in advance and entered the new meta experience euphoria. Their strategies begin to generate returns. They actively increase their positions, feeling that their idea is fully vindicated.

🗿 The doubts of the rest of the participants
5. Participants with low conviction begin to feel insecure: "Are my positions bad? Are they doomed? Should I change everything?".
6. Such thoughts haunt you for days. Eventually you decide, "This coin is already missing, never mind," and leave it at that.

📈 Growth of new meta
7. A week goes by and the new metha participants continue to write about the new trend.
8. Interest grows, goals become more ambitious.
9. Gradually you become convinced that the new meta is really promising.
10. The risk seems to be decreasing and you decide to act.

📉 Trend Decline
11. the meta reaches its "risk curve" - the phase where participants who entered earlier start switching to new assets.
12. The leader (some token) of this meta loses its growth rate.
13. You switch to smaller assets hoping for high returns, but your conviction is low.

While profit is possible, you realize that the goals are so inflated that it is extremely difficult to realize them.

⚔️ Starting PVP
14. The meta becomes competitive: participants in favorable positions begin to actively capture profits.
15. Meta gradually fades, a new trend is formed.

🔄 Cycle repeats
16. Early adopters become prominent in the community, seem brilliant because of successful predictions.
17. You meanwhile remain in the previous meta, pondering whether to wait for interest to return or to rotate. You decide to wait, as the new meta seems too risky.
18. Days or weeks pass, the new meta gains popularity, the risk seems lower, and you decide to get into it again.

🔤 The main lessons learned are.
— Conviction is more important than anything else - develop a core hypothesis, convince yourself of its validity and stick to it.
— Patience is the key to success. If your hypothesis is correct, sooner or later you will be on trend.
— A plan is the basis for action. Don't give in to emotion and stay focused.
— Don't chase the crowd. Late entrants always contribute to inflated goals as they need to justify their decision.

Put 🔥 if you like this kind of post

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🪙 Whales continue to accumulate Bitcoin

Friends, once upon a time news about whales (big capitals) buying up Bitcoin used to cause a storm of emotions in the market. Today, it has become commonplace.

We are in a bull market.

💵 Based on onchain data, there is about $7 billion of capital flowing into the market every week. This is a clear sign of continued growth.

It is important to realize that the current situation is far from a bubble:
1️⃣ A bubble is formed when the price significantly exceeds the amount of incoming capital. This is clearly not the case now.
2️⃣ Corrections are possible, but even if Bitcoin falls by 30%, this pullback is likely to be short-lived, followed by growth that will compensate for the losses.

The chart above shows that the current values of the MVRV indicator (blue color) are far from the peak areas of the bubble (area 6-8, and now 1.8), as it was in the past cycles.

We clearly haven't reached the top yet.

The current Bitcoin cycle is far from a peak, and it is too early to talk about a bear market. If someone claims otherwise, perhaps they are just ignoring the onchain data.

❕There may be corrections, but the long-term outlook remains positive. Whales continue to accumulate assets and the market is rising 🔥

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🔹 Will 2025 Bring an ETH Pump?

Friends, hello everyone. ETH/BTC chart, ether purchases over the last 2 weeks, position set in the $3,330 area, flows into ETH ETFs, seasonality — all this lately has been signaling a possible start of funds overflow into Ethereum and its ecosystem.

1️⃣ ETH/BTC chart: we see the beginning of bottom formation and structure change on the weekly timeframe.

2️⃣ ETH buybacks for the last 2 weeks: if you noticed, lately on the downswings ether is bought back more strongly than btc every time.

3️⃣ Positions set in the $3,330 area: this level has already become like a magnet for the ETH price, where we have fallen to more than once, but each time we flew away from this zone on higher volumes, which signals a position set by a major participant.

4️⃣ Flows in ETH ETFs: judging by the flows in US spot crypto ETFs, a shift from BTC to ETH may have begun last week (inflows into ETH were recorded against outflows from BTC).

5️⃣ Seasonality: historically, the first quarter of the year is a bullish quarter for Ethereum. As a rule, ETH shows growth for 3 months in a row.

Overall, we see a few dry facts. In addition to these, there are a few other fundamentals that would contribute to our forecast, but it seems that the aforementioned are enough.

❕ Things look realistically good enough right now. We may be nearing the end of the correction and have a new wave of 1-2 months of gains ahead of us 🔥

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💸 What happens to the market in 2025

Friends, hello everyone. First of all I would like to wish you a happy new year. The only thing I want to wish you for 2025 is to believe in yourself.

🔤 Do what you truly enjoy, and then the long awaited Lifechenge will definitely come. As hackneyed as this phrase may sound, the simplest things are often the most effective when approached in the right way.

Now let's talk about the market ⬇️

Bitcoin domination started to move according to our plan and collapsed below 57% today.

🐸 Thanks to this correction, after being stagnant for quite some time, the altcoin sector finally came to life and showed a nice rebound.

This month, the dominance should fall below 56% and the alts will in turn begin an active recovery to its upper levels. We are now at the beginning of the violent growth of alts, our main task is to sit still, do not give in to emotions and do not take any unforeseen actions early.

❕ Have patience, things will be coming soon. However, only those who have patience will be rewarded. Passengers who want everything and at once, as always will be thrown out of the market by the usual manipulations 🔥

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📈 Two weeks until Trump's inauguration

Friends, 2025, as has become a tradition, has started off with a strong rise, with BTC making its way back to the $100k mark.

📊 There's more movement ahead, especially with Trump's inauguration coming up (January 20), which promises to be a catalyst for new discussions around the crypto.

The key moment is Trump's speech after accepting office.

The key question now is whether he will mention crypto again as «vividly» as he did in his campaign program. This could set the tone for the coming months, if not years.

At the same time, there is growing confidence among major market players that Trump's arrival will usher in a new era for the market.

🔎 This opinion is shared by those who look at the situation from a global perspective, rather than limiting themselves to the framework of «so long or short with 50 leverage?».

However, we should be prepared for volatility at the inauguration.

We may see the classic pattern «buy the rumor, sell the fact». But this is more of a local dynamic. Globally, we also have a number of other factors superimposed on the inauguration, including seasonal patterns and cycles.

— For example, take a look at the halving charts (see screenshot): since 2014, there has been a clear seasonal pattern that is triggered after the New Year. This only adds to the confidence in the long-term outlook.

❕ Everyone has already made their bets, and now we have to wait for the market's revelations. Our team is already back to work and we are ready to make maximum profit from this market 🔥

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