📊 The transfer of money between alts has begun

Friends, I think you have already noticed that over the last week memcoins have not shown themselves as strongly as they used to.

🔤 That being said, other sectors of alts have come to life and have started to show significant growth momentum. Fundamental coins that had been lying at the bottom for a long time finally got out of accumulation and started their uptrend.

The fact is, every sector of alts has its own time and its own cycle.

Nothing can shoot forever, so if you are holding coins in your portfolio that have been standing still for a long time, have patience.

❕ After some time, the trend will take your assets into the growth train (if they are adequate tokens, of course) 🔥

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🔹 A flurry of whale buying on ETH

Friends, today my team and I found out that major Ethereum (ETH) holders have bought a total of $1.1 billion over the last 3 days!

🔤 Whales have started to actively build up their positions as they expect to see continued growth. Now the price of the asset is around $3,700 and has been showing decent growth for the past few days.

It should be noted that at the current level there is no pressure from the sellers at all, we have only a strong buyback from the whales and the upward dynamics of the asset.

By the way, 92% of ETH holders are in profit — this is the highest figure since June!

An important point: only 8% of holders who are in a loss control only 2.5% of the total ETH supply. This suggests that even if a portion of these holders decide to sell, the potential pressure on the price will be limited.

❕ The combination of these factors can easily bring the price to a new historical maximum, which in principle should happen in the near future 🔥

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📉 Should we wait for a fall due to the gap

Friends, I noticed that some are now waiting for a correction in bitcoin all the way down to ~$77,000 to close the gap. I decided to give my opinion on this matter.

📑 Gap is a term in the technical analysis of the flow of quotes, which describes the situation of a significant difference between the closing price of the previous day and the opening price of the next.

To understand it, look at the chart.

However, I want to remind you that in the last bull cycle, two gaps were left uncovered and it took over 520 days to fill each gap.

❕ Therefore, waiting for a gap closure on a bull cycle is not a wise decision. Those who are waiting for a deepening pullback, you should think twice. I would consider a pullback to $85k at most.

What's your market sentiment right now?

🔥 - Long
🐳 - Short

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💸 Binance founder hints at alt-season

Friends, I'll tell you right away - most likely, the alt-season has already started.

📥 And it started according to the standard mechanics with old forgotten projects (dinosaurs), where among the holders in most cases are either the project itself and its market maker, or the holders who have been stuck since the 17th and 21st years.

For those who don't know: altcoin-season is the decreasing dominance of bitcoin and the increasing market capitalization of the best altcoins.

Pumping something where there is no crowd is always easier. Few people will make money from it, and most likely on fomo people will run to buy these same assets, only already at high prices. While liquidity will flow into other projects.

🔖 This is the phase when money flows quickly through the market. While you are analyzing some project and looking for an entry point to buy among the dinosaurs, L1 blockchains will start firing, and so on in a circle.

So don't try to «outplay» the market. Liquidity moves very quickly through the market in such phases, and while you have time to think - the market has already done.

❕ Just sit in your assets and wait for the pumps, and then don't forget to fix the profit in installments 🐳

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🔹 Alta is gaining momentum

Friends, small bitcoin holders, who hold between 1 and 10 BTC, are already starting to take profits and pour liquidity into various altcoins.

💸 This is another factor that points us to a further correction in bitcoin dominance and a massive revitalization of the alt sector, which is starting to come into play a little bit at a time.

Just keep in mind — this does not mean that bitcoin will no longer grow and all growth will be directed exclusively to alts.

❕ This information basically tells us that we should bet more on altcoins than on bitcoin, as this sector is now starting to receive a huge amount of fresh liquidity, which will have a very positive impact on the price of assets 🔥

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🐋 Whales are buying more SOL

Friends, first of all congratulations to everyone on the $100,000 mark in BTC. This is a huge infodump not only for the crypto market, but also for the average retailer (regular people).

But let's get to the main topic of the post ⬇️

💸 We came across 4 whale addresses yesterday that were purchased by Solana today for a total of $42.3 million.

As we are already well aware, such sharp and large purchases by whales often occur just before the start of significant upside momentum.

Taking into account the current whale buys, the news background of the project (related to the approval of SOL ETF), as well as trading near a strong resistance zone, all this together tells us about the further growth of the asset and the exit to $270+.

❕ Therefore, be prepared that from the marked trading range we will soon get another wave of growth, but not a fact. Not a financial recommendation 🔥

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🩸 FOMO and gambling will ruin 95% of the market

Friends, there is no one-size-fits-all formula in crypto. Volatile charts, narratives and trends are just part of the game.

But if you want to not just participate in it, but win it, you should realize: the most important battle takes place inside you — no matter how pathetic it sounds.

Ego, greed, FOMO — these are the demons you have to fight, especially during the bullpen.

