💰 What can affect the growth of BTC in the near future?

Friends, decided to discuss one pressing topic today. Perhaps many people have already forgotten about it, but a couple of years ago the collapse of this exchange attracted a lot of attention.

📑 We will talk about FTX and payments from the exchange for ordinary users (easy and forgotten money that will go straight into the market?) There is good news - the court approved the plan of bankruptcy of the exchange and payment of $16 billion to users.

What does this mean?

It means that regular people who previously held crypto on FTX will be handed out $16bn worth of “helicopter” money. It's highly likely that most people will take it back to crypto (alt season soon?).

💸 When will the payouts be?
• Payouts less than $50,000 - Q4 2024
• Payouts greater than $50,000 - Q1-2Q 2025

The end of 2024 and the beginning of 2025 may be quite interesting for the market. There's also a bitcoin movie from HBO that has already warmed up quite a bit and it's getting special attention. I think there will be a lot of positivity there.

❕ We are preparing for an active phase of the market. Probably waiting for a repeat of last winter. Who is not yet in the market (full-fledged with a set of knowledge in all directions) - think and develop faster 🐳

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🐹 How clickers differ from other types of earnings?

Friends, hello everyone. I decided today to make an analogy between clickers and other types of market activities for earning. I think you've heard about popular clicker games - Hamster Kombat, Blum, etc.

📑 Now clickers are modifying and looking more and more like the era of P2E games, or maybe even the general logic of airdrops and whatever was on the market before.

At first all activities tend to be free and give out money to almost everyone, then comes the era of Ponce strategies (as in the example with p2e). From there, activities are modified and require new criteria for rewards.

💸 At the beginning, for example, NOT also gave out nagards to everyone and the amounts were really good, now in many mini apps you have to buy something, donate something, to get at least a basic drop. At times we even see “hamster razor”, as was the case with retrodrops.

Is it worth it to keep farming points in clickers?

After the release of Hamster Kombat - people are disappointed and a significant portion have dropped out. Many didn't even take the time to withdraw their pennies from the game. Everyone expected big rewards, but the “player razor” was predictable.

The next tapper that is being bet on in a big way is Blum. It will be very interesting to wait for their result, because in addition to the support of Binance (most likely, the listing will also be there), Binance Labs invested in the project.

❕These are just my thoughts. I am not calling anyone to anything 🔥

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🐳 Even whales are giving up

Friends, hello everyone. Yesterday one of the main whales from Hyperliquid platform closed his long position with a loss of $15 million. But today the price has already returned to the right values.

Imagine the emotions of this trader, when he saw that the price has returned to the reverse values and BTC stopped falling, and he recorded a loss of $15 mln.

🔎 What can this tell us? Panic is present in everyone. No matter what your deposit size is, millions or $100, everyone panics.

People are always guided by the same emotions. Therefore, understand that everyone can make money on the market. What I said earlier - flexibility is important. Because there is no sense to poke where there is no earnings that you would like to see.

📑 You need to look in the direction where the main part of players are now, you need to look in the direction where the volumes are now and where you can make money.

Especially, I'll repeat that memcoins and degen activities are the ones to look at right now, especially if you have a small deposit.

If something doesn't work out or you go into a loss, you have to accept it. From the story with a loss of 15 million we can conclude that anything can happen.

❕ The main thing is not to hang your nose and be flexible, look where there is activity and try again 🔥

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😤 ARKM allows you to earn

Friends, earlier I made a post for you about the fact that a large market maker buys this token. The effect has already appeared.

Since the moment of the post, the token at the peak has given an increase of +17.8% ✅

❕ If you bought for speculation, I advise you to sell part of it or completely close the deal🔥

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📈 Fix all profits on SUI

Friends, it's time to take profits on SUI. I have already made two posts about this token and said that I am waiting for growth. If you missed it, read here and here.

Since the moment of my post SUI gave +120% ✅

💡I decided to lock in the whole position. I think we may see a downward correction soon. Not financial advice!

Participated in the deal?

🔥 - Yes
🐳 - No

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💰 Is it a start? Hold tight to your altcoins.

Friends, hello everyone. Bitcoin hit $68k in the moment today. It tried to make a fourth approach to the global trendline. Buyers' chances of success are growing, as the probability of the price leaving the six-month range increases with each attempt.

🔤 The market's confidence is added by the fact that on the weekly timeframe we see a real price deceleration and attempts to change the descending structure, which lasted since April.

Now it is important to consolidate above the $65k mark and, of course, break ALL TIME HIGH of the previous attempt.

Next, two control zones that I would like to point out, after breaking which we may see price acceleration are $68k and $70k.

The first zone is the trendline and the second zone is the top of the previous high (ATH).

🔖 In addition, BlackRock is trying to add positivity again. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink spoke out about cryptocurrencies in a third quarter report. He wrote that it doesn't matter who wins the U.S. election: adoption of digital assets will grow.

