Friends, the former head of Binance - Changpeng Zhao was tried and sentenced today.
• The U.S. Attorney's Office initially accused Binance of omitting 100,000 suspicious transactions, including transfers to various terrorist groups.
• In November 2023, Zhao pleaded guilty. He agreed to pay a $50 million fine and voluntarily traveled from the UAE to the US for the court hearing.
• After arriving in the states, he was barred from traveling, had his passport confiscated and was left under house arrest with bail set at $175 million until the final judgment.
Today was the final hearing, CZ was sentenced to 4 months in prison.
Globally, no. But locally, it gives us even better buying points.
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Friends, amidst a lot of negative news (CZ jailed, BTC-ETF launch in Hong Kong failed) BTC fell below $57,000. Did you notice the panic in the market? - Yes, people are scared.
Altcoins are more resilient compared to BTC.
The alt-market continues to stay above the local lows, while Bitcoin has long since updated them and gone much lower. We see: a strong position of ETH and altcoin, which is holding up quite well, and a dominance, which is falling.
One conclusion is that we are now seeing a shift of funds from BTC to alt-markets/ETH. Perhaps the whales are doing a rebalancing of their positions by buying back at cheap prices and gaining alts in their bags. Time will tell.
🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No
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Friends, hello everyone. I decided to make a small post for you to think about. Today we will talk about one of my favorite shit tokens on the Aptos blockchain - GUI.
Not an advertisement.
I'm not encouraging anyone to buy this token, but just take a look at the chart. The graph of GUI and Aptos are extremely similar. Which means that there is a high probability that when APT starts to grow, GUI will show growth following it.
You can find more such tokens in my TREYSI CLUB. Anyone who wants to develop in crypto under my personal supervision is welcome.
• By the way, I noticed that many guys in my community already have a portfolio and now they are ready to take some risks. That's why I decided to launch a column soon - "Trading on meme coins".
We all know that meme coins can fetch hundreds of X's. That's why we will try to find such tokens with my team.
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Friends, in the last few days we have been actively testing our new direction - trading on shit coins.
Today we participated in the release of $pupcat token. We made a purchase immediately after the token was released on the market, expecting an instant manipulation.
• That's exactly what happened. A few minutes after the listing, the token started to grow very quickly. The growth amounted to +2630%.
And this is a very steep result. I think after the launch of this direction in our community, a lot of guys really liked it. The launch is coming soon...
I want to know your interest.
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Friends, hello everyone. I decided to give a deal on meme coin a little later. Because I propose today to consider another interesting token to the portfolio.
Let's consider the project Celestia (TIA). (not an advertisement).
But that's information we're not particularly interested in. Just know that this is one of the top projects that is very likely to show growth in a bull market.
In the near future, I expect a flat on BTC and a decrease in the dominance. Therefore, now we see a number of factors in the direction of finding local long trades. One of them is TIA.
Do you have TIA in your portfolio?
🔥 — Yes
🐳 — No, but now I plan to buy it
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Friends, hello everyone. Today is Monday, so I decided to do a market review for you to keep you updated.
By the way, my last prediction came true. I wrote about it here.
But personally, I am still waiting for a return to the resistance level. Statistically, 60-70% of market players are in the market now (fully with BTC and alts).
• This means that the crowd is already waiting for growth on BTC. But, as a rule - the crowd is wrong.
This does not cancel the fact that the price of most altcoins is quite favorable. We are not afraid of further drawdown.
📍 The main thing is to keep calm 🔥
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Friends, hello to all. Today I read a new essay by Arthur Hayes and realized that our thoughts are very similar. What is the main thought
🔖 Given the decline in QT policy, rising unemployment, and hints from Powell (Fed head) that no one will raise rates this year, so we can conclude that the Fed is taking the first steps toward resuming money printing (the machine is starting up).
And we all know that the beginning of printing of dollars is a big plus for risk assets, which start to grow from the fleeting money. Against this backdrop, a bull market often ensues. People actively go to buy cryptocurrency.
Historically, this phase lasts a little over a year (~385 days), but with the potential acceleration of the cycle happening right now, that number could be halved.
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Friends, I decided today that you and I would explore the topic of meme and shit coins a little bit. In this post, I mentioned it in passing.
Let me start with the basic concepts:
Meme coins are tokens based on internet culture that don't always have fundamental values or a clear purpose. (e.g. SHIBA, DOGE, PEPE).
Shitcoins are crypto with low capitalization and limited utility.
Shitcoins are characterized by their low-value technology and are mostly projects of questionable reputation.
1. Lack of utility and functionality
2. aggressive marketing
3. High volatility
4. Longevity
The most popular networks for creating shit coins are:
• Ethereum (popularity 10/10)
• Solana (10/10 popularity)
• Base (popularity 9/10)
These are the ones we will be working in. And our main weapon will be sniping.
🚀 Sniping is an attempt of preliminary (frontrunner) purchase of some coin. For example, I have a contract of a coin that has not yet been released to open trade. I naturally want to buy it first at the lowest price.
But my counterparty does not know the contract of this coin. He's sitting in X waiting for the announcement when I already have everything. By making a frontrunner I can use a bot to automatically buy the coin.
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Friends, hello everyone. I see your strong interest in meme coins, so let's understand more about the field of sniping. Let's go!
For example, I have a contract of a coin that has not yet been released to open trade. I naturally want to buy it first at the lowest price.
But my counterparty does not know the contract of this coin. He's sitting in X waiting for the announcement when I already have everything. By making a frontrunner I can use a bot to automatically buy the coin.
In this way snipers enter the first blocks of the blockchain and make a large number of X's to investments in a matter of seconds.
