Investors are playing for the upside 📈

Saw an interesting infographic today and thought I'd share it with you. The smart money index for Bitcoin futures rose to a record high of 13,711. The supposed approvals of ETFs are most likely to blame for this.

🔤 The index makes it clear that institutional investors are opening a record number of longs on BTC.

However, according to analysts from QCP Capital, the actual demand for the spot BTC ETF may be lower than market expectations, and the "Sell on the news" scenario will begin. This is a system that works quite often.

📍This chart once again proves my thoughts in this post! Read it again carefully.

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Interesting shit-coin on Solana 🪙

Friends, hello everyone. Analyzed tokens on Solana today and found one interesting specimen - DRAGO.

📑 For the first day of the meme token's life:
• trading volume exceeded 1 million $
• market cap is now 860k (light and mobile asset)
• more than 1600 holders in 3 days.
• there is a partnership with NFT project on solan Lazy Alpha.

The team is interested in releasing the token on Mehs exchange in January (not the best, but one of the top exchanges). Now we can say the preparation is underway, so the project has launched an advertising campaign with various news resources.

They also launched airdrop for token holders. If you buy 7777 DRAGO, then on December 31, when the snapshot will be made, you will get under the airdrop of their token. That's all the information for now.

💡We are more interested in it from the point of view of short-term investments. Today we bought some of that token on the spot. If you are interested in similar meme tokens, you can repeat after me. Not a financial recommendation.

❔ Want more posts about meme and shit tokens?

🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No

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Fixing profit on DRAGO📦

Friends, a quick post from me. Yesterday I signaled to buy Drago shitcoin and immediately mentioned that this is a short-term investment.

⚫️Today the token met upward perfectly. My team and I sold 80% of Drago at $0.18. The rest was left for the future. The profit amounted to +72% on the spot.

If you also bought this token, now I advise you to fix a part of Police.

❔ Did you manage to make money on it?

🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No

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Useful knowledge about tokenomics 🔤

Hello everyone. I decided to make a post for you today that is not easy to understand, but it will be very useful for you if you decide to do analytics of crypto projects. Namely - tokenomics.

💡Tokenomics is an economic model of a crypto startup. It specifies various nuances regarding the token of the project. What areas the project emphasizes, how tokens will be distributed, how many tokens the team keeps, etc. All of these questions can be answered by familiarizing yourself with the basic metrics of tokenomics!

🟠Total Supply - the number of all tokens of the project that are expected to be released over time.

🟠Token Allocation (%) - this is the number of tokens in percentage terms that are allocated within the startup. The areas of funding can vary depending on the sector of the startup (Defi / GameFi / DEX etc). But there are areas that are present in any startup:

• Team - tokens that the team receives, this is a future reward for their performance, something like an option;
• Advisor - assets for advisors. Projects often attract specialists from the industry for more successful development;
• Liquidity - tokens that are needed to stabilize the price of cryptoassets on the market;
• Marketing - tokens to spread information about the project.

🟠Token Allocated - the same as the previous item, but only here the metric is expressed in project tokens.
The calculation is as follows: Total Supply * Token Allocation (%).

If someone wonders how tokens help in the development of a project, here is the answer. They are converted into stacks when listed, meaning crypto assets are merged into a stack of requests and then this cache is used for a specific purpose depending on what it was originally allocated for.

❕ Click 🔥 if you want to learn more about how to utilize tokenomics knowledge!

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BTC gives a new local high! 📈

Friends, hello everyone. Getting back in touch with you after 2 days break. Now I'm slowly starting to get back to work! But first of all, happy new year to everyone. I wish that 2024 you will be able to fulfill all your dreams and wishes. So, let's start turning on the "hard work" mode.

🔎 I'll start with a New Year's gift from BTC > $45,800. And here I will note that at the start of 2021 (the beginning of the last bull market), right after the new year, the market began to fly upwards. BTC to begin with, and later all altcoins.

In my opinion, 2024 will be a bullish year, so it is very likely that the market will move in a similar scenario.

• The question then becomes, Why is BTC rising?

The media is playing up to the buyers, starting to shill hints related to ETFs, because the benchmark date is coming soon and we are all waiting for very interesting news. There are also rumors that Tesla may soon start accepting BTC for payment.

📍BTC has a lot of space in front of it right now and it could go anywhere, given the upcoming likely date of ETF acceptance. Everyone is waiting for the first bitcoin ETF to be accepted on January 8. It's quite possible that the price may go up straight to that date.