🔤 All of us have encountered FOMO at least once. You see someone capitalizing on yet another memcoin and you immediately start looking for something similar to buy.

And often you don't even realize what you're buying, but just bask in the thought that everyone else is going in the same direction.

And this applies not only to memcoins. Most people have piles of alts in their portfolios, and they have no idea what these projects are doing.

💬 «Ooo, the chat says APT is cool - I'm buying it.»

Yes, there's always a chance you'll fall on a trend and make money, but it's important to understand the mechanics of why this particular project might fly and what price you plan to hold it to.

Otherwise, you will either just buy at a high price, getting on the fomo following the crowd, or in anticipation of more growth you will not fix the position and will end up in a drawdown.

💸 Greed: on the way to disaster

Greed in crypto is probably the most dangerous emotion. Especially during the bull run, when it seems like you can buy everything and the price is only going up. Few people think: when is it time to stop?

On the charts of the bull market there are rarely clear signals when to exit. And then comes the moment when you decide: «I'll wait a little longer, in case there will be more growth».

Greed makes you forget the risks. When you are at the top, always remember: the market is cyclical.

📤 When you feel your emotions start to overwhelm you — stop. Yes, it's difficult at times, but the reality of crypto will often not correlate with your desires. Sobriety is your best ally.

For most of you, all of the above will sound as banal and simple — you will not take them seriously until you experience them for yourself.

❕ If this is your first bull cycle, we highly recommend rereading this post time after time. Remember: 95% of people in the market lose, which means the remaining 5% have something different...

Put 🔥 if you have read to the end and understood the main point for yourself

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💸 Whale buying reaches new heights

Friends, was looking at stats today and noticed that large bitcoin holders who hold between 10 and 1,000 coins continue to actively dock at current values.

🔤 In the last 24 hours alone, they have bought a total of ~$2.1 billion!

Buybacks are now very serious... this should lead to another rapid growth impulses and renewal of a new high.

❕ The big players, are tightly preparing to reach higher values. However, keep in mind that the desired growth impulses may follow after good local pullbacks. Take this factor into account 🔥

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🐸 How memecoins are crowding out «complex» projects

Friends, bitcoin has been rapidly gaining ground in recent days, leading to an even bigger boom in the memecoin sector (e.g. PEPE upgraded ATH), but not alts. Seems odd, but it's not that simple.

🔤 It is you and me who have become the engine of progress. And progress itself is moving in the direction that investors are less and less eager for complex technology, preferring simplicity and “fun”.

More and more “hamsters” are entering the market not only because of Bitcoin's growth, but also because projects like Notcoin, Hamster Combat and others have gone far beyond the Web3 audience.

In addition, the projects themselves are not against the inflow of funds by popularizing memecoins. PumpFun on Solana, which has already earned more than $350 million in commissions.

📥 It's also worth adding that there is a gambling component here. After all, we all see tens of thousands of percent profit on memes and ask ourselves: «well, I could have bought it too, right?». After which we go in search of a lifechanger.

However, many people do not take into account that tens of thousands of new memecoins are created daily on the same Solana, and not all of them see the future.

For example, in November, 50% of traders on PumpFun lost their investment, and only 14% were able to earn more than $100.

But despite this, all of the above factors have allowed memecoins to easily displace fundamental projects.

💸 On top of that, memes beat fundamentals in terms of «trust in the token».

When listing with most memes, all tokens in the offering are immediately released into the market, meaning that there is no potential pressure on the stack from funds, thereby reducing the likelihood of sharp spills.

❕ The fact that the meme trend is not going to stop is undeniable. Whether there will be a break in the trend, whether liquidity will go to fundamental altcoins - time will tell 🔥

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😐 The next contender for growth from memecoins

Friends, no matter how good or bad I feel about memecoins, the fact that it is one of the major trends in the crypto market is undeniable.

🔤 You probably all know about PEPE, WIF, DOGE and so on — these are the biggest memecoins that get the most attention. But today I want to tell you about another token. It was released only today, but the excitement around it is also great.

By the way, a few days ago I recommended to one of my subscribers to buy PEPE in private messages and in a few days the token updated its historical high.

The token I will tell you about is CULT (not an advertisement)

💸 Let me start by saying that the NFT trend continues to return to its former interests in the world of crypto, and attract more and more new users. And those who follow the NFT markets know about a collection like Milady.

This is one of the most valuable and iconic NFT collections, whose holders are very large wallets (whales).

Each of the holdings in this collection have already totaled about ~$40,000 in rewards, and the NFT itself is now worth 5.4 ETH ($20,500).

🪂 So today this collection has released its CULT token, where holders have received about $20,000 in this token, and I am more than sure that this is not the last drop for this NFT.

I think there is a lot of interest in this collection, which means there is also interest in their token. It is currently trading at 0.0069 (FDV ~$700 million).