He also compared cryptocurrencies to the birth of the mortgage market - things developed slowly at first, but acceptance gradually grew.

❔ Do we believe in the beginning of a bullish trend in the winter?

🔥 - Yes
🐳 - No

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💸 Whale buys more LINK

I propose to continue the column «Smart Whale Purchases» today. A large investor who holds LINK for over $6 million bought another $900,000 worth of this coin yesterday.

Even with his average buy point below $10, he continues to build his position at current values.

📒 I think he is well aware of the momentum to be gained soon, so he is quietly doping even at higher levels.

The technical condition of the asset, as well as other external factors indicate the continuation of the uptrend.

❕ Buying at this level is strong and more than enough for the rate to finally bounce to its upper limits.

Put🔥 if you are interested in this post.

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💰 Important moment for BTC

After consolidating at the 65k level, there is a much more optimistic expectation in the market. This can be seen not only in the mood of traders but also in the activity indicators of both retail and institutional investors ⬇️

— We see ETF buying increasing over the last few days.
— On futures, open interest is at maximums (which means more volatility is coming our way soon).
— All options indicators are growing (funds are active).

🔤 On the chart we hit resistance at the 68k level. The longer the price stands still, the less chance of an upside breakout. Now it is worth realizing that we are almost at one of the most important points in the last six months.

The further trend for the next few months may be decided here. The market needs positive news, triggers and an injection of additional liquidity (money). If the price can get above the 70k level, the market may get euphoric.

But you should realize that if buyers do not find the strength to rise soon, today's positivity may have the opposite effect, namely sharp and sudden corrections (falls).

❕ Participants who are now accumulating BTC in anticipation of growth will sell their positions, and some will receive liquidations.🔥

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📈 FBI gets involved in crypto

Friends, I don't know if you noticed, but in recent weeks the FBI has been mentioned very often in the context of crypto.

It all started with the arrest of a market maker — Gotbit, and it was also later revealed that Jump Trading (the largest MM in crypto) was also accused of a “Pump and Dump” scheme.

🔤 The FBI even found and arrested a hacker who hacked into the SEC's Twitter account a year ago and wrote that the BTC ETF had already been accepted. Back then bitcoin soared above 30k and then it turned out to be a fake.

Now the other day the Radiant Capital project was hacked where $50 million was stolen. And guess what? The FBI is at it again. Only now in the role of «Robin Hood», because they are not threatening anyone in crypto, but are already trying to help track down and freeze the stolen assets.

🐸 See how good they are? But I wouldn't be surprised if the FBI themselves started this hack to come to the rescue and get their money back.

*P.S. To catch the aforementioned Gotbit company, they specifically created a token and came to them with cooperation to get real evidence.

❕ Probably their goal is to show the whole crypto community how much fraud there is here, and how they can be useful for crypto projects if you work with them. Smells like regulation, no? They are trying not to force, but to show by example that we need them.

Do you believe in regulation, where both crypto-enthusiasts and the government will win?

🔥 - Yes
🐳 - No

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🏆 Did you think it would be easy?

Friends, if everything were so obvious and easy in this market, everyone would earn money! And such a scenario is not favorable for the market and those who manage it!

📤 In every crypto cycle, before the beginning of rapid growth, we have seen a severe «destruction» of the bulk of people and also certain movements that dissuade people from believing in further growth.

This year we are seeing the same process, everyone is already planted in the market with their personal money. The thoughts «that now we will go even lower, as the correction is not over yet and everything will be different in this cycle» begin to appear

But as practice shows, it is in such periods that the very reversal takes place.

❕ The last 100 meters to the finish line are the hardest, but when you cross it, you realize that everything you went through to achieve this goal was worth it. The only problem is that few people make it to the finish line 🔥

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🪤 Trapped the longists in a trap

Friends, a small rise lured many traders into longs, as they thought it was the final impulse to $70.000.

📊 However, breakouts of important levels always happen at the most unexpected moments, often after significant moves in the opposite direction from massive expectations, this was not the case yesterday.

At the $69.400 mark, long positions dominated significantly.

In this case, the coin's rate cannot be dragged higher, as it is simply not favorable for the market itself (whales and smart wallets).

— This is the reason why we saw such a pullback - to reduce the mass expectations for growth, and also for traders to focus more on the correction than on ход the upcoming growth.

❕ At the moment I admit to see a correction up to $66,000 followed by a reversal upward5 and a final break of the $70,000 level 🔥

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↗️ The market misconception

Friends, now we are seeing the very picture I was telling you about.

📑 Due to the sharp and rather strong shedding, the market expectations of the bulk of people are starting to change. People are being made to think that the correction is still not over and it will continue.

Fear in the market jumped up again and followed by a large number of new short positions

What to do with all these positions? Let the bulk of people make money on banal fear? — No.

❕ Now we are waiting for a good upward growth. We have reached the edge of our trading range, from where I think we will see sideways trading to create uncertainty with further upward exit 🔥

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💎 What is happening with Aptos

Friends, earlier I gave a signal for a trade on APT. If you missed it, read here.