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Deceiving hamsters on news about ETFs 📉

Friends, recently we saw another classic scheme in the market:

1️⃣ 2 days ago news came out that "Within two days an ETF on BTC will be accepted. BlackRock starts another 10 million bitcoin purchase and on top of that more headlines - soon BTC will be at $50,000" (positive).

Next:

2️⃣ More news coming out yesterday that someone somewhere heard that ETFs will likely not be accepted and it also indicated that institutional investors no longer believe in ETFs (negatives.)

As you guessed, high risk trading enthusiasts got immediate liquidations on positions.

3️⃣ A few hours later, the following news comes out that there is no information about ETF abandonment, but on the contrary - everyone is waiting for this process to be accepted. (positive)

Scheme: caught hamsters in longs -> shaved (liquidated) -> further went up. Dropped off the extra planters, so to speak.

❕ Conclusion: when the market shows super high volatility, you should not trade on futures. Why do you need leverage when tokens can do x2 in a day in such a market! This is a different time.

I hope you haven't lost a lot of money on such movements?

🔥 - Yes, all are good
🧐 - No, I lost some money

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Technical VS fundamental: about BTC 💰

Friends, hello everyone. This post will be made in the format of "thoughts in the ear".

💡Now I wanted to form a final opinion on the market and BTC in particular, but I faced a contradiction within myself.

• On the one hand, if you look at the technical analysis, the price made a false breakdown of $44.530 level and did not fall down. Now we are in consolidation near the level, and this is a sign that above the level we can go up.

• On the other hand, we can consider this false breakout as a fake high. Plus the price made a nice retest. Also, we can see a lot of positivity in the media and different publics about ETFs - this is also scary. When there is a lot of positivity, the market usually goes to turn around (against the crowd).

📍 I'm watching the situation closely now. By the way, I have closed all risky trades🔥

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Overview of tier-1 fund - Binance Labs 📦

In our regular column "Overview of tier-1 funds" we have already reviewed two major players in this area. Today we'll take a look at the brainchild of one of the major mastodons of the market - Binance Labs.

⚫️Binance Labs is a Tier-1 fund that is a subsidiary of the Binance exchange. The VC invests in the following sectors:
• DeFi (21.3%)
• Blockchain Infrastructure (20.7%)
• Blockchain Service (20.1%)
• GameFi (20.1%)
• Social (6.9%)
• NFT (4.6%)
• CeFi (3.5%)
• Other (1.2%)
• Stablecoin (1.1%)
• Currency (0.6%)

🟢 The fund was formed in July 2017. It has a total of 4 fund managers, the main one is the well-known to everyone - Changpeng Zhao (CZ).

The fund currently manages $1.5 billion in assets and has two functioning funds, Start-up Fund ($500 million) and Growth Ecosystem Fund ($1 billion).

There is also an incubator operating within the fund. It provides early-stage projects with the resources and experts to successfully develop a product. Example of incubator exits: Polygon, Dune Analytics, Perpetual Protocol, etc.

📍Cumulatively, BL has participated in 156 fundraising rounds. Illustrative investments include: PancakeSwap, LayerZero, 1inch, Aptos, Polygon. Also, Binance often makes investments and partnerships directly on behalf of the parent company, without affecting the fund itself.

Put 🔥 if this post was helpful to you...

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No one wrote about this -ETF of 2017 💰

Friends, I have already written many times about ETFs and everything related to it, but today I found one interesting information for you about how BTC ETFs were taken in 2017.

Let me say right away that the analogy is not 100% - now the market conditions have changed and the macroeconomic situation is also different. But market psychology, in my opinion, is the same during such events.

🔤 Let me break it down by date:

• October 30, 2017 - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) announces the launch of bitcoin futures ETF in Q4 2017. BTC on this day = $6700, RSI ~80

• Nov 30, 2017 - CME announces exact ETF launch date of 12/18/2017. BTC = $11000, RSI ~84 (going up)

• December 14, 2017 (4 days before launch) - BTC = $19000, RSI ~75 (even more growth)

RSI (Relative strength index) is an indicator that shows the ratio of positive to negative price changes.

• December 18, 2017 (launch day) BTC = $18200

• December 22, 2017 (4 days after launch) BTC = $10500 (back to the original point)

📍Conclusion - the market can go up with overheated fundings and RSI>80 as long as there is a driver in the form of expectations. When the event itself happens, the market reverses immediately, even though the event is positive. If we talk about the situation that is happening now, I think that positive expectations on ETFs will remain even if tomorrow ARK Funf gets rejected: the reason will be eliminated through another lawsuit to the SEC.

❕ To put it in simple terms - BTC growth will continue, even though we rose to $47K yesterday.