❕ I think buying it between 400-600 million at FDV is a good idea under a medium-high risk investment. Keep in mind, it is only traded on DEX exchanges. Not a financial recommendation, just my opinion 🐳

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💸 The reason for the local correction

Friends, tonight the altcoin market reacted with a pretty good correction, this was due to a sharp rebound in bitcoin dominance, which rose by ~3%.

🔤 It would seem that the market is globally standing still, but altcoins are showing pretty significant correction impulses, why is that?

I want to tell you that this is a normal pullback, which always happens after a decent growth.

Many beginners, who have just entered the market, still think that if an asset is “promising”, it should move upwards without any correction.

🔖 However, this is not true at all. Even in a bull market, good growth impulses are always followed by a pullback. Otherwise, too many people would make money on the growth, which is not favorable for the market itself.

Therefore, do not take this correction in a negative way. It is a necessary pullback, after which we will see further growth and breaking through higher values.

❕ Don't worry, the growth is just beginning, local pullbacks (like now) happen on purpose to disembark «passengers» and weak market hands. We continue to believe and wait...🔥

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💸 Is everything going according to script?

Friends, thought I'd show you a certain pattern. I will say right away that not all patterns show themselves exactly the same as before, but still — it shows potential price behavior.

1️⃣ Altseason 2020:
• Key level breakout.
• Up 45%, then a 30% correction in December.
• After the correction, the start of a powerful altseason.

2️⃣ Altseason 2024:
• Key level breakout.
• Up 45%, now a correction.
• 👀

❕ I won't stop repeating: 95% of people in the market lose, which means that the remaining 5% have something different...(equanimity, strategy and faith) 🔥

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💬 Don't jump to stupid conclusions....

Friends, I see that many people already have serious doubts about the further growth of the altcoin sector.

📑 Some think that another correction is about to start, which will send your altcoins down another -30-50%. Friends, you should not be so hasty with conclusions.

We got just an ordinary correction, which absolutely always happens after good growth impulses!

The trend is upward, the payoffs at the current level are very good, we are just at the beginning of altcoin growth. All the most interesting things are still to come.

📥 Now we are going through the very period after which a large percentage of investors (weak hands) are eliminated.

You should not fall for these manipulations and try to catch further market decline.

❕ You will remember my words and regret it later. Calmly hold your coins and do not do anything stupid 🐳

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🪙 SOL again and whale shopping again

Friends, today whale purse was bought by Solana for $15.3 mln.

🔤 I know that many people are waiting for further growth from this asset, but now we are seeing a sideways movement, which throws off all local passengers.

These people are called «paper hands» who want everything at once.

While hamsters are dumping their assets — whales are starting to slowly prepare their portfolios for further growth impulses and are actively building up their positions.

❕ Based on this, one should have exclusively upward expectations for this asset. To be more precise, we should wait for the asset to reach $280+. This desired impulse should happen soon, you just have patience 🔥

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🔹 Ethereum is on its way to $20,000

A week ago, the price of ETH surpassed the $4,000 per coin mark for the first time since March. Further, it is clearly targeting the November 2021 ATH update.

DeFi sector grows and Ethereum overtakes Bitcoin - what's going on?

💸 Investors are «on the plus side»

In the last week of November, Ethereum rose 5% — the best result among the top 5 cryptocurrencies.

When the price exceeded the $3,550 level, investors in spot ETH-ETFs finally went «into profit» — these are the levels seen at the beginning of trading in exchange-traded funds on July 23, 2024

From November 22 to 27, net inflows into ETH-based ETFs totaled $225 million, which is $190 million more than inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.

📑 Exchange-traded funds as a paradigm shift

Since the launch of spot ETFs on Bitcoin and Ethereum, the crypto market has changed: whales from the traditional sector are willing to invest in these exchange-traded funds, but no more.

If earlier capitals from BTC went into Ethereum, Solana and other alta, then from ETFs on BTC and ETH they will flow into «non-crypto»: stock market, currencies, real estate.

The influx of money into ETH-ETFs is clearly due to bitcoin's local overbought: it has already updated ATH, while ETH has not yet.

📈 Expert Predictions: towards $20,000

Trailers who trade by technical analysis have already seen a bunch of patterns that signal further mega-growth of ETH in the next six months.

«Cup and Handle», «Ishimoku Golden Cross», and other patterns on weekly charts show growth towards levels above $6,000 and all the way up to $7,200.

❕ Will it come true or not - I think so. On the one hand, the fundamental background disposes to growth. On the other hand, technical analysis on charts without half a century of history can be significantly wrong 🐳

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🐳 Whale buys ACT — are we buying it?

Friends, today with the team discovered that one whale address has purchased $2.4 million worth of ACT coin.

🔤 The asset itself is an artificial intelligence related memecoin. It includes two sectors that are performing very well in the current market.