I gave a forecast for growth of +22% — it happened ✅

But I did not fix the position. I continue to hold this token.

❕ If you set take-profit and your position closed plus, but you want to buy more, it is better to wait for the fall to 8$ and buy.

Participated in the deal?

🐳 - Yes
🔥 - No

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🔹 Why does ETH feel weaker than BTC?

Friends, if you compare the charts of the two major crypto assets (BTC and ETH), you will notice that ETH feels weaker. Now I will explain why, but I will do it in the context of Solana.

The SOL to ETH chart is breaking through all-time highs. ETH relative to BTC has fallen to its lowest level since April 2021. What is happening to Ethereum and where is this panic coming from?

📑 The reason is simple: inflated expectations. Everyone was expecting the DeFi sector and staking protocols to drive the growth of the ecosystem and Ethereum ETFs to attract more investors. There were also a lot of expectations about Ethereum deflation.

— But what are we seeing?

There is money in DeFi, but it's not mobile at all, so it's not useful for the Ethereum network. Everyone was waiting for DeFi-summer? And it's gone again. As a result, we got only mem-summer, but even here Ethereum got nothing, because 90% of memcoins work on Solana....

Holders of ETH see SOL making new highs every week, of course they start to panic. Why am I holding my portfolio with ETH when even BTC is yielding more. This further reinforces the negative sentiment.

❕ There is a good point in this — attractive points to buy relative to other assets. If you, for example, have a lot of SOL or other assets in your portfolio that are stronger than ETH right now, this is a good opportunity to partially move money into ETH 🔥

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💰 Domination is still choking

Friends, hello everyone. Bitcoin dominance continues to grow further and has already reached a new local peak of 59.7%!

*Just in case I clarify: Bitcoin dominance is the ratio between bitcoin's market capitalization and the total capitalization of the entire cryptocurrency market.

📑 For this reason, the bulk of the alts are just standing still or gently falling down.

There is very little live liquidity in altcoins right now. The big players still prefer to trade Bitcoin than other assets. This is all temporary of course, but the fact is that altcoins are extremely weak now.

— If you consider any long positions, it should be done only on trending alts, which I sometimes inform you about and give signals.

❕ I don't put a lot of meaning in this post, I just want to remind you once again — if you are an inexperienced person on the crypto market, then act very carefully, because it is you that a big player is planning to make money on. Do not let yourself be deceived and at least listen to the advice of more experienced guys 🔥

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💰 Bitcoin is rising again | when will altcoins fly?

Friends, hello everyone. Earlier I made a post in which I drew a scenario on BTC. Everything worked out perfectly. We saw a reversal from a key level.

But now the more important question is: When will altcoins start to recover?

🔤 Before the final reversal of altcoins, we are witnessing one of the toughest phases in the market: Minimal volatility in altcoins, a strong correction behind us, and no significant buybacks.

In all of these ways, the market is creating the perception that the coins you've gained will never grow.

— The dominance reaches new peaks with each passing day, causing the bulk of the coins to simply not be able to exist properly. But growth as well as correction cannot be endless - everything has an end.

❕ Following the historical indicators, the current news background and analysis of all available factors, bitcoin dominance should soon go to correction, so I do not expect BTC growth to continue. The time of altcoins is coming soon 🐳

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💰 A global step towards recognition

Friends, Bitcoin turns 16 years old on October 31. While the identity of the creator is still a mystery - BTC itself has become an iconic asset with trillions of US dollars swirling around in its ecosystem.

In the past, big investors used a 60/40 strategy, investing 60% in stocks and 40% in bonds. But things have changed since 2020, when MicroStrategy started investing heavily in Bitcoin.

🪙 What is an ETF?

A spot BTC-ETF allows you to buy stocks that track the price of Bitcoin without having to buy the coins themselves.

It took more than 10 years to create such an ETF. Since 2013, the SEC regulator rejected applications to launch it due to concerns about manipulation.

But in 2021, the regulator gave the green light to several Bitcoin futures ETFs, setting a precedent.

📤 What's the real effect on the crypto industry?

Early criticism of Bitcoin was not unfounded. However, it has shown resilience over time - hedge funds and even national governments now believe in it.

— In the first seven months, inflows into the BTC-ETF outpaced the gold ETF launched in 2005 by several times.

Bitcoin is the most popular ETF asset class in history. And the U.S. is last year's leader in crypto transaction volume.

🏆 What's next?

In July 2024, the SEC approved the first spot ETFs on Ethereum. Next in line is waiting for Solana, but not until next year.

Many people invested in BTC with the expectation that after the halving in April 2024, the price will rise to at least $100k. People's faith still continues.

❕ Both US presidential candidates declare their intention to develop the crypto sector, the Central Bank is testing digital currencies, BTC is outperforming other “traditional assets” by many indicators - there are clearly reasons to expect a new growth spurt 🔥

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