Put 🐳 if this post was helpful to you...

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SEC Twitter hacked and approves spot Bitcoin ETF 📉

Here's the news for you. To be honest, I did not expect such surprises. At first, everyone was happy that the SEC had given permission to list the BTC ETF on all national securities exchanges.

Then it turned out that the SEC account was hacked and the information was fake. Against this backdrop, the cue ball dropped to $45k.

📍Now I'm waiting for a return to the $46k zone

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BTC ETF approval today 🔎

Friends, a fun evening is expected tonight. BTC ETF approval is getting closer and closer. The SEC has already accepted a Form 8A from the CBOE exchange for the listing of ARK Invest's spot Bitcoin ETF.

• Also, the NYSE exchange has approved the listing of spot Bitcoin ETFs from Bitwise and Grayscale. Trading should begin tomorrow. Waiting. And in addition, spot ETFs from ARK Invest and VanEck are already listed on the Fidelity trading platform. In case you didn't know, Form "8A" authorizes exchanges to list.

❗️The SEC has NOT officially approved the filings yet.

❕ By the way, as I wrote in yesterday's post, BTC is back to 46k. We even managed to capitalize on it. I will make a post about it soon.

Where do you think the price will go in the next 24 hours after the approval announcement?

🐳 - UP
🔥 - DOWN

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Myths about BTC ETFs 💰

Friends, I decided to dedicate another post to the most popular topic lately - ETFs. Many people have different thoughts and arguments on this topic, as they do not know much about the crypto market. That's why I made a separate post with the analysis of ETF myths. Let's go! (the topic is not simple)

🟠Myth 1: opened the doors for whales - finally big money can buy Bitcoin.

Access to BTC products on U.S. exchanges has been around until now. There are bitcoin futures ETFs trading on the NYSE and CME, starting in October 2021. And a spot ETF on BTC appeared in February 2021 in Canada. Buying BTC indirectly in the U.S. market could also be obtained through ETFs on mining companies, whose cash flow depends on mining volumes and the market value of BTC.

🟠Myth 2: BlackRock has $9trn - can you imagine what will happen now? (they will start actively buying BTC)

BlackRock CEOs put on a great show before the launch, talking about the prospects of BTC capitalization growth. Funds make money on commissions, it is important for them to attract attention to the product (their ETF) and trading volume. At the same time, the appearance of the BTC ETF does not mean that JP Morgan will buy it for all its clients. The key task of the funds for the coming quarters is not to lose marketing budget and capture the largest market share.

🟠Myth 3: ETFs + halving = huge growth of BTC

Maybe!!! But how is halving 2024 different from previous ones? Macro conditions

Global risk demand is a derivative of liquidity. Liquidity in the system is directly dependent on the Fed's monetary policy. Note that the previous three halwings took place with a Fed Funds rate <0.5% and accommodative policy. We now have a rate of 5.25%.

📍Conclusions: There is a new product on the market - that's cool. But it will still take a long time for crypto funds' attitude towards crypto as an asset class to change. Therefore, trillions $ and X's will not come quickly, be careful when forming positions.

❔ Do you understand such posts?

🔥 - Yes, everything is clear
🧐 - No, it's difficult for me

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What about the market? (looks like it's started) 😳

Hey, guys. I will write a few words today about the market and my view. I'll say right away, things are pretty good.

• After the local final impulse on bitcoin during the start of trading of the first ETFs, we see a prolonged decline. What would I like to point out?

📔Of course, I'm actively monitoring the domination chart and ETH/BTC. The market needs time to rebalance positions (move from one asset to another). What I mean by that? A large participant (or a crowd of participants) can't just take a single order and move their money into ETH or the rest of the altcoins. That takes time. Time is the rebalancing of positions.

Since under the decline of BTC we have a decline in its dominance, I am not afraid to assume that now is the time to rebalance positions. Bitcoin is slowly draining, correlation is pushing the alt-markets, but they are trying to stay in the risk on zone with the support of the dominance.

⚫️Therefore, I would not be afraid of the current BTC fluctuations. Scenario: Slow "run-off" of bitcoin after the momentum up, domination falls and alta rises on BTC brakes. I think we are in this exact phase right now.

❕ And I'm also waiting for more and more news and information regarding ETH ETFs. This will also raise the excitement on ETH 🔥

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A new investment idea from me 🥅

Friends, hello everyone. Today I would like to share with you one rather risky investment idea on XAI token. Let me tell you right away, this is not a financial recommendation, but just my personal opinion.

XAI is a recently launched (about a week ago) project, which today my team and I analyzed and found something interesting.