All the snipers work is done through the bot. There are specific bots for each blockchain. Personally, we are trading on the Solana blockchain right now.
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Friends, hello everyone. Today I decided to get to know you a little bit more. Below I will make a few tests. I will be very grateful if you answer them honestly.
I want to get to know you a little bit more. ⬇️
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1. What Motivates You to Support Early-Stage Startups?
Anonymous Poll
82%
Seeking high return on investment
22%
Passion for innovation and new technologies
5%
Desire to contribute to the startup ecosystem
9%
Personal interest in a specific sector or industry
6%
Opportunity to mentor and guide new entrepreneurs
2. Do you Lead Rounds, fill-out rounds/co-invest, or both?
Anonymous Poll
15%
I typically lead investment rounds and set the terms
16%
I prefer to fill out rounds and follow the lead of other investors
33%
I am open to both leading rounds and co-investing, depending on the situation
45%
My role varies based on the specific opportunity and my relationship with the startup
3. What is the Investment Decision-Making Process?
Anonymous Poll
17%
Our investment committee meets bi-weekly to review and vote on potential deals
16%
I make decisions based on due diligence reports and one-on-one meetings with the team
22%
We have a multi-stage process that includes initial screening and deep-dive analysis
24%
Investment decisions are typically made within 4-6 weeks, following a thorough review
47%
The process is fluid, depending on the deal size and urgency
Friends, hello everyone. Today is Monday, so I suggest today to look at the market overview, and in particular the chart of ETH. There are some interesting points on it.
BUT - regardless of whether a false breakout occurs or not, I will still work the sloping line.
The chart shows everything in more detail.
I don't see any sense in analyzing the correlation between ETH and BTC. As you know, ETH is one of my favorite assets, so I follow it closely and trade it.
What do you think you can make more money on in the perspective of 1 year?
🔥 — ETH
🐳 — PEPE
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Friends, hello. I think some of you definitely went to do some shit coin sniping. So I decided to give you a list of top mistakes in addition, because of which you can probably lose money. Here we go.
Write it down for yourself and always look at this list before trading.
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Friends, hello everyone. Today the market is very happy. Everyone saw a growth of more than 7%, right? Yes, personally I was waiting for a fall to the $57,500 mark, but maybe it will still happen.
Consumer inflation (CPI) data came out today, which had a positive impact on the market as the rate was lowered from 3.5% to 3.4%. Perhaps the next move will be a Fed rate cut, which will add more positivity.
We were waiting for this data, but I expected to see the decrease a little later.
Now the market may turn on the RISK ON situation.
What else is driving investor interest in risk assets?
The devaluation of the US dollar, falling treasury yields, falling oil quotations. Under these conditions, if inflation "pleases our eyes", the market should come alive.
Also, most likely you didn't notice, but the SP500 hit an all-time high and went looking for a new boundary to consolidate.
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Friends, hello everyone. Today one of the most anticipated tokens in the TON ecosystem was listed. Namely, the NOT token was released. I propose to discuss this topic a bit for a few reasons. Let's go!
And now the most interesting thing is that mostly guys who played the game were able to earn an average of $500 per 1 account. Yes, I surprised a lot of people, because they got these profits for free.
Why did it happen this way? Why did Notcoin do it?
The answer is one - it was the first. The project came up with a very interesting and simple mechanics, thus was able to win the hearts of people. In addition, NOT is directly related to TON, and this is one of the most popular projects in crypto now.
Now a lot of similar projects are starting to appear on the market. I think you already know about some of them. But my advice to you is that you should not put a super big emphasis on them.
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Friends, hello everyone. Making a short post for you on the market situation. Now bitcoin is behaving in a very interesting way.
Do I expect a sharp rise to ATH now? — No.
I think we need to go lower a bit more to renew the high. A sharp rise after the news can't last that long. In the chart I have visualized my scenario.
Your opinion - when will BTC update the all-time high?
🔥 — Before summer
🐳 — Later than summer
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Friends, hello everyone. I think everyone has already seen how PEPE updated its ATH a few days ago. But on that day, other meme coins also grew. In particular, the price of FLOKI token increased by +13%.
🔖 The growth happened on the background of the situation around GameStop (GME). The asset rose by more than 300% after the publication of Twitter-influencer Roaring Kitty, after a three-year silence.
Twitter users (X) compared GME to PEPE, thus causing a strong shill for the project.orak liquidity to get off the memes and go into "hard" assets?
Let me remind you that very often the growth of the whole market both started with meme coins and ended with them.
his week, memes were just the first to begin to provide strong momentum. Hopefully, this was the beginning of the overall growth.
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Friends, how do you like the growth of Ethereum?) I think many people did not expect this. And in the post earlier I wrote my vision and scenario on this asset. Yes, the scenario did not work exactly, but the main direction was predicted correctly.
🔖 Today news came out that SEC should make decisions on applications from VanEck and ArkInvest for spot Ethereum ETFs on May 23 and 24 (BlackRock has officially filed for a spot ETH-ETF in November 2023)
Recently, a BBG ETF analyst revised his forecasts for Ethereum spot ETF adoption and said he now sees a 75% chance of ETH-ETF approval versus 25% previously.
• SEC may change its stance on this (political agenda) so everyone is urgently revising their forecasts. Previously everyone thought the application would be rejected, but now the probability of approval has increased significantly.
Ethereum has made +15% and is trading above $3500
1) It is a magnet and indicator for all major altcoins ( could kick off alt season).
2) No one expects it to be approved anytime soon, so it could be a white swan and with the new policies in the US - could lay very nicely on the charts.
Do you believe in ETH-ETF adoption this week?
🔥 — YES
🐳 — NO
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