The coin is now in an active accumulation phase after its rapid growth. However, given this payoff, we realize that the big players want to pull the asset's exchange rate to higher values.

Therefore, from the marked trading range, one should be ready to get a continuation of growth and reach a new high.

❕ Yes, such a trade can be categorized as risky, but I like the fact that this asset touches the most active sectors, so I am willing to accept such a risk. Not a financial recommendation 🔥

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😐 What's going on with the dominance?

Friends, over the last few days, bitcoin dominance has reacted with a sharp rise of 6% and is now around 57%. Because of this jump, the bulk of the alts reacted with a pretty decent correction or stopping in one place.

🔤 The point is that there were too many altcoin long positions accumulated at the moment, which were strongly asking to be taken out. Since it is simply not favorable for the market to head in the direction everyone expects it to go.

Bitcoin is now in the opposite situation, the bulk of the market is waiting for a correction rather than growth.

Many people have already felt the prospect of growth of alts and thought that they are “on a train that will not go backwards” - it turned out not so.

— As always, the market is throwing off local passengers, who fly in at random values and wait for an instant profit. It is not for nothing that I always tell you to be ready for good local pullbacks! Here is a good example of that.

❕ On domination, I expect the following: from the highlighted level, I expect to see a continuation of correction and a further move below 54%. Simultaneously, strong bounces on the alts 🔥

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🐸 The market will not be the same

Friends, yesterday I came across some interesting thoughts on Twitter of one of the founders of a crypto project. I decided to share them with you.

🔤 Let's start with the fact that the psychology of cryptocurrency market participants has changed dramatically in this cycle.

In previous cycles, participants mostly had a HODL mentality and bought on the downside.

In this cycle, participants are mostly adhering to a short-term trading mentality and are constantly looking to lock in profits, despite the fact that few succeed in doing so in the long run. I believe the main conduit for this has been memecoins.

📤 The reality is that markets are very difficult to predict, and the fact that so many people believe they can call a “top” on cryptocurrency now leads me to believe that cryptocurrency is in for a much longer-than-expected uptrend this time around.

Yes, there will be intra-month volatility, but pullbacks will likely be in a “buy the dip” scenario for much longer than everyone expects.

❕ The real top for cryptocurrencies will be marked when the short-term mentality ceases to be the dominant form of thinking in this cycle and many short-term traders return to long-term trades!

Put 🔥 if you understand the main point

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💸 The growth of your assets depends on it

Dear friends, narrative is a key trigger for moving liquidity. And liquidity, in turn, determines how much your assets in your portfolio will grow.

If you learn how to track the movement of funds in the market - it will become a powerful tool in your arsenal.

🔤 Let's start with the basics - what is liquidity?

Liquidity is money that “moves” between assets / sectors. If a certain sector starts gaining popularity (e.g. memes) and its assets are growing dynamically, it means that liquidity is flowing into it.

The current situation with BTC.D. illustrates the movement of liquidity.

💰 Correlation of BTC.D and altcoins

Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is the percentage of BTC's market capitalization relative to the total capitalization of all cryptocurrencies. It helps determine how much market share BTC has compared to other cryptocurrencies.

We can often see that when BTC dominance increases, alts fall or stand still. And when the dominance decreases, alts start their rise.

I recommend you to save this picture. It will help to visualize the impact of dominance volatility.

📈 A similar example of liquidity spillover

Let's consider the situation with two altcoins - SUI and APT. After all, liquidity spillovers occur not only between bitcoin and altcoins, but also within altcoins.

• If you look closely at the chart of APT, you will notice that it shows a similar trajectory to SUI.

For example, last winter, when SUI experienced a sharp rise, APT soon repeated its dynamics. Now we may witness a similar situation. Same sector, similar narrative, similar funds and essentially two competitors.

❕ There are many similar cases, many alts are practicing similar formations. What we need to understand is where liquidity will flow next ❤️

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📉 All crypto is falling into the abyss

Friends, the market is falling and frankly speaking, so sharp correction I did not expect.

🔤 The main impetus of all this was set by the head of the Fed - Powell, who answered the question about bitcoin reserve. He said that the Fed has no right to own bitcoin.

After these words in an hour was liquidated traders more than $280 million. And just 3 days later that number went to $1 billion.

🐸 What's my plan now?

I'll wait until the stock market closes today. Then I will watch, but I haven't bought anything additional yet.

Perhaps we have entered a more protracted correction cycle, where bitcoin will fall very slowly or go sideways, and altcoins will update their local ATL once every 3-4 days, where each time it will seem: well, this is it, this is the time of buyback, and prices will continue to fall.

❕ In such a situation it is wrong to buy red candles. Here you need to wait: either for the final volumes to be released with the price accelerating downward and a large number of liquidations, or wait for a change in the structure on higher timeframes. Therefore, haste can be a mistake 🐳

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