📝 To begin with, there is information that market maker "GSR Markets" has received 18.8 million XAI tokens. But what does this give us? On the recent listing of the project, we didn't see the XAI prices expected from the team and a lot of people sold their tokens that were received from airdrop. It seems to me that GSR and other big players are accumulating XAI at the moment in order to pamp it in the future. And here's why I think so:

At the moment, the project team has sold 32,000 node keys (this was necessary to get airdrop) and earned 10k ETH ($25 million). And at the current token price it is not very profitable to buy a key (it costs 1.08 ETH), and it is unlikely that people will actively buy them.

💡But what if the project team bought a lot of XAI from those who sold their Airdrop and in the near future they will make a manipulation and pump the token 3x-4x-5x with the help of their market maker, adding to this good news: the release of games from the project, staking and etc.

In this case, a lot of people will start talking about XAI token and its node. They will look at the high yield from this node and buy keys at any price and the team will earn even more.

📍To buy or not to buy decide for yourself, but personally I bought this token to my portfolio.

Do you like posts like this? (this is quite valuable information)

🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No

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📈 Yesterday's recommendations are already working well. +25% for today.

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What is happening to the market | Will BTC still fall? 💰

Friends, many people are concerned about this question, so I decided to write my opinion in a separate post.

📔 I will not linger and answer at once - we will not fall any more. Or we will fall, but only slightly. It seems to me that there are still many events that can start to cause fomo market. For example, big corporations, banks, funds and companies entering the crypto market because of ETF approval.

• Also such as halving which will happen in April. And in the meantime, the BTC ETF will do its work in the background (the arrival of institutional money).

At the moment the attention of many, as expected, goes towards ETH and altcoins (spot ETF + Ethereum ETF + Ethereum update + liquidity transition + graphical lag in comparison with BTC).

📍 I think in the next 1-2 months we will see good growth on altcoins, fomo on ETH and dropoffs from tier-1 projects (Like Starknet). Altcoins will not fly fast. It will be a long pump for 1-2 months.

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Where to store crypto? | main rules 💡

Friends, as liquidity returns to the market and new people come in, so does the number of scammers. Scamming both experienced cryptans and hamsters. Therefore, I will give you some personal not banal recommendations that will increase your chances that you will not be scammed:

1️⃣ Use only licensed software on PCs (windows included). I have seen many times that even experienced cryptans use "pirated" windows.

2️⃣ Do not connect to any sites using your main storage wallet and do not sign any transactions. The storage wallet is for deposits and withdrawals only.

3️⃣ Do not use a separate phone as a cold wallet. Even if it's a new iPhone that you just bought and use as a wallet - you don't need to do that. By not regularly updating the operating system you put your phone at risk of being hacked. Buy a better cold wallet.

4️⃣ Store your seed phrases not digitally. And of course in a safe place, not in a notebook you always have on your desk.

5️⃣ Never use this passphrase for other devices or wallets. For example, you have created SafePal wallet, so use it only through SafePal. Do not add seed phrases to Trust or Metamask, even for one action.

6️⃣ For especially large sums it is better to use Gnosis Safe (not advertising). It is a storage, withdrawal from which is possible only when a transaction is signed by a certain number of users. This is what is called multi signature. Gnosis Safe is currently considered to be the safest method of storing funds.

❕ These are just a few, but very important rules that you can follow to sleep better.

Put 🔥 if this post was helpful to you.

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Another trading idea from me 🥅

Today I decided to review another project that my team and I analyzed. The project looks attractive for buying on spot. Name: OORT. The essence of the project is not so important, so I will go straight to the point.

Influencers on twitter are actively making mention of this project in their posts. For example, one of them made a tweet that was viewed by more than 66 thousand users.

🔤 On the project: right away their partnerships with BNB, Cardano, Google, Harvard and Lenovo stand out. There are partnerships with both crypto projects and traditional businesses. Why? Because they are creating a decentralized cloud similar to iCloud, but only in crypto.

What is the advantage? The project can easily generate profit for its services and thus allocate budget for development and marketing. Also an important point - almost all projects in crypto, which are somehow related to security, showed good growth in their time and have good indicators.

Listings so far only on Bitget and Gate exchanges. I expect that in time they may start to be posted by many publishers and influencers, as they have money for promotion + recently they received funding for $10 million.

💡There's no pressure on the token, and most likely whoever wanted it has already sold it. About unlocks: the team will get the first part of tokens in a month, so I think in the next month they should be able to pump their asset.

📍A higher resistance level may be the best time to buy tokens. I've already bought. Not an advertisement or financial recommendation.

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